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Brisbane Bullets vs Melbourne United Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 88-115
26-26 14-35 21-26 27-28
Position#8
Record11-15
FormLLLLW
Points / game92.7
Allowed / game97.5
vs
Position#2
Record16-10
FormLWWLW
Points / game94.6
Allowed / game91.5
AustraliaNBLRound 18· Brisbane Convention & Exhibition Centre
Other2024-25
Meetings · Brisbane Bullets v Melbourne United
23 Jan 2027
BRIS v MELB
upcoming
03 Jan 2027
BRIS v MELB
upcoming
27 Dec 2025
BRIS87
MELB92
17 Oct 2025
BRIS86
MELB95
26 Jan 2025
BRIS88
MELB115
07 Nov 2024
BRIS103
MELB120
26 Jan 2024
BRIS77
MELB93
14 Jan 2023
BRIS91
MELB101
01 Jan 2023
BRIS86
MELB99
26 Jan 2022
BRIS82
MELB84
24 May 2021
BRIS88
MELB99
05 Feb 2021
BRIS96
MELB109
01 Feb 2020
BRIS87
MELB83
06 Jan 2019
BRIS95
MELB86
08 Dec 2018
BRIS97
MELB94
20 Jan 2018
BRIS95
MELB103
28 Oct 2017
BRIS87
MELB85
21 Jan 2017
BRIS88
MELB71
17 Dec 2016
BRIS100
MELB90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brisbane Bullets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Melbourne United winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Brisbane BulletsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBullets
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#6
W
111-90
111
90
+21
104avg 81
A24/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
84-102
84
102
-18
71avg 81
H27/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
86-95
86
95
-9
75avg 81
A29/12
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
86-91
86
91
-5
70avg 81
H04/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
83-74
83
74
+9
61avg 81
H08/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
86-105
86
105
-19
66avg 81
A11/01
NBL
Perth
#3
L
85-112
85
112
-27
80avg 81
H15/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
L
80-111
80
111
-31
69avg 81
H17/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
87-121
87
121
-34
75avg 81
A20/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
93-87
93
87
+6
86avg 81
A24/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
27-25
27-22
33-20
34-29
16-19
18-34
16-20
21-22
23-30
14-18
28-25
29-28
19-17
23-24
15-22
15-17
23-18
20-15
25-24
21-17
33-30
14-22
18-36
27-27
15-38
24-20
19-27
24-31
21-31
20-20
15-29
20-35
21-21
19-35
27-30
21-19
25-21
20-23
27-24
186.9Avg total
88.1Scored
98.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)92.797.5190.2-4.842%
Season at home (13)92.095.4187.4-3.446%
Season away (13)93.499.5192.9-6.238%
Last 10 (10)88.198.8186.9-10.730%
Last 5 (5)86.2107.2193.4-21.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)92.7103.3196.0-10.527%
vs Similar (15)90.790.3181.0+0.553%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne UnitedAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUnited
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
114-122
114
122
-8
102avg 85
H08/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
93-106
93
106
-13
79avg 85
H13/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
97-109
97
109
-12
88avg 85
A15/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
91-97
91
97
-6
86avg 85
H23/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
76-66
76
66
+10
72avg 85
A26/12
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
81-100
81
100
-19
70avg 85
A04/01
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
90-88
90
88
+2
82avg 85
A09/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
91-89
91
89
+2
86avg 85
A13/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
95-117
95
117
-22
79avg 85
A18/01
NBL
Perth
#3
W
99-93
99
93
+6
93avg 85
A22/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-28
29-29
30-31
27-34
24-27
23-19
15-27
31-33
36-24
23-27
20-32
18-26
26-36
21-15
20-17
24-29
25-13
21-16
13-22
17-15
17-27
25-28
20-22
19-23
32-16
25-25
13-23
20-24
25-26
16-16
21-29
29-18
25-29
21-29
20-27
29-32
21-23
25-20
25-25
28-25
191.4Avg total
92.7Scored
98.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)94.691.5186.1+3.162%
Season at home (13)96.694.2190.8+2.554%
Season away (13)92.588.8181.4+3.769%
Last 10 (10)92.798.7191.4-6.040%
Last 5 (5)91.297.4188.6-6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)93.3103.3196.7-10.033%
vs Similar (13)91.889.0180.8+2.862%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)94.489.7184.1+4.757%
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -5.8-5.8Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -1.7-1.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -5.8-5.8Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -1.7-1.7
Brisbane BulletsMelbourne United
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Brisbane BulletsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#6
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A24/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H27/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A29/12
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H04/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H08/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A11/01
NBL
Perth
#3
L
42-65
42
65
-23
H15/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
