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Cearense vs Minas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 81-99
18-24 28-16 18-33 17-26
Position#19
Record4-13
FormWLLLL
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game88.3
vs
Minas 🏆
Brazil
Position#3
Record14-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game76.6
BrazilNBB· Centro de Formacao Olimpica
Other2025-26
Meetings · Cearense v Minas
27 Dec 2025
CEAR81
MINA99
28 Feb 2025
CEAR86
MINA92
20 Mar 2024
CEAR79
MINA69
08 Apr 2023
CEAR85
MINA94
27 Mar 2022
CEAR75
MINA85
19 Nov 2020
CEAR67
MINA82
12 Dec 2019
CEAR79
MINA82
12 Dec 2018
CEAR70
MINA61
16 Jan 2018
CEAR66
MINA58
15 Nov 2016
CEAR78
MINA71
19 Nov 2015
CEAR64
MINA69
11 Nov 2014
CEAR71
MINA65
12 Dec 2013
CEAR60
MINA71
09 Apr 2013
CEAR88
MINA52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cearense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCearense
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#9
L
77-86
77
86
-9
67avg 68
H18/11
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
91-72
91
72
+19
85avg 68
H20/11
NBB
Franca
#1
L
70-82
70
82
-12
58avg 68
H23/11
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
90-105
90
105
-15
76avg 68
A04/12
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
95-98
95
98
-3
86avg 68
A06/12
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
89-82
89
82
+7
81avg 68
H09/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
77-100
77
100
-23
64avg 68
H15/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
61-108
61
108
-47
74avg 68
H18/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
62-95
62
95
-33
50avg 68
A21/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
52-68
52
68
-16
39avg 68
A23/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-27
23-19
20-14
11-26
21-22
20-23
26-12
24-15
16-18
20-21
14-17
20-26
18-22
26-28
22-22
24-33
27-26
29-27
19-31
20-14
19-14
23-25
22-22
25-21
12-32
21-14
21-32
23-22
15-29
19-38
14-23
13-18
21-34
12-20
16-24
13-17
19-18
7-20
12-15
14-15
166.0Avg total
76.4Scored
89.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)77.588.3165.8-10.824%
Season at home (8)77.988.5166.4-10.625%
Season away (9)77.188.1165.2-11.022%
Last 10 (10)76.489.6166.0-13.220%
Last 5 (5)68.290.6158.8-22.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)75.486.3161.8-10.917%
vs Similar (7)80.778.0158.7+2.771%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#7
W
94-63
94
63
+31
93avg 75
H18/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
77-81
77
81
-4
68avg 75
H21/11
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
94-88
94
88
+6
90avg 75
H23/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
88-72
88
72
+16
97avg 75
A03/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
74-71
74
71
+3
66avg 75
A05/12
NBB
Boca Juniors
#2
W
80-61
80
61
+19
73avg 75
A12/12
Champions League Americas
Aguada
#11
W
77-74
77
74
+3
69avg 75
A13/12
Champions League Americas
Botafogo
#16
W
95-88
95
88
+7
93avg 75
H18/12
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
71-59
71
59
+12
70avg 75
H21/12
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
85-87
85
87
-2
83avg 75
H23/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-18
25-24
23-13
18-8
23-21
20-20
14-21
20-19
24-14
30-18
23-33
17-23
22-14
19-12
27-23
20-23
14-21
24-15
21-20
15-15
15-19
19-18
19-14
27-10
24-19
16-19
14-20
23-16
28-23
24-17
14-22
29-26
19-15
25-11
19-19
8-14
24-24
21-26
24-15
16-22
157.9Avg total
83.5Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)85.176.6161.7+8.482%
Season at home (11)85.377.7163.0+7.582%
Season away (6)84.774.7159.3+10.083%
Last 10 (10)83.574.4157.9+9.180%
Last 5 (5)81.673.8155.4+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)83.065.5148.5+17.5100%
vs Similar (10)78.979.1158.0-0.240%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)82.973.3156.2+9.7100%
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +1.7+1.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +1.7+1.7
CearenseMinas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#9
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H18/11
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H20/11
NBB
Franca
#1
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H23/11
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A04/12
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
56-53
56
53
+3
A06/12
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H09/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H15/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
34-67
34
67
-33
H18/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
33-54
33
54
-21
A21/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A23/12
NBB
86.8Avg total
39.1Scored
47.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.042.480.4-4.427%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.542.379.9-4.820%-
Last 30 away (15)38.542.581.0-4.133%-
Last 10 (10)39.147.786.8-8.620%-
