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Melbourne United vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 93-106
24-27 23-19 15-27 31-33
Position#2
Record12-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game96.8
Allowed / game89.1
Melbourne United
Australia
vs
Illawarra Hawks 🏆
Australia
Position#1
Record9-5
FormLWWLW
Points / game98.7
Allowed / game90.1
AustraliaNBLRound 12· John Cain Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Melbourne United v Illawarra Hawks
13 Feb 2027
MELB v ILLA
upcoming
18 Oct 2026
MELB89
ILLA91
15 Feb 2026
MELB91
ILLA100
18 Dec 2025
MELB97
ILLA75
19 Mar 2025
MELB71
ILLA80
12 Mar 2025
MELB100
ILLA102
13 Dec 2024
MELB93
ILLA106
13 Mar 2024
MELB100
ILLA94
07 Mar 2024
MELB115
ILLA106
18 Feb 2024
MELB92
ILLA87
29 Oct 2023
MELB96
ILLA84
18 Dec 2022
MELB88
ILLA77
02 Apr 2022
MELB90
ILLA96
27 Mar 2022
MELB77
ILLA92
18 Apr 2021
MELB87
ILLA76
21 Mar 2021
MELB75
ILLA65
08 Feb 2020
MELB95
ILLA72
23 Jan 2019
MELB113
ILLA89
29 Oct 2018
MELB99
ILLA93
18 Feb 2018
MELB84
ILLA94
04 Dec 2017
MELB91
ILLA73
06 Feb 2017
MELB78
ILLA72
16 Oct 2016
MELB95
ILLA83
07 Jan 2016
MELB97
ILLA96
11 Oct 2015
MELB93
ILLA81
07 Feb 2015
MELB76
ILLA82
02 Nov 2014
MELB88
ILLA75
27 Dec 2013
MELB74
ILLA67
10 Nov 2013
MELB81
ILLA76
02 Mar 2013
MELB82
ILLA88
25 Nov 2012
MELB66
ILLA74
18 Mar 2012
MELB61
ILLA71
06 Feb 2011
MELB93
ILLA72
07 Nov 2010
MELB82
ILLA86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne United winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illawarra Hawks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne UnitedAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUnited
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#1
W
92-87
92
87
+5
88avg 86
A24/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
106-63
106
63
+43
108avg 86
H27/10
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
87-83
87
83
+4
75avg 86
H31/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
79-113
79
113
-34
60avg 86
H04/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
120-103
120
103
+17
120avg 86
A07/11
NBL
Perth
#3
W
106-97
106
97
+9
103avg 86
H09/11
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
113-93
113
93
+20
109avg 86
H17/11
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
101-98
101
98
+3
102avg 86
H01/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
97-70
97
70
+27
90avg 86
A05/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
114-122
114
122
-8
102avg 86
H08/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
22-16
19-21
33-29
23-12
31-18
30-19
22-14
21-20
25-23
20-21
21-19
13-25
18-30
21-29
27-29
24-20
28-25
33-26
35-32
31-29
20-36
32-12
23-20
29-22
30-24
26-27
28-20
27-28
38-21
14-26
22-23
28-24
18-19
24-7
27-20
28-28
29-29
30-31
27-34
194.4Avg total
101.5Scored
92.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)96.889.1185.9+7.871%
Season at home (11)97.592.8190.3+4.664%
Season away (6)95.782.2177.8+13.583%
Last 10 (10)101.592.9194.4+8.680%
Last 5 (5)106.296.0202.2+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)92.087.0179.0+5.0100%
vs Similar (12)91.587.2178.7+4.358%
vs Weaker (17)98.892.1190.8+6.765%
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
109-76
109
76
+33
98avg 88
H12/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
87-75
87
75
+12
79avg 88
A19/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
87-92
87
92
-5
68avg 88
H24/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
88-82
88
82
+6
83avg 88
A26/10
NBL
Perth
#3
L
105-113
105
113
-8
94avg 88
A01/11
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
79-93
79
93
-14
70avg 88
A10/11
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
86-79
86
79
+7
83avg 88
H16/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
109-71
109
71
+38
103avg 88
H28/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
100-103
100
103
-3
96avg 88
A30/11
NBL
Perth
#3
W
121-111
121
111
+10
119avg 88
A06/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-17
25-22
27-13
25-24
17-24
23-14
19-20
28-17
21-18
16-22
21-19
29-33
15-19
30-20
29-26
14-17
31-39
22-23
30-27
22-24
22-26
19-24
26-26
12-17
22-22
22-13
23-19
19-25
32-12
20-17
20-27
37-15
31-21
28-31
17-26
24-25
29-30
26-23
33-38
33-20
186.6Avg total
97.1Scored
89.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)98.790.1188.9+8.664%
Season at home (6)100.786.8187.5+13.867%
Season away (8)97.292.6189.9+4.662%
Last 10 (10)97.189.5186.6+7.660%
Last 5 (5)99.091.4190.4+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)84.499.8184.1-15.412%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (14)98.790.1188.9+8.664%
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +2.6+2.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +2.6+2.6
Melbourne UnitedIllawarra Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#1
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A24/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
54-30
54
30
+24
H27/10
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H31/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
31-55
31
55
-24
H04/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A07/11
NBL
Perth
#3
L
51-65
51
65
-14
H09/11
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
59-46
59
46
+13
H17/11
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
65-49
65
49
+16
H01/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A05/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
