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Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 20 Oct 2016
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 96-88
33-19 21-24 20-29 22-16
Position#20
Record2-3
FormLLLWW
Points / game94.4
Allowed / game99.2
vs
Position#13
Record4-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game106.3
Allowed / game97.0
USANBA· Time Warner Cable Arena
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Charlotte Hornets v Miami Heat
30 Mar 2027
CHA v MIA
upcoming
24 Oct 2026
CHA115
MIA110
14 Apr 2026
CHA127
MIA126
17 Mar 2026
CHA136
MIA106
06 Mar 2026
CHA120
MIA128
27 Nov 2024
CHA94
MIA98
26 Oct 2024
CHA106
MIA114
08 Oct 2024
CHA111
MIA108
11 Dec 2023
CHA114
MIA116
14 Nov 2023
CHA105
MIA111
25 Feb 2023
CHA108
MIA103
29 Jan 2023
CHA122
MIA117
17 Feb 2022
CHA107
MIA111
05 Feb 2022
CHA86
MIA104
02 May 2021
CHA111
MIA121
26 Mar 2021
CHA110
MIA105
13 Apr 2020
CHA v MIA
upcoming
30 Mar 2020
CHA v MIA
upcoming
09 Oct 2019
CHA94
MIA108
06 Mar 2019
CHA84
MIA91
30 Oct 2018
CHA125
MIA113
02 Oct 2018
CHA122
MIA113
20 Jan 2018
CHA105
MIA106
15 Dec 2017
CHA98
MIA104
05 Apr 2017
CHA99
MIA112
29 Dec 2016
CHA91
MIA82
20 Oct 2016
CHA96
MIA88
29 Apr 2016
CHA90
MIA97
25 Apr 2016
CHA89
MIA85
23 Apr 2016
CHA96
MIA80
05 Feb 2016
CHA95
MIA98
09 Dec 2015
CHA99
MIA81
21 Jan 2015
CHA78
MIA76
05 Nov 2014
CHA96
MIA89
28 Apr 2014
CHA98
MIA109
26 Apr 2014
CHA85
MIA98
18 Jan 2014
CHA96
MIA104
16 Nov 2013
CHA81
MIA97
05 Apr 2013
CHA79
MIA89
26 Dec 2012
CHA92
MIA105
23 Oct 2012
CHA92
MIA98
28 Dec 2011
CHA95
MIA96
04 Feb 2011
CHA97
MIA109
03 Jan 2011
CHA82
MIA96
09 Mar 2010
CHA83
MIA78
20 Jan 2010
CHA104
MIA65
03 Apr 2009
CHA92
MIA97
01 Nov 2008
CHA100
MIA87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Charlotte Hornets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Charlotte HornetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando White
#1
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A02/07
NBA Orlando Summer League
Indiana Pacers
#6
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H03/07
NBA Orlando Summer League
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
W
78-74
78
74
+4
A04/07
NBA Orlando Summer League
Dallas Mavericks
#7
L
81-84
81
84
-3
H06/07
NBA Orlando Summer League
Dallas Mavericks
#7
L
92-97
92
97
-5
A08/07
NBA Orlando Summer League
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
88-95
88
95
-7
A04/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
92-107
92
107
-15
H06/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
86-104
86
104
-18
A08/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
98-86
98
86
+12
H10/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#17
W
108-104 OT
108
104
+4
A18/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
15-20
15-21
28-17
19-18
14-14
23-21
24-17
20-11
21-22
18-16
19-25
17-15
15-23
24-16
25-30
27-19
27-20
18-30
20-28
26-23
12-25
23-26
27-21
23-22
28-22
19-40
22-23
18-18
20-31
26-33
22-22
15-25
32-29
32-18
19-14
32-20
26-35
20-22
20-21
177.7Avg total
87.7Scored
90.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)94.499.2193.6-4.840%
Season at home (2)95.096.5191.5-1.550%
Season away (3)94.0101.0195.0-7.033%
Last 10 (10)87.790.0177.7-2.340%
Last 5 (5)94.499.2193.6-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)81.080.3161.3+0.767%
vs Similar ◀ (21)94.598.9193.4-4.438%
vs Weaker (6)107.393.8201.2+13.5100%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#4
W
80-71
80
71
+9
A12/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
81-77
81
77
+4
H13/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Phoenix Suns
#4
L
74-77
74
77
-3
A14/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Philadelphia 76ers
#19
L
66-74
66
74
-8
H16/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Washington Wizards
#8
W
106-95
106
95
+11
A04/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
100-109
100
109
-9
