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Washington Wizards vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 09 Dec 2016
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 92-85
18-29 29-23 28-21 17-12
Position#8
Record11-16
FormWLLWL
Points / game104.7
Allowed / game104.9
vs
Position#16
Record12-18
FormLLLWL
Points / game105.9
Allowed / game107.8
USANBA· Verizon Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Washington Wizards v Denver Nuggets
24 Mar 2027
WAS v DEN
upcoming
22 Jan 2026
WAS97
DEN107
07 Dec 2024
WAS122
DEN113
21 Jan 2024
WAS104
DEN113
22 Mar 2023
WAS104
DEN118
16 Mar 2022
WAS109
DEN127
17 Feb 2021
WAS130
DEN128
04 Jan 2020
WAS128
DEN114
21 Mar 2019
WAS108
DEN113
23 Mar 2018
WAS100
DEN108
08 Dec 2016
WAS92
DEN85
28 Jan 2016
WAS113
DEN117
05 Dec 2014
WAS119
DEN89
09 Dec 2013
WAS74
DEN75
16 Jul 2013
WAS97
DEN69
22 Feb 2013
WAS119
DEN113
20 Jan 2012
WAS104
DEN108
25 Jan 2011
WAS109
DEN120
19 Feb 2010
WAS107
DEN97
06 Feb 2009
WAS103
DEN124
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Washington Wizards winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#23
W
119-112
119
112
+7
H18/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
L
111-114
111
114
-3
H20/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
106-101
106
101
+5
H22/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
94-91
94
91
+3
A26/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
100-112
100
112
-12
H27/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
101-95 OT
101
95
+6
H29/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
115-126 OT
115
126
-11
A01/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
105-107
105
107
-2
A03/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
118-113
118
113
+5
A06/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
116-124
116
124
-8
H07/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
28-24
35-23
32-47
35-33
24-27
23-31
29-23
26-20
24-26
25-34
31-21
26-14
22-24
24-30
22-23
22-23
22-31
32-36
24-22
25-19
25-34
24-19
18-20
19-32
34-28
31-24
21-21
28-24
32-33
14-23
31-27
29-32
22-34
32-15
35-32
24-25
28-40
29-31
35-28
218.0Avg total
108.5Scored
109.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)104.7104.9209.6-0.141%
Season at home (14)105.9103.0208.9+2.950%
Season away (13)103.5106.9210.4-3.531%
Last 10 (10)108.5109.5218.0-1.050%
Last 5 (5)111.0113.0224.0-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)102.5109.5212.0-7.00%
vs Similar ◀ (16)99.5100.1199.6-0.638%
vs Weaker (12)106.2103.8209.9+2.458%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#9
W
105-91
105
91
+14
H21/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#17
W
110-107
110
107
+3
H23/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
83-108
83
108
-25
A24/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
129-132 OT
129
132
-3
H26/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
120-114
120
114
+6
A27/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
L
98-106
98
106
-8
H01/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
110-128
110
128
-18
H03/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
98-105
98
105
-7
A04/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
106-98
106
98
+8
A06/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
L
111-116
111
116
-5
A08/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-14
29-27
23-22
29-28
19-31
41-29
31-28
19-19
27-36
20-17
14-31
22-24
30-31
33-31
26-22
33-38
29-28
34-15
23-36
34-35
30-28
17-24
33-23
18-31
33-42
30-31
21-26
26-29
21-24
26-25
16-33
35-23
18-27
33-26
23-17
32-28
23-36
29-32
27-28
32-20
217.5Avg total
107.0Scored
110.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)105.9107.8213.7-1.940%
Season at home (12)110.1110.9221.0-0.833%
Season away (18)103.1105.7208.8-2.744%
Last 10 (10)107.0110.5217.5-3.540%
Last 5 (5)104.6110.6215.2-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)113.0127.3240.3-14.30%
vs Similar ◀ (21)103.0104.7207.8-1.738%
vs Weaker (6)112.2108.8221.0+3.367%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.5+0.5
Washington WizardsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#23
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H18/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
L
59-60
59
60
-1
H20/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H22/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A26/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
44-54
44
54
-10
H27/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H29/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
53-60
53
60
-7
A01/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
60-57
60
57
+3
A03/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
L
51-66
51
66
-15
A06/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
52-65
52
65
-13
H07/12
NBA
106.0Avg total
51.9Scored
54.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.551.4101.9-1.040%-
Last 30 at home (16)49.249.798.9-0.444%-
Last 30 away (14)51.953.4105.3-1.636%-
Last 10 (10)51.954.1106.0-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)53.260.2113.4-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)52.055.5107.5-3.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)50.251.8101.9-1.631%-
vs Weaker (12)50.650.3100.9+0.250%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#9