D
57-57
57
57
+0
H08/12
NBL
97.1Avg total
50.1Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.546.695.1+1.960%-
Last 30 at home (19)50.647.598.2+3.158%-
Last 30 away (11)44.844.989.7-0.164%-
Last 10 (10)50.147.097.1+3.170%-
Last 5 (5)55.652.0107.6+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)40.037.077.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar (12)48.545.994.4+2.667%-
vs Weaker (17)49.047.696.6+1.453%-
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
57-39
57
39
+18
H12/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A19/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H24/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A26/10
NBL
Perth
#3
L
53-62
53
62
-9
A01/11
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A10/11
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H16/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
52-29
52
29
+23
H28/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
59-52
59
52
+7
A30/11
NBL
Perth
#3
W
55-53
55
53
+2
A06/12
NBL
92.0Avg total
48.3Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.046.991.8-1.943%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.444.489.8+0.936%-
Last 30 away (16)44.649.093.6-4.450%-
Last 10 (10)48.343.792.0+4.670%-
Last 5 (5)50.243.894.0+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)40.747.888.5-7.119%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (14)49.945.895.6+4.171%-
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Melbourne Unitedtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Melbourne United: 100.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.621.6
53.2%
52.3%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.013.0
40.6%
35.1%39.0
🏀 Free throws22.617.9
79.2%
74.7%17.9
They take 72.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Illawarra Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illawarra Hawks: 95.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.725.4
54.4%
52.3%50.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.9
38.1%
35.1%29.7
🏀 Free throws21.615.4
71.3%
74.7%15.4
They take 72.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Melbourne United
LWWWWWLWWW
Illawarra Hawks
WLWWLLWLWW
#2
League position
#1
+10.8
Net rating
+8.8
122.9
Offensive rating
117.5
112.1
Defensive rating
108.7
56.6%
Effective FG%
55.4%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
12.8%
Turnover %
12.7%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.30
40.6%
3-point %
38.1%
65.0%
Assist %
52.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence122.9 · 117.5Defence112.1 · 108.7Shooting56.6% · 55.4%3-point %40.6% · 38.1%Ball care12.8% · 12.7%Off. rebounds28.9% · 27.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Melbourne United   ■ Illawarra Hawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Melbourne United wins
2
Illawarra Hawks wins
DateGameScore
24/10/24Illawarra Hawks v Melbourne United87-92
13/03/24Melbourne United v Illawarra Hawks100-94
10/03/24Illawarra Hawks v Melbourne United113-108 OT
07/03/24Melbourne United v Illawarra Hawks115-106 OT
18/02/24Melbourne United v Illawarra Hawks92-87
29/10/23Melbourne United v Illawarra Hawks96-84
20/10/23Illawarra Hawks v Melbourne United91-101
18/12/22Melbourne United v Illawarra Hawks88-77
05/12/22Illawarra Hawks v Melbourne United93-79
29/10/22Illawarra Hawks v Melbourne United100-106 OT
Melbourne Unitedlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/24HBrisbane Bullets114-122
05/12/24ANew Zealand Breakers97-70
01/12/24HSydney101-98
17/11/24HAdelaide113-93
09/11/24HPerth106-97
07/11/24ABrisbane Bullets120-103
04/11/24HNew Zealand Breakers79-113
31/10/24HSydney87-83
27/10/24HCairns Taipans106-63
24/10/24AIllawarra Hawks92-87
Illawarra Hawkslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/24APerth121-111
30/11/24ASouth East Melbourne100-103
28/11/24HNew Zealand Breakers109-71
16/11/24HSydney86-79
10/11/24AAdelaide79-93
01/11/24APerth105-113
26/10/24ASouth East Melbourne88-82
24/10/24HMelbourne United87-92
19/10/24ACairns Taipans87-75
12/10/24HTasmania JackJumpers109-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne United
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL71%
HomeLWWWL64%
AwayLWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17116
Win %71%64%83%
Points / game96.897.595.7
Allowed / game89.192.882.2
Point differential+7.8+4.6+13.5
Avg total185.9190.3177.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%27%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illawarra Hawks
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW64%
HomeLWLWW67%
AwayWLLLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %64%67%62%
Points / game98.7100.797.2
Allowed / game90.186.892.6
Point differential+8.6+13.8+4.6
Avg total188.9187.5189.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United1712571%96.889.1+7.8
2 Illawarra Hawks149564%98.790.1+8.6
3 Sydney169756%87.683.3+4.3
4 Perth179853%95.596.2-0.8
5 Brisbane Bullets147750%95.896.4-0.6
6 Tasmania JackJumpers168850%81.482.8-1.4
7 New Zealand Breakers157847%84.390.1-5.9
8 South East Melbourne167944%89.487.8+1.6
9 Adelaide146843%89.995.1-5.2
10 Cairns Taipans1531220%83.292.7-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Melbourne United2423153193
Illawarra Hawks27192733106
← all games of the day
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