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Denver Nuggets vs Washington Wizards Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 121-115
36-29 26-34 21-23 38-29
Position#6
Record28-13
FormWLWWW
Points / game122.6
Allowed / game117.2
vs
Position#30
Record10-30
FormLLLLL
Points / game112.7
Allowed / game124.0
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Washington Wizards
21 Jan 2027
DEN v WAS
upcoming
17 Jan 2026
DEN121
WAS115
15 Mar 2025
DEN123
WAS126
22 Feb 2024
DEN130
WAS110
14 Dec 2022
DEN141
WAS128
13 Dec 2021
DEN113
WAS107
25 Feb 2021
DEN110
WAS112
22 Jul 2020
DEN89
WAS82
26 Nov 2019
DEN117
WAS104
31 Mar 2019
DEN90
WAS95
23 Oct 2017
DEN104
WAS109
08 Mar 2017
DEN113
WAS123
12 Mar 2016
DEN116
WAS100
25 Jan 2015
DEN115
WAS117
23 Mar 2014
DEN105
WAS102
18 Jan 2013
DEN108
WAS112
25 Mar 2011
DEN114
WAS94
16 Mar 2010
DEN97
WAS87
20 Mar 2009
DEN116
WAS105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Washington Wizards winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#17
L
123-147
123
147
-24
116avg 114
A30/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
106-103
106
103
+3
97avg 114
A01/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
108-113
108
113
-5
92avg 114
A03/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
115-127
115
127
-12
106avg 114
A04/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
125-124 OT
125
124
+1
120avg 114
A06/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
114-110
114
110
+4
104avg 114
A08/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
87-110
87
110
-23
84avg 114
H10/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
108-104
108
104
+4
97avg 114
H12/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
122-116
122
116
+6
110avg 114
A14/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
118-109
118
109
+9
108avg 114
A15/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-41
34-22
36-47
24-37
32-23
31-31
22-25
21-24
24-28
35-34
38-26
11-25
29-33
23-26
32-41
31-27
29-26
29-32
29-35
33-27
31-35
27-23
21-24
35-28
28-30
22-28
25-16
12-36
27-23
35-29
23-22
23-30
32-31
28-34
29-27
33-24
29-23
34-23
25-32
30-31
228.9Avg total
112.6Scored
116.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)122.6117.2239.8+5.368%
Season at home (17)122.8116.8239.6+5.965%
Season away (24)122.5117.5240.0+4.971%
Last 10 (10)112.6116.3228.9-3.760%
Last 5 (5)109.8109.8219.6+0.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)118.5119.4237.9-0.964%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)124.8119.5244.3+5.362%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWizards
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
101-115
101
115
-14
95avg 99
H30/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
114-113
114
113
+1
106avg 99
A01/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
119-99
119
99
+20
115avg 99
H03/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
115-141
115
141
-26
102avg 99
H04/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
120-112
120
112
+8
115avg 99
H07/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
110-131
110
131
-21
108avg 99
A08/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
107-128
107
128
-21
93avg 99
H10/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
93-112
93
112
-19
86avg 99
A12/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
105-119
105
119
-14
95avg 99
A15/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
115-128
115
128
-13
101avg 99
A17/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
31-39
25-26
22-28
30-32
35-30
21-26
28-25
37-24
27-26
32-23
23-26
28-38
30-35
21-35
36-33
30-29
32-21
39-37
19-25
30-37
26-25
24-30
30-39
26-28
24-32
34-40
23-28
28-32
22-33
17-31
26-16
22-37
29-33
38-26
16-23
22-41
39-26
23-34
31-27
229.7Avg total
109.9Scored
119.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)112.7124.0236.6-11.325%
Season at home (19)115.8125.5241.3-9.732%
Season away (21)109.8122.6232.4-12.819%
Last 10 (10)109.9119.8229.7-9.930%
Last 5 (5)106.0123.6229.6-17.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)114.3124.4238.7-10.228%
vs Similar (5)106.8112.8219.6-6.040%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -1.6-1.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -1.6-1.6
Denver NuggetsWashington Wizards
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#17
D
63-63
63
63
+0
A30/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
63-54
63
54
+9
A01/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A03/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
52-59
52
59
-7
A04/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
D
58-58
58
58
+0
A06/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
D
58-58
58
58
+0
A08/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
50-58
50
58
-8
H10/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
62-52
62
52
+10
H12/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
60-65
60
65
-5
A14/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
63-46
63
46
+17
A15/01
NBA
116.3Avg total
58.8Scored
57.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.757.1117.9+3.653%-
Last 30 at home (11)61.856.5118.3+5.473%-
Last 30 away (19)60.157.5117.6+2.642%-
Last 10 (10)58.857.5116.3+1.330%-
Last 5 (5)58.655.8114.4+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)57.358.1115.4-0.836%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)63.856.3120.1+7.469%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