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H21/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#17
D
60-60
60
60
+0
H23/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A24/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
63-62
63
62
+1
H26/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
63-43
63
43
+20
A27/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H01/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
63-73
63
73
-10
H03/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A04/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A06/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
L
52-68
52
68
-16
A08/12
NBA
110.0Avg total
54.6Scored
55.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.454.3108.7+0.240%-
Last 30 at home (12)55.754.5110.2+1.250%-
Last 30 away (18)53.654.1107.7-0.533%-
Last 10 (10)54.655.4110.0-0.830%-
Last 5 (5)52.059.0111.0-7.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)57.764.0121.7-6.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)53.953.2107.1+0.643%-
vs Weaker (6)54.853.0107.8+1.833%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 108.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.431.4
49.5%
50.2%62.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.210.0
39.7%
35.7%30.0
🏀 Free throws21.015.7
74.8%
77.0%15.7
They take 88.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 107.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.829.6
45.7%
50.2%59.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.510.2
37.1%
35.7%30.6
🏀 Free throws24.617.2
69.9%
77.0%17.2
They take 92.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Dec 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Washington Wizards
LWLLWLWWLW
Denver Nuggets
LWLLLWLLWW
#8
League position
#16
-1.0
Net rating
-3.4
107.3
Offensive rating
105.2
108.3
Defensive rating
108.6
52.4%
Effective FG%
48.6%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
13.1%
Turnover %
13.8%
23.7%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.27
39.7%
3-point %
37.1%
57.5%
Assist %
57.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.3 · 105.2Defence108.3 · 108.6Shooting52.4% · 48.6%3-point %39.7% · 37.1%Ball care13.1% · 13.8%Off. rebounds23.7% · 29.3%Free throws0.24 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Washington Wizards   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/16HOrlando Magic116-124
06/12/16ABrooklyn Nets118-113
03/12/16ASan Antonio Spurs105-107
01/12/16AOklahoma City Thunder115-126 OT
29/11/16HSacramento Kings101-95 OT
27/11/16HSan Antonio Spurs100-112
26/11/16AOrlando Magic94-91
22/11/16HPhoenix Suns106-101
20/11/16HMiami Heat111-114
18/11/16HNew York Knicks119-112
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/16ABrooklyn Nets111-116
06/12/16APhiladelphia 76ers106-98
04/12/16AUtah Jazz98-105
03/12/16HHouston Rockets110-128
01/12/16HMiami Heat98-106
27/11/16APhoenix Suns120-114
26/11/16HOklahoma City Thunder129-132 OT
24/11/16AUtah Jazz83-108
23/11/16HChicago Bulls110-107
21/11/16HUtah Jazz105-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Washington Wizards
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL41%
HomeLWLWL50%
AwayLWLLW31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %41%50%31%
Points / game104.7105.9103.5
Allowed / game104.9103.0106.9
Point differential-0.1+2.9-3.5
Avg total209.6208.9210.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%21%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)67% (3)43% (7)
Overtime %15%7%23%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL40%
HomeWWLLL33%
AwayLWLWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301218
Win %40%33%44%
Points / game105.9110.1103.1
Allowed / game107.8110.9105.7
Point differential-1.9-0.8-2.7
Avg total213.7221.0208.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%25%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)20% (5)57% (7)
Overtime %13%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors2925486%118.2105.0+13.2
2 San Antonio Spurs2822679%101.696.8+4.8
3 Houston Rockets2819968%113.1107.6+5.5
4 Los Angeles Clippers29191066%104.9100.4+4.5
5 Memphis Grizzlies29191066%99.999.2+0.7
6 Cleveland Cavaliers2617965%109.0105.0+4.0
7 Toronto Raptors27171063%108.6102.5+6.1
8 Boston Celtics29181162%105.2102.2+3.0
9 Oklahoma City Thunder26161062%106.7104.3+2.5
10 Utah Jazz29171259%99.995.3+4.5
11 New York Knicks28161257%105.2107.1-1.9
12 Charlotte Hornets29161355%101.4101.2+0.2
13 Milwaukee Bucks26141254%100.6100.5+0.1
14 Atlanta Hawks30161453%99.799.7+0.1
15 Portland Trail Blazers30161453%108.1109.9-1.8
16 Detroit Pistons30151550%98.295.0+3.2
17 Chicago Bulls28141450%103.5100.6+2.9
18 Indiana Pacers28141450%105.0106.9-1.9
19 Washington Wizards27111641%104.7104.9-0.1
20 Denver Nuggets30121840%105.9107.8-1.9
21 Orlando Magic30121840%95.3100.5-5.2
22 Minnesota Timberwolves28111739%103.2102.8+0.4
23 Sacramento Kings26101638%102.9104.2-1.3
24 Los Angeles Lakers32122038%104.8109.6-4.7
25 Miami Heat30111937%99.299.5-0.3
26 Phoenix Suns28101836%105.2110.8-5.5
27 New Orleans Pelicans2882029%103.0106.5-3.6
28 Brooklyn Nets2772026%105.0113.5-8.5
29 Dallas Mavericks2862221%92.6101.0-8.4
30 Philadelphia 76ers2962321%97.3107.1-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Washington Wizards1829281792
Denver Nuggets2923211285
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