PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Mar 2017
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 110-99
33-25 27-28 25-20 25-26
Position#26
Record22-39
FormWLLWL
Points / game99.5
Allowed / game105.8
vs
Position#13
Record28-33
FormWWWLW
Points / game102.0
Allowed / game102.0
USANBA· Amway Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Orlando Magic v Miami Heat
05 Apr 2027
ORL v MIA
upcoming
12 Feb 2027
ORL v MIA
upcoming
05 Dec 2025
ORL106
MIA105
22 Oct 2025
ORL125
MIA121
26 Dec 2024
ORL88
MIA89
21 Dec 2024
ORL121
MIA114
21 Jan 2024
ORL105
MIA87
20 Dec 2023
ORL106
MIA115
11 Mar 2023
ORL126
MIA114
11 Feb 2023
ORL103
MIA107
10 Apr 2022
ORL125
MIA111
17 Dec 2021
ORL105
MIA115
14 Mar 2021
ORL97
MIA102
23 Dec 2020
ORL113
MIA107
01 Feb 2020
ORL89
MIA102
03 Jan 2020
ORL105
MIA85
23 Dec 2018
ORL91
MIA115
17 Oct 2018
ORL104
MIA101
30 Dec 2017
ORL111
MIA117
18 Oct 2017
ORL116
MIA109
03 Mar 2017
ORL110
MIA99
26 Oct 2016
ORL96
MIA108
08 Apr 2016
ORL112
MIA109
26 Dec 2015
ORL101
MIA108
25 Feb 2015
ORL90
MIA93
22 Nov 2014
ORL92
MIA99
04 Jan 2014
ORL94
MIA110
20 Nov 2013
ORL92
MIA120
25 Mar 2013
ORL94
MIA108
31 Dec 2012
ORL110
MIA112
13 Mar 2012
ORL104
MIA98
08 Feb 2012
ORL102
MIA89
21 Dec 2011
ORL104
MIA100
03 Feb 2011
ORL100
MIA104
24 Nov 2010
ORL104
MIA95
28 Feb 2010
ORL96
MIA80
25 Nov 2009
ORL98
MIA99
22 Feb 2009
ORL122
MIA99
02 Jan 2009
ORL86
MIA76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Orlando Magic winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMagic
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
102-94
102
94
+8
96avg 90
H04/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
86-113
86
113
-27
69avg 90
A05/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
104-128
104
128
-24
100avg 90
A08/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
111-112
111
112
-1
109avg 90
H10/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
80-112
80
112
-32
65avg 90
A12/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
W
116-107
116
107
+9
106avg 90
A14/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
79-107
79
107
-28
63avg 90
H16/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
103-112
103
112
-9
85avg 90
H24/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
105-86
105
86
+19
101avg 90
H26/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
L
90-101
90
101
-11
73avg 90
H02/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-24
24-30
21-12
29-28
24-35
15-30
26-26
21-22
28-35
26-35
30-24
20-34
25-20
23-35
36-30
27-27
23-29
12-32
17-23
28-28
36-28
24-29
27-30
29-20
16-30
21-24
27-31
15-22
25-23
30-23
30-31
18-35
22-19
27-27
31-19
25-21
24-31
27-29
16-19
23-22
204.8Avg total
97.6Scored
107.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (61)99.5105.8205.3-6.336%
Season at home (30)97.2102.5199.7-5.333%
Season away (31)101.7108.9210.6-7.339%
Last 10 (10)97.6107.2204.8-9.630%
Last 5 (5)98.6102.6201.2-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)101.3109.7211.0-8.329%
vs Similar (6)100.0104.8204.8-4.833%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
W
115-113
115
113
+2
109avg 93
A07/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
106-88
106
88
+18
100avg 93
A09/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
108-99
108
99
+9
93avg 93
A11/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
109-117
109
117
-8
98avg 93
A12/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
107-116
107
116
-9
91avg 93
H14/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
117-109
117
109
+8
114avg 93
A16/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
108-90
108
90
+18
102avg 93
A25/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
W
113-95
113
95
+18
108avg 93
H26/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
89-96
89
96
-7
80avg 93
A28/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
125-98
125
98
+27
117avg 93
H02/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
40-33
31-24
22-31
22-25
28-15
27-29
26-19
25-25
20-22
29-31
25-19
34-27
27-27
21-27
28-30
33-33
28-36
29-24
30-27
20-29
34-28
24-17
30-28
29-36
25-24
38-25
24-17
21-24
18-23
35-31
30-25
30-16
31-22
23-33
15-23
20-18
37-27
27-17
24-30
37-24
211.8Avg total
109.7Scored
102.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (61)102.0102.0203.9-0.046%
Season at home (29)105.1101.9207.0+3.352%
Season away (32)99.1102.1201.1-3.041%
Last 10 (10)109.7102.1211.8+7.670%
Last 5 (5)110.497.6208.0+12.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)106.5105.2211.8+1.275%
vs Similar (16)103.399.6202.9+3.856%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)108.4106.2214.6+2.260%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: -6.5-6.5Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +1.4+1.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: -6.5-6.5Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +1.4+1.4
Orlando MagicMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
52-54
52
54
-2
H04/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
39-65
39
65
-26
A05/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
54-70
54
70
-16
A08/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H10/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
35-61
35
61
-26
A12/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
W
60-57
60
57
+3
A14/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
37-54
37
54
-17
H16/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
55-46
55
46
+9
H24/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H26/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
L
51-60
51
60
-9
H02/03
NBA
104.8Avg total
48.0Scored
56.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.856.0108.8-3.237%-
Last 30 at home (15)51.751.3103.0+0.540%-
Last 30 away (15)53.960.7114.5-6.833%-
Last 10 (10)48.056.8104.8-8.830%-