54-61
54
61
-7
H30/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
65-62
65
62
+3
A01/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
64-50
64
50
+14
H03/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
58-73
58
73
-15
H04/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
62-50
62
50
+12
H07/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
56-62
56
62
-6
A08/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
50-60
50
60
-10
H10/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
50-65
50
65
-15
A12/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
51-70
51
70
-19
A15/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
61-67
61
67
-6
A17/01
NBA
119.1Avg total
57.1Scored
62.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.663.2120.8-5.630%-
Last 30 at home (14)59.461.9121.3-2.436%-
Last 30 away (16)56.064.4120.4-8.425%-
Last 10 (10)57.162.0119.1-4.930%-
Last 5 (5)53.664.8118.4-11.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)57.664.2121.8-6.628%-
vs Similar (5)57.658.2115.8-0.640%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 112.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.025.0
52.1%
54.8%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.414.2
39.0%
35.8%42.6
🏀 Free throws25.420.0
78.7%
78.1%20.0
They take 84.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 109.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.828.7
53.3%
54.8%57.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.011.8
34.7%
35.8%35.4
🏀 Free throws20.917.1
81.8%
78.1%17.1
They take 87.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWWLWWLLWL
Washington Wizards
LLLLLWLWWL
#6
League position
#30
-3.8
Net rating
-9.6
114.2
Offensive rating
106.8
117.9
Defensive rating
116.4
54.9%
Effective FG%
52.8%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
10.5%
Turnover %
15.7%
17.8%
Off. rebound %
24.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.24
39.0%
3-point %
34.7%
62.2%
Assist %
60.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence114.2 · 106.8Defence117.9 · 116.4Shooting54.9% · 52.8%3-point %39.0% · 34.7%Ball care10.5% · 15.7%Off. rebounds17.8% · 24.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Washington Wizards
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/26ADallas Mavericks118-109
14/01/26ANew Orleans Pelicans122-116
12/01/26HMilwaukee Bucks108-104
10/01/26HAtlanta Hawks87-110
08/01/26ABoston Celtics114-110
06/01/26APhiladelphia 76ers125-124 OT
04/01/26ABrooklyn Nets115-127
03/01/26ACleveland Cavaliers108-113
01/01/26AToronto Raptors106-103
30/12/25AMiami Heat123-147
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26ASacramento Kings115-128
15/01/26ALos Angeles Clippers105-119
12/01/26APhoenix Suns93-112
10/01/26HNew Orleans Pelicans107-128
08/01/26APhiladelphia 76ers110-131
07/01/26HOrlando Magic120-112
04/01/26HMinnesota Timberwolves115-141
03/01/26HBrooklyn Nets119-99
01/01/26AMilwaukee Bucks114-113
30/12/25HPhoenix Suns101-115

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW68%
HomeLWWLW65%
AwayLWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games411724
Win %68%65%71%
Points / game122.6122.8122.5
Allowed / game117.2116.8117.5
Point differential+5.3+5.9+4.9
Avg total239.8239.6240.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%41%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (15)50% (6)56% (9)
Overtime %10%12%8%
Washington Wizards
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL25%
HomeLWLWL32%
AwayWLLLL19%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games401921
Win %25%32%19%
Points / game112.7115.8109.8
Allowed / game124.0125.5122.6
Point differential-11.3-9.7-12.8
Avg total236.6241.3232.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%16%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %5%5%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder4134783%121.0108.4+12.5
2 Detroit Pistons40301075%117.7110.2+7.4
3 Denver Nuggets41281368%122.6117.2+5.3
4 San Antonio Spurs40271368%117.7112.7+5.0
5 Boston Celtics41261563%117.0110.1+6.9
6 Los Angeles Lakers38241463%116.4116.5-0.1
7 Minnesota Timberwolves43271663%120.0114.7+5.3
8 Houston Rockets39241562%117.1110.7+6.4
9 Phoenix Suns41251661%115.0111.1+3.9
10 Toronto Raptors42251760%114.3112.2+2.1
11 New York Knicks40231757%118.1115.1+3.0
12 Orlando Magic39221756%116.2114.6+1.5
13 Golden State Warriors43241956%116.2113.3+3.0
14 Cleveland Cavaliers43241956%120.0117.4+2.6
15 Philadelphia 76ers40221855%116.8115.7+1.1
16 Miami Heat41221954%119.8117.9+1.9
17 Portland Trail Blazers42202248%115.9118.4-2.6
18 Chicago Bulls41192246%117.3120.7-3.4
19 Atlanta Hawks44202445%117.6119.2-1.5
20 Los Angeles Clippers41182344%112.5113.4-0.9
21 Memphis Grizzlies40172342%114.8116.2-1.4
22 Milwaukee Bucks41172441%112.4115.8-3.3
23 Dallas Mavericks43172640%114.2117.0-2.9
24 Charlotte Hornets42152736%116.6117.1-0.5
25 Utah Jazz42142833%119.4127.6-8.3
26 Brooklyn Nets39122731%108.9113.8-4.8
27 Sacramento Kings42123029%110.6120.6-10.0
28 Washington Wizards40103025%112.7124.0-11.3
29 Indiana Pacers43103323%110.2118.4-8.2
30 New Orleans Pelicans44103423%115.0122.3-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets36262138121
Washington Wizards29342329115
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