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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 133-104
40-31 31-29 38-31 24-13
Position#7
Record23-21
FormLWLLW
Points / game110.1
Allowed / game108.2
vs
Position#9
Record28-16
FormLWWWW
Points / game121.0
Allowed / game115.6
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Denver Nuggets
27 Jan 2027
MIN v DEN
upcoming
31 Dec 2026
MIN v DEN
upcoming
30 Apr 2026
MIN110
DEN98
25 Apr 2026
MIN112
DEN96
23 Apr 2026
MIN113
DEN96
15 Nov 2025
MIN112
DEN123
27 Oct 2025
MIN114
DEN127
25 Jan 2025
MIN133
DEN104
01 Nov 2024
MIN119
DEN116
16 May 2024
MIN115
DEN70
12 May 2024
MIN107
DEN115
10 May 2024
MIN90
DEN117
19 Mar 2024
MIN112
DEN115
01 Nov 2023
MIN110
DEN89
23 Apr 2023
MIN114
DEN108
21 Apr 2023
MIN111
DEN120
05 Feb 2023
MIN128
DEN98
02 Jan 2023
MIN124
DEN111
01 Feb 2022
MIN130
DEN115
30 Oct 2021
MIN91
DEN93
13 May 2021
MIN103
DEN114
03 Jan 2021
MIN109
DEN124
20 Jan 2020
MIN100
DEN107
10 Nov 2019
MIN98
DEN100
02 Feb 2019
MIN106
DEN107
21 Nov 2018
MIN101
DEN103
11 Apr 2018
MIN112
DEN106
27 Dec 2017
MIN128
DEN125
22 Jan 2017
MIN111
DEN108
03 Nov 2016
MIN99
DEN102
06 Jan 2016
MIN74
DEN78
15 Dec 2015
MIN100
DEN112
04 Mar 2015
MIN85
DEN100
05 Jan 2015
MIN101
DEN110
12 Feb 2014
MIN117
DEN90
27 Nov 2013
MIN110
DEN117
12 Dec 2012
MIN108
DEN105
21 Nov 2012
MIN94
DEN101
26 Apr 2012
MIN102
DEN131
25 Mar 2012
MIN117
DEN100
05 Feb 2011
MIN100
DEN113
29 Dec 2010
MIN113
DEN119
10 Mar 2010
MIN102
DEN110
25 Nov 2009
MIN111
DEN124
05 Apr 2009
MIN87
DEN110
29 Nov 2008
MIN97
DEN106
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
108-106
108
106
+2
102avg 105
H07/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
104-97
104
97
+7
99avg 105
A08/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
W
104-89
104
89
+15
95avg 105
A10/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
125-127
125
127
-2
130avg 105
H12/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
120-106
120
106
+14
116avg 105
A14/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
115-116
115
116
-1
102avg 105
H16/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
W
116-99
116
99
+17
115avg 105
A18/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
117-124
117
124
-7
110avg 105
H19/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
106-108
106
108
-2
96avg 105
A20/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
115-114
115
114
+1
109avg 105
A23/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-27
30-26
31-23
31-30
34-33
20-21
29-21
21-22
29-18
23-21
26-23
26-27
33-35
32-29
38-35
22-28
25-20
26-27
31-32
38-27
12-34
30-21
36-32
37-29
28-21
35-38
18-19
35-21
32-29
28-31
19-29
38-35
28-21
26-22
22-28
30-37
17-22
38-31
31-29
29-32
221.6Avg total
113.0Scored
108.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)110.1108.2218.2+1.952%
Season at home (20)110.8109.1219.9+1.750%
Season away (24)109.5107.4216.9+2.154%
Last 10 (10)113.0108.6221.6+4.460%
Last 5 (5)113.8112.2226.0+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)110.5115.5226.0-5.00%
vs Similar ◀ (16)108.1105.8213.9+2.250%
vs Weaker (10)107.9104.9212.8+3.070%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#3
L
106-118
106
118
-12
95avg 111
H08/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
126-103
126
103
+23
124avg 111
H09/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
124-105
124
105
+19
126avg 111
H11/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
112-101
112
101
+11
105avg 111
A12/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
118-99
118
99
+19
121avg 111
A15/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
108-128
108
128
-20
102avg 111
H16/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
W
133-113
133
113
+20
133avg 111
A18/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
W
113-100
113
100
+13
118avg 111
A19/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
144-109
144
109
+35
158avg 111
H22/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
132-123
132
123
+9
126avg 111
H24/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-37
32-20
26-31
23-30
33-19
33-31
32-27
28-26
32-36
33-23
29-20
30-26
17-32
41-29
21-28
33-12
36-21
35-24
20-22
27-32
23-28
25-41
33-33
27-26
30-24
37-31
31-31
35-27
28-29
26-23
39-25
20-23
35-27
42-40
40-27
27-15
40-31
34-21
36-33
22-38
231.5Avg total
121.6Scored
109.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)121.0115.6236.5+5.464%
Season at home (22)121.5116.2237.8+5.364%
Season away (22)120.4114.9235.3+5.564%
Last 10 (10)121.6109.9231.5+11.780%
Last 5 (5)126.0114.6240.6+11.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)118.3131.0249.3-12.70%
vs Similar ◀ (14)122.3114.5236.8+7.879%
vs Weaker (13)124.6113.1237.7+11.569%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +1.7+1.7
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +1.7+1.7
Minnesota TimberwolvesDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H07/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
D
54-54
54
54
+0
A08/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A10/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
65-64
65
64
+1
H12/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A14/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
42-55
42
55
-13
H16/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
W
63-59
63
59
+4
A18/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
D
60-60
60
60
+0
H19/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A20/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
55-53
55
53
+2
A23/01
NBA
106.9Avg total
54.2Scored
52.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.151.1104.2+2.060%-
Last 30 at home (13)51.755.6107.3-3.938%-
Last 30 away (17)54.247.7101.9+6.576%-
