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Orlando Magic vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Dec 2016
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 113-121
29-32 29-33 37-27 18-29
Position#26
Record10-14
FormWWWLL
Points / game94.0
Allowed / game99.2
vs
Position#17
Record8-15
FormLLWLL
Points / game105.5
Allowed / game108.5
USANBA· Amway Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Orlando Magic v Denver Nuggets
20 Mar 2027
ORL v DEN
upcoming
27 Dec 2025
ORL127
DEN126
19 Jan 2025
ORL100
DEN113
22 Nov 2023
ORL124
DEN119
09 Feb 2023
ORL115
DEN104
01 Dec 2021
ORL108
DEN103
23 Mar 2021
ORL99
DEN110
02 Nov 2019
ORL87
DEN91
05 Dec 2018
ORL118
DEN124
08 Dec 2017
ORL89
DEN103
10 Dec 2016
ORL113
DEN121
15 Mar 2016
ORL116
DEN110
22 Mar 2015
ORL100
DEN119
12 Mar 2014
ORL112
DEN120
02 Nov 2012
ORL102
DEN89
01 Apr 2012
ORL101
DEN104
18 Mar 2011
ORL85
DEN82
28 Mar 2010
ORL103
DEN97
11 Feb 2009
ORL73
DEN82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Orlando Magic winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMagic
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
87-92
87
92
-5
67avg 91
H24/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
L
91-94
91
94
-3
84avg 91
H26/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
L
96-104
96
104
-8
85avg 91
H27/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
95-83
95
83
+12
88avg 91
A30/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
94-95
94
95
-1
83avg 91
A02/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
105-88
105
88
+17
102avg 91
A03/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
98-92
98
92
+6
92avg 91
A04/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
W
124-116
124
116
+8
117avg 91
A07/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
87-117
87
117
-30
72avg 91
H08/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
88-109
88
109
-21
72avg 91
A10/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
22-22
22-22
21-24
14-26
24-22
30-24
23-22
29-36
23-22
20-21
24-25
16-20
29-23
30-21
20-19
28-30
21-20
19-15
26-30
21-14
29-28
32-19
23-27
23-27
35-23
20-23
20-19
25-24
40-28
31-29
28-35
27-26
23-23
23-36
14-32
21-20
25-32
24-39
18-18
195.5Avg total
96.5Scored
99.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)94.099.2193.2-5.242%
Season at home (11)92.097.6189.6-5.636%
Season away (13)95.8100.5196.3-4.846%
Last 10 (10)96.599.0195.5-2.540%
Last 5 (5)100.4104.4204.8-4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)92.9101.0193.9-8.132%
vs Similar (11)103.0101.7204.7+1.364%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
110-107
110
107
+3
102avg 96
H23/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
83-108
83
108
-25
62avg 96
A24/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
129-132 OT
129
132
-3
125avg 96
H26/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
120-114
120
114
+6
111avg 96
A27/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
L
98-106
98
106
-8
93avg 96
H01/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
110-128
110
128
-18
95avg 96
H03/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
98-105
98
105
-7
85avg 96
A04/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
106-98
106
98
+8
98avg 96
A06/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
L
111-116
111
116
-5
94avg 96
A08/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
L
85-92
85
92
-7
80avg 96
A09/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-31
41-29
31-28
19-19
27-36
20-17
14-31
22-24
30-31
33-31
26-22
33-38
29-28
34-15
23-36
34-35
30-28
17-24
33-23
18-31
33-42
30-31
21-26
26-29
21-24
26-25
16-33
35-23
18-27
33-26
23-17
32-28
23-36
29-32
27-28
32-20
29-18
23-29
21-28
12-17
215.6Avg total
105.0Scored
110.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)105.5108.5214.0-3.035%
Season at home (10)109.2112.7221.9-3.530%
Season away (13)102.7105.3208.0-2.638%
Last 10 (10)105.0110.6215.6-5.630%
Last 5 (5)102.0107.8209.8-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)99.8115.0214.8-15.220%
vs Similar (21)103.2106.6209.9-3.429%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)114.2108.0222.2+6.275%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -0.1-0.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -0.1-0.1
Orlando MagicDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H24/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H26/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
L
52-58
52
58
-6
H27/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A30/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A02/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A03/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
58-50
58
50
+8
A04/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
W
65-52
65
52
+13
A07/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H08/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A10/12
NBA
98.7Avg total
49.7Scored
49.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.851.199.9-2.340%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.550.199.6-0.547%-
Last 30 away (15)48.152.1100.2-4.133%-
Last 10 (10)49.749.098.7+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)53.849.0102.8+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)47.351.298.5-3.837%-
vs Similar (11)51.451.0102.4+0.445%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#15