Last 5 (5)50.452.6103.0-2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)52.855.9108.7-3.238%-
vs Similar (6)53.056.2109.2-3.233%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
W
71-57
71
57
+14
A07/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
55-44
55
44
+11
A09/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A11/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
48-54
48
54
-6
A12/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H14/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
58-45
58
45
+13
A16/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
63-49
63
49
+14
A25/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
L
53-54
53
54
-1
H26/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
54-55
54
55
-1
A28/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
64-44
64
44
+20
H02/03
NBA
108.7Avg total
57.2Scored
51.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.953.3108.1+1.647%-
Last 30 at home (13)56.252.7108.8+3.554%-
Last 30 away (17)53.953.7107.6+0.241%-
Last 10 (10)57.251.5108.7+5.750%-
Last 5 (5)58.449.4107.8+9.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)52.849.8102.5+3.050%-
vs Similar (16)54.452.8107.2+1.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)56.555.4111.9+1.140%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 97.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.0 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.229.5
48.2%
50.2%59.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.66.3
29.2%
35.7%18.9
🏀 Free throws25.519.7
77.3%
77.0%19.7
They take 82.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 26% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 109.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.730.2
52.3%
50.2%60.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.911.1
38.4%
35.7%33.3
🏀 Free throws21.016.0
76.2%
77.0%16.0
They take 86.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Mar 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Orlando Magic
LWLLWLLLLW
Miami Heat
WLWWWLLWWW
#26
League position
#13
-9.7
Net rating
+7.8
98.2
Offensive rating
112.2
107.9
Defensive rating
104.4
47.0%
Effective FG%
54.1%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
14.6%
Turnover %
14.6%
21.3%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.24
29.2%
3-point %
38.4%
53.9%
Assist %
53.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence98.2 · 112.2Defence107.9 · 104.4Shooting47.0% · 54.1%3-point %29.2% · 38.4%Ball care14.6% · 14.6%Off. rebounds21.3% · 27.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Orlando Magic   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Orlando Magic wins
6
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/17HNew York Knicks90-101
26/02/17HAtlanta Hawks105-86
24/02/17HPortland Trail Blazers103-112
16/02/17HSan Antonio Spurs79-107
14/02/17AMiami Heat116-107
12/02/17ADallas Mavericks80-112
10/02/17HPhiladelphia 76ers111-112
08/02/17AHouston Rockets104-128
05/02/17AAtlanta Hawks86-113
04/02/17HToronto Raptors102-94
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/17HPhiladelphia 76ers125-98
28/02/17ADallas Mavericks89-96
26/02/17HIndiana Pacers113-95
25/02/17AAtlanta Hawks108-90
16/02/17AHouston Rockets117-109
14/02/17HOrlando Magic107-116
12/02/17APhiladelphia 76ers109-117
11/02/17ABrooklyn Nets108-99
09/02/17AMilwaukee Bucks106-88
07/02/17AMinnesota Timberwolves115-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Orlando Magic
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL36%
HomeLLLWL33%
AwayLLLLW39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games613031
Win %36%33%39%
Points / game99.597.2101.7
Allowed / game105.8102.5108.9
Point differential-6.3-5.3-7.3
Avg total205.3199.7210.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%13%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)20% (5)60% (5)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Miami Heat
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW46%
HomeWWLWW52%
AwayWLWWL41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games612932
Win %46%52%41%
Points / game102.0105.199.1
Allowed / game102.0101.9102.1
Point differential-0.0+3.3-3.0
Avg total203.9207.0201.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%31%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (15)33% (6)56% (9)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors61501182%117.5105.3+12.2
2 San Antonio Spurs59461378%106.898.3+8.4
3 Cleveland Cavaliers59411869%110.9105.9+5.0
4 Houston Rockets62431969%115.1108.3+6.9
5 Boston Celtics61392264%107.9105.6+2.3
6 Washington Wizards59362361%107.9105.4+2.5
7 Utah Jazz61372461%100.296.0+4.1
8 Los Angeles Clippers60362460%108.0105.0+3.0
9 Toronto Raptors61362559%108.0104.0+4.0
10 Memphis Grizzlies61362559%101.299.8+1.5
11 Oklahoma City Thunder61352657%106.3106.0+0.3
12 Atlanta Hawks60342657%103.4104.1-0.7
13 Chicago Bulls61313051%102.8103.1-0.4
14 Indiana Pacers61313051%105.3106.2-0.9
15 Detroit Pistons61293248%101.5102.1-0.7
16 Miami Heat61283346%102.0102.0-0.0
17 Denver Nuggets61283346%110.8111.4-0.6
18 Milwaukee Bucks59263344%105.1105.3-0.2
19 Charlotte Hornets61263543%104.8104.6+0.1
20 Portland Trail Blazers60253542%107.5110.2-2.6
21 Minnesota Timberwolves61253641%105.1105.2-0.1
22 Sacramento Kings61253641%102.6105.5-2.9
23 New York Knicks61253641%105.8108.8-3.0
24 Dallas Mavericks60243640%97.799.8-2.1
25 New Orleans Pelicans61243739%103.2106.6-3.4
26 Philadelphia 76ers60223837%101.7107.4-5.8
27 Orlando Magic61223936%99.5105.8-6.3
28 Phoenix Suns61194231%107.3112.6-5.3
29 Los Angeles Lakers61194231%104.2110.8-6.7
30 Brooklyn Nets59104917%105.4114.2-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Orlando Magic33272525110
Miami Heat2528202699
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.