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Bayern vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 May 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 77-53
16-17 30-5 13-15 18-16
Position#1
Record25-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game89.1
Allowed / game77.3
Bayern 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#2
Record24-6
FormWWWLW
Points / game91.4
Allowed / game82.2
GermanyBBLRound 32· BMW Park
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Bayern v Alba Berlin
26 Sep 2026
BAY95
ABE61
21 Jun 2026
BAY81
ABE84
14 Jun 2026
BAY79
ABE86
12 Jun 2026
BAY102
ABE94
01 May 2026
BAY85
ABE79
02 Feb 2025
BAY99
ABE86
14 Nov 2024
BAY115
ABE88
10 Jun 2024
BAY70
ABE79
08 Jun 2024
BAY79
ABE67
05 May 2024
BAY77
ABE53
05 Oct 2023
BAY80
ABE68
17 Mar 2023
BAY75
ABE76
18 Feb 2023
BAY83
ABE77
08 Jan 2023
BAY79
ABE80
19 Jun 2022
BAY81
ABE96
14 Jun 2022
BAY58
ABE71
10 May 2022
BAY78
ABE83
28 Jan 2022
BAY62
ABE56
13 Jun 2021
BAY79
ABE86
12 Jun 2021
BAY69
ABE81
16 May 2021
BAY85
ABE79
25 Apr 2021
BAY62
ABE100
05 Feb 2021
BAY101
ABE95
10 Nov 2019
BAY84
ABE80
23 Dec 2018
BAY70
ABE78
16 Dec 2018
BAY83
ABE81
16 Jun 2018
BAY106
ABE85
10 Jun 2018
BAY72
ABE66
03 Jun 2018
BAY95
ABE106
25 Mar 2018
BAY72
ABE91
13 May 2017
BAY80
ABE73
06 May 2017
BAY95
ABE68
18 Feb 2017
BAY78
ABE70
16 Oct 2016
BAY97
ABE58
01 Mar 2016
BAY84
ABE75
28 Feb 2016
BAY96
ABE65
21 Feb 2016
BAY65
ABE67
02 Jun 2015
BAY89
ABE83
28 May 2015
BAY85
ABE73
26 Apr 2015
BAY70
ABE68
15 Jun 2014
BAY92
ABE86
08 Jun 2014
BAY88
ABE81
04 May 2014
BAY72
ABE80
12 May 2013
BAY89
ABE83
04 May 2013
BAY88
ABE67
10 Feb 2013
BAY79
ABE61
26 Nov 2011
BAY79
ABE85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#10
W
81-80 OT
81
80
+1
no box
A24/03
BBL
Barcelona
#5
L
79-87
79
87
-8
77avg 78
H28/03
Euroleague
Bamberg
#11
W
99-81
99
81
+18
98avg 78
A31/03
BBL
Panathinaikos
#2
L
75-82
75
82
-7
70avg 78
H05/04
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
91-61
91
61
+30
89avg 78
H07/04
BBL
Monaco
#3
L
85-89
85
89
-4
82avg 78
A11/04
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#4
W
90-82
90
82
+8
92avg 78
A14/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
L
82-89
82
89
-7
73avg 78
A21/04
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
92-73
92
73
+19
52avg 78
H28/04
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
81-74
81
74
+7
74avg 78
A01/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-17
26-17
18-14
17-25
19-25
11-22
23-24
26-16
25-17
28-23
19-17
27-24
18-13
18-27
18-18
21-24
21-13
23-18
23-18
24-12
14-29
16-23
30-20
25-17
20-17
25-19
20-23
25-23
14-17
30-25
13-21
25-26
21-13
22-27
24-17
25-16
19-20
18-16
27-13
17-25
165.3Avg total
85.5Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)89.177.3166.4+11.883%
Season at home (15)90.775.5166.3+15.293%
Season away (15)87.579.1166.5+8.473%
Last 10 (10)85.579.8165.3+5.760%
Last 5 (5)86.081.4167.4+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.084.6161.6-7.60%
vs Similar ◀ (9)80.279.9160.1+0.367%
vs Weaker (16)89.176.4165.6+12.788%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#10
W
85-65
85
65
+20
84avg 78
H31/03
BBL
Partizan
#11
L
83-94
83
94
-11
77avg 78
H04/04
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
100-91
100
91
+9
98avg 78
H07/04
BBL
Panathinaikos
#2
L
75-84
75
84
-9
72avg 78
A11/04
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
76-67
76
67
+9
45avg 78
A14/04
BBL
Hamburg
#10
W
84-76
84
76
+8
83avg 78
A17/04
BBL
Bamberg
#11
W
98-92
98
92
+6
98avg 78
H21/04
BBL
Rostock
#15
W
91-74
91
74
+17
90avg 78
H24/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
L
81-90
81
90
-9
70avg 78
A28/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
96-89
96
89
+7
98avg 78
H30/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
21-21
23-15
22-13
15-23
19-24
28-25
21-22
27-23
28-21
25-24
20-23
23-17
14-21
26-22
12-24
16-22
22-15
15-17
23-13
16-5
24-17
22-26
22-28
20-24
25-19
28-23
25-26
21-20
21-20
24-11
25-23
14-34
17-15
19-15
31-26
28-17
19-28
22-24
27-20
169.1Avg total
86.9Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)91.482.2173.6+9.280%
Season at home (15)95.981.3177.2+14.793%
Season away (15)86.983.1170.1+3.867%
Last 10 (10)86.982.2169.1+4.770%
Last 5 (5)90.084.2174.2+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)77.790.9168.6-13.28%
vs Similar ◀ (4)88.883.0171.8+5.875%
vs Weaker (14)90.479.6170.0+10.986%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +1.0+1.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +1.0+1.0
BayernAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#10
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A24/03
BBL
Barcelona
#5
L
30-47
30
47
-17
H28/03
Euroleague
Bamberg
#11
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A31/03
BBL
Panathinaikos
#2
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H05/04
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H07/04
BBL
Monaco
#3
L
30-52
30
52
-22
A11/04
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#4
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A14/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A21/04
