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Brisbane Bullets vs Illawarra Hawks Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 17 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 06:00
Scheduled
Position#8
Record4-5
FormLWLWL
Points / game93.6
Allowed / game97.6
vs
Position#10
Record2-8
FormLLWLL
Points / game95.2
Allowed / game105.1
AustraliaNBLRound 17· Brisbane Entertainment Centre
Other2026-27
Meetings · Brisbane Bullets v Illawarra Hawks
17 Jan 2027
BRIS v ILLA
upcoming
25 Sep 2026
BRIS103
ILLA95
26 Jan 2026
BRIS75
ILLA113
27 Dec 2024
BRIS84
ILLA102
14 Jan 2024
BRIS110
ILLA103
03 Dec 2023
BRIS78
ILLA77
27 Oct 2022
BRIS86
ILLA61
09 Apr 2022
BRIS77
ILLA108
19 Dec 2021
BRIS96
ILLA92
26 Feb 2021
BRIS97
ILLA91
21 Jan 2021
BRIS82
ILLA90
16 Jan 2021
BRIS84
ILLA90
18 Jan 2020
BRIS106
ILLA77
07 Dec 2019
BRIS101
ILLA91
07 Feb 2019
BRIS98
ILLA87
22 Nov 2018
BRIS104
ILLA85
08 Feb 2018
BRIS99
ILLA91
03 Nov 2017
BRIS81
ILLA112
19 Dec 2016
BRIS85
ILLA91
10 Dec 2016
BRIS88
ILLA98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brisbane Bullets win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Illawarra Hawks win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Brisbane BulletsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney
#1
L
77-117
77
117
-40
H20/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
88-85
88
85
+3
H22/09
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
103-95
103
95
+8
H25/09
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
78-93
78
93
-15
A30/09
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
99-109 OT
99
109
-10
H03/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
91-97
91
97
-6
A08/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#6
W
115-105
115
105
+10
H15/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
85-106
85
106
-21
A21/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
98-81
98
81
+17
A24/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
85-107
85
107
-22
H29/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-26
17-32
10-32
17-27
19-26
18-18
28-19
23-22
25-18
25-24
23-24
30-29
34-23
10-20
14-29
20-21
23-17
24-23
18-34
26-17
17-23
33-24
22-27
19-23
30-24
26-31
34-29
25-21
15-22
29-34
20-28
21-22
25-16
30-19
14-27
29-19
21-23
21-34
19-21
24-29
191.4Avg total
91.9Scored
99.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)93.697.6191.1-4.044%
Season at home (5)98.0100.2198.2-2.260%
Season away (4)88.094.2182.2-6.225%
Last 10 (10)91.999.5191.4-7.640%
Last 5 (5)94.899.2194.0-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)80.999.9180.8-19.012%
vs Similar (4)82.893.2176.0-10.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)100.588.0188.5+12.5100%
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
81-95
81
95
-14
A20/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
95-103
95
103
-8
A25/09
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
100-121
100
121
-21
A27/09
NBL
Adelaide
#5
W
114-92
114
92
+22
H02/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#6
L
96-113
96
113
-17
A04/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
112-122
112
122
-10
H09/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
100-110
100
110
-10
H11/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#7
W
91-89
91
89
+2
A18/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
82-108
82
108
-26
H22/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
81-98
81
98
-17
H24/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-28
23-26
14-22
20-19
18-25
24-25
24-23
29-30
27-31
18-34
26-33
29-23
35-21
30-14
27-32
22-25
23-23
18-36
32-26
23-28
22-32
25-35
26-24
39-31
27-28
23-29
27-29
23-24
21-27
35-16
22-22
13-24
19-20
17-28
16-34
30-26
16-25
19-30
27-14
19-29
200.3Avg total
95.2Scored
105.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)95.2105.1200.3-9.920%
Season at home (5)97.8106.0203.8-8.220%
Season away (5)92.6104.2196.8-11.620%
Last 10 (10)95.2105.1200.3-9.920%
Last 5 (5)93.2105.4198.6-12.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)95.2104.9200.1-9.724%
vs Similar (5)97.491.6189.0+5.860%
vs Weaker (4)96.282.8179.0+13.575%
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: -6.8-6.8Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -1.2-1.2
Brisbane BulletsIllawarra Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Brisbane BulletsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney
#1
L
50-58
50
58
-8
H20/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H22/09
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H25/09
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A30/09
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H03/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A08/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#6
W
56-55
56
55
+1
H15/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A21/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
55-35
55
35
+20
