PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 07 Mar 2017
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 98-106
22-29 30-33 19-27 27-17
Position#5
Record44-23
FormLWLWL
Points / game110.2
Allowed / game106.5
vs
Position#13
Record33-38
FormWLWLW
Points / game102.5
Allowed / game101.6
USANBA· Quicken Loans Arena
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Cleveland Cavaliers v Miami Heat
29 Mar 2027
CLE v MIA
upcoming
29 Nov 2026
CLE v MIA
upcoming
27 Mar 2026
CLE149
MIA128
25 Mar 2026
CLE103
MIA120
13 Jul 2025
CLE92
MIA72
23 Apr 2025
CLE121
MIA112
20 Apr 2025
CLE121
MIA100
05 Mar 2025
CLE112
MIA107
20 Mar 2024
CLE104
MIA107
22 Nov 2023
CLE96
MIA129
31 Jan 2023
CLE97
MIA100
20 Nov 2022
CLE113
MIA87
13 Dec 2021
CLE105
MIA94
01 May 2021
CLE107
MIA124
24 Feb 2020
CLE125
MIA119
14 Nov 2019
CLE97
MIA108
25 Jan 2019
CLE94
MIA100
02 Jan 2019
CLE92
MIA117
31 Jan 2018
CLE91
MIA89
28 Nov 2017
CLE108
MIA97
06 Mar 2017
CLE98
MIA106
09 Dec 2016
CLE114
MIA84
30 Oct 2015
CLE102
MIA92
02 Apr 2015
CLE114
MIA88
11 Feb 2015
CLE113
MIA93
18 Jul 2014
CLE95
MIA90
18 Mar 2014
CLE96
MIA100
27 Nov 2013
CLE84
MIA95
20 Jul 2013
CLE76
MIA82
15 Apr 2013
CLE95
MIA96
20 Mar 2013
CLE95
MIA98
17 Feb 2012
CLE87
MIA111
29 Mar 2011
CLE102
MIA90
02 Dec 2010
CLE90
MIA118
04 Feb 2010
CLE102
MIA86
07 Mar 2009
CLE99
MIA89
28 Dec 2008
CLE93
MIA86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cleveland Cavaliers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cleveland CavaliersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
109-118
109
118
-9
A10/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#16
W
125-109
125
109
+16
H12/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
116-108
116
108
+8
A15/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#15
W
113-104
113
104
+9
H16/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
119-104
119
104
+15
H24/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#17
L
99-117
99
117
-18
H26/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
102-95
102
95
+7
H28/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
99-103
99
103
-4
A02/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#11
W
135-130
135
130
+5
A04/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
L
92-120
92
120
-28
A05/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-29
36-26
25-31
27-32
28-33
31-22
33-23
33-31
26-30
43-31
24-32
23-15
28-32
29-22
26-26
30-24
34-33
35-18
18-28
32-25
22-23
34-32
20-34
23-28
27-25
25-25
25-23
25-22
26-20
24-29
21-25
28-29
39-33
38-27
29-28
29-42
35-35
16-32
24-34
17-19
221.7Avg total
110.9Scored
110.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (67)110.2106.5216.7+3.766%
Season at home (36)112.2104.1216.3+8.178%
Season away (31)107.8109.3217.1-1.552%
Last 10 (10)110.9110.8221.7+0.160%
Last 5 (5)105.4113.0218.4-7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)91.0126.0217.0-35.00%
vs Similar ◀ (14)112.4112.6225.0-0.350%
vs Weaker (15)111.9105.8217.7+6.173%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
108-99
108
99
+9
A11/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
109-117
109
117
-8
A12/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
107-116
107
116
-9
H14/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
117-109
117
109
+8
A16/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#11
W
108-90
108
90
+18
A25/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#15
W
113-95
113
95
+18
H26/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
89-96
89
96
-7
A28/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
125-98
125
98
+27
H02/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
99-110
99
110
-11
A04/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
W
120-92
120
92
+28
H05/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
29-31
25-19
34-27
27-27
21-27
28-30
33-33
28-36
29-24
30-27
20-29
34-28
24-17
30-28
29-36
25-24
38-25
24-17
21-24
18-23
35-31
30-25
30-16
31-22
23-33
15-23
20-18
37-27
27-17
24-30
37-24
25-33
28-27
20-25
26-25
35-35
32-16
34-24
19-17
211.7Avg total
109.5Scored
102.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (71)102.5101.6204.0+0.946%
Season at home (35)105.8101.3207.1+4.551%
Season away (36)99.2101.9201.1-2.742%
Last 10 (10)109.5102.2211.7+7.360%
Last 5 (5)109.298.2207.4+11.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)100.0104.5204.5-4.550%
vs Similar ◀ (15)109.0100.6209.6+8.473%
vs Weaker (13)105.5104.8210.3+0.654%
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +2.0+2.0
Cleveland CavaliersMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cleveland CavaliersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
57-55
57
55
+2
A10/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#16
W
59-55
59
55
+4
H12/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
69-61
69
61
+8
A15/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#15
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H16/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
69-51
69
51
+18
H24/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#17
W
56-55
56
55
+1
H26/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H28/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A02/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#11
W
77-60
77
60
+17
A04/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
L
51-67
51
67
-16
A05/03
NBA
115.4Avg total
59.7Scored
55.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.154.1110.2+2.167%-
Last 30 at home (13)55.651.0106.6+4.685%-
Last 30 away (17)56.556.4112.9+0.153%-
Last 10 (10)59.755.7115.4+4.090%-
Last 5 (5)57.256.2113.4+1.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)49.078.0127.0-29.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)56.656.0112.6+0.664%-