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H28/04
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A01/05
BBL
79.8Avg total
40.0Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.040.182.1+1.963%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.538.580.1+3.071%-
Last 30 away (13)42.542.284.7+0.454%-
Last 10 (10)40.039.879.8+0.270%-
Last 5 (5)39.841.281.0-1.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.844.478.2-10.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)39.342.281.6-2.933%-
vs Weaker (16)46.037.683.6+8.494%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#10
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H31/03
BBL
Partizan
#11
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H04/04
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H07/04
BBL
Panathinaikos
#2
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A11/04
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A14/04
BBL
Hamburg
#10
W
40-22
40
22
+18
A17/04
BBL
Bamberg
#11
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H21/04
BBL
Rostock
#15
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H24/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A28/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H30/04
BBL
81.1Avg total
40.9Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.041.983.9+0.160%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.142.186.2+2.069%-
Last 30 away (14)39.641.681.1-2.050%-
Last 10 (10)40.940.281.1+0.770%-
Last 5 (5)41.039.880.8+1.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)39.245.384.5-6.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)42.539.882.2+2.8100%-
vs Weaker (14)44.339.583.8+4.879%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 89.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.120.6
57.1%
54.6%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.811.8
41.0%
35.4%35.4
🏀 Free throws16.613.3
80.1%
76.0%13.3
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.121.5
56.4%
54.6%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.0
30.5%
35.4%24.0
🏀 Free throws23.419.1
81.6%
76.0%19.1
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
WWLWLWLWLW
Alba Berlin
WLWWWWLWLW
#1
League position
#2
+5.0
Net rating
+6.6
118.9
Offensive rating
111.6
113.9
Defensive rating
105.0
59.0%
Effective FG%
52.1%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
15.2%
Turnover %
18.5%
27.8%
Off. rebound %
33.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.36
41.0%
3-point %
30.5%
55.9%
Assist %
65.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence118.9 · 111.6Defence113.9 · 105.0Shooting59.0% · 52.1%3-point %41.0% · 30.5%Ball care15.2% · 18.5%Off. rebounds27.8% · 33.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Bayern   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Bayern wins
4
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
18/01/24Alba Berlin v Bayern65-82
05/10/23Bayern v Alba Berlin80-68
17/03/23Bayern v Alba Berlin75-76
04/03/23Alba Berlin v Bayern71-76
18/02/23Bayern v Alba Berlin83-77
08/01/23Bayern v Alba Berlin79-80
10/11/22Alba Berlin v Bayern77-79
19/06/22Bayern v Alba Berlin81-96
17/06/22Alba Berlin v Bayern60-90
14/06/22Bayern v Alba Berlin58-71
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/05/24AUlm81-74
28/04/24HTubingen92-73
21/04/24AHeidelberg82-89
14/04/24AWurzburg90-82
11/04/24AMonaco85-89
07/04/24HBasketball Braunschweig91-61
05/04/24HPanathinaikos75-82
31/03/24ABamberg99-81
28/03/24HBarcelona79-87
24/03/24AHamburg81-80 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/24HHeidelberg96-89
28/04/24ABasketball Braunschweig81-90
24/04/24HRostock91-74
21/04/24HBamberg98-92
17/04/24AHamburg84-76
14/04/24ASyntainics MBC76-67
11/04/24APanathinaikos75-84
07/04/24HLudwigsburg100-91
04/04/24HPartizan83-94
31/03/24HHamburg85-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW83%
HomeWWLWW93%
AwayWWWLW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %83%93%73%
Points / game89.190.787.5
Allowed / game77.375.579.1
Point differential+11.8+15.2+8.4
Avg total166.4166.3166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %10%7%13%
Alba Berlin
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %80%93%67%
Points / game91.495.986.9
Allowed / game82.281.383.1
Point differential+9.2+14.7+3.8
Avg total173.6177.2170.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)-75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern3025583%89.177.3+11.8
2 Alba Berlin3024680%91.482.2+9.2
3 Chemnitz3224875%89.379.6+9.8
4 Wurzburg3122971%86.879.7+7.1
5 Ulm32221069%90.984.0+6.8
6 Vechta32201262%88.782.4+6.3
7 Bonn31191261%90.285.8+4.4
8 Ludwigsburg32181456%88.682.7+5.9
9 Oldenburg32171553%85.483.6+1.8
10 Hamburg32151747%85.687.1-1.6
11 Basketball Braunschweig32151747%82.484.7-2.3
12 Bamberg32141844%88.590.1-1.6
13 Gottingen32102231%85.893.0-7.2
14 Syntainics MBC32102231%85.893.3-7.4
15 Rostock3292328%87.793.1-5.4
16 Heidelberg3282425%82.593.7-11.2
17 Crailsheim Merlins3272522%81.192.9-11.9
18 Tubingen3262619%82.595.5-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern1630131877
Alba Berlin175151653
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