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Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 29 Dec 2016
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 105-103
22-31 27-18 32-24 24-30
Position#17
Record13-18
FormWWLLW
Points / game107.5
Allowed / game109.4
vs
Position#24
Record10-21
FormWWLLW
Points / game103.8
Allowed / game105.9
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Minnesota Timberwolves
07 Mar 2027
DEN v MIN
upcoming
28 Dec 2026
DEN v MIN
upcoming
27 Apr 2026
DEN125
MIN113
20 Apr 2026
DEN114
MIN119
18 Apr 2026
DEN116
MIN105
01 Mar 2026
DEN108
MIN117
25 Dec 2025
DEN142
MIN138
01 Apr 2025
DEN139
MIN140
12 Mar 2025
DEN95
MIN115
19 May 2024
DEN90
MIN98
14 May 2024
DEN112
MIN97
06 May 2024
DEN80
MIN106
04 May 2024
DEN99
MIN106
10 Apr 2024
DEN116
MIN107
29 Mar 2024
DEN98
MIN111
25 Apr 2023
DEN112
MIN109
19 Apr 2023
DEN122
MIN113
16 Apr 2023
DEN109
MIN80
07 Feb 2023
DEN146
MIN112
18 Jan 2023
DEN122
MIN118
01 Apr 2022
DEN130
MIN136
15 Dec 2021
DEN107
MIN124
05 Jan 2021
DEN123
MIN116
23 Feb 2020
DEN128
MIN116
20 Dec 2019
DEN109
MIN100
10 Apr 2019
DEN99
MIN95
12 Mar 2019
DEN133
MIN107
05 Apr 2018
DEN100
MIN96
20 Dec 2017
DEN104
MIN112
15 Feb 2017
DEN99
MIN112
28 Dec 2016
DEN105
MIN103
11 Dec 2015
DEN111
MIN108
30 Oct 2015
DEN78
MIN95
17 Jan 2015
DEN105
MIN113
26 Dec 2014
DEN106
MIN102
03 Mar 2014
DEN128
MIN132
15 Nov 2013
DEN117
MIN113
09 Mar 2013
DEN111
MIN88
03 Jan 2013
DEN97
MIN101
11 Apr 2012
DEN113
MIN107
20 Feb 2012
DEN103
MIN101
09 Apr 2011
DEN130
MIN106
18 Dec 2010
DEN115
MIN113
11 Jan 2010
DEN105
MIN94
29 Nov 2009
DEN100
MIN106
10 Dec 2008
DEN116
MIN105
16 Nov 2008
DEN90
MIN84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#30
L
111-116
111
116
-5
94avg 97
A08/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
L
85-92
85
92
-7
80avg 97
A09/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
121-113
121
113
+8
119avg 97
A11/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
92-112
92
112
-20
82avg 97
A13/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
132-120
132
120
+12
126avg 97
H16/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
127-114
127
114
+13
118avg 97
H18/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
117-107
117
107
+10
120avg 97
H20/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
102-119
102
119
-17
90avg 97
A21/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
108-109
108
109
-1
106avg 97
H24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
106-102
106
102
+4
102avg 97
A27/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-36
29-32
27-28
32-20
29-18
23-29
21-28
12-17
32-29
33-29
27-37
29-18
19-27
24-38
24-27
25-20
38-28
36-28
26-29
32-35
33-22
29-32
34-26
31-34
28-31
32-27
33-27
24-22
26-36
27-32
19-27
30-24
29-29
26-22
27-31
26-27
23-23
40-23
16-31
27-25
220.5Avg total
110.1Scored
110.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)107.5109.4216.9-1.942%
Season at home (14)112.6112.6225.2-0.143%
Season away (17)103.3106.8210.1-3.541%
Last 10 (10)110.1110.4220.5-0.350%
Last 5 (5)112.0110.2222.2+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)105.5126.5232.0-21.00%
vs Similar ◀ (22)105.0108.1213.0-3.132%
vs Weaker (6)117.5109.8227.3+7.783%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
110-124
110
124
-14
100avg 96
A09/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
90-117
90
117
-27
79avg 96
H10/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
108-116
108
116
-8
100avg 96
H12/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
99-94
99
94
+5
93avg 96
A14/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
109-111 OT
109
111
-2
106avg 96
H18/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
115-108
115
108
+7
110avg 96
H20/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
92-84
92
84
+8
88avg 96
A22/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
105-109
105
109
-4
96avg 96
H24/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
100-112
100
112
-12
87avg 96
A26/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
104-90
104
90
+14
98avg 96
H27/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-22
27-37
30-29
21-36
20-25
23-24
25-33
22-35
27-30
31-30
30-18
20-38
22-38
30-18
26-19
21-19
24-28
33-16
23-23
15-28
29-23
33-31
29-33
24-21
28-26
21-18
18-25
25-15
26-25
29-26
30-27
20-31
27-23
26-34
22-29
25-26
23-25
31-20
35-20
15-25
209.7Avg total
103.2Scored
106.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)103.8105.9209.7-2.132%
Season at home (16)105.3104.6209.9+0.731%
Season away (15)102.2107.2209.4-5.033%
Last 10 (10)103.2106.5209.7-3.340%
Last 5 (5)103.2100.6203.8+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)104.0114.6218.6-10.60%
vs Similar ◀ (17)100.6104.4205.0-3.729%
vs Weaker (6)113.5100.7214.2+12.883%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -6.6-6.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -6.6-6.6
Denver NuggetsMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#30
L
52-68
52
68
-16
A08/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A09/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
65-58
65
58
+7
A11/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
43-65
43
65
-22
A13/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
74-56
74
56
+18
H16/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H18/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
60-58
60
58
+2
H20/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
53-68
53
68
-15
A21/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
63-46
63
46
+17
A27/12
NBA
115.0Avg total
57.9Scored
57.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.155.6111.7+0.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)57.856.1113.9+1.657%-
