Brisbane Bullets vs New Zealand Breakers Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	89.8	93.9	183.8	-4.1	42%
Season at home (5)	89.2	97.8	187.0	-8.6	20%
Season away (7)	90.3	91.1	181.4	-0.9	57%
Last 10 (10)	89.2	94.9	184.1	-5.7	40%
Last 5 (5)	89.0	94.8	183.8	-5.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	90.4	101.1	191.5	-10.6	32%
vs Similar (11)	94.3	91.0	185.3	+3.3	64%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

New Zealand Breakers Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBreakers

Date

Competition

Perth

78-89

-11

no box

H27/09

NBL

Sydney

75-97

-22

65avg 78

A04/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

117-88

117

+29

114avg 78

H08/10

NBL

South East Melbourne

81-87

-6

78avg 78

H12/10

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

82-65

+17

70avg 78

H17/10

NBL

Melbourne United

88-104

104

-16

77avg 78

A19/10

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

#10

83-84

-1

62avg 78

H23/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

102-60

102

+42

101avg 78

A31/10

NBL

Adelaide

79-83

-4

69avg 78

H06/11

NBL

Sydney

72-79

-7

60avg 78

A09/11

NBL

17-25

25-19

17-18

19-27

15-22

19-17

18-31

23-27

30-24

30-25

27-23

30-16

15-21

31-13

19-28

16-25

20-18

20-13

23-11

19-23

17-28

21-28

25-19

25-29

25-11

32-28

15-29

11-16

31-18

21-16

27-10

23-16

14-22

33-21

21-23

11-17

25-17

16-22

13-13

18-27

169.3Avg total

85.7Scored

83.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	86.2	87.8	174.0	-1.7	25%
Season at home (7)	87.9	85.7	173.6	+2.1	29%
Season away (5)	83.8	90.8	174.6	-7.0	20%
Last 10 (10)	85.7	83.6	169.3	+2.1	30%
Last 5 (5)	84.8	82.0	166.8	+2.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	84.7	98.2	182.9	-13.5	0%
vs Similar (13)	88.2	85.3	173.5	+2.9	46%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	89.0	94.0	183.0	-5.0	0%

This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Brisbane BulletsNew Zealand Breakers

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	25.9	48.8	-3.0	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.5	27.4	51.9	-2.9	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.4	24.6	46.0	-3.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	26.8	46.4	-7.2	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	26.6	45.0	-8.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	22.5	26.8	49.4	-4.3	26%	-
vs Similar (11)	23.5	24.3	47.7	-0.8	36%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	23.4	43.9	-3.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.5	22.2	42.7	-1.8	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.4	25.0	45.4	-4.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	20.6	41.5	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	19.2	41.6	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	19.8	26.9	46.7	-7.1	20%	-
vs Similar (13)	20.8	20.5	41.4	+0.3	46%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	22.5	16.0	38.5	+6.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.9	24.7	48.5	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	24.2	45.6	-2.8	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	26.0	25.1	51.1	+0.9	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.2	24.3	50.5	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.8	23.4	50.2	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	23.8	25.5	49.3	-1.6	47%	-
vs Similar (11)	23.9	23.3	47.2	+0.6	55%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.4	23.7	47.1	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	24.9	23.2	48.1	+1.7	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.4	24.4	45.8	-3.0	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.8	20.2	45.0	+4.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	23.0	47.6	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	22.5	22.5	44.9	+0.0	47%	-
vs Similar (13)	23.7	24.7	48.4	-1.0	46%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	28.0	26.5	54.5	+1.5	50%	-

Brisbane BulletsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

47-48

-1

A28/09

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

45-42

H04/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

47-68

-21

A11/10

NBL

Perth

56-48

A15/10

NBL

Melbourne United

37-55

-18

H17/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

39-57

-18

A23/10

NBL

South East Melbourne

39-46

-7

H25/10

NBL

Cairns Taipans

57-47

+10

H30/10

NBL

Sydney

45-57

-12

H01/11

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

46-43

A08/11

NBL

96.9Avg total

45.8Scored

51.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.7	50.6	97.3	-3.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.9	51.6	97.6	-5.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	47.4	49.6	97.1	-2.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.8	51.1	96.9	-5.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.2	50.0	95.2	-4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	46.4	52.3	98.7	-5.9	42%	-
vs Similar (11)	47.4	47.5	94.9	-0.2	55%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth

