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Brescia vs Virtus Roma Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Oct 2020
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 64-70
29-18 12-16 10-20 13-16
Position#11
Record2-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game81.6
vs
Position#16
Record1-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game87.4
ItalyLega ARound 6
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Brescia v Virtus Roma
31 Oct 2020
BRE64
VRO70
13 Apr 2020
BRE v VRO
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Roma winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#12
L
89-94 OT
89
94
-5
A27/09
Lega A
Buducnost
#12
L
81-93
81
93
-12
A29/09
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
80-81
80
81
-1
H04/10
Lega A
Ulm
#13
W
87-84 OT
87
84
+3
H07/10
Eurocup
Treviso
#7
W
94-87
94
87
+7
A11/10
Lega A
Mornar Bar
#17
L
76-95
76
95
-19
A14/10
Eurocup
Trieste
#6
W
75-63
75
63
+12
H18/10
Lega A
Unicaja
#10
L
69-86
69
86
-17
A21/10
Eurocup
Reggiana
#13
L
67-83
67
83
-16
A24/10
Lega A
Levallois
#8
L
70-75
70
75
-5
H28/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
20-16
16-26
22-22
23-19
20-23
22-23
16-28
24-23
24-24
12-12
20-22
19-28
21-11
22-28
14-9
31-26
23-14
16-24
24-23
10-30
25-22
21-22
20-21
29-9
19-18
8-21
19-15
12-24
23-17
19-16
15-29
20-19
24-26
13-17
10-21
23-25
14-14
20-11
13-25
162.9Avg total
78.8Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)81.081.6162.6-0.640%
Season at home (2)77.572.0149.5+5.550%
Season away (3)83.388.0171.3-4.733%
Last 10 (10)78.884.1162.9-5.330%
Last 5 (5)71.480.4151.8-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)76.184.4160.6-8.314%
vs Similar (8)78.982.0160.9-3.138%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)83.775.3159.0+8.380%
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus RomaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#4
L
69-90
69
90
-21
H05/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Pesaro
#3
L
60-104
60
104
-44
A07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Pesaro
#3
L
56-89
56
89
-33
H10/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#5
L
76-99
76
99
-23
H12/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brindisi
#4
L
62-98
62
98
-36
A14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H27/09
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
67-92
67
92
-25
A04/10
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
72-92
72
92
-20
H11/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
71-93
71
93
-22
A18/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
69-84
69
84
-15
H25/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-30
26-19
12-18
16-23
7-23
20-28
13-25
20-28
16-24
9-20
19-23
12-22
22-35
15-26
13-21
26-17
13-19
20-20
12-32
17-27
20-20
24-12
20-28
17-16
15-22
14-25
20-27
18-18
10-21
13-23
21-18
28-30
16-25
14-28
17-24
24-16
14-18
18-22
17-23
20-21
160.0Avg total
68.3Scored
91.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)72.087.4159.4-15.420%
Season at home (3)74.084.0158.0-10.033%
Season away (2)69.092.5161.5-23.50%
Last 10 (10)68.391.7160.0-23.410%
Last 5 (5)72.087.4159.4-15.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)73.890.5164.3-16.715%
vs Similar (3)81.073.3154.3+7.767%
vs Weaker (1)92.083.0175.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -8.9-8.9Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -7.5-7.5Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: -2.0-2.0
BresciaVirtus Roma
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#12
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A27/09
Lega A
Buducnost
#12
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A29/09
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H04/10
Lega A
Ulm
#13
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H07/10
Eurocup
Treviso
#7
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A11/10
Lega A
Mornar Bar
#17
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A14/10
Eurocup
Trieste
#6
W
48-27
48
27
+21
H18/10
Lega A
Unicaja
#10
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A21/10
Eurocup
Reggiana
#13
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A24/10
Lega A
Levallois
#8
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H28/10
Eurocup
83.2Avg total
42.7Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.140.581.6+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.740.180.7+0.647%-
Last 30 away (15)41.540.982.5+0.653%-
