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Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Feb 2017
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 109-117
28-34 17-24 28-30 36-29
Position#3
Record40-17
FormLWWWW
Points / game114.5
Allowed / game107.8
vs
Position#13
Record24-32
FormWWWLL
Points / game101.2
Allowed / game102.4
USANBA· Toyota Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Houston Rockets v Miami Heat
28 Feb 2027
HOU v MIA
upcoming
21 Mar 2026
HOU123
MIA122
29 Dec 2024
HOU100
MIA104
05 Apr 2024
HOU104
MIA119
15 Dec 2022
HOU108
MIA111
31 Dec 2021
HOU110
MIA120
11 Feb 2021
HOU94
MIA101
27 Nov 2019
HOU117
MIA108
28 Feb 2019
HOU121
MIA118
22 Jan 2018
HOU99
MIA90
15 Feb 2017
HOU109
MIA117
02 Feb 2016
HOU115
MIA102
03 Jan 2015
HOU115
MIA79
04 Mar 2014
HOU106
MIA103
12 Nov 2012
HOU110
MIA113
29 Dec 2010
HOU119
MIA125
15 Jan 2010
HOU106
MIA115
17 Jan 2009
HOU93
MIA86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
L
114-127
114
127
-13
106avg 104
A24/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
109-120
109
120
-11
100avg 104
A26/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
123-118
123
118
+5
121avg 104
A28/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
L
101-120
101
120
-19
90avg 104
A29/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
105-83
105
83
+22
108avg 104
H01/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
108-113
108
113
-5
86avg 104
H03/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
121-117 OT
121
117
+4
108avg 104
H04/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
128-104
128
104
+24
121avg 104
H08/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
107-95
107
95
+12
96avg 104
A10/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
133-102
133
102
+31
134avg 104
H12/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-33
31-35
27-25
23-34
27-24
31-28
28-36
23-32
31-28
30-33
33-21
29-36
20-33
23-24
27-33
31-30
29-24
25-11
28-22
23-26
32-26
18-21
36-26
22-40
24-26
36-23
19-32
29-27
35-28
35-26
24-30
34-20
23-29
27-25
36-22
21-19
38-24
39-29
34-24
22-25
224.8Avg total
114.9Scored
109.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (57)114.5107.8222.4+6.770%
Season at home (27)116.0105.1221.1+10.978%
Season away (30)113.2110.3223.5+2.963%
Last 10 (10)114.9109.9224.8+5.060%
Last 5 (5)119.4106.2225.6+13.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)108.0125.0233.0-17.00%
vs Similar (5)115.8110.2226.0+5.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)116.1109.1225.2+7.071%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
100-88
100
88
+12
91avg 93
A28/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
116-103
116
103
+13
106avg 93
H29/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
104-96
104
96
+8
91avg 93
H31/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
116-93
116
93
+23
106avg 93
H02/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
125-102
125
102
+23
128avg 93
H05/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
W
115-113
115
113
+2
109avg 93
A07/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
106-88
106
88
+18
100avg 93
A09/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
108-99
108
99
+9
93avg 93
A11/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
109-117
109
117
-8
98avg 93
A12/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
107-116
107
116
-9
91avg 93
H14/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-24
20-29
24-14
23-21
35-33
29-27
26-31
26-12
28-32
28-20
28-25
20-19
29-22
33-25
32-24
22-22
32-17
32-35
36-23
25-27
40-33
31-24
22-31
22-25
28-15
27-29
26-19
25-25
20-22
29-31
25-19
34-27
27-27
21-27
28-30
33-33
28-36
29-24
30-27
20-29
212.1Avg total
110.6Scored
101.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (56)101.2102.4203.6-1.243%
Season at home (27)104.1102.3206.4+1.948%
Season away (29)98.5102.4200.9-4.038%
Last 10 (10)110.6101.5212.1+9.180%
Last 5 (5)109.0106.6215.6+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)103.0104.0207.0-1.067%
vs Similar (16)101.4100.6202.1+0.844%
vs Weaker (11)109.5109.7219.2-0.355%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +1.0+1.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +1.0+1.0
Houston RocketsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
L
64-68
64
68
-4
A24/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
58-52
58
52
+6
A26/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
D
61-61
61
61
+0
A28/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
L
43-57
43
57
-14
A29/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H01/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H03/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
60-49
60
49
+11
H04/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
70-54
70
54
+16
H08/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
50-54
50
54
-4
A10/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
77-53
77
53
+24
H12/02
NBA
111.7Avg total
58.7Scored
53.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.553.2111.7+5.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)61.150.2111.3+10.980%-
Last 30 away (15)56.056.2112.2-0.233%-
Last 10 (10)58.753.0111.7+5.760%-
Last 5 (5)61.451.4112.8+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)57.062.0119.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (5)55.855.4111.2+0.440%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)59.252.4111.5+6.862%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#15
D
53-53
53
53
+0