42-44

-2

H27/09

NBL

Sydney

34-39

-5

A04/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

60-49

+11

H08/10

NBL

South East Melbourne

46-34

+12

H12/10

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

40-31

H17/10

NBL

Melbourne United

38-56

-18

A19/10

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

#10

57-39

+18

H23/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

52-34

+18

A31/10

NBL

Adelaide

47-43

H06/11

NBL

Sydney

41-39

A09/11

NBL

86.5Avg total

45.7Scored

40.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.8	47.1	90.9	-3.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	45.4	45.4	90.8	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.8	49.4	91.2	-7.6	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.7	40.8	86.5	+4.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.0	42.2	89.2	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	42.3	49.4	91.7	-7.1	27%	-
vs Similar (13)	44.5	45.2	89.8	-0.7	46%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	50.5	42.5	93.0	+8.0	50%	-

This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	22.7	44.9	-0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	23.3	45.4	-1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.2	22.1	44.4	+0.1	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	22.5	44.8	-0.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	24.2	47.6	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	22.7	24.2	46.9	-1.5	58%	-
vs Similar (11)	21.3	20.0	41.3	+1.3	45%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	21.8	43.3	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.6	22.1	42.8	-1.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.6	21.4	44.0	+1.2	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	20.5	41.0	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	18.8	39.0	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	20.7	23.9	44.5	-3.2	33%	-
vs Similar (13)	22.9	18.4	41.3	+4.5	77%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	18.5	28.5	47.0	-10.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	24.1	47.0	-1.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.1	24.3	47.4	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.7	24.0	46.7	-1.3	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	21.3	42.4	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	20.6	41.0	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	21.3	24.5	45.8	-3.2	37%	-
vs Similar (11)	25.6	23.5	49.1	+2.2	73%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	23.4	44.6	-2.2	30%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.6	22.5	42.1	-2.8	24%	-
Last 30 away (13)	23.3	24.6	47.9	-1.3	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	22.3	41.8	-2.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	21.0	38.6	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	21.8	24.9	46.7	-3.1	27%	-
vs Similar (13)	20.8	21.7	42.5	-0.9	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	20.0	23.0	43.0	-3.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.1	46.8	91.9	-1.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.3	47.6	92.9	-2.3	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	44.9	46.1	91.1	-1.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.4	43.8	87.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	44.8	88.6	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	44.1	48.7	92.8	-4.7	32%	-
vs Similar (11)	46.9	43.5	90.4	+3.5	64%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.7	45.2	87.9	-2.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	40.3	44.6	84.9	-4.3	29%	-
Last 30 away (13)	45.9	46.0	91.9	-0.1	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.0	42.8	82.8	-2.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	39.8	77.6	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	42.5	48.8	91.3	-6.3	27%	-
vs Similar (13)	43.7	40.1	83.8	+3.6	54%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	38.5	51.5	90.0	-13.0	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Brisbane Bulletstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brisbane Bullets: 88.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀56%

🏀🏀🏀27%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers49.6 pts a game · 56% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 27% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game

51%

32%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.5	24.8	59.8%	54.6%	49.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.4	7.8	32.0%	33.3%	23.4
🏀 Free throws	21.8	15.3	70.2%	74.8%	15.3

They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

New Zealand Breakerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New Zealand Breakers: 85.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀57%

🏀🏀🏀30%

🏀13%

🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 57% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 30% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 13% of the points

League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game

51%

32%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.8	24.3	61.1%	54.6%	48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.9	8.6	28.8%	33.3%	25.8
🏀 Free throws	15.4	11.1	72.1%	74.8%	11.1

They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.1	24.4	59.4%	54.6%	48.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.9	10.2	33.0%	33.3%	30.6
🏀 Free throws	18.8	14.3	76.1%	74.8%	14.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.3	21.7	58.2%	54.6%	43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.2	8.6	30.5%	33.3%	25.8
🏀 Free throws	20.4	13.5	66.2%	74.8%	13.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.4	23.1	54.6%	54.6%	46.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.4	9.5	36.0%	33.3%	28.5
🏀 Free throws	22.5	16.5	73.4%	74.8%	16.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.4	23.1	58.6%	54.6%	46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.1	8.4	30.0%	33.3%	25.3
🏀 Free throws	18.3	12.7	69.5%	74.8%	12.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.1	25.4	59.0%	54.6%	50.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.0	10.3	35.5%	33.3%	30.9
🏀 Free throws	21.1	15.5	73.6%	74.8%	15.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.9	22.0	55.1%	54.6%	44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.6	9.8	34.3%	33.3%	29.5
🏀 Free throws	22.7	16.2	71.6%	74.8%	16.2