Last 30 away (16)54.655.1109.8-0.538%-
Last 10 (10)57.957.1115.0+0.870%-
Last 5 (5)58.655.4114.0+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)57.069.0126.0-12.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)55.255.0110.3+0.245%-
vs Weaker (6)59.053.2112.2+5.867%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#7
D
59-59
59
59
+0
A09/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H10/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
58-60
58
60
-2
H12/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
L
52-56
52
56
-4
A14/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
57-44
57
44
+13
H18/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H20/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A22/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H24/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
53-57
53
57
-4
A26/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H27/12
NBA
106.1Avg total
54.2Scored
51.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.651.1105.7+3.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)55.248.2103.4+6.969%-
Last 30 away (14)53.954.3108.2-0.421%-
Last 10 (10)54.251.9106.1+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)54.650.2104.8+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)52.053.1105.1-1.129%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)52.750.7103.4+2.047%-
vs Weaker (6)63.049.7112.7+13.367%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 110.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.030.4
54.3%
50.2%60.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.110.1
34.7%
35.7%30.3
🏀 Free throws25.319.0
75.1%
77.0%19.0
They take 85.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 103.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.0 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.530.5
50.4%
50.2%61.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.38.1
34.8%
35.7%24.3
🏀 Free throws22.617.9
79.2%
77.0%17.9
They take 83.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WLLWWWLWLL
Minnesota Timberwolves
WLLWWLWLLL
#17
League position
#24
-0.3
Net rating
-3.4
112.4
Offensive rating
107.4
112.7
Defensive rating
110.8
53.5%
Effective FG%
50.9%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
15.1%
Turnover %
15.4%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
29.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.7%
3-point %
34.8%
59.8%
Assist %
56.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence112.4 · 107.4Defence112.7 · 110.8Shooting53.5% · 50.9%3-point %34.7% · 34.8%Ball care15.1% · 15.4%Off. rebounds30.5% · 29.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/16ALos Angeles Clippers106-102
24/12/16HAtlanta Hawks108-109
21/12/16ALos Angeles Clippers102-119
20/12/16HDallas Mavericks117-107
18/12/16HNew York Knicks127-114
16/12/16HPortland Trail Blazers132-120
13/12/16ADallas Mavericks92-112
11/12/16AOrlando Magic121-113
09/12/16AWashington Wizards85-92
08/12/16ABrooklyn Nets111-116
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/16HAtlanta Hawks104-90
26/12/16AOklahoma City Thunder100-112
24/12/16HSacramento Kings105-109
22/12/16AAtlanta Hawks92-84
20/12/16HPhoenix Suns115-108
18/12/16HHouston Rockets109-111 OT
14/12/16AChicago Bulls99-94
12/12/16HGolden State Warriors108-116
10/12/16HDetroit Pistons90-117
09/12/16AToronto Raptors110-124

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW42%
HomeLWWWL43%
AwayLWLLW41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311417
Win %42%43%41%
Points / game107.5112.6103.3
Allowed / game109.4112.6106.8
Point differential-1.9-0.1-3.5
Avg total216.9225.2210.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%36%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)20% (5)50% (6)
Overtime %10%21%0%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW32%
HomeLLWLW31%
AwayWLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %32%31%33%
Points / game103.8105.3102.2
Allowed / game105.9104.6107.2
Point differential-2.1+0.7-5.0
Avg total209.7209.9209.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%25%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)0% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %6%6%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors3227584%117.2104.2+12.9
2 San Antonio Spurs3226681%105.097.9+7.1
3 Cleveland Cavaliers3023777%110.1103.0+7.2
4 Toronto Raptors3022873%111.4102.4+9.0
5 Houston Rockets3324973%113.8106.4+7.3
6 Los Angeles Clippers34221265%108.4101.6+6.7
7 Oklahoma City Thunder32201262%107.0104.8+2.2
8 Utah Jazz32191359%99.295.3+3.8
9 Boston Celtics32191359%105.4103.3+2.1
10 Memphis Grizzlies34201459%97.798.1-0.4
11 Charlotte Hornets32181456%105.2102.6+2.6
12 New York Knicks31161552%105.4107.7-2.4
13 Milwaukee Bucks30151550%105.0102.4+2.6
14 Chicago Bulls32161650%100.799.8+0.8
15 Atlanta Hawks32161650%101.8103.9-2.0
16 Washington Wizards31151648%105.3106.5-1.2
17 Indiana Pacers33151845%103.9106.0-2.1
18 Sacramento Kings31141745%102.3104.1-1.8
19 Detroit Pistons34151944%98.598.5+0.0
20 Orlando Magic34151944%98.8103.0-4.2
21 Denver Nuggets31131842%107.5109.4-1.9
22 Portland Trail Blazers33132039%108.2112.2-4.0
23 New Orleans Pelicans34132138%102.8106.4-3.5
24 Los Angeles Lakers35122334%104.4110.3-5.9
25 Minnesota Timberwolves31102132%103.8105.9-2.1
26 Miami Heat32102231%98.4101.6-3.1
27 Dallas Mavericks3292328%94.8100.7-5.9
28 Phoenix Suns3292328%107.0114.3-7.3
29 Brooklyn Nets3182326%106.4114.3-8.0
30 Philadelphia 76ers3072323%98.7106.2-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets22273224105
Minnesota Timberwolves31182430103
← all games of the day
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