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Brisbane Bullets vs New Zealand Breakers Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 22 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 99-85
26-20 30-21 23-22 20-22
Position#10
Record5-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game96.1
vs
Position#7
Record7-12
FormWWWLL
Points / game89.1
Allowed / game88.9
AustraliaNBLRound 13· Brisbane Entertainment Centre
Other2025-26
Meetings · Brisbane Bullets v New Zealand Breakers
22 Sep 2026
BRIS88
NEW 85
22 Dec 2025
BRIS99
NEW 85
12 Nov 2025
BRIS84
NEW 113
08 Jan 2025
BRIS83
NEW 74
17 Oct 2024
BRIS84
NEW 73
27 Dec 2023
BRIS71
NEW 81
04 Feb 2023
BRIS75
NEW 80
26 Jan 2023
BRIS71
NEW 99
09 Jan 2022
BRIS83
NEW 88
27 Mar 2021
BRIS76
NEW 81
20 Mar 2021
BRIS88
NEW 67
07 Feb 2020
BRIS87
NEW 91
27 Dec 2019
BRIS96
NEW 99
16 Feb 2019
BRIS84
NEW 78
11 Nov 2018
BRIS84
NEW 85
03 Dec 2017
BRIS81
NEW 76
26 Oct 2017
BRIS96
NEW 101
15 Jan 2017
BRIS82
NEW 84
22 Oct 2016
BRIS88
NEW 82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brisbane Bullets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
New Zealand Breakers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Brisbane BulletsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBullets
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
113-85
113
85
+28
106avg 75
H30/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
79-116
79
116
-37
68avg 75
H01/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
83-81
83
81
+2
76avg 75
A08/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
84-113
84
113
-29
75avg 75
H12/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
93-99
93
99
-6
79avg 75
A15/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
76-103
76
103
-27
76avg 75
H20/11
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
65-90
65
90
-25
50avg 75
A05/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
85-100
85
100
-15
71avg 75
A11/12
NBL
Perth
#5
L
62-86
62
86
-24
45avg 75
H14/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
78-107
78
107
-29
65avg 75
A20/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-27
32-20
22-20
34-18
17-35
28-22
21-32
13-27
19-23
27-20
23-17
14-21
18-27
18-41
21-24
27-21
24-24
14-23
16-25
39-27
19-27
21-29
21-18
15-29
20-23
13-27
12-27
20-13
33-23
17-26
18-22
17-29
13-22
21-27
15-16
13-21
17-22
21-33
12-25
28-27
179.8Avg total
81.8Scored
98.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)85.396.1181.4-10.726%
Season at home (8)83.598.9182.4-15.412%
Season away (11)86.694.0180.6-7.436%
Last 10 (10)81.898.0179.8-16.220%
Last 5 (5)73.297.2170.4-24.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)84.5100.0184.5-15.618%
vs Similar (8)89.690.5180.1-0.950%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Zealand BreakersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreakers
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
102-60
102
60
+42
101avg 82
A31/10
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
79-83
79
83
-4
69avg 82
H06/11
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
72-79
72
79
-7
60avg 82
A09/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
113-84
113
84
+29
112avg 82
A12/11
NBL
Perth
#5
L
75-88
75
88
-13
56avg 82
A15/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
102-96
102
96
+6
100avg 82
A22/11
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
95-90
95
90
+5
94avg 82
H03/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
99-86
99
86
+13
93avg 82
H06/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
80-92
80
92
-12
68avg 82
A13/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
95-99
95
99
-4
84avg 82
A19/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-18
21-16
27-10
23-16
14-22
33-21
21-23
11-17
25-17
16-22
13-13
18-27
27-18
41-18
24-21
21-27
14-22
24-21
22-21
15-24
25-17
22-27
30-22
25-30
26-27
23-20
19-27
27-16
28-14
24-27
28-29
19-16
20-26
21-18
21-27
18-21
23-19
20-29
29-21
23-30
176.9Avg total
91.2Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)89.188.9178.0+0.237%
Season at home (9)89.986.2176.1+3.744%
Season away (10)88.491.3179.7-2.930%
Last 10 (10)91.285.7176.9+5.550%
Last 5 (5)94.292.6186.8+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)83.795.2178.9-11.57%
vs Similar (11)90.480.6171.0+9.764%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)97.693.4191.0+4.240%
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.8-4.8Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -2.4-2.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.8-4.8Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -2.4-2.4
Brisbane BulletsNew Zealand Breakers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Brisbane BulletsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H30/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
45-57
45
57
-12
H01/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A08/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
36-68
36
68
-32
H12/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A15/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