vs Weaker (15)56.250.7106.9+5.573%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#30
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A11/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
48-54
48
54
-6
A12/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H14/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
58-45
58
45
+13
A16/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#11
W
63-49
63
49
+14
A25/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#15
L
53-54
53
54
-1
H26/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
54-55
54
55
-1
A28/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
64-44
64
44
+20
H02/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
53-60
53
60
-7
A04/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
W
67-51
67
51
+16
H05/03
NBA
109.1Avg total
56.6Scored
52.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.653.5109.2+2.147%-
Last 30 at home (13)57.651.9109.5+5.762%-
Last 30 away (17)54.154.8108.9-0.635%-
Last 10 (10)56.652.5109.1+4.140%-
Last 5 (5)58.252.8111.0+5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)50.050.5100.5-0.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)56.952.2109.1+4.760%-
vs Weaker (13)55.155.5110.6-0.531%-
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cleveland Cavalierstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cleveland Cavaliers: 110.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.026.3
54.8%
50.2%52.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.814.1
41.7%
35.7%42.3
🏀 Free throws20.916.0
76.6%
77.0%16.0
They take 81.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 109.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.329.7
50.9%
50.2%59.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.011.1
38.3%
35.7%33.3
🏀 Free throws21.516.8
78.1%
77.0%16.8
They take 87.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cleveland Cavaliers
LWLWLWWWWL
Miami Heat
WLWLWWWLLW
#5
League position
#13
+0.1
Net rating
+7.5
114.3
Offensive rating
112.1
114.2
Defensive rating
104.6
58.0%
Effective FG%
53.1%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
13.3%
Turnover %
13.3%
18.0%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.25
41.7%
3-point %
38.3%
58.9%
Assist %
51.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.3 · 112.1Defence114.2 · 104.6Shooting58.0% · 53.1%3-point %41.7% · 38.3%Ball care13.3% · 13.3%Off. rebounds18.0% · 27.1%Free throws0.26 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Cleveland Cavaliers   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Cleveland Cavaliers wins
5
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/17AMiami Heat92-120
04/03/17AAtlanta Hawks135-130
02/03/17ABoston Celtics99-103
28/02/17HMilwaukee Bucks102-95
26/02/17HChicago Bulls99-117
24/02/17HNew York Knicks119-104
16/02/17HIndiana Pacers113-104
15/02/17AMinnesota Timberwolves116-108
12/02/17HDenver Nuggets125-109
10/02/17AOklahoma City Thunder109-118
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/17HCleveland Cavaliers120-92
04/03/17AOrlando Magic99-110
02/03/17HPhiladelphia 76ers125-98
28/02/17ADallas Mavericks89-96
26/02/17HIndiana Pacers113-95
25/02/17AAtlanta Hawks108-90
16/02/17AHouston Rockets117-109
14/02/17HOrlando Magic107-116
12/02/17APhiladelphia 76ers109-117
11/02/17ABrooklyn Nets108-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL66%
HomeWWWLW78%
AwayLWLWL52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games673631
Win %66%78%52%
Points / game110.2112.2107.8
Allowed / game106.5104.1109.3
Point differential+3.7+8.1-1.5
Avg total216.7216.3217.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%44%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (16)43% (7)78% (9)
Overtime %6%6%6%
Miami Heat
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW46%
HomeWLWWW51%
AwayLWWLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games713536
Win %46%51%42%
Points / game102.5105.899.2
Allowed / game101.6101.3101.9
Point differential+0.9+4.5-2.7
Avg total204.0207.1201.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%34%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won41% (17)25% (8)56% (9)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors69571283%117.0104.9+12.0
2 San Antonio Spurs67521578%105.797.7+7.9
3 Houston Rockets69482170%115.4108.5+6.9
4 Cleveland Cavaliers67442366%110.2106.5+3.7
5 Boston Celtics70452564%107.7104.8+2.8
6 Utah Jazz69422761%100.396.1+4.2
7 Washington Wizards68412760%107.8104.9+2.8
8 Los Angeles Clippers68402859%106.4104.7+1.7
9 Toronto Raptors69402958%107.3103.8+3.5
10 Memphis Grizzlies69402958%101.8100.3+1.5
11 Atlanta Hawks69393057%103.1103.2-0.1
12 Oklahoma City Thunder67373055%105.9105.9+0.0
13 Indiana Pacers68353351%105.4106.0-0.6
14 Chicago Bulls69343549%102.7103.0-0.2
15 Detroit Pistons68333549%101.3101.1+0.2
16 Miami Heat71333846%102.5101.6+0.9
17 Milwaukee Bucks67313646%103.8104.3-0.5
18 Denver Nuggets70323846%109.9110.6-0.6
19 Portland Trail Blazers68303844%107.3109.4-2.1
20 Minnesota Timberwolves69303943%104.4104.0+0.4
21 Charlotte Hornets69303943%103.5104.0-0.5
22 New York Knicks69294042%106.0108.6-2.6
23 Dallas Mavericks69284141%97.5100.0-2.4
24 Sacramento Kings67274040%102.6105.5-2.9
25 New Orleans Pelicans69264338%103.3106.7-3.4
26 Phoenix Suns69254436%107.1111.6-4.5
27 Philadelphia 76ers69254436%101.3107.7-6.5
28 Orlando Magic70254536%99.8105.8-6.1
29 Los Angeles Lakers71215030%104.1110.4-6.3
30 Brooklyn Nets67115616%105.0114.1-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cleveland Cavaliers2230192798
Miami Heat29332717106
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.