Last 10 (10)42.740.583.2+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)39.840.880.6-1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.643.182.7-3.643%-
vs Similar (8)42.038.880.8+3.262%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)41.340.281.5+1.147%-
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#4
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H05/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Pesaro
#3
L
27-51
27
51
-24
A07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Pesaro
#3
L
25-44
25
44
-19
H10/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#5
L
37-61
37
61
-24
H12/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brindisi
#4
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H27/09
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A04/10
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
23-44
23
44
-21
H11/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
30-53
30
53
-23
A18/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H25/10
Lega A
78.1Avg total
32.1Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.346.183.5-8.830%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.743.279.9-6.540%-
Last 30 away (15)38.049.187.1-11.120%-
Last 10 (10)32.146.078.1-13.910%-
Last 5 (5)31.643.274.8-11.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)36.247.683.8-11.419%-
vs Similar (3)44.735.380.0+9.3100%-
vs Weaker (1)44.040.084.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 73.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.719.0
49.1%
51.2%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.97.6
34.7%
35.9%22.8
🏀 Free throws16.012.4
77.5%
75.8%12.4
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Romatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Roma: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.322.9
54.1%
51.2%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.77.0
32.3%
35.9%21.0
🏀 Free throws15.310.4
68.0%
75.8%10.4
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Oct 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
LLLWLWWLLL
Virtus Roma
LLLLWLLLLL
#11
League position
#16
-8.2
Net rating
-16.8
99.5
Offensive rating
104.3
107.6
Defensive rating
121.1
50.2%
Effective FG%
52.2%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
58.2%
19.7%
Turnover %
16.1%
25.1%
Off. rebound %
23.6%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.24
34.7%
3-point %
32.3%
66.2%
Assist %
57.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence99.5 · 104.3Defence107.6 · 121.1Shooting50.2% · 52.2%3-point %34.7% · 32.3%Ball care19.7% · 16.1%Off. rebounds25.1% · 23.6%Free throws0.26 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)30% · 10%
■ Brescia   ■ Virtus Roma
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Brescia wins
0
Virtus Roma wins
DateGameScore
22/12/19Virtus Roma v Brescia53-83
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/20HLevallois70-75
24/10/20AReggiana67-83
21/10/20AUnicaja69-86
18/10/20HTrieste75-63
14/10/20AMornar Bar76-95
11/10/20ATreviso94-87
07/10/20HUlm87-84 OT
04/10/20HVirtus Bologna80-81
29/09/20ABuducnost81-93
27/09/20AVarese89-94 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/20HPesaro69-84
18/10/20AOlimpia Milano71-93
11/10/20HSassari72-92
04/10/20ABrindisi67-92
27/09/20HFortitudo Bologna81-76
14/09/20ABrindisi62-98
12/09/20HSassari76-99
10/09/20HPesaro56-89
07/09/20APesaro60-104
05/09/20HBrindisi69-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL40%
HomeLW50%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game81.077.583.3
Allowed / game81.672.088.0
Point differential-0.6+5.5-4.7
Avg total162.6149.5171.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %20%0%33%
Virtus Roma
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL20%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %20%33%0%
Points / game72.074.069.0
Allowed / game87.484.092.5
Point differential-15.4-10.0-23.5
Avg total159.4158.0161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano550100%90.668.4+22.2
2 Brindisi54180%83.475.4+8.0
3 Venezia54180%80.876.4+4.4
4 Sassari53260%88.083.2+4.8
5 Virtus Bologna53260%81.878.0+3.8
6 Reggiana53260%78.876.4+2.4
7 Cantu42250%75.877.8-2.0
8 Pesaro52340%77.677.6+0.0
9 Brescia52340%81.081.6-0.6
10 Trieste52340%76.078.0-2.0
11 Trento52340%77.480.8-3.4
12 Varese52340%80.485.4-5.0
13 Cremona52340%80.285.8-5.6
14 Treviso41325%79.594.2-14.8
15 Fortitudo Bologna51420%81.882.0-0.2
16 Virtus Roma51420%72.087.4-15.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia2912101364
Virtus Roma1816201670
← all games of the day
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