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Brescia vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Nov 2019
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 101-74
23-12 29-26 31-16 18-20
Position#3
Record5-4
FormLLWWL
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game75.4
Brescia 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#17
Record0-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game93.6
ItalyLega ARound 10
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Brescia v Pesaro
01 Oct 2023
BRE81
PES79
18 Feb 2023
BRE74
PES57
29 Oct 2022
BRE97
PES98
20 Jan 2022
BRE110
PES78
10 May 2021
BRE86
PES84
24 Nov 2019
BRE101
PES74
04 Nov 2018
BRE84
PES81
21 Jan 2018
BRE88
PES70
22 Jan 2017
BRE99
PES68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#2
L
70-86
70
86
-16
A12/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
90-82
90
82
+8
H25/09
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
73-65
73
65
+8
A29/09
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
78-88
78
88
-10
A05/10
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
92-66
92
66
+26
H13/10
Lega A
Trieste
#14
L
74-76
74
76
-2
A19/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
80-82
80
82
-2
H26/10
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
88-74
88
74
+14
A03/11
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
91-74
91
74
+17
H10/11
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
68-72
68
72
-4
A17/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
23-15
13-30
17-17
27-18
22-30
19-19
22-15
21-10
10-21
23-17
19-17
18-20
21-29
23-21
16-18
14-18
26-16
30-11
22-21
20-26
19-20
22-18
13-12
19-20
22-20
21-19
18-23
20-20
20-16
24-20
24-18
18-21
25-14
23-19
25-20
14-20
15-18
18-16
21-18
156.9Avg total
80.4Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)81.675.4157.0+6.156%
Season at home (4)88.276.0164.2+12.275%
Season away (5)76.275.0151.2+1.240%
Last 10 (10)80.476.5156.9+3.950%
Last 5 (5)80.275.6155.8+4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)79.986.5166.4-6.536%
vs Similar (11)80.081.0161.0-1.045%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)85.276.1161.4+9.175%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#14
L
73-100
73
100
-27
H05/05
Lega A
Torino
#13
L
71-93
71
93
-22
A12/05
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H24/09
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
79-99
79
99
-20
A29/09
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
79-94
79
94
-15
H13/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
99-108
99
108
-9
A20/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
65-90
65
90
-25
H27/10
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
75-85
75
85
-10
A03/11
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
95-101 OT
95
101
-6
H09/11
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
L
83-92
83
92
-9
A17/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-24
19-25
16-25
26-26
17-26
18-26
19-24
17-17
20-23
21-17
7-26
24-14
19-20
15-30
22-25
23-24
19-25
16-29
13-16
31-24
27-32
24-27
20-19
28-30
20-24
15-19
19-20
11-27
27-16
12-24
18-24
18-21
8-18
23-24
30-15
21-25
20-24
20-20
22-23
21-25
173.3Avg total
79.1Scored
94.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)80.993.6174.5-12.80%
Season at home (4)77.891.2169.0-13.50%
Season away (4)84.096.0180.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)79.194.2173.3-15.10%
Last 5 (5)83.495.2178.6-11.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)78.894.2173.0-15.47%
vs Similar (1)81.077.0158.0+4.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -5.8-5.8Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -1.3-1.3
BresciaPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#2
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A12/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H25/09
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A29/09
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A05/10
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H13/10
Lega A
Trieste
#14
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A19/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H26/10
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A03/11
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H10/11
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A17/11
Lega A
78.7Avg total
39.1Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.441.881.2-2.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.941.281.1-1.360%-
Last 30 away (15)38.942.381.3-3.433%-
Last 10 (10)39.139.678.7-0.560%-
Last 5 (5)38.439.077.4-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)38.344.582.7-6.236%-
vs Similar (11)40.039.679.6+0.455%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)40.141.081.1-0.950%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#14
L
31-49
31
49
-18
H05/05
Lega A
Torino
#13
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A12/05
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H24/09
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A29/09
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
35-54
35
54
-19
H13/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
51-59
51
59
-8
A20/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H27/10
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A03/11
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H09/11
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A17/11
Lega A
84.5Avg total
37.2Scored
47.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.247.585.7-9.317%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.947.287.1-7.320%-
Last 30 away (15)36.547.884.3-11.313%-
Last 10 (10)37.247.384.5-10.110%-
Last 5 (5)39.245.684.8-6.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)37.947.685.5-9.617%-
vs Similar (1)46.046.092.0+0.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.418.2
54.5%
52.0%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.78.5
39.2%
35.1%25.5
🏀 Free throws16.712.6
75.4%
73.6%12.6
They take 55.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.518.7
51.2%
52.0%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.09.0
31.0%
35.1%27.0
🏀 Free throws17.111.9
69.6%
73.6%11.9
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Nov 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
LWWLLWLWWL
Pesaro
LLLLLLLLLL
#3
League position
#17
+5.5
Net rating
-21.0
116.7
Offensive rating
102.1
111.2
Defensive rating
123.1
56.2%
Effective FG%
49.2%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
58.5%
17.4%
Turnover %
16.3%
32.5%
Off. rebound %
26.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.26
39.2%
3-point %
31.0%
56.9%
Assist %
39.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence116.7 · 102.1Defence111.2 · 123.1Shooting56.2% · 49.2%3-point %39.2% · 31.0%Ball care17.4% · 16.3%Off. rebounds32.5% · 26.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 0%
■ Brescia   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Brescia wins
1
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
03/03/19Pesaro v Brescia86-92
04/11/18Brescia v Pesaro84-81
21/01/18Brescia v Pesaro88-70
01/10/17Pesaro v Brescia70-73
22/01/17Brescia v Pesaro99-68
02/10/16Pesaro v Brescia76-63
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/19ATreviso68-72
10/11/19HVarese91-74
03/11/19AFortitudo Bologna88-74
26/10/19HVirtus Bologna80-82
19/10/19ATrieste74-76
13/10/19HTrento92-66
05/10/19ABrindisi78-88
29/09/19AOlimpia Milano73-65
25/09/19HReggiana90-82
12/05/19AVenezia70-86
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/19AVirtus Roma83-92
09/11/19HTrento95-101 OT
03/11/19ATreviso75-85
27/10/19HReggiana65-90
20/10/19ABrindisi99-108
13/10/19HVirtus Bologna79-94
29/09/19ASassari79-99
24/09/19HFortitudo Bologna72-80
12/05/19ATorino71-93
05/05/19HReggiana73-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL56%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%75%40%
Points / game81.688.276.2
Allowed / game75.476.075.0
Point differential+6.1+12.2+1.2
Avg total157.0164.2151.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pesaro
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game80.977.884.0
Allowed / game93.691.296.0
Point differential-12.8-13.5-12.0
Avg total174.5169.0180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %12%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna990100%83.675.2+8.3
2 Brindisi86275%84.080.4+3.6
3 Sassari96367%81.770.8+10.9
4 Olimpia Milano106460%82.074.1+7.9
5 Brescia95456%81.675.4+6.1
6 Reggiana95456%81.178.9+2.2
7 Fortitudo Bologna95456%76.178.2-2.1
8 Cremona95456%78.080.2-2.2
9 Virtus Roma95456%77.881.2-3.4
10 Trento84450%79.981.5-1.6
11 Venezia94544%74.372.2+2.1
12 Varese94544%79.979.7+0.2
13 Treviso94544%77.077.2-0.2
14 Cantu83538%69.974.8-4.9
15 Trieste92722%72.980.4-7.6
16 Pistoia92722%72.381.6-9.2
17 Pesaro8080%80.993.6-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia23293118101
Pesaro1226162074
← all games of the day
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