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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 27 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 16:50
Final 76-88
16-31 16-21 22-10 22-26
Position#1
Record9-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game67.9
vs
Position#6
Record4-6
FormWLWWL
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game88.3
LithuaniaLKL· Zalgirio Arena (Kaunas)
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Neptunas
25 Apr 2027
ZAL v NEP
upcoming
15 Nov 2026
ZAL v NEP
upcoming
21 Feb 2026
ZAL119
NEP81
08 Feb 2026
ZAL87
NEP76
04 Jan 2026
ZAL112
NEP77
24 May 2025
ZAL88
NEP75
07 May 2025
ZAL84
NEP49
15 Dec 2024
ZAL91
NEP75
27 Nov 2023
ZAL76
NEP88
08 Jan 2023
ZAL77
NEP46
11 May 2022
ZAL89
NEP60
07 May 2022
ZAL87
NEP71
02 May 2022
ZAL92
NEP88
10 Oct 2021
ZAL98
NEP79
28 Feb 2021
ZAL85
NEP72
13 Feb 2021
ZAL84
NEP72
22 Nov 2020
ZAL81
NEP59
01 Dec 2019
ZAL100
NEP82
09 May 2019
ZAL90
NEP80
14 Oct 2018
ZAL60
NEP75
10 Apr 2018
ZAL94
NEP47
05 Nov 2017
ZAL88
NEP62
19 May 2017
ZAL83
NEP60
13 May 2017
ZAL83
NEP54
05 Mar 2017
ZAL69
NEP78
23 Oct 2016
ZAL77
NEP67
06 Jun 2016
ZAL97
NEP70
31 May 2016
ZAL78
NEP54
25 May 2016
ZAL83
NEP72
31 Jan 2016
ZAL89
NEP57
11 Oct 2015
ZAL81
NEP71
01 Mar 2015
ZAL86
NEP90
02 Nov 2014
ZAL86
NEP48
06 Jun 2014
ZAL90
NEP70
31 May 2014
ZAL88
NEP72
26 May 2014
ZAL92
NEP83
07 Apr 2014
ZAL79
NEP88
23 Apr 2013
ZAL99
NEP83
20 Jan 2013
ZAL111
NEP87
26 Feb 2012
ZAL85
NEP84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Valencia
#14
L
72-87
72
87
-15
62avg 76
H27/10
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#5
W
69-63
69
63
+6
66avg 76
H29/10
LKL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
88-91
88
91
-3
80avg 76
H02/11
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
81-67
81
67
+14
79avg 76
A05/11
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
82-86 OT
82
86
-4
74avg 76
A09/11
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#3
L
64-75
64
75
-11
59avg 76
A12/11
LKL
Panathinaikos
#2
L
71-73
71
73
-2
72avg 76
A15/11
Euroleague
Bayern
#15
W
74-73
74
73
+1
65avg 76
H17/11
Euroleague
Siauliai
#10
W
89-74
89
74
+15
88avg 76
H19/11
LKL
Olympiacos
#4
L
72-89
72
89
-17
64avg 76
A24/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-20
18-32
23-20
19-15
21-20
18-9
18-17
12-17
30-24
26-26
24-22
8-19
19-10
26-23
17-17
19-17
14-13
12-25
20-13
28-23
14-17
19-13
12-22
19-23
15-13
24-23
13-17
19-20
25-18
16-25
21-18
12-12
16-15
29-20
22-28
22-11
19-19
12-24
21-26
20-20
154.0Avg total
76.2Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)80.267.9148.1+12.390%
Season at home (4)80.568.5149.0+12.0100%
Season away (6)80.067.5147.5+12.583%
Last 10 (10)76.277.8154.0-1.640%
Last 5 (5)74.076.8150.8-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.083.0158.0-8.00%
vs Similar (8)80.179.6159.8+0.562%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)82.874.3157.1+8.575%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Juventus
#5
W
92-90
92
90
+2
88avg 79
H18/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#7
L
84-87
84
87
-3
80avg 79
H23/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#9
W
97-87
97
87
+10
97avg 79
A25/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#8
L
77-88
77
88
-11
61avg 79
A29/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#12
W
92-73
92
73
+19
86avg 79
A06/11
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
109-80
109
80
+29
112avg 79
H08/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
75-93
75
93
-18
74avg 79
A11/11
LKL
Gargzdai
#9
W
84-78
84
78
+6
79avg 79
H16/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
W
97-74
97
74
+23
106avg 79
H20/11
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
78-92
78
92
-14
80avg 79
A23/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
18-24
24-22
25-20
14-23
24-23
26-10
20-31
33-16
25-19
11-27
28-25
21-21
23-17
23-34
10-16
23-23
22-14
29-16
18-20
26-22
33-20
25-23
25-15
28-28
10-22
20-24
17-19
24-19
12-28
21-21
27-10
19-24
24-14
28-15
26-21
24-21
22-19
16-29
16-23
172.7Avg total
88.5Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)87.888.3176.1-0.540%
Season at home (5)90.085.4175.4+4.660%
Season away (5)85.691.2176.8-5.620%
Last 10 (10)88.584.2172.7+4.360%
Last 5 (5)88.683.4172.0+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)83.097.3180.3-14.30%
vs Similar (8)85.485.5170.9-0.162%
vs Weaker (13)91.580.3171.8+11.285%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +1.2+1.2
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +1.2+1.2
Zalgiris KaunasNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#14
L
30-52
30
52
-22
H27/10
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#5
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H29/10
LKL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
56-50
56
50
+6
H02/11
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A05/11
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A09/11
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#3