40-56
40
56
-16
H20/11
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A05/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A11/12
NBL
Perth
#5
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H14/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
38-55
38
55
-17
A20/12
NBL
93.8Avg total
41.7Scored
52.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.451.094.4-7.633%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.052.994.9-10.931%-
Last 30 away (17)44.549.594.0-5.135%-
Last 10 (10)41.752.193.8-10.430%-
Last 5 (5)39.051.890.8-12.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)42.852.595.3-9.832%-
vs Similar (8)45.146.891.9-1.638%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A31/10
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H06/11
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A09/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
68-36
68
36
+32
A12/11
NBL
Perth
#5
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A15/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A22/11
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H03/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H06/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A13/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A19/12
NBL
89.7Avg total
47.8Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.744.989.6-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.443.990.3+2.560%-
Last 30 away (15)42.945.988.8-2.933%-
Last 10 (10)47.841.989.7+5.970%-
Last 5 (5)46.444.891.2+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)41.447.488.9-6.029%-
vs Similar (11)45.542.788.3+2.864%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)51.842.694.4+9.260%-
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brisbane Bulletstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brisbane Bullets: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.322.4
51.7%
54.6%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.37.8
28.6%
33.3%23.4
🏀 Free throws17.412.8
73.6%
74.8%12.8
They take 70.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
New Zealand Breakerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New Zealand Breakers: 89.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.823.8
54.3%
54.6%47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.09.7
33.4%
33.3%29.1
🏀 Free throws19.113.2
69.1%
74.8%13.2
They take 72.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brisbane Bullets
LLLLLLLWLW
New Zealand Breakers
LLWWWLWLLW
#10
League position
#7
-20.1
Net rating
+5.7
98.9
Offensive rating
112.1
119.1
Defensive rating
106.4
48.3%
Effective FG%
52.7%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
19.0%
Turnover %
15.0%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.26
28.6%
3-point %
33.4%
51.7%
Assist %
57.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence98.9 · 112.1Defence119.1 · 106.4Shooting48.3% · 52.7%3-point %28.6% · 33.4%Ball care19.0% · 15.0%Off. rebounds28.8% · 32.0%Free throws0.25 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Brisbane Bullets   ■ New Zealand Breakers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/25ASouth East Melbourne78-107
14/12/25HPerth62-86
11/12/25AIllawarra Hawks85-100
05/12/25AAdelaide65-90
20/11/25HSouth East Melbourne76-103
15/11/25AMelbourne United93-99
12/11/25HNew Zealand Breakers84-113
08/11/25ATasmania JackJumpers83-81
01/11/25HSydney79-116
30/10/25HCairns Taipans113-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/25ACairns Taipans95-99
13/12/25ASouth East Melbourne80-92
06/12/25HTasmania JackJumpers99-86
03/12/25HSydney95-90
22/11/25ACairns Taipans102-96
15/11/25APerth75-88
12/11/25ABrisbane Bullets113-84
09/11/25ASydney72-79
06/11/25HAdelaide79-83
31/10/25AIllawarra Hawks102-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brisbane Bullets
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL26%
HomeWLLLL12%
AwayWLLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19811
Win %26%12%36%
Points / game85.383.586.6
Allowed / game96.198.994.0
Point differential-10.7-15.4-7.4
Avg total181.4182.4180.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%12%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
New Zealand Breakers
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL37%
HomeWLLWW44%
AwayWLWLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %37%44%30%
Points / game89.189.988.4
Allowed / game88.986.291.3
Point differential+0.2+3.7-2.9
Avg total178.0176.1179.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Adelaide1915479%92.786.4+6.3
2 Melbourne United2014670%95.988.8+7.1
3 South East Melbourne1913668%96.487.9+8.5
4 Sydney1811761%93.985.9+8.0
5 Perth2011955%88.586.2+2.3
6 Tasmania JackJumpers1981142%85.686.5-0.9
7 New Zealand Breakers1971237%89.188.9+0.2
8 Illawarra Hawks1861233%88.796.2-7.5
9 Brisbane Bullets1951426%85.396.1-10.7
10 Cairns Taipans1951426%82.095.7-13.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brisbane Bullets2630232099
New Zealand Breakers2021222285
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