Brisbane Bullets vs Melbourne United Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	86.0	95.5	181.5	-9.5	30%
Season at home (9)	85.2	97.3	182.6	-12.1	22%
Season away (11)	86.6	94.0	180.6	-7.4	36%
Last 10 (10)	80.4	98.0	178.4	-17.6	20%
Last 5 (5)	77.8	93.6	171.4	-15.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	85.1	99.4	184.5	-14.3	22%
vs Similar (7)	90.1	89.9	180.0	+0.3	57%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Melbourne United Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormUnited

Date

Competition

South East Melbourne

92-81

+11

88avg 86

A08/11

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

#10

99-93

90avg 86

H15/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

105-102

105

102

89avg 86

A21/11

NBL

Perth

98-87

+11

84avg 86

H23/11

NBL

Perth

84-96

-12

70avg 86

A04/12

NBL

South East Melbourne

86-111

111

-25

75avg 86

A07/12

NBL

Adelaide

105-114 OT

105

114

-9

87avg 86

A12/12

NBL

Sydney

86-92 OT

-6

83avg 86

H14/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

97-75

+22

89avg 86

H18/12

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

73-92

-19

62avg 86

H23/12

NBL

27-28

20-17

21-12

24-24

23-14

25-16

27-39

38-33

20-19

28-31

19-19

24-22

27-25

23-26

24-14

20-33

22-23

15-20

27-20

22-32

23-28

21-23

20-28

22-27

26-32

19-22

28-14

25-24

25-21

20-24

14-15

24-20

23-21

27-26

23-8

19-22

20-20

9-23

25-27

186.8Avg total

92.5Scored

94.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	94.8	89.0	183.8	+5.9	67%
Season at home (11)	94.7	84.3	179.0	+10.5	73%
Season away (10)	94.9	94.1	189.0	+0.8	60%
Last 10 (10)	92.5	94.3	186.8	-1.8	50%
Last 5 (5)	89.4	96.8	186.2	-7.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	92.4	92.6	185.0	-0.2	38%
vs Similar (11)	96.3	95.1	191.4	+1.2	64%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	96.1	85.1	181.2	+11.0	82%

This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Brisbane BulletsMelbourne United

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	25.0	46.2	-3.8	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	25.9	47.1	-4.8	14%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.2	24.2	45.4	-3.0	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	24.6	45.2	-4.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	22.0	43.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	21.1	25.3	46.4	-4.2	26%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.4	24.0	45.4	-2.6	29%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.4	23.9	49.3	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.6	22.1	46.7	+2.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	26.4	25.9	52.3	+0.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.5	26.5	51.0	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	25.0	47.4	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	23.6	25.0	48.6	-1.4	25%	-
vs Similar (11)	24.8	25.8	50.6	-1.0	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	27.4	21.1	48.5	+6.3	73%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	25.6	48.3	-3.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.9	26.1	48.0	-4.3	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.3	25.2	48.5	-1.9	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	26.9	47.9	-5.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	26.8	47.2	-6.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	22.3	26.7	49.0	-4.5	39%	-
vs Similar (7)	23.9	22.0	45.9	+1.9	57%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	22.3	44.9	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.5	21.1	44.6	+2.4	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.6	23.7	45.3	-2.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	22.0	44.9	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	24.4	47.8	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	22.0	23.1	45.1	-1.1	50%	-
vs Similar (11)	23.6	24.8	48.5	-1.2	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	22.0	19.2	41.2	+2.8	64%	-

Brisbane BulletsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney

45-57

-12

H01/11

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

46-43

A08/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

36-68

-32

H12/11

NBL

Melbourne United

38-47

-9

A15/11

NBL

South East Melbourne

40-56

-16

H20/11

NBL

Adelaide

33-50

-17

A05/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

50-49

A11/12

NBL

Perth

34-49

-15

H14/12

NBL

South East Melbourne

38-55

-17

A20/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

56-41

+15

H22/12

NBL

93.1Avg total

41.6Scored

51.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.8	50.6	94.4	-6.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.0	52.1	95.1	-9.1	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	44.5	49.4	93.9	-4.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.6	51.5	93.1	-9.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	48.8	91.0	-6.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	43.3	52.0	95.4	-8.7	35%	-
vs Similar (7)	45.3	46.0	91.3	-0.7	43%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