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A12/11
LKL
Panathinaikos
#2
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A15/11
Euroleague
Bayern
#15
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H17/11
Euroleague
Siauliai
#10
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H19/11
LKL
Olympiacos
#4
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A24/11
Euroleague
77.4Avg total
38.5Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.539.080.5+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.940.282.1+1.854%-
Last 30 away (17)41.238.279.4+3.059%-
Last 10 (10)38.538.977.4-0.460%-
Last 5 (5)37.837.475.2+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.044.585.5-3.550%-
vs Similar (8)36.441.077.4-4.625%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)43.637.781.3+5.970%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#5
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H18/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#7
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H23/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#9
W
58-35
58
35
+23
A25/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#8
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A29/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#12
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A06/11
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
59-42
59
42
+17
H08/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A11/11
LKL
Gargzdai
#9
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H16/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H20/11
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A23/11
King Mindaugas Cup
87.1Avg total
45.0Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.042.985.9+0.147%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.744.986.6-3.231%-
Last 30 away (14)44.540.685.1+3.964%-
Last 10 (10)45.042.187.1+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)44.443.487.8+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)40.147.687.7-7.422%-
vs Similar (8)42.139.581.6+2.662%-
vs Weaker (13)45.541.887.3+3.854%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.918.6
54.9%
55.4%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.18.8
36.5%
34.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws14.711.6
78.9%
73.2%11.6
They take 58.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 87.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.421.7
63.1%
55.4%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.8
35.4%
34.7%29.4
🏀 Free throws20.214.9
73.8%
73.2%14.9
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
LWWLLLWLWL
Neptunas
LWWLWWLWLW
#1
League position
#6
-2.6
Net rating
+5.7
108.4
Offensive rating
118.0
111.0
Defensive rating
112.4
54.8%
Effective FG%
58.6%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
18.3%
Turnover %
17.5%
25.0%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.33
36.5%
3-point %
35.4%
61.7%
Assist %
70.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.4 · 118.0Defence111.0 · 112.4Shooting54.8% · 58.6%3-point %36.5% · 35.4%Ball care18.3% · 17.5%Off. rebounds25.0% · 30.7%Free throws0.25 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
2
Neptunas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/23AOlympiacos72-89
19/11/23HSiauliai89-74
17/11/23HBayern74-73
15/11/23APanathinaikos71-73
12/11/23ABC Wolves64-75
09/11/23AAnadolu Efes82-86 OT
05/11/23ARytas81-67
02/11/23HLyon-Villeurbanne88-91
29/10/23HLietkabelis69-63
27/10/23HValencia72-87
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/23AJuventus78-92
20/11/23HNevezis97-74
16/11/23HGargzdai84-78
11/11/23ARytas75-93
08/11/23HMazeikiai109-80
06/11/23AGargzdai92-73
29/10/23AJonava77-88
25/10/23AGargzdai97-87
23/10/23HMazeikiai84-87
18/10/23HJuventus92-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW90%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %90%100%83%
Points / game80.280.580.0
Allowed / game67.968.567.5
Point differential+12.3+12.0+12.5
Avg total148.1149.0147.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW40%
HomeWLWLW60%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%60%20%
Points / game87.890.085.6
Allowed / game88.385.491.2
Point differential-0.5+4.6-5.6
Avg total176.1175.4176.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%60%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %10%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Wolves1110191%87.174.9+12.2
2 Zalgiris Kaunas109190%80.267.9+12.3
3 Rytas119282%92.280.6+11.5
4 Lietkabelis118373%86.381.9+4.4
5 Juventus116555%86.581.0+5.5
6 Jonava116555%83.183.8-0.7
7 Neptunas104640%87.888.3-0.5
8 Mazeikiai114736%76.782.8-6.1
9 Pieno Zvaigzdes103730%89.791.5-1.8
10 Gargzdai113827%76.491.4-15.0
11 Nevezis101910%77.791.3-13.6
12 Siauliai111109%79.087.5-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas1616222276
Neptunas3121102688
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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