L
45-62
45
62
-17
H17/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A20/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A24/01
NBL
95.7Avg total
45.9Scored
49.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.549.594.9-4.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.148.192.2-4.153%-
Last 30 away (15)46.950.897.7-3.940%-
Last 10 (10)45.949.895.7-3.960%-
Last 5 (5)45.654.099.6-8.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)46.952.399.1-5.440%-
vs Similar (15)44.146.790.7-2.653%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#8
D
57-57
57
57
+0
H08/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H13/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
59-51
59
51
+8
A15/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H23/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A26/12
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
42-55
42
55
-13
A04/01
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
57-41
57
41
+16
A09/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A13/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
46-58
46
58
-12
A18/01
NBL
Perth
#3
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A22/01
NBL
96.1Avg total
48.8Scored
47.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.345.994.2+2.363%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.748.798.3+1.053%-
Last 30 away (15)46.943.290.1+3.773%-
Last 10 (10)48.847.396.1+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)46.447.894.2-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)44.347.091.3-2.767%-
vs Similar (13)50.045.295.2+4.877%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)47.546.493.9+1.150%-
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brisbane Bulletstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brisbane Bullets: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.621.0
48.2%
52.3%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.5
34.9%
35.1%28.5
🏀 Free throws22.717.0
74.9%
74.7%17.0
They take 70.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Melbourne Unitedtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Melbourne United: 91.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.223.9
54.1%
52.3%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.510.1
30.1%
35.1%30.3
🏀 Free throws19.113.4
70.2%
74.7%13.4
They take 77.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brisbane Bullets
WLLLLWLLLW
Melbourne United
WLWWLWLLLL
#8
League position
#2
-13.2
Net rating
-7.9
110.1
Offensive rating
109.2
123.3
Defensive rating
117.0
49.8%
Effective FG%
50.3%
57.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
15.1%
Turnover %
14.9%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
33.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.25
34.9%
3-point %
30.1%
45.6%
Assist %
60.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence110.1 · 109.2Defence123.3 · 117.0Shooting49.8% · 50.3%3-point %34.9% · 30.1%Ball care15.1% · 14.9%Off. rebounds32.1% · 33.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Brisbane Bullets   ■ Melbourne United
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/25ANew Zealand Breakers93-87
20/01/25AIllawarra Hawks87-121
17/01/25HCairns Taipans80-111
15/01/25HPerth85-112
11/01/25ASouth East Melbourne86-105
08/01/25HNew Zealand Breakers83-74
04/01/25HSydney86-91
29/12/24ATasmania JackJumpers86-95
27/12/24HIllawarra Hawks84-102
24/12/24AAdelaide111-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/25APerth99-93
18/01/25AIllawarra Hawks95-117
13/01/25ANew Zealand Breakers91-89
09/01/25ASydney90-88
04/01/25AAdelaide81-100
26/12/24ACairns Taipans76-66
23/12/24HTasmania JackJumpers91-97
15/12/24ASouth East Melbourne97-109
13/12/24HIllawarra Hawks93-106
08/12/24HBrisbane Bullets114-122

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brisbane Bullets
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW42%
HomeLLWLL46%
AwayWLLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %42%46%38%
Points / game92.792.093.4
Allowed / game97.595.499.5
Point differential-4.8-3.4-6.2
Avg total190.2187.4192.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%23%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Melbourne United
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW62%
HomeWWLLL54%
AwayLWWLW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %62%54%69%
Points / game94.696.692.5
Allowed / game91.594.288.8
Point differential+3.1+2.5+3.7
Avg total186.1190.8181.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%23%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Illawarra Hawks2617965%101.892.7+9.2
2 Melbourne United26161062%94.691.5+3.1
3 Sydney27161159%91.087.3+3.7
4 South East Melbourne26151158%95.890.5+5.2
5 Perth26151158%99.596.6+2.9
6 Adelaide25121348%94.096.4-2.4
7 Tasmania JackJumpers26121446%83.787.5-3.8
8 Brisbane Bullets26111542%92.797.5-4.8
9 New Zealand Breakers2691735%85.691.1-5.5
10 Cairns Taipans2671927%87.995.8-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brisbane Bullets2614212788
Melbourne United26352628115
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