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Brisbane Bullets

WLWLWLWLLL

New Zealand Breakers

LLWLLWLWLL

#10

League position

-6.8

Net rating

+3.7

111.4

Offensive rating

113.8

118.3

Defensive rating

110.1

55.4%

Effective FG%

53.4%

55.1%

Opp. effective FG%

52.8%

17.8%

Turnover %

16.2%

27.2%

Off. rebound %

31.1%

0.33

Free-throw rate

0.22

32.0%

3-point %

28.8%

55.2%

Assist %

56.5%

40%

Form (last 10/10)

30%

Profile

■ Brisbane Bullets ■ New Zealand Breakers

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Brisbane Bullets wins

New Zealand Breakers wins

Date	Game	Score
23/10/25	New Zealand Breakers v Brisbane Bullets	83-84
19/09/25	New Zealand Breakers v Brisbane Bullets	95-104
24/01/25	New Zealand Breakers v Brisbane Bullets	87-93
08/01/25	Brisbane Bullets v New Zealand Breakers	83-74
17/10/24	Brisbane Bullets v New Zealand Breakers	84-73
21/09/24	New Zealand Breakers v Brisbane Bullets	91-87
16/02/24	New Zealand Breakers v Brisbane Bullets	103-87
27/12/23	Brisbane Bullets v New Zealand Breakers	71-81
05/10/23	New Zealand Breakers v Brisbane Bullets	84-89
04/02/23	Brisbane Bullets v New Zealand Breakers	75-80 OT

Brisbane Bulletslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/11/25	A	Tasmania JackJumpers	83-81
01/11/25	H	Sydney	79-116
30/10/25	H	Cairns Taipans	113-85
25/10/25	H	South East Melbourne	86-109
23/10/25	A	New Zealand Breakers	84-83
17/10/25	H	Melbourne United	86-95
15/10/25	A	Perth	110-93
11/10/25	A	Illawarra Hawks	89-116
04/10/25	H	Tasmania JackJumpers	82-84
28/09/25	A	Adelaide	80-87

New Zealand Breakerslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/11/25	A	Sydney	72-79
06/11/25	H	Adelaide	79-83
31/10/25	A	Illawarra Hawks	102-60
23/10/25	H	Brisbane Bullets	83-84
19/10/25	A	Melbourne United	88-104
17/10/25	H	Tasmania JackJumpers	82-65
12/10/25	H	South East Melbourne	81-87
08/10/25	H	Illawarra Hawks	117-88
04/10/25	A	Sydney	75-97
27/09/25	H	Perth	78-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brisbane Bullets

NBL 2025-26

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	42%
Home	LLLWL	20%
Away	LLWWW	57%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	5	7
Win %	42%	20%	57%
Points / game	89.8	89.2	90.3
Allowed / game	93.9	97.8	91.1
Point differential	-4.1	-8.6	-0.9
Avg total	183.8	187.0	181.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	20%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	0% (1)	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

New Zealand Breakers

NBL 2025-26

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	25%
Home	WLWLL	29%
Away	LLLWL	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	7	5
Win %	25%	29%	20%
Points / game	86.2	87.9	83.8
Allowed / game	87.8	85.7	90.8
Point differential	-1.7	+2.1	-7.0
Avg total	174.0	173.6	174.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	29%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Melbourne United	12	10	2	83%	96.5	83.8	+12.7
2	South East Melbourne	10	7	3	70%	97.0	88.9	+8.1
3	Adelaide	10	7	3	70%	89.3	85.0	+4.3
4	Sydney	11	6	5	55%	91.4	85.5	+5.8
5	Perth	11	6	5	55%	88.2	86.0	+2.2
6	Tasmania JackJumpers	12	5	7	42%	83.3	85.2	-1.9
7	Brisbane Bullets	12	5	7	42%	89.8	93.9	-4.1
8	Illawarra Hawks	10	4	6	40%	89.7	96.4	-6.7
9	New Zealand Breakers	12	3	9	25%	86.2	87.8	-1.7
10	Cairns Taipans	12	3	9	25%	77.8	94.9	-17.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Brisbane Bullets	18	18	21	27	84
New Zealand Breakers	27	41	24	21	113

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Brisbane Bullets vs New Zealand Breakers Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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