D
60-60
60
60
+0
H23/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A24/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
63-62
63
62
+1
H26/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
63-43
63
43
+20
A27/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H01/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
63-73
63
73
-10
H03/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A04/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A06/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
L
52-68
52
68
-16
A08/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A09/12
NBA
110.5Avg total
54.5Scored
56.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.954.8109.8+0.137%-
Last 30 at home (14)54.956.5111.4-1.636%-
Last 30 away (16)54.953.4108.3+1.638%-
Last 10 (10)54.556.0110.5-1.530%-
Last 5 (5)53.058.0111.0-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)52.661.4114.0-8.80%-
vs Similar (21)55.153.9109.0+1.343%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)56.851.8108.5+5.050%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 96.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.527.9
47.7%
50.2%55.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.5
34.0%
35.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws21.715.2
70.0%
77.0%15.2
They take 83.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 105.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.828.6
45.5%
50.2%57.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.510.1
35.4%
35.7%30.3
🏀 Free throws24.017.5
72.9%
77.0%17.5
They take 91.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Dec 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Orlando Magic
LLWWWLWLLL
Denver Nuggets
LLWLLLWLLW
#26
League position
#17
-2.6
Net rating
-5.5
100.6
Offensive rating
102.8
103.2
Defensive rating
108.2
48.7%
Effective FG%
47.9%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
12.3%
Turnover %
15.5%
19.6%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.26
34.0%
3-point %
35.4%
58.2%
Assist %
57.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence100.6 · 102.8Defence103.2 · 108.2Shooting48.7% · 47.9%3-point %34.0% · 35.4%Ball care12.3% · 15.5%Off. rebounds19.6% · 30.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Orlando Magic   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Orlando Magic wins
7
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/16ACharlotte Hornets88-109
08/12/16HBoston Celtics87-117
07/12/16AWashington Wizards124-116
04/12/16ADetroit Pistons98-92
03/12/16APhiladelphia 76ers105-88
02/12/16AMemphis Grizzlies94-95
30/11/16ASan Antonio Spurs95-83
27/11/16HMilwaukee Bucks96-104
26/11/16HWashington Wizards91-94
24/11/16HPhoenix Suns87-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/16AWashington Wizards85-92
08/12/16ABrooklyn Nets111-116
06/12/16APhiladelphia 76ers106-98
04/12/16AUtah Jazz98-105
03/12/16HHouston Rockets110-128
01/12/16HMiami Heat98-106
27/11/16APhoenix Suns120-114
26/11/16HOklahoma City Thunder129-132 OT
24/11/16AUtah Jazz83-108
23/11/16HChicago Bulls110-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Orlando Magic
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL42%
HomeWLLLL36%
AwayLWWWL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %42%36%46%
Points / game94.092.095.8
Allowed / game99.297.6100.5
Point differential-5.2-5.6-4.8
Avg total193.2189.6196.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)33% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL35%
HomeWWLLL30%
AwayWLWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231013
Win %35%30%38%
Points / game105.5109.2102.7
Allowed / game108.5112.7105.3
Point differential-3.0-3.5-2.6
Avg total214.0221.9208.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%20%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)25% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %13%30%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors2320387%119.3105.7+13.6
2 San Antonio Spurs2318578%102.397.7+4.6
3 Cleveland Cavaliers2116576%111.2103.5+7.7
4 Los Angeles Clippers2316770%108.399.8+8.4
5 Toronto Raptors2316770%111.0102.7+8.3
6 Houston Rockets2316770%111.7106.5+5.2
7 Memphis Grizzlies2416867%97.597.9-0.4
8 Charlotte Hornets2314961%104.7101.3+3.4
9 Oklahoma City Thunder2314961%107.0104.7+2.3
10 Utah Jazz24141058%100.396.0+4.4
11 Boston Celtics23131057%104.8103.1+1.7
12 New York Knicks23131057%104.2106.9-2.7
13 Chicago Bulls22121055%102.999.9+3.0
14 Milwaukee Bucks21111052%104.1102.4+1.8
15 Detroit Pistons25131252%99.996.0+3.8
16 Atlanta Hawks24121250%100.8102.3-1.5
17 Portland Trail Blazers24121250%109.1111.5-2.3
18 Indiana Pacers23111248%104.4107.5-3.1
19 Orlando Magic24101442%94.099.2-5.2
20 Los Angeles Lakers25101540%104.9110.7-5.8
21 Washington Wizards2181338%103.7106.0-2.3
22 Sacramento Kings2281436%103.0104.0-1.0
23 Denver Nuggets2381535%105.5108.5-3.0
24 New Orleans Pelicans2371630%101.7105.1-3.5
25 Miami Heat2371630%96.7100.3-3.7
26 Phoenix Suns2371630%106.3113.0-6.7
27 Brooklyn Nets2161529%106.2114.2-8.0
28 Minnesota Timberwolves2361726%103.7106.9-3.1
29 Dallas Mavericks2251723%93.0100.5-7.5
30 Philadelphia 76ers2351822%97.6106.3-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Orlando Magic29293718113
Denver Nuggets32332729121
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