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Adelaide vs Cairns Taipans Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 25 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 99-93 (OT)
21-27 22-32 22-14 23-15 11-5
Position#6
Record4-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game90.1
Allowed / game92.0
Adelaide 🏆
Australia
vs
Cairns Taipans
Australia
Position#10
Record3-4
FormWWLLL
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game91.6
AustraliaNBLRound 6· Adelaide Entertainment Centre
Other2024-25
Meetings · Adelaide v Cairns Taipans
27 Sep 2026
ADEL83
CAIR69
24 Dec 2025
ADEL93
CAIR73
16 Nov 2025
ADEL105
CAIR101
25 Oct 2024
ADEL99
CAIR93
27 Jan 2024
ADEL88
CAIR71
09 Dec 2023
ADEL101
CAIR116
02 Dec 2022
ADEL78
CAIR75
18 Mar 2022
ADEL83
CAIR57
20 Feb 2022
ADEL82
CAIR71
11 Feb 2017
ADEL89
CAIR98
21 Oct 2016
ADEL83
CAIR67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cairns Taipans winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AdelaideAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAdelaide
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
86-109
86
109
-23
70avg 80
A04/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
84-102
84
102
-18
76avg 80
A09/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
76-70
76
70
+6
71avg 80
H18/02
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
94-102
94
102
-8
93avg 80
H22/09
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
L
97-101
97
101
-4
86avg 80
A28/09
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
93-83
93
83
+10
92avg 80
H03/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
W
102-100
102
100
+2
94avg 80
A05/10
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
89-79
89
79
+10
82avg 80
H11/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
79-106
79
106
-27
61avg 80
A13/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
77-73
77
73
+4
67avg 80
H20/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-31
24-26
24-26
17-26
20-22
24-30
23-24
17-26
17-14
20-21
21-12
18-23
28-27
20-24
27-19
19-32
32-28
22-30
23-19
20-24
25-16
27-19
19-23
22-25
27-32
25-22
29-27
21-19
26-22
23-15
19-25
21-17
29-24
23-34
8-21
19-27
13-22
18-17
23-11
23-23
180.2Avg total
87.7Scored
92.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)90.192.0182.1-1.957%
Season at home (4)88.284.2172.5+4.075%
Season away (3)92.7102.3195.0-9.733%
Last 10 (10)87.792.5180.2-4.850%
Last 5 (5)88.088.2176.2-0.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)86.991.4178.4-4.550%
vs Similar (8)90.892.6183.4-1.950%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)97.095.2192.2+1.850%
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cairns TaipansAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTaipans
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
86-94
86
94
-8
75avg 79
H01/02
NBL
Perth
#3
L
88-117
88
117
-29
72avg 79
A10/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
97-88
97
88
+9
90avg 79
H16/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
75-102
75
102
-27
49avg 79
H21/09
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
101-97
101
97
+4
96avg 79
H28/09
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
90-78
90
78
+12
88avg 79
H04/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
101-88
101
88
+13
95avg 79
A06/10
NBL
Perth
#3
L
87-90
87
90
-3
80avg 79
H10/10
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
73-99
73
99
-26
58avg 79
A13/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
75-87
75
87
-12
66avg 79
H19/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
22-23
18-27
24-22
30-30
27-27
15-22
16-38
28-15
29-20
20-19
20-34
21-26
24-28
15-18
15-30
28-32
30-22
19-23
24-20
27-21
26-16
18-24
19-17
23-27
35-27
22-17
21-17
23-29
18-19
26-27
20-15
18-28
21-25
18-23
16-23
24-17
14-23
20-19
17-28
181.3Avg total
87.3Scored
94.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)86.091.6177.6-5.643%
Season at home (5)85.690.8176.4-5.240%
Season away (2)87.093.5180.5-6.550%
Last 10 (10)87.394.0181.3-6.740%
Last 5 (5)85.288.4173.6-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)89.095.1184.1-6.129%
vs Similar (11)90.092.7182.7-2.755%
vs Weaker (2)86.083.0169.0+3.050%
This opponent (Adelaide) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: -5.2-5.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: -5.2-5.2
AdelaideCairns Taipans
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
45-57
45
57
-12
A04/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A09/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H18/02
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H22/09
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
L
54-58
54
58
-4
A28/09
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H03/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A05/10
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H11/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
52-58
52
58
-6
A13/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H20/10
NBL
94.0Avg total
