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Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 14 Feb 2017
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 107-116
28-36 29-24 30-27 20-29
Position#13
Record24-31
FormWWWWL
Points / game101.1
Allowed / game102.1
vs
Position#26
Record20-36
FormWLLLL
Points / game99.6
Allowed / game106.1
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Miami Heat v Orlando Magic
10 Mar 2027
MIA v ORL
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
MIA117
ORL121
28 Jan 2026
MIA124
ORL133
27 Jan 2025
MIA125
ORL119
23 Oct 2024
MIA97
ORL116
06 Feb 2024
MIA121
ORL95
12 Jan 2024
MIA99
ORL96
09 Apr 2023
MIA123
ORL110
27 Jan 2023
MIA110
ORL105
26 Dec 2021
MIA93
ORL83
25 Oct 2021
MIA107
ORL90
11 Mar 2021
MIA111
ORL103
04 Mar 2020
MIA116
ORL113
27 Jan 2020
MIA113
ORL92
26 Mar 2019
MIA99
ORL104
04 Dec 2018
MIA90
ORL105
05 Feb 2018
MIA109
ORL111
26 Dec 2017
MIA107
ORL89
13 Feb 2017
MIA107
ORL116
20 Dec 2016
MIA130
ORL136
10 Apr 2016
MIA118
ORL96
25 Mar 2016
MIA108
ORL97
13 Apr 2015
MIA100
ORL93
29 Dec 2014
MIA101
ORL102
01 Mar 2014
MIA112
ORL98
23 Nov 2013
MIA101
ORL99
17 Apr 2013
MIA105
ORL93
06 Mar 2013
MIA97
ORL96
18 Mar 2012
MIA91
ORL81
19 Feb 2012
MIA90
ORL78
18 Dec 2011
MIA118
ORL85
03 Mar 2011
MIA96
ORL99
29 Oct 2010
MIA96
ORL70
18 Mar 2010
MIA102
ORL108
17 Dec 2009
MIA104
ORL86
30 Mar 2009
MIA95
ORL101
24 Jan 2009
MIA103
ORL97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Orlando Magic winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
109-106
109
106
+3
100avg 93
A26/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
100-88
100
88
+12
91avg 93
A28/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
116-103
116
103
+13
106avg 93
H29/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
104-96
104
96
+8
91avg 93
H31/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
116-93
116
93
+23
106avg 93
H02/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
125-102
125
102
+23
128avg 93
H05/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
W
115-113
115
113
+2
109avg 93
A07/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
106-88
106
88
+18
100avg 93
A09/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
108-99
108
99
+9
93avg 93
A11/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
109-117
109
117
-8
98avg 93
A12/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-30
21-36
16-23
38-17
33-24
20-29
24-14
23-21
35-33
29-27
26-31
26-12
28-32
28-20
28-25
20-19
29-22
33-25
32-24
22-22
32-17
32-35
36-23
25-27
40-33
31-24
22-31
22-25
28-15
27-29
26-19
25-25
20-22
29-31
25-19
34-27
27-27
21-27
28-30
33-33
211.3Avg total
110.8Scored
100.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (55)101.1102.1203.2-1.044%
Season at home (26)104.0101.7205.7+2.350%
Season away (29)98.5102.4200.9-4.038%
Last 10 (10)110.8100.5211.3+10.390%
Last 5 (5)112.6103.8216.4+8.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)103.0104.0207.0-1.067%
vs Similar (17)101.199.9201.0+1.147%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)109.7109.1218.8+0.660%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMagic
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#15
L
92-100
92
100
-8
81avg 92
H25/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
98-128
98
128
-30
90avg 92
A28/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
114-113
114
113
+1
109avg 92
A29/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
L
105-111 OT
105
111
-6
91avg 92
A31/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
L
88-98
88
98
-10
73avg 92
H02/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
102-94
102
94
+8
96avg 92
H04/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
86-113
86
113
-27
69avg 92
A05/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
104-128
104
128
-24
100avg 92
A08/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
111-112
111
112
-1
109avg 92
H10/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
80-112
80
112
-32
65avg 92
A12/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
27-32
24-26
19-22
24-39
24-29
17-36
33-24
27-36
33-15
22-27
32-35
23-26
28-26
28-28
19-18
23-28
24-28
27-24
14-18
28-24
24-30
21-12
29-28
24-35
15-30
26-26
21-22
28-35
26-35
30-24
20-34
25-20
23-35
36-30
27-27
23-29
12-32
17-23
28-28
208.9Avg total
98.0Scored
110.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (56)99.6106.1205.6-6.536%
Season at home (26)97.7102.7200.3-5.035%
Season away (30)101.2109.0210.2-7.837%
Last 10 (10)98.0110.9208.9-12.920%
Last 5 (5)96.6111.8208.4-15.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)102.3111.8214.1-9.626%
vs Similar (7)103.3106.4209.7-3.143%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.1+5.1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: -1.4-1.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.1+5.1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: -1.4-1.4
Miami HeatOrlando Magic
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#30
L
55-66
55
66
-11
A26/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
D
53-53
53
53
+0
A28/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
64-60
64
60
+4
H29/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
56-52
56
52
+4
H31/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
62-47
62
47
+15
H02/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
64-52
64
52
+12
H05/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
W
71-57
71
57
+14
A07/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
55-44
55
44
+11
A09/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A11/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
48-54
48
54
-6
A12/02
NBA
111.5Avg total
57.7Scored
53.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.454.1107.5-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)54.254.3108.5-0.153%-
Last 30 away (15)52.753.9106.5-1.240%-
