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Cantu vs Varese Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 06 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#16
Record0-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game88.4
vs
Position#9
Record3-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game88.2
ItalyLega ARound 10· PalaFitLineDesio
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Cantu v Varese
06 Dec 2026
KAN v VAR
upcoming
19 Apr 2026
KAN100
VAR96
31 Jan 2021
KAN97
VAR82
07 Sep 2020
KAN81
VAR72
08 Dec 2019
KAN74
VAR67
20 Apr 2019
KAN84
VAR75
05 Feb 2018
KAN85
VAR89
02 Apr 2017
KAN72
VAR85
04 May 2016
KAN89
VAR79
26 Jan 2015
KAN91
VAR83
29 Mar 2014
KAN84
VAR68
24 Feb 2013
KAN67
VAR60
22 Apr 2012
KAN76
VAR66
20 May 2011
KAN67
VAR64
18 May 2011
KAN78
VAR53
15 May 2011
KAN75
VAR66
01 May 2010
KAN83
VAR70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cantu win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Varese win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CantuItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#16
W
80-78
80
78
+2
H04/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
79-89
79
89
-10
A13/04
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
100-96
100
96
+4
H19/04
Lega A
Udine
#13
L
83-95
83
95
-12
A25/04
Lega A
Treviso
#14
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H03/05
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
73-85
73
85
-12
A26/09
Lega A
Udine
#12
L
84-85 OT
84
85
-1
H05/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#2
L
80-99
80
99
-19
H11/10
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
72-92
72
92
-20
A18/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
60-81
60
81
-21
A25/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-28
25-14
16-24
19-12
19-28
20-22
20-19
20-20
20-19
26-25
30-26
24-26
17-19
21-25
24-27
21-24
15-21
22-17
19-13
16-29
17-21
14-22
21-24
21-18
20-18
16-18
20-22
21-19
19-20
22-29
20-17
19-33
18-20
20-24
15-23
19-25
20-23
19-15
14-18
7-25
166.3Avg total
78.3Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)73.888.4162.2-14.60%
Season at home (2)82.092.0174.0-10.00%
Season away (3)68.386.0154.3-17.70%
Last 10 (10)78.388.0166.3-9.720%
Last 5 (5)73.888.4162.2-14.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)80.488.7169.1-8.312%
vs Similar (14)86.187.0173.1-0.943%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#12
W
84-75
84
75
+9
H26/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
85-104
85
104
-19
A10/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
69-90
69
90
-21
H27/09
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
85-77
85
77
+8
A04/10
Lega A
Murcia
#8
L
58-85
58
85
-27
A07/10
Champions League
Trieste
#10
W
85-84
85
84
+1
H10/10
Lega A
Peristeri
#5
L
82-85
82
85
-3
H13/10
Champions League
Trento
#6
L
85-87
85
87
-2
A18/10
Lega A
BC Roma
#13
W
110-103 OT
110
103
+7
H24/10
Lega A
Bamberg
#53
W
95-61
95
61
+34
A27/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
26-13
13-24
26-20
17-27
21-22
31-29
16-26
21-26
18-21
19-21
11-22
24-17
16-21
30-24
15-15
8-16
14-23
20-27
16-19
19-15
21-23
21-20
24-26
27-26
25-11
12-27
18-21
17-23
24-26
21-23
23-15
32-28
17-17
17-22
29-28
22-10
24-16
29-17
20-18
168.9Avg total
83.8Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)86.888.2175.0-1.460%
Season at home (3)88.092.3180.3-4.367%
Season away (2)85.082.0167.0+3.050%
Last 10 (10)83.885.1168.9-1.350%
Last 5 (5)91.484.0175.4+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)83.589.8173.2-6.242%
vs Similar (16)86.285.1171.3+1.156%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)90.069.0159.0+21.0100%
This opponent (Cantu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: -1.2-1.2
CantuVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CantuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#16
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H04/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A13/04
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H19/04
Lega A
Udine
#13
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A25/04
Lega A
Treviso
#14
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H03/05
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A26/09
Lega A
Udine
#12
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H05/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#2
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H11/10
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A18/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A25/10
Lega A
81.8Avg total
39.0Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.445.286.6-3.730%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.443.286.6+0.247%-
Last 30 away (15)39.547.186.6-7.713%-