A24/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
42-57
42
57
-15
H29/10
NBL
95.2Avg total
47.5Scored
47.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.949.891.7-7.933%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.449.893.2-6.438%-
Last 30 away (14)40.149.889.9-9.629%-
Last 10 (10)47.547.795.2-0.260%-
Last 5 (5)49.450.099.4-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)41.251.092.2-9.829%-
vs Similar (4)40.848.589.2-7.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)52.538.591.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A20/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A25/09
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
45-65
45
65
-20
A27/09
NBL
Adelaide
#5
W
65-35
65
35
+30
H02/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#6
L
41-59
41
59
-18
A04/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
47-67
47
67
-20
H09/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
50-57
50
57
-7
H11/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#7
W
56-43
56
43
+13
A18/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H22/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
35-55
35
55
-20
H24/10
NBL
99.7Avg total
46.4Scored
53.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.049.996.9-2.930%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.149.095.1-2.927%-
Last 30 away (15)47.950.798.6-2.933%-
Last 10 (10)46.453.399.7-6.920%-
Last 5 (5)44.854.098.8-9.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)46.251.797.9-5.524%-
vs Similar (5)51.446.297.6+5.260%-
vs Weaker (4)45.844.890.5+1.025%-
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brisbane Bulletstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brisbane Bullets: 91.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.4 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.524.8
55.7%
56.0%49.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.39.7
30.0%
34.4%29.1
🏀 Free throws18.512.8
69.2%
73.7%12.8
They take 76.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Illawarra Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illawarra Hawks: 94.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.4 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.025.4
56.4%
56.0%50.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.610.6
33.5%
34.4%31.8
🏀 Free throws16.811.9
70.8%
73.7%11.9
They take 76.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brisbane Bullets
LWLWLLLWWL
Illawarra Hawks
LLWLLLWLLL
#8
League position
#10
-7.3
Net rating
-11.0
94.0
Offensive rating
99.1
101.3
Defensive rating
110.1
51.2%
Effective FG%
53.9%
56.1%
Opp. effective FG%
57.8%
15.4%
Turnover %
11.4%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.22
30.0%
3-point %
33.5%
60.6%
Assist %
58.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence94.0 · 99.1Defence101.3 · 110.1Shooting51.2% · 53.9%3-point %30.0% · 33.5%Ball care15.4% · 11.4%Free throws0.24 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Brisbane Bullets   ■ Illawarra Hawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26HCairns Taipans85-107
24/10/26AIllawarra Hawks98-81
21/10/26ATasmania JackJumpers85-106
15/10/26HSouth East Melbourne115-105
08/10/26ACairns Taipans91-97
03/10/26HTasmania JackJumpers99-109 OT
30/09/26ASydney78-93
25/09/26HIllawarra Hawks103-95
22/09/26HNew Zealand Breakers88-85
20/02/26HSydney77-117
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26HBrisbane Bullets81-98
22/10/26HSydney82-108
18/10/26AMelbourne United91-89
11/10/26HCairns Taipans100-110
09/10/26HTasmania JackJumpers112-122
04/10/26ASouth East Melbourne96-113
02/10/26HAdelaide114-92
27/09/26ASydney100-121
25/09/26ABrisbane Bullets95-103
20/09/26ANew Zealand Breakers81-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brisbane Bullets
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL44%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%60%25%
Points / game93.698.088.0
Allowed / game97.6100.294.2
Point differential-4.0-2.2-6.2
Avg total191.1198.2182.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%20%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %11%20%0%
Illawarra Hawks
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL20%
HomeWLLLL20%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %20%20%20%
Points / game95.297.892.6
Allowed / game105.1106.0104.2
Point differential-9.9-8.2-11.6
Avg total200.3203.8196.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sydney107370%97.988.1+9.8
2 Tasmania JackJumpers96367%95.391.0+4.3
3 Perth85362%92.695.6-3.0
4 Cairns Taipans106460%91.794.9-3.2
5 Adelaide105550%91.293.5-2.3
6 South East Melbourne94544%97.893.9+3.9
7 Melbourne United94544%94.992.0+2.9
8 Brisbane Bullets94544%93.697.6-4.0
9 New Zealand Breakers104640%92.290.6+1.6
10 Illawarra Hawks102820%95.2105.1-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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