Last 10 (10)57.753.8111.5+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)57.452.0109.4+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)51.051.3102.3-0.333%-
vs Similar (17)52.353.0105.3-0.753%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)56.156.7112.8-0.640%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#15
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H25/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
48-68
48
68
-20
A28/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
60-51
60
51
+9
A29/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A31/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
L
47-56
47
56
-9
H02/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
52-54
52
54
-2
H04/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
39-65
39
65
-26
A05/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
54-70
54
70
-16
A08/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H10/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
35-61
35
61
-26
A12/02
NBA
106.7Avg total
48.3Scored
58.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.056.8109.8-3.830%-
Last 30 at home (14)52.852.1104.9+0.636%-
Last 30 away (16)53.260.9114.1-7.625%-
Last 10 (10)48.358.4106.7-10.110%-
Last 5 (5)45.661.0106.6-15.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)53.257.3110.5-4.126%-
vs Similar (7)52.455.1107.6-2.743%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 110.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.531.2
52.4%
50.2%62.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.310.9
41.4%
35.7%32.7
🏀 Free throws20.515.7
76.6%
77.0%15.7
They take 85.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 98.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.6 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.729.3
49.1%
50.2%58.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.3
30.5%
35.7%21.9
🏀 Free throws23.317.5
75.1%
77.0%17.5
They take 83.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Feb 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
LWWWWWWWWW
Orlando Magic
LLLLWLLWLL
#13
League position
#26
+10.4
Net rating
-13.0
112.0
Offensive rating
99.0
101.6
Defensive rating
112.0
55.4%
Effective FG%
48.1%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
14.1%
Turnover %
14.3%
24.3%
Off. rebound %
20.0%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.28
41.4%
3-point %
30.5%
52.3%
Assist %
60.4%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence112.0 · 99.0Defence101.6 · 112.0Shooting55.4% · 48.1%3-point %41.4% · 30.5%Ball care14.1% · 14.3%Off. rebounds24.3% · 20.0%Free throws0.24 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)90% · 20%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Orlando Magic
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Miami Heat wins
3
Orlando Magic wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/17APhiladelphia 76ers109-117
11/02/17ABrooklyn Nets108-99
09/02/17AMilwaukee Bucks106-88
07/02/17AMinnesota Timberwolves115-113
05/02/17HPhiladelphia 76ers125-102
02/02/17HAtlanta Hawks116-93
31/01/17HBrooklyn Nets104-96
29/01/17HDetroit Pistons116-103
28/01/17AChicago Bulls100-88
26/01/17ABrooklyn Nets109-106
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/17ADallas Mavericks80-112
10/02/17HPhiladelphia 76ers111-112
08/02/17AHouston Rockets104-128
05/02/17AAtlanta Hawks86-113
04/02/17HToronto Raptors102-94
02/02/17HIndiana Pacers88-98
31/01/17AMinnesota Timberwolves105-111 OT
29/01/17AToronto Raptors114-113
28/01/17ABoston Celtics98-128
25/01/17HChicago Bulls92-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL44%
HomeWWWWW50%
AwayWWWWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games552629
Win %44%50%38%
Points / game101.1104.098.5
Allowed / game102.1101.7102.4
Point differential-1.0+2.3-4.0
Avg total203.2205.7200.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%27%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (15)33% (6)56% (9)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Orlando Magic
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL36%
HomeLLLWL35%
AwayWLLLL37%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games562630
Win %36%35%37%
Points / game99.697.7101.2
Allowed / game106.1102.7109.0
Point differential-6.5-5.0-7.8
Avg total205.6200.3210.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%12%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)20% (5)60% (5)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors5446885%118.6105.3+13.3
2 San Antonio Spurs55421376%106.798.7+8.0
3 Houston Rockets57401770%114.5107.8+6.7
4 Cleveland Cavaliers53371670%111.2106.0+5.3
5 Boston Celtics54351965%108.3105.8+2.5
6 Utah Jazz55342162%100.596.0+4.6
7 Los Angeles Clippers54332161%108.5105.1+3.4
8 Washington Wizards53322160%107.8105.5+2.2
9 Memphis Grizzlies56332359%100.899.6+1.2
10 Toronto Raptors55322358%109.1104.7+4.4
11 Atlanta Hawks54312357%104.1104.4-0.3
12 Oklahoma City Thunder55312456%105.9105.8+0.1
13 Indiana Pacers55292653%105.7106.2-0.5
14 Detroit Pistons55262947%101.5101.9-0.3
15 Chicago Bulls55262947%102.1103.0-0.9
16 Denver Nuggets54243044%110.5111.9-1.4
17 Charlotte Hornets55243144%104.8104.5+0.3
18 Miami Heat55243144%101.1102.1-1.0
19 Milwaukee Bucks53233043%105.3105.3-0.0
20 Portland Trail Blazers54233143%107.7110.1-2.4
21 Sacramento Kings55233242%103.4105.8-2.4
22 New York Knicks56233341%106.1109.1-3.0
23 Dallas Mavericks54223241%98.2100.2-2.0
24 Minnesota Timberwolves55213438%104.6105.6-1.0
25 New Orleans Pelicans55213438%103.4106.8-3.4
26 Philadelphia 76ers55213438%101.1106.6-5.6
27 Orlando Magic56203636%99.6106.1-6.5
28 Los Angeles Lakers56193734%104.7110.5-5.8
29 Phoenix Suns55173831%106.4112.7-6.3
30 Brooklyn Nets5494517%105.1114.0-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat28293020107
Orlando Magic36242729116
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