A28/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
64-60
64
60
+4
H29/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
56-52
56
52
+4
H31/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
62-47
62
47
+15
H02/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
64-52
64
52
+12
H05/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
W
71-57
71
57
+14
A07/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
55-44
55
44
+11
A09/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A11/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
48-54
48
54
-6
A12/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H14/02
NBA
111.1Avg total
57.9Scored
53.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.654.3107.9-0.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)54.554.8109.3-0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)52.753.9106.5-1.240%-
Last 10 (10)57.953.2111.1+4.760%-
Last 5 (5)56.053.6109.6+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)51.051.3102.3-0.333%-
vs Similar (16)52.253.1105.3-0.850%-
vs Weaker (11)56.257.0113.2-0.836%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 114.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.625.6
54.9%
50.2%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.913.7
35.2%
35.7%41.1
🏀 Free throws29.422.6
76.9%
77.0%22.6
They take 85.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 110.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.631.6
53.0%
50.2%63.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.210.4
39.7%
35.7%31.2
🏀 Free throws20.716.2
78.3%
77.0%16.2
They take 85.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Feb 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Houston Rockets
WWWWLWLWLL
Miami Heat
LLWWWWWWWW
#3
League position
#13
+4.8
Net rating
+9.2
109.2
Offensive rating
111.5
104.4
Defensive rating
102.4
54.0%
Effective FG%
55.0%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
15.0%
Turnover %
14.5%
20.1%
Off. rebound %
23.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.24
35.2%
3-point %
39.7%
63.9%
Assist %
50.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence109.2 · 111.5Defence104.4 · 102.4Shooting54.0% · 55.0%3-point %35.2% · 39.7%Ball care15.0% · 14.5%Off. rebounds20.1% · 23.8%Free throws0.34 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Houston Rockets   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Houston Rockets wins
6
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/17HPhoenix Suns133-102
10/02/17ACharlotte Hornets107-95
08/02/17HOrlando Magic128-104
04/02/17HChicago Bulls121-117 OT
03/02/17HAtlanta Hawks108-113
01/02/17HSacramento Kings105-83
29/01/17AIndiana Pacers101-120
28/01/17APhiladelphia 76ers123-118
26/01/17ABoston Celtics109-120
24/01/17AMilwaukee Bucks114-127
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/17HOrlando Magic107-116
12/02/17APhiladelphia 76ers109-117
11/02/17ABrooklyn Nets108-99
09/02/17AMilwaukee Bucks106-88
07/02/17AMinnesota Timberwolves115-113
05/02/17HPhiladelphia 76ers125-102
02/02/17HAtlanta Hawks116-93
31/01/17HBrooklyn Nets104-96
29/01/17HDetroit Pistons116-103
28/01/17AChicago Bulls100-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW70%
HomeWLWWW78%
AwayLLWLW63%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games572730
Win %70%78%63%
Points / game114.5116.0113.2
Allowed / game107.8105.1110.3
Point differential+6.7+10.9+2.9
Avg total222.4221.1223.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%48%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (15)62% (8)86% (7)
Overtime %5%4%7%
Miami Heat
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL43%
HomeWWWWL48%
AwayWWWWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games562729
Win %43%48%38%
Points / game101.2104.198.5
Allowed / game102.4102.3102.4
Point differential-1.2+1.9-4.0
Avg total203.6206.4200.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%26%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (15)33% (6)56% (9)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors5546984%118.4105.8+12.6
2 San Antonio Spurs56431377%106.798.4+8.4
3 Cleveland Cavaliers55391671%111.3106.0+5.4
4 Houston Rockets57401770%114.5107.8+6.7
5 Boston Celtics56371966%108.5105.7+2.8
6 Los Angeles Clippers55342162%108.1104.5+3.6
7 Washington Wizards54332161%108.0105.4+2.6
8 Utah Jazz56342261%100.095.8+4.2
9 Memphis Grizzlies57342360%101.099.6+1.4
10 Atlanta Hawks55322358%104.1104.3-0.2
11 Toronto Raptors57332458%108.5104.3+4.1
12 Oklahoma City Thunder56312555%105.8106.1-0.3
13 Indiana Pacers56292752%105.6106.3-0.7
14 Chicago Bulls56272948%102.1102.8-0.7
15 Detroit Pistons57273047%101.2101.7-0.4
16 Milwaukee Bucks55253045%105.7105.4+0.3
17 Denver Nuggets55253045%110.9111.8-1.0
18 Charlotte Hornets56243243%104.5104.2+0.2
19 Miami Heat56243243%101.2102.4-1.2
20 Sacramento Kings56243243%103.3105.6-2.4
21 Portland Trail Blazers55233242%107.6110.1-2.4
22 New York Knicks56233341%106.1109.1-3.0
23 Dallas Mavericks56223439%98.1100.4-2.3
24 New Orleans Pelicans56223439%103.5106.8-3.3
25 Minnesota Timberwolves56213538%104.7105.8-1.1
26 Philadelphia 76ers56213538%101.2106.8-5.6
27 Orlando Magic58213736%99.5106.1-6.6
28 Los Angeles Lakers57193833%104.5110.3-5.8
29 Phoenix Suns56173930%106.4112.6-6.2
30 Brooklyn Nets5694716%105.5114.2-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Houston Rockets28172836109
Miami Heat34243029117
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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