Adelaide vs New Zealand Breakers Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (31)	92.8	87.6	180.4	+5.2	71%
Season at home (16)	90.4	87.6	178.0	+2.8	69%
Season away (15)	95.3	87.5	182.9	+7.8	73%
Last 10 (10)	92.6	91.6	184.2	+1.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	94.2	90.6	184.8	+3.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	88.2	92.8	181.0	-4.5	38%
vs Similar ◀ (11)	92.7	88.9	181.6	+3.8	73%
vs Weaker (11)	96.6	83.2	179.8	+13.5	91%

This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

New Zealand Breakers Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBreakers

Date

Competition

Perth

91-99

-8

76avg 82

H04/01

NBL

Sydney

62-103

103

-41

46avg 82

H09/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

101-96

101

90avg 82

A11/01

NBL

Cairns Taipans

104-86

104

+18

no box

A17/01

NBL

South East Melbourne

116-123

116

123

-7

107avg 82

A21/01

NBL

Adelaide

110-112 OT

110

112

-2

106avg 82

H23/01

NBL

Melbourne United

97-95

92avg 82

H30/01

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

89-91

-2

76avg 82

A01/02

NBL

South East Melbourne

83-114

114

-31

74avg 82

H05/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

106-95

106

+11

98avg 82

H07/02

NBL

23-28

22-20

29-32

17-19

17-23

4-27

19-25

22-28

28-25

21-18

22-23

30-30

26-21

29-30

25-17

24-18

28-38

26-36

31-26

31-23

22-23

22-25

27-22

22-23

28-21

21-27

22-25

26-22

22-25

25-28

24-25

18-13

20-17

32-35

15-34

16-28

33-25

28-25

23-30

22-15

197.3Avg total

95.9Scored

101.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (31)	90.9	93.0	183.9	-2.1	39%
Season at home (15)	90.5	92.9	183.5	-2.4	40%
Season away (16)	91.2	93.0	184.2	-1.8	38%
Last 10 (10)	95.9	101.4	197.3	-5.5	40%
Last 5 (5)	97.0	101.4	198.4	-4.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	83.9	98.1	182.1	-14.2	14%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	96.6	85.6	182.2	+11.0	70%
vs Weaker (6)	97.0	91.3	188.3	+5.7	50%

This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AdelaideNew Zealand Breakers

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	21.4	43.9	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	22.0	43.5	-0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.5	20.9	44.3	+2.6	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	22.6	44.3	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	22.8	47.0	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	21.9	23.5	45.4	-1.6	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	21.9	19.5	41.4	+2.5	82%	-
vs Weaker (11)	23.5	21.9	45.5	+1.6	55%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	22.4	45.1	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.7	21.4	44.1	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.6	23.4	45.9	-0.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.7	24.6	49.3	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	22.2	47.2	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	20.0	24.9	44.9	-4.9	21%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	25.3	21.2	46.5	+4.1	70%	-
vs Weaker (6)	24.3	18.7	43.0	+5.7	83%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.7	22.3	45.1	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.3	22.1	45.4	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.1	22.6	44.7	-0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	23.4	43.8	-3.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	24.6	46.4	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	21.6	22.5	44.1	-0.9	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	22.5	24.3	46.8	-1.7	45%	-
vs Weaker (11)	23.7	20.3	44.0	+3.5	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.5	23.4	46.9	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.8	23.2	48.0	+1.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.3	23.6	45.9	-1.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	27.1	50.1	-4.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.6	28.0	53.6	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	21.6	23.1	44.8	-1.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	23.6	21.6	45.2	+2.0	60%	-
vs Weaker (6)	27.5	27.0	54.5	+0.5	33%	-

AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney

35-41

-6

H02/01

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

#10

38-45

-7

A04/01

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

27-40

-13

H09/01

NBL

South East Melbourne

43-53

-10

H18/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

48-44

A23/01

NBL

Sydney

46-59

-13

A25/01

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

#10

52-46

A28/01

NBL

South East Melbourne

40-48

-8

H31/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

51-45

A05/02

NBL

Melbourne United

41-39

A07/02

NBL

88.1Avg total

42.1Scored

46.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.2	43.8	89.0	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.9	44.1	88.9	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	45.6	43.5	89.1	+2.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.1	46.0	88.1	-3.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.0	47.4	93.4	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	43.5	46.0	89.5	-2.5	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	44.5	43.7	88.2	+0.7	55%	-
vs Weaker (11)	47.3	42.2	89.5	+5.1	73%	-

