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Orlando Magic vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 100-113
29-28 23-26 25-39 23-20
Position#15
Record23-19
FormLLWLL
Points / game104.2
Allowed / game103.9
vs
Position#9
Record25-16
FormWWWLW
Points / game120.3
Allowed / game115.9
USANBA· Kia Center
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Orlando Magic v Denver Nuggets
20 Mar 2027
ORL v DEN
upcoming
27 Dec 2025
ORL127
DEN126
19 Jan 2025
ORL100
DEN113
22 Nov 2023
ORL124
DEN119
09 Feb 2023
ORL115
DEN104
01 Dec 2021
ORL108
DEN103
23 Mar 2021
ORL99
DEN110
02 Nov 2019
ORL87
DEN91
05 Dec 2018
ORL118
DEN124
08 Dec 2017
ORL89
DEN103
10 Dec 2016
ORL113
DEN121
15 Mar 2016
ORL116
DEN110
22 Mar 2015
ORL100
DEN119
12 Mar 2014
ORL112
DEN120
02 Nov 2012
ORL102
DEN89
01 Apr 2012
ORL101
DEN104
18 Mar 2011
ORL85
DEN82
28 Mar 2010
ORL103
DEN97
11 Feb 2009
ORL73
DEN82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Orlando Magic winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMagic
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
102-101
102
101
+1
97avg 99
H29/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
96-105
96
105
-9
74avg 99
A02/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
106-97
106
97
+9
107avg 99
A04/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
L
92-105
92
105
-13
74avg 99
H05/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
W
103-94
103
94
+9
98avg 99
A07/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
89-104
89
104
-15
77avg 99
H10/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
L
106-109
106
109
-3
93avg 99
H11/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
104-99
104
99
+5
97avg 99
H12/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
L
93-122
93
122
-29
70avg 99
A16/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
94-121
94
121
-27
76avg 99
A18/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-27
22-34
25-22
34-18
21-31
28-34
26-19
21-21
37-24
25-26
26-18
18-29
25-22
18-21
19-28
30-34
24-28
29-23
22-17
28-26
18-29
21-23
23-26
27-26
31-29
20-21
30-28
25-31
24-21
25-27
24-29
31-22
16-34
25-28
27-30
25-30
28-35
26-31
22-30
18-25
204.2Avg total
98.5Scored
105.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)104.2103.9208.0+0.355%
Season at home (21)105.8101.4207.2+4.367%
Season away (21)102.6106.3208.9-3.743%
Last 10 (10)98.5105.7204.2-7.240%
Last 5 (5)97.2111.0208.2-13.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)96.6107.6204.2-11.020%
vs Similar ◀ (15)105.5107.0212.5-1.553%
vs Weaker (9)101.696.8198.3+4.878%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#18
W
139-120
139
120
+19
147avg 110
H02/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
L
110-113
110
113
-3
102avg 110
H04/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
122-111 OT
122
111
+11
115avg 110
A05/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
106-118
106
118
-12
95avg 110
H08/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
126-103
126
103
+23
124avg 110
H09/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
124-105
124
105
+19
126avg 110
H11/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
112-101
112
101
+11
105avg 110
A12/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
118-99
118
99
+19
121avg 110
A15/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
108-128
108
128
-20
102avg 110
H16/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
W
133-113
133
113
+20
133avg 110
A18/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
40-33
34-38
41-24
24-25
30-32
22-28
38-27
20-26
30-27
24-28
27-37
27-16
25-37
32-20
26-31
23-30
33-19
33-31
32-27
28-26
32-36
33-23
29-20
30-26
17-32
41-29
21-28
33-12
36-21
35-24
20-22
27-32
23-28
25-41
33-33
27-26
30-24
37-31
31-31
35-27
230.9Avg total
119.8Scored
111.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)120.3115.9236.2+4.461%
Season at home (20)119.9116.2236.2+3.760%
Season away (21)120.7115.6236.3+5.162%
Last 10 (10)119.8111.1230.9+8.770%
Last 5 (5)119.0109.2228.2+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)118.3131.0249.3-12.70%
vs Similar ◀ (15)119.9114.5234.5+5.467%
vs Weaker (12)123.0113.4236.4+9.667%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +2.8+2.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +2.8+2.8
Orlando MagicDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
43-61
43
61
-18
H29/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
49-65
49
65
-16
A02/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
62-50
62
50
+12
A04/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H05/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
W
53-51
53
51
+2
A07/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H10/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H11/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H12/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
L
41-62
41
62
-21
A16/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
54-66
54
66
-12
A18/01
NBA
103.2Avg total
48.4Scored
54.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.355.3106.6-3.930%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.754.2103.9-4.533%-
Last 30 away (15)52.956.3109.3-3.427%-
Last 10 (10)48.454.8103.2-6.440%-
Last 5 (5)46.855.6102.4-8.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)47.259.6106.8-12.40%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)54.757.0111.7-2.347%-
vs Weaker (9)47.249.496.7-2.222%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#18
W
74-71
74
71