South East Melbourne

47-45

A08/11

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

#10

47-38

H15/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

58-52

A21/11

NBL

Perth

51-47

H23/11

NBL

Perth

42-56

-14

A04/12

NBL

South East Melbourne

45-60

-15

A07/12

NBL

Adelaide

48-59

-11

A12/12

NBL

Sydney

50-45

H14/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

47-41

H18/12

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

39-42

-3

H23/12

NBL

95.9Avg total

47.4Scored

48.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	48.0	46.2	94.2	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	48.1	43.2	91.2	+4.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	48.0	49.6	97.6	-1.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.4	48.5	95.9	-1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.8	49.4	95.2	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	45.6	48.1	93.8	-2.5	25%	-
vs Similar (11)	48.5	50.6	99.1	-2.2	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	49.4	40.3	89.6	+9.1	82%	-

This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	22.3	42.8	-1.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.8	21.8	42.6	-1.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	22.8	43.0	-2.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	22.8	41.0	-4.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	22.4	38.4	-6.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	20.3	23.2	43.5	-2.8	43%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.9	19.6	40.4	+1.3	43%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	21.5	43.7	+0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.1	22.6	45.7	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.2	20.3	41.5	+0.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	22.3	43.1	-1.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	23.6	42.8	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	21.2	22.6	43.9	-1.4	25%	-
vs Similar (11)	22.8	21.1	43.9	+1.7	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	22.3	21.2	43.5	+1.1	55%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	24.2	46.2	-2.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	24.6	45.8	-3.5	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.8	23.8	46.6	-1.1	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	23.7	44.3	-3.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	22.4	42.0	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	21.4	24.2	45.6	-2.8	39%	-
vs Similar (7)	24.0	24.3	48.3	-0.3	57%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.5	22.2	46.7	+2.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.6	21.6	46.2	+3.0	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	24.4	22.8	47.2	+1.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	20.8	43.9	+2.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	18.4	40.4	+3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	25.2	20.9	46.1	+4.4	62%	-
vs Similar (11)	24.1	21.6	45.7	+2.5	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	24.5	23.6	48.1	+0.8	45%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.5	46.5	89.0	-4.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.9	46.4	88.4	-4.5	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	42.9	46.6	89.6	-3.7	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	46.5	85.3	-7.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.6	44.8	80.4	-9.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	41.7	47.3	89.1	-5.6	26%	-
vs Similar (7)	44.9	43.9	88.7	+1.0	57%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.7	43.7	90.4	+3.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	47.7	44.2	91.9	+3.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	45.6	43.1	88.7	+2.6	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.9	43.1	87.0	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	42.0	83.2	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	46.5	43.5	90.0	+3.0	50%	-
vs Similar (11)	46.9	42.7	89.6	+4.2	73%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	46.7	44.8	91.5	+1.9	45%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Brisbane Bulletstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brisbane Bullets: 79.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀56%

🏀🏀🏀29%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 56% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 29% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game

51%

32%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.4	22.1	50.9%	54.6%	44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.7	7.6	28.5%	33.3%	22.8
🏀 Free throws	17.5	12.6	72.0%	74.8%	12.6

They take 70.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Melbourne Unitedtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Melbourne United: 94.1 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀28%

🏀21%

🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 28% of the points

🏀 Free throws19.9 pts a game · 21% of the points

League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game

51%

32%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	48.5	23.9	49.3%	54.6%	47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.5	8.8	29.8%	33.3%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	24.4	19.9	81.6%	74.8%	19.9

They take 78.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	46.9	25.5	54.4%	54.6%	51.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.7	9.0	32.5%	33.3%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	24.6	19.5	79.3%	74.8%	19.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	49.6	23.8	48.0%	54.6%	47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.6	10.1	39.5%	33.3%	30.3
🏀 Free throws	22.6	17.2	76.1%	74.8%	17.2

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.3	22.3	52.7%	54.6%	44.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.3	8.4	31.9%	33.3%	25.2
🏀 Free throws	21.0	15.2	72.1%	74.8%	15.2

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.6	22.4	54.0%	54.6%	44.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.0	10.2	33.9%	33.3%	30.5
🏀 Free throws	22.6	16.7	74.2%	74.8%	16.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.3	26.0	58.6%	54.6%	51.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.1	9.5	33.7%	33.3%	28.4
🏀 Free throws	22.1	16.6	75.4%	74.8%	16.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	45.3	22.9	50.6%	54.6%	45.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.8	9.0	36.4%	33.3%	27.1
🏀 Free throws	20.7	15.6	75.5%	74.8%	15.6