This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth

45-48

-3

H04/01

NBL

Sydney

21-50

-29

H09/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

49-43

A11/01

NBL

Cairns Taipans

55-51

A17/01

NBL

South East Melbourne

54-74

-20

A21/01

NBL

Adelaide

44-48

-4

H23/01

NBL

Melbourne United

49-48

H30/01

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

47-53

-6

A01/02

NBL

South East Melbourne

52-52

H05/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

61-50

+11

H07/02

NBL

99.4Avg total

47.7Scored

51.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.1	45.8	91.9	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	47.5	44.6	92.1	+2.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	44.9	46.9	91.8	-2.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.7	51.7	99.4	-4.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	50.6	50.2	100.8	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	41.6	48.1	89.7	-6.4	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	48.9	42.8	91.7	+6.1	80%	-
vs Weaker (6)	51.8	45.7	97.5	+6.2	67%	-

This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.6	20.6	44.2	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.5	20.5	45.1	+4.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.6	20.7	43.3	+1.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	20.8	44.0	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	19.0	40.8	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.6	22.6	43.2	-2.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	24.4	21.1	45.5	+3.3	64%	-
vs Weaker (11)	24.9	18.7	43.6	+6.2	82%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	23.6	46.0	-1.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.7	25.4	47.1	-3.7	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.1	22.0	45.1	+1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.7	25.9	49.6	-2.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	27.2	49.4	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	20.9	25.7	46.6	-4.9	21%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	23.6	21.5	45.1	+2.1	40%	-
vs Weaker (6)	24.2	22.2	46.3	+2.0	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	21.8	44.0	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.0	22.2	41.2	-3.2	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	25.3	21.4	46.7	+3.9	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.4	23.1	48.5	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.4	24.2	50.6	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	23.1	22.6	45.8	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	20.5	21.6	42.1	-1.2	55%	-
vs Weaker (11)	23.2	21.4	44.5	+1.8	55%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	22.2	43.6	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.8	20.8	40.6	-1.0	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.7	23.5	46.2	-0.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	21.9	44.7	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	20.2	41.0	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	21.4	24.4	45.8	-2.9	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	21.4	18.5	39.9	+2.9	60%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.0	23.5	44.5	-2.5	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.7	42.4	88.2	+3.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.5	42.7	86.3	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	47.9	42.1	90.1	+5.8	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	48.6	43.9	92.5	+4.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.2	43.2	91.4	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	43.8	45.2	89.0	-1.5	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	44.8	42.7	87.5	+2.1	55%	-
vs Weaker (11)	48.1	40.1	88.2	+8.0	73%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.8	45.8	89.6	-2.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.5	46.2	87.7	-4.7	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	45.8	45.5	91.2	+0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.5	47.8	94.3	-1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	47.4	90.4	-4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	42.3	50.1	92.4	-7.8	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	45.0	40.0	85.0	+5.0	60%	-
vs Weaker (6)	45.2	45.7	90.8	-0.5	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 92.1 points a game scored

🏀🏀46%

🏀🏀🏀37%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 46% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 37% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game

51%

32%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.6	21.2	54.9%	54.6%	42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.9	11.3	40.5%	33.3%	33.9
🏀 Free throws	18.9	15.8	83.6%	74.8%	15.8

They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

New Zealand Breakerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New Zealand Breakers: 92.8 points a game scored

🏀🏀58%

🏀🏀🏀25%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers53.6 pts a game · 58% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 25% of the points

🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game

51%

32%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	47.3	26.8	56.7%	54.6%	53.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.1	7.6	30.3%	33.3%	22.8
🏀 Free throws	21.9	16.4	74.9%	74.8%	16.4

They take 72.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	45.6	23.7	52.0%	54.6%	47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.5	8.9	31.2%	33.3%	26.7
🏀 Free throws	17.7	13.4	75.7%	74.8%	13.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.8	24.1	56.3%	54.6%	48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.9	12.0	37.6%	33.3%	36.0
🏀 Free throws	20.5	16.4	80.0%	74.8%	16.4

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.5	22.4	53.9%	54.6%	44.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.2	10.0	36.9%	33.3%	30.1
🏀 Free throws	21.6	17.2	79.5%	74.8%	17.2

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.4	24.9	57.4%	54.6%	49.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.2	8.8	31.1%	33.3%	26.3
🏀 Free throws	19.0	13.7	71.8%	74.8%	13.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.0	23.3	52.9%	54.6%	46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.3	8.7	30.8%	33.3%	26.2
🏀 Free throws	17.8	12.8	71.8%	74.8%	12.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.8	22.9	57.5%	54.6%	45.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.3	10.2	33.8%	33.3%	30.7
🏀 Free throws	20.8	15.2	73.1%	74.8%	15.2