H09/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
121-100
121
100
+21
H11/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
108-100
108
100
+8
A15/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
96-101
96
101
-5
H15/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
107-77
107
77
+30
H18/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-16
23-17
24-13
18-25
20-19
23-17
14-25
24-16
23-23
14-23
16-14
21-17
20-21
17-22
16-20
13-11
35-22
26-22
25-26
20-25
23-23
39-24
23-41
15-21
27-26
28-33
38-17
28-24
30-24
25-24
33-20
20-32
21-27
37-24
18-32
20-18
27-19
29-27
20-16
31-15
182.0Avg total
93.9Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)106.397.0203.3+9.367%
Season at home (4)106.096.8202.8+9.250%
Season away (2)107.097.5204.5+9.5100%
Last 10 (10)93.988.1182.0+5.860%
Last 5 (5)106.497.4203.8+9.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)88.785.0173.7+3.767%
vs Similar ◀ (21)89.791.1180.8-1.538%
vs Weaker (6)93.073.5166.5+19.5100%
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +0.6+0.6
Charlotte HornetsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Charlotte HornetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando White
#1
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A02/07
NBA Orlando Summer League
Indiana Pacers
#6
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H03/07
NBA Orlando Summer League
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A04/07
NBA Orlando Summer League
Dallas Mavericks
#7
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H06/07
NBA Orlando Summer League
Dallas Mavericks
#7
W
54-39
54
39
+15
A08/07
NBA Orlando Summer League
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A04/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H06/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A08/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
47-54
47
54
-7
H10/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#17
W
58-55
58
55
+3
A18/10
NBA
85.6Avg total
42.3Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.048.496.4-0.553%-
Last 30 at home (11)47.445.893.2+1.564%-
Last 30 away (19)48.349.998.3-1.647%-
Last 10 (10)42.343.385.6-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)46.450.096.4-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.041.777.7-5.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)48.451.199.5-2.743%-
vs Weaker (6)52.542.595.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#4
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A12/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H13/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Phoenix Suns
#4
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A14/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Philadelphia 76ers
#19
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H16/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Washington Wizards
#8
W
61-44
61
44
+17
A04/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
62-47
62
47
+15
H09/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
L
55-59
55
59
-4
H11/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
55-48
55
48
+7
A15/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
58-51
58
51
+7
H15/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
56-46
56
46
+10
H18/10
NBA
95.5Avg total
50.2Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.444.490.7+2.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.145.193.2+3.160%-
Last 30 away (15)44.643.788.3+0.940%-
Last 10 (10)50.245.395.5+4.970%-
Last 5 (5)57.250.2107.4+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)43.745.088.7-1.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)46.345.691.9+0.743%-
vs Weaker (6)48.039.887.8+8.283%-
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Charlotte Hornetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Charlotte Hornets: 91.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.725.9