Last 10 (10)39.042.881.8-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)37.042.079.0-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)40.546.787.2-6.219%-
vs Similar (14)42.543.485.9-0.943%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#12
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H26/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A10/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H27/09
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A04/10
Lega A
Murcia
#8
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A07/10
Champions League
Trieste
#10
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H10/10
Lega A
Peristeri
#5
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H13/10
Champions League
Trento
#6
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A18/10
Lega A
BC Roma
#13
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H24/10
Lega A
Bamberg
#53
W
46-26
46
26
+20
A27/10
Champions League
81.1Avg total
41.2Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.942.383.2-1.443%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.842.084.8+0.853%-
Last 30 away (15)38.942.681.5-3.733%-
Last 10 (10)41.239.981.1+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)45.639.084.6+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)41.344.786.0-3.333%-
vs Similar (16)40.241.882.1-1.644%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)43.032.075.0+11.0100%-
This opponent (Cantu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cantutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cantu: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.4 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.818.3
51.1%
54.3%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.0
34.1%
34.7%27.0
🏀 Free throws21.814.5
66.5%
74.4%14.5
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.4 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.417.4
50.6%
54.3%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.210.6
35.1%
34.7%31.8
🏀 Free throws23.916.5
69.0%
74.4%16.5
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cantu
LLLLLLLWLW
Varese
WWLLWLWLLW
#16
League position
#9
-10.7
Net rating
-1.4
90.1
Offensive rating
89.8
100.9
Defensive rating
91.2
51.1%
Effective FG%
51.5%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
16.8%
Turnover %
18.5%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.37
34.1%
3-point %
35.1%
61.2%
Assist %
68.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence90.1 · 89.8Defence100.9 · 91.2Shooting51.1% · 51.5%3-point %34.1% · 35.1%Ball care16.8% · 18.5%Free throws0.35 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Cantu   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Cantu wins
4
Varese wins
DateGameScore
19/04/26Cantu v Varese100-96
16/11/25Varese v Cantu91-82
31/01/21Cantu v Varese97-82
11/10/20Varese v Cantu80-90
07/09/20Cantu v Varese81-72
04/09/20Varese v Cantu84-77
08/12/19Cantu v Varese74-67
20/04/19Cantu v Varese84-75
25/12/18Varese v Cantu89-71
05/02/18Cantu v Varese85-89
Cantulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26AReggiana60-81
18/10/26ATrieste72-92
11/10/26HBasket Napoli80-99
05/10/26HUdine84-85 OT
26/09/26AVenezia73-85
03/05/26HTreviso72-80
25/04/26AUdine83-95
19/04/26HVarese100-96
13/04/26AVirtus Bologna79-89
04/04/26HSassari80-78
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/26ABamberg95-61
24/10/26HBC Roma110-103 OT
18/10/26ATrento85-87
13/10/26HPeristeri82-85
10/10/26HTrieste85-84
07/10/26AMurcia58-85
04/10/26AScafati85-77
27/09/26HVirtus Bologna69-90
10/05/26AVirtus Bologna85-104
26/04/26HCremona84-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cantu
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game73.882.068.3
Allowed / game88.492.086.0
Point differential-14.6-10.0-17.7
Avg total162.2174.0154.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %20%50%0%
Varese
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW60%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game86.888.085.0
Allowed / game88.292.382.0
Point differential-1.4-4.3+3.0
Avg total175.0180.3167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %20%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna550100%97.484.2+13.2
2 Basket Napoli54180%93.287.2+6.0
3 Treviso54180%95.693.0+2.6
4 Olimpia Milano53260%90.682.2+8.4
5 Venezia53260%90.288.6+1.6
6 Trento53260%83.081.8+1.2
7 Verona53260%90.088.8+1.2
8 Maxima Roma53260%86.087.4-1.4
9 Varese53260%86.888.2-1.4
10 Trieste52340%89.085.2+3.8
11 Reggiana52340%85.284.4+0.8
12 Udine52340%79.880.8-1.0
13 BC Roma51420%99.697.8+1.8
14 Tortona51420%84.495.0-10.6
15 Scafati51420%78.490.0-11.6
16 Cantu5050%73.888.4-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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