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Brisbane Bullets vs New Zealand Breakers Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 22 Sep 2026
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 88-85
19-26 18-18 28-19 23-22
Position#8
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#9
Record1-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game95.0
Allowed / game81.0
AustraliaNBLRound 1· Brisbane Entertainment Centre
Other2026-27
Meetings · Brisbane Bullets v New Zealand Breakers
22 Sep 2026
BRIS88
NEW 85
22 Dec 2025
BRIS99
NEW 85
12 Nov 2025
BRIS84
NEW 113
08 Jan 2025
BRIS83
NEW 74
17 Oct 2024
BRIS84
NEW 73
27 Dec 2023
BRIS71
NEW 81
04 Feb 2023
BRIS75
NEW 80
26 Jan 2023
BRIS71
NEW 99
09 Jan 2022
BRIS83
NEW 88
27 Mar 2021
BRIS76
NEW 81
20 Mar 2021
BRIS88
NEW 67
07 Feb 2020
BRIS87
NEW 91
27 Dec 2019
BRIS96
NEW 99
16 Feb 2019
BRIS84
NEW 78
11 Nov 2018
BRIS84
NEW 85
03 Dec 2017
BRIS81
NEW 76
26 Oct 2017
BRIS96
NEW 101
15 Jan 2017
BRIS82
NEW 84
22 Oct 2016
BRIS88
NEW 82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brisbane Bullets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
New Zealand Breakers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Brisbane BulletsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#3
L
86-97
86
97
-11
H04/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
83-88
83
88
-5
A12/01
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
80-95
80
95
-15
A15/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
66-98
66
98
-32
A21/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
75-113
75
113
-38
H26/01
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
74-107
74
107
-33
H28/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
70-114
70
114
-44
A06/02
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
72-81
72
81
-9
H08/02
NBL
Perth
#5
L
75-94
75
94
-19
A13/02
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
77-117
77
117
-40
H20/02
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
25-23
20-30
21-29
16-28
19-19
27-21
21-20
23-29
18-23
17-23
22-20
19-29
17-28
14-24
16-17
11-22
20-33
21-41
23-17
24-33
22-19
9-16
19-39
14-33
17-24
17-30
22-27
13-24
23-19
21-18
15-20
19-29
18-22
18-25
20-18
33-26
17-32
10-32
17-27
176.2Avg total
75.8Scored
100.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.8100.4176.2-24.60%
Last 5 (5)73.6102.6176.2-29.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)80.699.1179.7-18.615%
vs Similar (3)89.384.7174.0+4.733%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Zealand BreakersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#2
L
116-123
116
123
-7
A21/01
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
110-112 OT
110
112
-2
H23/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
97-95
97
95
+2
H30/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
89-91
89
91
-2
A01/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
83-114
83
114
-31
H05/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
106-95
106
95
+11
H07/02
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
89-92
89
92
-3
A14/02
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
115-84
115
84
+31
H19/02
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
111-107
111
107
+4
A22/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
95-81
95
81
+14
H20/09
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-38
26-36
31-26
31-23
22-23
22-25
27-22
22-23
28-21
21-27
22-25
26-22
22-25
25-28
24-25
18-13
20-17
32-35
15-34
16-28
33-25
28-25
23-30
22-15
29-16
21-23
21-20
18-33
24-24
37-20
27-22
27-18
28-25
19-29
34-28
30-25
28-24
26-23
22-14
19-20
200.5Avg total
101.1Scored
99.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)95.081.0176.0+14.0100%
Season at home (1)95.081.0176.0+14.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)101.199.4200.5+1.750%
Last 5 (5)103.291.8195.0+11.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)85.597.6183.1-12.218%
vs Similar (11)95.487.9183.3+7.564%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)99.089.1188.1+9.962%
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -7.6-7.6Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -8.6-8.6Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: +0.9+0.9
Brisbane BulletsNew Zealand Breakers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Brisbane BulletsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#3
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H04/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A12/01
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A15/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
36-57
36
57
-21
A21/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
31-55
31
55
-24
H26/01
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H28/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