42.7%
50.2%51.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.06.4
27.8%
35.7%19.2
🏀 Free throws24.420.0
82.0%
77.0%20.0
They take 83.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 101.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.6 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.329.8
52.0%
50.2%59.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.6
35.2%
35.7%25.8
🏀 Free throws22.016.1
73.2%
77.0%16.1
They take 81.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Oct 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Charlotte Hornets
WWLLLLLWWL
Miami Heat
WLWWLWLLWW
#20
League position
#13
-4.3
Net rating
+4.1
93.0
Offensive rating
104.4
97.3
Defensive rating
100.3
42.4%
Effective FG%
52.3%
47.2%
Opp. effective FG%
45.5%
11.5%
Turnover %
13.7%
17.0%
Off. rebound %
19.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
27.8%
3-point %
35.2%
55.1%
Assist %
52.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence93.0 · 104.4Defence97.3 · 100.3Shooting42.4% · 52.3%3-point %27.8% · 35.2%Ball care11.5% · 13.7%Off. rebounds17.0% · 19.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Charlotte Hornets   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Charlotte Hornets wins
5
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/16AChicago Bulls108-104 OT
10/10/16HMinnesota Timberwolves98-86
08/10/16ABoston Celtics86-104
06/10/16HBoston Celtics92-107
04/10/16ADallas Mavericks88-95
08/07/16ADallas Mavericks92-97
06/07/16HDallas Mavericks81-84
04/07/16AOklahoma City Thunder78-74
03/07/16HIndiana Pacers80-70
02/07/16AOrlando White74-79
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/16HOrlando Magic107-77
15/10/16HMinnesota Timberwolves96-101
15/10/16ASan Antonio Spurs108-100
11/10/16HBrooklyn Nets121-100
09/10/16HMinnesota Timberwolves100-109
04/10/16AWashington Wizards106-95
16/07/16HPhiladelphia 76ers66-74
14/07/16APhoenix Suns74-77
13/07/16HNew Orleans Pelicans81-77
12/07/16APhoenix Suns80-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW40%
HomeLW50%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game94.495.094.0
Allowed / game99.296.5101.0
Point differential-4.8-1.5-7.0
Avg total193.6191.5195.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %20%0%33%
Miami Heat
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW67%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game106.3106.0107.0
Allowed / game97.096.897.5
Point differential+9.3+9.2+9.5
Avg total203.3202.8204.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors65183%113.7102.5+11.2
2 Houston Rockets54180%120.0109.8+10.2
3 Boston Celtics75271%105.099.1+5.9
4 Miami Heat64267%106.397.0+9.3
5 Memphis Grizzlies64267%107.3102.0+5.3
6 Atlanta Hawks64267%98.294.0+4.2
7 Portland Trail Blazers64267%102.5100.7+1.8
8 Minnesota Timberwolves64267%99.398.0+1.3
9 Toronto Raptors53260%104.698.2+6.4
10 San Antonio Spurs53260%93.892.0+1.8
11 New York Knicks53260%107.4106.2+1.2
12 Phoenix Suns53260%104.6104.4+0.2
13 Chicago Bulls63350%108.2102.5+5.7
14 Detroit Pistons63350%94.289.7+4.5
15 Utah Jazz63350%97.894.7+3.2
16 Washington Wizards63350%103.8101.5+2.3
17 Oklahoma City Thunder42250%103.0101.2+1.8
18 Indiana Pacers63350%107.2105.5+1.7
19 Milwaukee Bucks63350%89.896.3-6.5
20 Los Angeles Clippers63350%92.0102.5-10.5
21 Denver Nuggets73443%104.7107.9-3.1
22 Sacramento Kings52340%101.8104.6-2.8
23 Charlotte Hornets52340%94.499.2-4.8
24 Cleveland Cavaliers62433%101.8106.5-4.7
25 Dallas Mavericks62433%97.2103.2-6.0
26 Los Angeles Lakers72529%107.6108.6-1.0
27 New Orleans Pelicans51420%104.4110.0-5.6
28 Brooklyn Nets51420%99.0110.2-11.2
29 Orlando Magic61517%96.2105.3-9.2
30 Philadelphia 76ers61517%93.7106.7-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Charlotte Hornets3321202296
Miami Heat1924291688
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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