Last 10 (10)54.252.7106.9+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)54.854.0108.8+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)53.855.8109.5-2.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)52.351.4103.8+0.962%-
vs Weaker (10)54.148.8102.9+5.370%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#3
D
57-57
57
57
+0
H08/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
66-50
66
50
+16
H09/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
65-59
65
59
+6
H11/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
58-61
58
61
-3
A12/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
71-45
71
45
+26
A15/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
48-69
48
69
-21
H16/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
W
67-55
67
55
+12
A18/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
W
54-52
54
52
+2
A19/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H22/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
74-52
74
52
+22
H24/01
NBA
120.4Avg total
63.7Scored
56.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.760.3122.0+1.447%-
Last 30 at home (14)61.361.2122.5+0.157%-
Last 30 away (16)62.159.4121.5+2.638%-
Last 10 (10)63.756.7120.4+7.070%-
Last 5 (5)64.059.0123.0+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)61.367.7129.0-6.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)61.058.2119.2+2.857%-
vs Weaker (13)62.560.8123.3+1.846%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 113.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.9 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.824.4
51.0%
54.3%48.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.315.3
39.9%
35.9%45.9
🏀 Free throws24.018.3
76.2%
77.8%18.3
They take 86.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 121.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.032.8
58.6%
54.3%65.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.112.6
40.5%
35.9%37.8
🏀 Free throws23.418.2
77.8%
77.8%18.2
They take 87.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
WLLWLWLWWW
Denver Nuggets
WWWWLWWWWL
#7
League position
#9
+4.5
Net rating
+11.6
114.9
Offensive rating
121.1
110.4
Defensive rating
109.4
55.0%
Effective FG%
59.4%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
13.6%
Turnover %
13.8%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.27
39.9%
3-point %
40.5%
63.0%
Assist %
63.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence114.9 · 121.1Defence110.4 · 109.4Shooting55.0% · 59.4%3-point %39.9% · 40.5%Ball care13.6% · 13.8%Off. rebounds28.8% · 29.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/25ADallas Mavericks115-114
20/01/25AMemphis Grizzlies106-108
19/01/25HCleveland Cavaliers117-124
18/01/25ANew York Knicks116-99
16/01/25HGolden State Warriors115-116
14/01/25AWashington Wizards120-106
12/01/25HMemphis Grizzlies125-127
10/01/25AOrlando Magic104-89
08/01/25ANew Orleans Pelicans104-97
07/01/25HLos Angeles Clippers108-106
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/25HSacramento Kings132-123
22/01/25HPhiladelphia 76ers144-109
19/01/25AOrlando Magic113-100
18/01/25AMiami Heat133-113
16/01/25HHouston Rockets108-128
15/01/25ADallas Mavericks118-99
12/01/25ADallas Mavericks112-101
11/01/25HBrooklyn Nets124-105
09/01/25HLos Angeles Clippers126-103
08/01/25HBoston Celtics106-118

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW52%
HomeLWLLL50%
AwayWWWLW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games442024
Win %52%50%54%
Points / game110.1110.8109.5
Allowed / game108.2109.1107.4
Point differential+1.9+1.7+2.1
Avg total218.2219.9216.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%25%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (16)56% (9)57% (7)
Overtime %5%5%4%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW64%
HomeWWLWW64%
AwayWWWWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games442222
Win %64%64%64%
Points / game121.0121.5120.4
Allowed / game115.6116.2114.9
Point differential+5.4+5.3+5.5
Avg total236.5237.8235.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%41%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (14)57% (7)57% (7)
Overtime %9%0%18%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers4436882%121.8112.0+9.8
2 Oklahoma City Thunder4234881%116.6104.5+12.2
3 Boston Celtics45311469%117.2108.4+8.8
4 Houston Rockets41281368%114.7108.2+6.5
5 Memphis Grizzlies45301567%123.6115.3+8.4
6 New York Knicks44291566%117.0110.8+6.3
7 Denver Nuggets44281664%121.0115.6+5.4
8 Milwaukee Bucks40231757%114.4111.0+3.4
9 Los Angeles Lakers42241857%111.4112.8-1.5
10 Los Angeles Clippers44251957%109.6106.6+3.0
11 Indiana Pacers45252056%115.5114.8+0.8
12 Dallas Mavericks44242055%115.5111.8+3.7
13 Sacramento Kings44232152%117.0114.4+2.6
14 Minnesota Timberwolves44232152%110.1108.2+1.9
15 Detroit Pistons44232152%112.2112.9-0.7
16 Golden State Warriors43222151%111.9111.8+0.1
17 Phoenix Suns43222151%112.6113.7-1.1
18 Orlando Magic45232251%103.3104.1-0.8
19 Atlanta Hawks42212150%117.4119.6-2.3
20 Miami Heat43212249%110.8110.5+0.3
21 San Antonio Spurs43202347%112.0113.5-1.5
22 Chicago Bulls45192642%116.9120.2-3.4
23 Portland Trail Blazers45172838%107.8115.2-7.4
24 Philadelphia 76ers43162737%108.1112.7-4.7
25 Brooklyn Nets45143131%105.9113.6-7.7
26 Toronto Raptors44123227%111.2118.0-6.8
27 Charlotte Hornets41113027%107.2112.7-5.6
28 New Orleans Pelicans45123327%109.6117.7-8.1
29 Utah Jazz42103224%111.5118.3-6.8
30 Washington Wizards4363714%107.7122.2-14.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves40313824133
Denver Nuggets31293113104
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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