31-57
31
57
-26
A06/02
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H08/02
NBL
Perth
#5
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A13/02
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
50-58
50
58
-8
H20/02
NBL
89.8Avg total
38.8Scored
51.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.451.392.7-9.827%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.950.493.2-7.531%-
Last 30 away (14)39.852.392.1-12.521%-
Last 10 (10)38.851.089.8-12.210%-
Last 5 (5)40.052.292.2-12.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)41.351.993.2-10.626%-
vs Similar (3)42.745.788.3-3.033%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#2
L
54-74
54
74
-20
A21/01
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H23/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H30/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A01/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
D
52-52
52
52
+0
H05/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
61-50
61
50
+11
H07/02
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A14/02
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
61-44
61
44
+17
H19/02
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A22/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H20/09
NBL
102.8Avg total
51.9Scored
50.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.545.793.3+1.860%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.444.492.9+4.071%-
Last 30 away (16)46.846.993.6-0.150%-
Last 10 (10)51.950.9102.8+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)54.646.8101.4+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)43.148.691.7-5.536%-
vs Similar (11)47.842.990.7+4.973%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)53.245.698.9+7.675%-
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brisbane Bulletstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brisbane Bullets: 73.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.4 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.119.6
50.1%
56.0%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.27.1
26.1%
34.4%21.3
🏀 Free throws18.412.8
69.6%
73.7%12.8
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
New Zealand Breakerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New Zealand Breakers: 99.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.4 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.727.9
58.5%
56.0%55.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.6
35.8%
34.4%25.8
🏀 Free throws23.717.9
75.5%
73.7%17.9
They take 71.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Sep 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brisbane Bullets
LLLLLLLLLL
New Zealand Breakers
WWWLWLLWLL
#8
League position
#9
-27.1
Net rating
+1.5
87.0
Offensive rating
106.4
114.1
Defensive rating
104.9
45.6%
Effective FG%
56.9%
58.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
14.9%
Turnover %
11.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.33
26.1%
3-point %
35.8%
68.9%
Assist %
52.3%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence87.0 · 106.4Defence114.1 · 104.9Shooting45.6% · 56.9%3-point %26.1% · 35.8%Ball care14.9% · 11.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)0% · 50%
■ Brisbane Bullets   ■ New Zealand Breakers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/26HSydney77-117
13/02/26APerth75-94
08/02/26HCairns Taipans72-81
06/02/26ATasmania JackJumpers70-114
28/01/26HAdelaide74-107
26/01/26HIllawarra Hawks75-113
21/01/26AMelbourne United66-98
15/01/26ASydney80-95
12/01/26ACairns Taipans83-88
04/01/26HAdelaide86-97
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/09/26HIllawarra Hawks95-81
22/02/26AAdelaide111-107
19/02/26HCairns Taipans115-84
14/02/26AAdelaide89-92
07/02/26HIllawarra Hawks106-95
05/02/26HSouth East Melbourne83-114
01/02/26ATasmania JackJumpers89-91
30/01/26HMelbourne United97-95
23/01/26HAdelaide110-112 OT
21/01/26ASouth East Melbourne116-123

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brisbane Bullets
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
New Zealand Breakers
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game95.095.0-
Allowed / game81.081.0-
Point differential+14.0+14.0-
Avg total176.0176.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sydney110100%111.090.0+21.0
2 New Zealand Breakers110100%95.081.0+14.0
3 Tasmania JackJumpers110100%96.091.0+5.0
4 Adelaide110100%97.095.0+2.0
5 South East Melbourne21150%95.587.5+8.0
6 Melbourne United1010%95.097.0-2.0
7 Illawarra Hawks1010%81.095.0-14.0
8 Cairns Taipans1010%90.0111.0-21.0
9 Perth1010%79.0100.0-21.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brisbane Bullets1918282388
New Zealand Breakers2618192285
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