Last 5 (5)33.648.882.4-15.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)38.643.081.5-4.426%-
vs Similar (7)36.140.776.9-4.629%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#7
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H18/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H21/11
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
54-32
54
32
+22
H23/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
41-26
41
26
+15
A03/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A05/12
NBB
Boca Juniors
#2
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A12/12
Champions League Americas
Aguada
#11
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A13/12
Champions League Americas
Botafogo
#16
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H18/12
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H21/12
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H23/12
NBB
81.2Avg total
44.4Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.937.578.4+3.463%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.937.679.5+4.472%-
Last 30 away (12)39.437.476.8+2.050%-
Last 10 (10)44.436.881.2+7.680%-
Last 5 (5)43.038.281.2+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.537.073.5-0.550%-
vs Similar (10)40.941.982.8-1.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)41.435.176.6+6.378%-
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.220.8
48.1%
52.2%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.46.9
27.2%
32.5%20.7
🏀 Free throws19.514.0
71.8%
72.8%14.0
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.720.2
58.2%
52.2%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.39.0
31.8%
32.5%27.0
🏀 Free throws22.715.6
68.7%
72.8%15.6
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cearense
LLLLWLLLWL
Minas
LWWWWWWWLW
#19
League position
#3
-15.3
Net rating
+11.9
96.7
Offensive rating
108.6
112.0
Defensive rating
96.7
45.4%
Effective FG%
53.5%
56.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.2%
19.4%
Turnover %
18.2%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.36
27.2%
3-point %
31.8%
56.0%
Assist %
66.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence96.7 · 108.6Defence112.0 · 96.7Shooting45.4% · 53.5%3-point %27.2% · 31.8%Ball care19.4% · 18.2%Off. rebounds32.2% · 29.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ Cearense   ■ Minas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Cearense wins
9
Minas wins
DateGameScore
28/02/25Cearense v Minas86-92
07/11/24Minas v Cearense86-64
20/03/24Cearense v Minas79-69
27/01/24Minas v Cearense73-69
01/12/23Minas v Cearense93-88 OT
08/04/23Cearense v Minas85-94
29/11/22Minas v Cearense79-71
27/03/22Cearense v Minas75-85
19/12/21Minas v Cearense101-74
01/04/21Minas v Cearense92-66
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/25ACaxias do Sul52-68
21/12/25AUniao Corinthians62-95
18/12/25HPinheiros61-108
15/12/25HPaulistano77-100
09/12/25HOsasco89-82
06/12/25ARio Claro95-98
04/12/25ABrasilia90-105
23/11/25HFranca70-82
20/11/25HBauru91-72
18/11/25HSao Jose77-86
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/25HFlamengo85-87
21/12/25HVasco71-59
18/12/25HBotafogo95-88
13/12/25AAguada77-74
12/12/25ABoca Juniors80-61
05/12/25AUniao Corinthians74-71
03/12/25ACaxias do Sul88-72
23/11/25HBauru94-88
21/11/25HPinheiros77-81
18/11/25HPaulistano94-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cearense
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL24%
HomeWLWLL25%
AwayLLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %24%25%22%
Points / game77.577.977.1
Allowed / game88.388.588.1
Point differential-10.8-10.6-11.0
Avg total165.8166.4165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%12%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Minas
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL82%
HomeLWWWL82%
AwayWWLWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17116
Win %82%82%83%
Points / game85.185.384.7
Allowed / game76.677.774.7
Point differential+8.4+7.5+10.0
Avg total161.7163.0159.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%27%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)60% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %6%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo1715288%87.574.3+13.2
2 Pinheiros1715288%88.174.9+13.2
3 Franca1714382%87.172.5+14.6
4 Minas1714382%85.176.6+8.4
5 Brasilia1713476%82.172.4+9.6
6 Corinthians Paulista1711665%81.877.5+4.3
7 Sao Jose1710759%79.876.9+2.8
8 Paulistano1810856%79.975.8+4.2
9 Mogi179853%77.069.0+8.0
10 Uniao Corinthians179853%78.280.1-1.9
11 Caxias do Sul179853%73.575.7-2.2
12 Bauru189950%74.175.3-1.2
13 Unifacisa178947%80.379.7+0.6
14 Cruzeiro1751229%77.585.1-7.6
15 Pato1851328%72.480.3-7.9
16 Cearense1741324%77.588.3-10.8
17 Osasco1841422%75.385.7-10.4
18 Rio Claro1841422%77.089.0-12.0
19 Botafogo1731418%71.582.9-11.4
20 Vasco1821611%67.979.2-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cearense1828181781
Minas2416332699
← all games of the day
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