46.4Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.946.391.2-1.437%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.743.086.7+0.744%-
Last 30 away (14)46.350.196.4-3.929%-
Last 10 (10)46.447.694.0-1.230%-
Last 5 (5)47.244.691.8+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)42.945.688.5-2.728%-
vs Similar (8)47.045.592.5+1.562%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)49.851.2101.0-1.525%-
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cairns TaipansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H01/02
NBL
Perth
#3
D
57-57
57
57
+0
A10/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
57-35
57
35
+22
H16/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H21/09
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
58-54
58
54
+4
H28/09
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H04/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
58-54
58
54
+4
A06/10
NBL
Perth
#3
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H10/10
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A13/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H19/10
NBL
96.7Avg total
49.0Scored
47.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.248.294.3-2.040%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.447.191.5-2.735%-
Last 30 away (13)48.549.598.0-1.146%-
Last 10 (10)49.047.796.7+1.340%-
Last 5 (5)45.846.492.2-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)47.248.695.8-1.535%-
vs Similar (11)44.947.992.8-3.045%-
vs Weaker (2)44.545.590.0-1.050%-
This opponent (Adelaide) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.122.5
47.8%
52.3%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.98.2
35.8%
35.1%24.6
🏀 Free throws22.917.1
74.7%
74.7%17.1
They take 70.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cairns Taipanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cairns Taipans: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.421.1
48.6%
52.3%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.6
35.4%
35.1%28.8
🏀 Free throws21.715.7
72.4%
74.7%15.7
They take 70.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Adelaide
WLWWWLLWLL
Cairns Taipans
LLLWWWLWLL
#6
League position
#10
-6.3
Net rating
-7.6
109.4
Offensive rating
107.6
115.8
Defensive rating
115.1
49.7%
Effective FG%
50.4%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
16.4%
Turnover %
14.5%
33.3%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.8%
3-point %
35.4%
55.0%
Assist %
53.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence109.4 · 107.6Defence115.8 · 115.1Shooting49.7% · 50.4%3-point %35.8% · 35.4%Ball care16.4% · 14.5%Off. rebounds33.3% · 25.9%Free throws0.33 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Adelaide   ■ Cairns Taipans
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Adelaide wins
5
Cairns Taipans wins
DateGameScore
28/09/24Cairns Taipans v Adelaide101-97
27/01/24Adelaide v Cairns Taipans88-71
13/01/24Cairns Taipans v Adelaide111-101 OT
09/12/23Adelaide v Cairns Taipans101-116
30/01/23Cairns Taipans v Adelaide96-99
31/12/22Cairns Taipans v Adelaide86-83
02/12/22Adelaide v Cairns Taipans78-75
18/03/22Adelaide v Cairns Taipans83-57
20/02/22Adelaide v Cairns Taipans82-71
18/12/21Cairns Taipans v Adelaide93-67
Adelaidelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/24HTasmania JackJumpers77-73
13/10/24AMelbourne United79-106
11/10/24HSydney89-79
05/10/24AIllawarra Hawks102-100
03/10/24HSouth East Melbourne93-83
28/09/24ACairns Taipans97-101
22/09/24HSydney94-102
18/02/24HNew Zealand Breakers76-70
09/02/24ABrisbane Bullets84-102
04/02/24ATasmania JackJumpers86-109
Cairns Taipanslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/24HIllawarra Hawks75-87
13/10/24ASydney73-99
10/10/24HPerth87-90
06/10/24AMelbourne United101-88
04/10/24HTasmania JackJumpers90-78
28/09/24HAdelaide101-97
21/09/24HIllawarra Hawks75-102
16/02/24HMelbourne United97-88
10/02/24APerth88-117
01/02/24HTasmania JackJumpers86-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW57%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game90.188.292.7
Allowed / game92.084.2102.3
Point differential-1.9+4.0-9.7
Avg total182.1172.5195.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cairns Taipans
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL43%
HomeLWWLL40%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %43%40%50%
Points / game86.085.687.0
Allowed / game91.690.893.5
Point differential-5.6-5.2-6.5
Avg total177.6176.4180.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%20%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Illawarra Hawks75271%99.187.1+12.0
2 Sydney75271%89.784.6+5.1
3 Melbourne United85362%90.484.0+6.4
4 New Zealand Breakers53260%79.284.6-5.4
5 Adelaide74357%90.192.0-1.9
6 Cairns Taipans73443%86.091.6-5.6
7 Brisbane Bullets52340%88.290.6-2.4
8 Perth62433%85.890.5-4.7
9 South East Melbourne72529%87.187.0+0.1
10 Tasmania JackJumpers72529%77.485.0-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Adelaide212222231199
Cairns Taipans27321415593
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