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Brisbane Bullets

WLLLLLLLWL

Melbourne United

LWLLLLWWWW

#10

League position

-21.9

Net rating

-1.2

97.2

Offensive rating

108.9

119.0

Defensive rating

110.0

47.8%

Effective FG%

47.6%

52.3%

Opp. effective FG%

51.8%

19.7%

Turnover %

15.2%

29.4%

Off. rebound %

33.4%

0.25

Free-throw rate

0.31

28.5%

3-point %

29.8%

53.2%

Assist %

54.4%

20%

Form (last 10/10)

50%

Profile

■ Brisbane Bullets ■ Melbourne United

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Brisbane Bullets wins

Melbourne United wins

Date	Game	Score
15/11/25	Melbourne United v Brisbane Bullets	99-93
17/10/25	Brisbane Bullets v Melbourne United	86-95
26/01/25	Brisbane Bullets v Melbourne United	88-115
08/12/24	Melbourne United v Brisbane Bullets	114-122
07/11/24	Brisbane Bullets v Melbourne United	103-120
26/01/24	Brisbane Bullets v Melbourne United	77-93
10/12/23	Melbourne United v Brisbane Bullets	103-68
15/10/23	Melbourne United v Brisbane Bullets	89-78
14/01/23	Brisbane Bullets v Melbourne United	91-101
01/01/23	Brisbane Bullets v Melbourne United	86-99

Brisbane Bulletslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/12/25	H	New Zealand Breakers	99-85
20/12/25	A	South East Melbourne	78-107
14/12/25	H	Perth	62-86
11/12/25	A	Illawarra Hawks	85-100
05/12/25	A	Adelaide	65-90
20/11/25	H	South East Melbourne	76-103
15/11/25	A	Melbourne United	93-99
12/11/25	H	New Zealand Breakers	84-113
08/11/25	A	Tasmania JackJumpers	83-81
01/11/25	H	Sydney	79-116

Melbourne Unitedlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/12/25	H	Tasmania JackJumpers	73-92
18/12/25	H	Illawarra Hawks	97-75
14/12/25	H	Sydney	86-92 OT
12/12/25	A	Adelaide	105-114 OT
07/12/25	A	South East Melbourne	86-111
04/12/25	A	Perth	84-96
23/11/25	H	Perth	98-87
21/11/25	A	Illawarra Hawks	105-102
15/11/25	H	Brisbane Bullets	99-93
08/11/25	A	South East Melbourne	92-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brisbane Bullets

NBL 2025-26

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	30%
Home	LLLLW	22%
Away	WLLLL	36%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	9	11
Win %	30%	22%	36%
Points / game	86.0	85.2	86.6
Allowed / game	95.5	97.3	94.0
Point differential	-9.5	-12.1	-7.4
Avg total	181.5	182.6	180.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	15%	22%	9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	0% (1)	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Melbourne United

NBL 2025-26

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	67%
Home	WWLWL	73%
Away	WWLLL	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	11	10
Win %	67%	73%	60%
Points / game	94.8	94.7	94.9
Allowed / game	89.0	84.3	94.1
Point differential	+5.9	+10.5	+0.8
Avg total	183.8	179.0	189.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	43%	55%	30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	50% (2)	100% (2)
Overtime %	10%	9%	10%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Adelaide	20	16	4	80%	92.8	85.8	+7.0
2	South East Melbourne	19	13	6	68%	96.4	87.9	+8.5
3	Melbourne United	21	14	7	67%	94.8	89.0	+5.9
4	Sydney	19	12	7	63%	94.6	85.8	+8.8
5	Perth	20	11	9	55%	88.5	86.2	+2.3
6	Tasmania JackJumpers	21	9	12	43%	85.6	85.6	+0.0
7	New Zealand Breakers	21	8	13	38%	88.5	89.0	-0.4
8	Illawarra Hawks	19	6	13	32%	88.5	96.8	-8.4
9	Brisbane Bullets	20	6	14	30%	86.0	95.5	-9.5
10	Cairns Taipans	20	5	15	25%	81.5	95.5	-14.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Brisbane Bullets	26	19	26	16	87
Melbourne United	28	31	21	12	92

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Brisbane Bullets vs Melbourne United Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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