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Brisbane Bullets vs Melbourne United Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 86-95
16-31 21-24 17-15 32-25
Position#10
Record2-4
FormLLLLW
Points / game91.2
Allowed / game93.0
Brisbane Bullets
Australia
vs
Melbourne United 🏆
Australia
Position#4
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game101.4
Allowed / game80.4
AustraliaNBLRound 5· Brisbane Entertainment Centre
Other2025-26
Meetings · Brisbane Bullets v Melbourne United
23 Jan 2027
BRIS v MELB
upcoming
03 Jan 2027
BRIS v MELB
upcoming
27 Dec 2025
BRIS87
MELB92
17 Oct 2025
BRIS86
MELB95
26 Jan 2025
BRIS88
MELB115
07 Nov 2024
BRIS103
MELB120
26 Jan 2024
BRIS77
MELB93
14 Jan 2023
BRIS91
MELB101
01 Jan 2023
BRIS86
MELB99
26 Jan 2022
BRIS82
MELB84
24 May 2021
BRIS88
MELB99
05 Feb 2021
BRIS96
MELB109
01 Feb 2020
BRIS87
MELB83
06 Jan 2019
BRIS95
MELB86
08 Dec 2018
BRIS97
MELB94
20 Jan 2018
BRIS95
MELB103
28 Oct 2017
BRIS87
MELB85
21 Jan 2017
BRIS88
MELB71
17 Dec 2016
BRIS100
MELB90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brisbane Bullets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Melbourne United winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Brisbane BulletsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBullets
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
93-87
93
87
+6
86avg 81
A24/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
88-115
88
115
-27
77avg 81
H26/01
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
92-89
92
89
+3
82avg 81
A31/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
L
88-100
88
100
-12
73avg 81
A06/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
104-95
104
95
+9
no box
A19/09
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
82-83
82
83
-1
70avg 81
A26/09
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
80-87
80
87
-7
71avg 81
A28/09
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
82-84
82
84
-2
73avg 81
H04/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
89-116
89
116
-27
74avg 81
A11/10
NBL
Perth
#5
W
110-93
110
93
+17
107avg 81
A15/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
25-21
20-23
27-24
26-26
14-35
21-26
27-28
22-21
20-24
26-18
24-26
26-32
22-16
23-25
17-27
21-20
25-24
28-22
30-29
17-21
24-24
15-16
26-22
23-27
24-21
20-29
13-10
21-22
24-20
21-16
16-26
18-34
29-34
24-21
18-27
26-21
30-27
24-23
30-22
185.7Avg total
90.8Scored
94.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)91.293.0184.2-1.833%
Season at home (1)82.084.0166.0-2.00%
Season away (5)93.094.8187.8-1.840%
Last 10 (10)90.894.9185.7-4.140%
Last 5 (5)88.692.6181.2-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)93.9103.4197.3-9.429%
vs Similar (13)91.391.2182.5+0.154%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne UnitedAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUnited
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#1
W
96-88
96
88
+8
92avg 90
A08/03
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
100-102
100
102
-2
101avg 90
H12/03
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
W
83-77
83
77
+6
71avg 90
A16/03
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
71-80
71
80
-9
55avg 90
H19/03
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
104-114
104
114
-10
90avg 90
A23/03
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
88-84
88
84
+4
no box
A18/09
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
114-82
114
82
+32
no box
H21/09
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
103-83
103
83
+20
103avg 90
H25/09
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
107-93
107
93
+14
101avg 90
A08/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
95-60
95
60
+35
84avg 90
H12/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-29
17-24
21-14
32-21
29-29
20-22
22-31
29-20
17-22
24-20
19-25
23-10
12-15
20-13
16-23
23-29
26-26
24-34
22-22
32-32
23-22
24-24
17-18
24-20
34-15
21-18
34-22
25-27
29-24
23-22
23-24
28-13
29-25
21-27
31-19
26-22
27-15
21-10
22-16
25-19
182.4Avg total
96.1Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)101.480.4181.8+21.0100%
Season at home (3)104.075.0179.0+29.0100%
Season away (2)97.588.5186.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)96.186.3182.4+9.870%
Last 5 (5)101.480.4181.8+21.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)93.697.1190.8-3.538%
vs Similar (10)100.696.2196.8+4.480%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)97.486.9184.3+10.575%
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +5.4+5.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +5.4+5.4
Brisbane BulletsMelbourne United
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Brisbane BulletsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A24/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
40-61
40
61
-21
H26/01
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A31/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A06/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A19/09
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A26/09
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A28/09
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H04/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
47-68
47
68
-21
A11/10
NBL
Perth
#5