+3
H02/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
L
52-60
52
60
-8
H04/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
L
54-55
54
55
-1
A05/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
D
57-57
57
57
+0
H08/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
66-50
66
50
+16
H09/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
65-59
65
59
+6
H11/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
58-61
58
61
-3
A12/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
71-45
71
45
+26
A15/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
48-69
48
69
-21
H16/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
W
67-55
67
55
+12
A18/01
NBA
119.4Avg total
61.2Scored
58.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.360.7121.1-0.440%-
Last 30 at home (13)58.562.4120.8-3.946%-
Last 30 away (17)61.859.5121.2+2.335%-
Last 10 (10)61.258.2119.4+3.050%-
Last 5 (5)61.857.8119.6+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)61.367.7129.0-6.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)59.359.7119.1-0.447%-
vs Weaker (12)61.360.2121.6+1.142%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 98.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.824.9
52.1%
54.3%49.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.111.2
29.4%
35.9%33.6
🏀 Free throws21.815.1
69.3%
77.8%15.1
They take 85.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 119.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.632.8
56.0%
54.3%65.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.112.7
39.6%
35.9%38.1
🏀 Free throws20.716.1
77.8%
77.8%16.1
They take 90.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Orlando Magic
LLWLLWLWLW
Denver Nuggets
WLWWWWLWLW
#15
League position
#9
-7.6
Net rating
+8.5
103.4
Offensive rating
117.3
111.0
Defensive rating
108.8
48.5%
Effective FG%
57.2%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
12.3%
Turnover %
12.0%
25.8%
Off. rebound %
24.1%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.23
29.4%
3-point %
39.6%
64.3%
Assist %
66.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence103.4 · 117.3Defence111.0 · 108.8Shooting48.5% · 57.2%3-point %29.4% · 39.6%Ball care12.3% · 12.0%Off. rebounds25.8% · 24.1%Free throws0.25 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Orlando Magic   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Orlando Magic wins
5
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/25ABoston Celtics94-121
16/01/25AMilwaukee Bucks93-122
12/01/25HPhiladelphia 76ers104-99
11/01/25HMilwaukee Bucks106-109
10/01/25HMinnesota Timberwolves89-104
07/01/25ANew York Knicks103-94
05/01/25HUtah Jazz92-105
04/01/25AToronto Raptors106-97
02/01/25ADetroit Pistons96-105
29/12/24HBrooklyn Nets102-101
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/25AMiami Heat133-113
16/01/25HHouston Rockets108-128
15/01/25ADallas Mavericks118-99
12/01/25ADallas Mavericks112-101
11/01/25HBrooklyn Nets124-105
09/01/25HLos Angeles Clippers126-103
08/01/25HBoston Celtics106-118
05/01/25ASan Antonio Spurs122-111 OT
04/01/25HSan Antonio Spurs110-113
02/01/25HAtlanta Hawks139-120

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Orlando Magic
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL55%
HomeWLLLW67%
AwayLWWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422121
Win %55%67%43%
Points / game104.2105.8102.6
Allowed / game103.9101.4106.3
Point differential+0.3+4.3-3.7
Avg total208.0207.2208.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%33%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)75% (8)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW61%
HomeLLWWL60%
AwayWWWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412021
Win %61%60%62%
Points / game120.3119.9120.7
Allowed / game115.9116.2115.6
Point differential+4.4+3.6+5.1
Avg total236.2236.2236.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%40%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (14)57% (7)57% (7)
Overtime %10%0%19%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers4135685%122.1112.1+10.0
2 Oklahoma City Thunder3932782%116.3103.9+12.4
3 Houston Rockets39271269%115.3108.2+7.1
4 Boston Celtics42291369%117.5108.6+8.9
5 Memphis Grizzlies42271564%123.4115.1+8.3
6 New York Knicks42271564%117.4111.1+6.3
7 Denver Nuggets41251661%120.3115.9+4.4
8 Los Angeles Clippers40231757%109.6106.6+3.0
9 Los Angeles Lakers39221756%111.5113.8-2.3
10 Dallas Mavericks41231856%115.7111.7+4.0
11 Indiana Pacers43241956%115.2114.6+0.6
12 Milwaukee Bucks38211755%113.9111.4+2.4
13 Orlando Magic42231955%104.2103.9+0.3
14 Atlanta Hawks39211854%117.8119.7-1.9
15 Golden State Warriors40211952%111.9111.3+0.6
16 Minnesota Timberwolves42222052%110.1108.0+2.0
17 Sacramento Kings41212051%116.5114.2+2.3
18 Miami Heat41212051%111.2110.0+1.2
19 Phoenix Suns41212051%113.2114.3-1.1
20 Detroit Pistons42212150%112.3113.5-1.3
21 San Antonio Spurs41192246%111.6113.0-1.4
22 Chicago Bulls42182443%117.6120.6-3.0
23 Philadelphia 76ers40152538%107.4111.3-3.9
24 Brooklyn Nets42142833%106.8113.7-7.0
25 Portland Trail Blazers41132832%107.8117.1-9.3
26 Charlotte Hornets38102826%107.0112.7-5.7
27 New Orleans Pelicans43113226%108.9117.2-8.3
28 Utah Jazz40103025%111.2118.1-6.8
29 Toronto Raptors42103224%111.0118.5-7.5
30 Washington Wizards4063415%108.8122.8-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Orlando Magic29232523100
Denver Nuggets28263920113
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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