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Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 01 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Scheduled
Position#12
Record7-4
FormLLWWW
Points / game114.9
Allowed / game110.3
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.5/10
Below normal
5.3/10
Around normal
Position#2
Record9-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game115.7
Allowed / game104.0
USANBA· American Airlines Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Boston Celtics
30 Nov 2026
DAL v BOS
upcoming
03 Feb 2026
DAL100
BOS110
25 Jan 2025
DAL107
BOS122
14 Jun 2024
DAL122
BOS84
12 Jun 2024
DAL99
BOS106
22 Jan 2024
DAL110
BOS119
05 Jan 2023
DAL95
BOS124
06 Nov 2021
DAL107
BOS104
23 Feb 2021
DAL110
BOS107
18 Dec 2019
DAL103
BOS109
24 Nov 2018
DAL113
BOS104
20 Nov 2017
DAL102
BOS110
13 Feb 2017
DAL98
BOS111
18 Jan 2016
DAL118
BOS113
03 Nov 2014
DAL118
BOS113
17 Mar 2014
DAL94
BOS89
22 Mar 2013
DAL104
BOS94
20 Feb 2012
DAL89
BOS73
08 Nov 2010
DAL89
BOS87
20 Mar 2010
DAL93
BOS102
12 Feb 2009
DAL92
BOS99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
121-105
121
105
+16
119avg 104
A23/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#3
L
106-122
106
122
-16
79avg 104
H25/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
113-109
113
109
+4
111avg 104
A26/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#8
W
120-96
120
96
+24
114avg 104
H29/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#7
W
116-111
116
111
+5
111avg 104
H31/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#29
L
100-115
100
115
-15
85avg 104
H03/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#3
L
111-112
111
112
-1
98avg 104
A05/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#28
W
112-100
112
100
+12
104avg 104
H07/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
W
130-93
130
93
+37
134avg 104
H09/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
125-122
125
122
+3
120avg 104
H10/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
44-27
33-16
21-33
23-29
31-32
29-36
29-24
17-30
23-27
30-25
30-32
30-25
33-30
32-29
29-22
26-15
27-20
17-31
32-33
40-27
18-19
35-35
21-27
26-34
26-32
25-36
29-22
31-22
26-28
31-29
32-19
23-24
33-26
33-20
34-25
30-22
26-31
30-35
34-27
35-29
223.9Avg total
115.4Scored
108.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)114.9110.3225.2+4.664%
Season at home (7)115.6108.4224.0+7.171%
Season away (4)113.8113.5227.2+0.250%
Last 10 (10)115.4108.5223.9+6.970%
Last 5 (5)115.6108.4224.0+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)114.9125.2240.2-10.321%
vs Similar (5)119.8117.6237.4+2.260%
vs Weaker (6)116.8107.3224.2+9.583%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#13
W
107-103
107
103
+4
96avg 107
H23/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
134-99
134
99
+35
127avg 107
H26/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
W
125-124 OT
125
124
+1
119avg 107
H27/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
125-111
125
111
+14
118avg 107
H30/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#23
W
108-97
108
97
+11
103avg 107
A01/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#7
L
93-109
93
109
-16
78avg 107
A03/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
109-102
109
102
+7
102avg 107
H05/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
119-80
119
80
+39
123avg 107
A07/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
117-97
117
97
+20
109avg 107
A09/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
123-101
123
101
+22
117avg 107
A11/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-27
24-22
33-24
24-30
33-21
33-33
39-21
29-24
26-31
30-30
30-21
31-35
44-25
34-24
21-25
26-37
24-23
31-27
22-24
31-23
29-29
21-28
23-25
20-27
28-14
34-27
25-38
22-23
40-20
30-19
26-18
23-23
25-27
33-18
33-29
26-23
30-23
32-28
29-31
32-19
218.3Avg total
116.0Scored
102.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)115.7104.0219.7+11.782%
Season at home (5)120.0107.8227.8+12.2100%
Season away (6)112.2100.8213.0+11.367%
Last 10 (10)116.0102.3218.3+13.790%
Last 5 (5)112.297.8210.0+14.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)109.3107.9217.1+1.457%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)115.7104.8220.5+10.974%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +6.5+6.5Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +0.0+0.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +6.5+6.5Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +0.0+0.0
Dallas MavericksBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
77-43
77
43
+34
A23/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#3
L
60-68
60
68
-8
H25/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
53-52
53
52
+1
A26/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#8
W
65-59
65
59
+6
H29/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#7
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H31/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#29
L
53-54
53
54
-1
H03/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#3
L
51-68
51
68
-17
A05/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#28
D
57-57
57
57
+0
H07/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
W
66-46
66
46
+20
H09/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
L
56-66
56
66
-10
H10/11
NBA
114.6Avg total
58.2Scored
56.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.960.6118.5-2.737%-
Last 30 at home (15)60.260.3120.5-0.140%-
Last 30 away (15)55.660.8116.4-5.233%-