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Adelaide

WLLWLWLLWW

New Zealand Breakers

WLLWLLWWLL

League position

+5.3

Net rating

-8.4

106.5

Offensive rating

100.4

101.2

Defensive rating

108.8

57.4%

Effective FG%

52.8%

50.0%

Opp. effective FG%

56.4%

15.5%

Turnover %

13.3%

31.7%

Off. rebound %

30.3%

0.28

Free-throw rate

0.30

40.5%

3-point %

30.3%

66.2%

Assist %

49.7%

50%

Form (last 10/10)

40%

Profile

■ Adelaide ■ New Zealand Breakers

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Adelaide wins

New Zealand Breakers wins

Date	Game	Score
23/01/26	New Zealand Breakers v Adelaide	110-112 OT
06/11/25	New Zealand Breakers v Adelaide	79-83
26/01/25	Adelaide v New Zealand Breakers	94-78
14/12/24	Adelaide v New Zealand Breakers	111-94
02/11/24	New Zealand Breakers v Adelaide	109-82
18/02/24	Adelaide v New Zealand Breakers	76-70
30/11/23	New Zealand Breakers v Adelaide	96-83
26/10/23	New Zealand Breakers v Adelaide	85-97
08/01/23	Adelaide v New Zealand Breakers	83-85
20/11/22	New Zealand Breakers v Adelaide	89-83

Adelaidelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/02/26	A	Melbourne United	87-76
05/02/26	A	Illawarra Hawks	99-100
31/01/26	H	South East Melbourne	77-97
28/01/26	A	Brisbane Bullets	107-74
25/01/26	A	Sydney	101-106
23/01/26	A	New Zealand Breakers	112-110 OT
18/01/26	H	South East Melbourne	89-108
09/01/26	H	Tasmania JackJumpers	72-80
04/01/26	A	Brisbane Bullets	97-86
02/01/26	H	Sydney	85-79

New Zealand Breakerslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/02/26	H	Illawarra Hawks	106-95
05/02/26	H	South East Melbourne	83-114
01/02/26	A	Tasmania JackJumpers	89-91
30/01/26	H	Melbourne United	97-95
23/01/26	H	Adelaide	110-112 OT
21/01/26	A	South East Melbourne	116-123
17/01/26	A	Cairns Taipans	104-86
11/01/26	A	Illawarra Hawks	101-96
09/01/26	H	Sydney	62-103
04/01/26	H	Perth	91-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide

NBL 2025-26

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	71%
Home	WWLLL	69%
Away	WLWLW	73%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	31	16	15
Win %	71%	69%	73%
Points / game	92.8	90.4	95.3
Allowed / game	87.6	87.6	87.5
Point differential	+5.2	+2.8	+7.8
Avg total	180.4	178.0	182.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	35%	31%	40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (10)	100% (2)	50% (8)
Overtime %	13%	12%	13%

New Zealand Breakers

NBL 2025-26

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	39%
Home	LLWLW	40%
Away	WWWLL	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	31	15	16
Win %	39%	40%	38%
Points / game	90.9	90.5	91.2
Allowed / game	93.0	92.9	93.0
Point differential	-2.1	-2.4	-1.8
Avg total	183.9	183.5	184.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	23%	27%	19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	44% (9)	40% (5)	50% (4)
Overtime %	6%	7%	6%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sydney	31	22	9	71%	98.6	87.7	+10.9
2	Adelaide	31	22	9	71%	92.8	87.6	+5.2
3	South East Melbourne	31	21	10	68%	100.4	92.3	+8.1
4	Perth	31	20	11	65%	91.2	85.9	+5.2
5	Melbourne United	31	19	12	61%	92.1	87.5	+4.5
6	Tasmania JackJumpers	31	14	17	45%	87.1	85.8	+1.2
7	New Zealand Breakers	31	12	19	39%	90.9	93.0	-2.1
8	Illawarra Hawks	31	11	20	35%	92.6	98.2	-5.6
9	Cairns Taipans	32	9	23	28%	83.4	96.2	-12.8
10	Brisbane Bullets	32	6	26	19%	82.3	96.2	-13.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Adelaide	16	23	20	33	92
New Zealand Breakers	29	21	21	18	89

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Adelaide vs New Zealand Breakers Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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