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A15/10
NBL
94.7Avg total
45.8Scored
48.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.549.896.4-3.347%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.350.195.4-4.854%-
Last 30 away (17)47.549.697.1-2.241%-
Last 10 (10)45.848.994.7-3.140%-
Last 5 (5)47.250.297.4-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)47.852.4100.2-4.547%-
vs Similar (13)44.846.591.4-1.746%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A08/03
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H12/03
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A16/03
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H19/03
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
50-60
50
60
-10
A23/03
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A18/09
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
55-33
55
33
+22
H21/09
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H25/09
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A08/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
48-25
48
25
+23
H12/10
NBL
90.3Avg total
46.7Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.947.397.2+2.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)51.148.399.3+2.847%-
Last 30 away (15)48.746.495.1+2.353%-
Last 10 (10)46.743.690.3+3.150%-
Last 5 (5)50.440.490.8+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)44.848.893.5-4.025%-
vs Similar (10)53.850.2104.0+3.660%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)50.044.094.0+6.058%-
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brisbane Bulletstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brisbane Bullets: 87.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.821.1
55.8%
54.6%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.0
34.7%
33.3%30.0
🏀 Free throws20.515.4
75.1%
74.8%15.4
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Melbourne Unitedtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Melbourne United: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.619.2
55.5%
54.6%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.510.7
37.5%
33.3%32.1
🏀 Free throws21.714.9
68.7%
74.8%14.9
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brisbane Bullets
WLLLLWLWLW
Melbourne United
WWWWWLLWLW
#10
League position
#4
-15.2
Net rating
+3.6
111.7
Offensive rating
122.3
126.9
Defensive rating
118.7
54.2%
Effective FG%
55.9%
63.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
16.3%
Turnover %
11.8%
25.3%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.34
34.7%
3-point %
37.5%
55.3%
Assist %
57.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence111.7 · 122.3Defence126.9 · 118.7Shooting54.2% · 55.9%3-point %34.7% · 37.5%Ball care16.3% · 11.8%Off. rebounds25.3% · 28.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Brisbane Bullets   ■ Melbourne United
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Brisbane Bullets wins
9
Melbourne United wins
DateGameScore
26/01/25Brisbane Bullets v Melbourne United88-115
08/12/24Melbourne United v Brisbane Bullets114-122
07/11/24Brisbane Bullets v Melbourne United103-120
26/01/24Brisbane Bullets v Melbourne United77-93
10/12/23Melbourne United v Brisbane Bullets103-68
15/10/23Melbourne United v Brisbane Bullets89-78
14/01/23Brisbane Bullets v Melbourne United91-101
01/01/23Brisbane Bullets v Melbourne United86-99
10/12/22Melbourne United v Brisbane Bullets104-88
16/04/22Melbourne United v Brisbane Bullets88-79
Brisbane Bulletslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/25APerth110-93
11/10/25AIllawarra Hawks89-116
04/10/25HTasmania JackJumpers82-84
28/09/25AAdelaide80-87
26/09/25ACairns Taipans82-83
19/09/25ANew Zealand Breakers104-95
06/02/25ACairns Taipans88-100
31/01/25AAdelaide92-89
26/01/25HMelbourne United88-115
24/01/25ANew Zealand Breakers93-87
Melbourne Unitedlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/25HCairns Taipans95-60
08/10/25ASydney107-93
25/09/25HSouth East Melbourne103-83
21/09/25HNew Zealand Breakers114-82
18/09/25ATasmania JackJumpers88-84
23/03/25AIllawarra Hawks104-114
19/03/25HIllawarra Hawks71-80
16/03/25AIllawarra Hawks83-77
12/03/25HIllawarra Hawks100-102
08/03/25AIllawarra Hawks96-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brisbane Bullets
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW33%
HomeL0%
AwayWLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games615
Win %33%0%40%
Points / game91.282.093.0
Allowed / game93.084.094.8
Point differential-1.8-2.0-1.8
Avg total184.2166.0187.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Melbourne United
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game101.4104.097.5
Allowed / game80.475.088.5
Point differential+21.0+29.0+9.0
Avg total181.8179.0186.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United550100%101.480.4+21.0
2 Adelaide54180%92.484.4+8.0
3 Perth53260%85.284.8+0.4
4 Tasmania JackJumpers74357%82.082.6-0.6
5 South East Melbourne42250%88.887.2+1.5
6 Sydney52340%87.484.8+2.6
7 Brisbane Bullets62433%91.293.0-1.8
8 Cairns Taipans62433%75.592.5-17.0
9 New Zealand Breakers72529%87.192.0-4.9
10 Illawarra Hawks41325%93.597.2-3.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brisbane Bullets1621173286
Melbourne United3124152595
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