Last 10 (10)58.256.4114.6+1.840%-
Last 5 (5)56.658.2114.8-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)55.863.1118.8-7.326%-
vs Similar (5)63.060.2123.2+2.860%-
vs Weaker (6)60.353.0113.3+7.350%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#13
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H23/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
66-54
66
54
+12
H26/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
L
56-61
56
61
-5
H27/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
78-49
78
49
+29
H30/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#23
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A01/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#7
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A03/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
62-41
62
41
+21
H05/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
70-39
70
39
+31
A07/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
58-45
58
45
+13
A09/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
62-51
62
51
+11
A11/11
NBA
110.3Avg total
60.7Scored
49.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.851.5110.3+7.360%-
Last 30 at home (16)58.052.9110.9+5.150%-
Last 30 away (14)59.849.9109.7+9.971%-
Last 10 (10)60.749.6110.3+11.180%-
Last 5 (5)60.446.6107.0+13.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)54.052.6106.6+1.443%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)60.351.2111.5+9.165%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 119.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.530.1
57.3%
54.0%60.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.413.5
37.1%
35.0%40.5
🏀 Free throws23.818.6
78.2%
76.8%18.6
They take 88.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 111.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.223.6
53.4%
54.0%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.915.6
35.5%
35.0%46.8
🏀 Free throws23.017.3
75.2%
76.8%17.3
They take 88.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 43.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dallas Mavericks
WWWLLWWWLW
Boston Celtics
WWWWLWWWWW
#12
League position
#2
+6.0
Net rating
+4.5
112.7
Offensive rating
111.2
106.8
Defensive rating
106.7
56.6%
Effective FG%
53.3%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
15.4%
Turnover %
13.3%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
26.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.26
37.1%
3-point %
35.5%
63.1%
Assist %
64.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence112.7 · 111.2Defence106.8 · 106.7Shooting56.6% · 53.3%3-point %37.1% · 35.5%Ball care15.4% · 13.3%Off. rebounds31.0% · 26.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ Dallas Mavericks   ■ Boston Celtics
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26HIndiana Pacers125-122
09/11/26HBrooklyn Nets130-93
07/11/26HUtah Jazz112-100
05/11/26ASan Antonio Spurs111-112
03/11/26HSacramento Kings100-115
31/10/26HHouston Rockets116-111
29/10/26HOklahoma City Thunder120-96
26/10/26AMiami Heat113-109
25/10/26HSan Antonio Spurs106-122
23/10/26AIndiana Pacers121-105
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26APhiladelphia 76ers123-101
09/11/26AMilwaukee Bucks117-97
07/11/26ACharlotte Hornets119-80
05/11/26HMilwaukee Bucks109-102
03/11/26AHouston Rockets93-109
01/11/26AOrlando Magic108-97
30/10/26HChicago Bulls125-111
27/10/26HBrooklyn Nets125-124 OT
26/10/26HChicago Bulls134-99
23/10/26HNew York Knicks107-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW64%
HomeWLWWW71%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %64%71%50%
Points / game114.9115.6113.8
Allowed / game110.3108.4113.5
Point differential+4.6+7.1+0.2
Avg total225.2224.0227.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%43%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW82%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %82%100%67%
Points / game115.7120.0112.2
Allowed / game104.0107.8100.8
Point differential+11.7+12.2+11.3
Avg total219.7227.8213.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%40%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %9%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers1210283%122.1114.4+7.7
2 Boston Celtics119282%115.7104.0+11.7
3 San Antonio Spurs119282%118.7107.0+11.7
4 Philadelphia 76ers129375%110.2109.2+1.0
5 Minnesota Timberwolves118373%118.1107.0+11.1
6 Golden State Warriors118373%120.4111.2+9.2
7 Houston Rockets118373%115.5106.4+9.1
8 Oklahoma City Thunder118373%111.4105.9+5.5
9 Detroit Pistons107370%112.7104.6+8.1
10 Memphis Grizzlies107370%117.9110.8+7.1
11 Portland Trail Blazers107370%119.7112.7+7.0
12 Dallas Mavericks117464%114.9110.3+4.6
13 New York Knicks106460%110.6102.3+8.3
14 Atlanta Hawks127558%118.2116.2+2.1
15 Denver Nuggets95456%113.6112.8+0.8
16 Toronto Raptors105550%116.6113.3+3.3
17 Cleveland Cavaliers115645%116.5115.0+1.5
18 Miami Heat115645%115.7120.0-4.3
19 Phoenix Suns104640%112.8118.1-5.3
20 New Orleans Pelicans114736%117.5122.4-4.9
21 Washington Wizards114736%108.1113.4-5.3
22 Charlotte Hornets114736%98.8110.4-11.5
23 Orlando Magic103730%107.0114.6-7.6
24 Indiana Pacers113827%111.4115.2-3.8
25 Los Angeles Clippers102820%112.2118.1-5.9
26 Brooklyn Nets102820%106.7115.7-9.0
27 Chicago Bulls91811%112.7129.3-16.7
28 Utah Jazz111109%106.5117.6-11.2
29 Sacramento Kings111109%108.3121.0-12.7
30 Milwaukee Bucks111109%106.3121.2-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
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