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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 10 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 64-83
26-15 8-20 12-20 18-28
Position#13
Record10-9
FormWLWLW
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game76.9
vs
Position#8
Record10-9
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game81.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 20· Zalgirio Arena
European cup2024
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Real Madrid
12 Feb 2027
ZAL v MAD
upcoming
20 Mar 2026
ZAL87
MAD85
10 Jan 2025
ZAL64
MAD83
11 Apr 2024
ZAL62
MAD64
15 Dec 2022
ZAL81
MAD72
24 Feb 2022
ZAL68
MAD47
06 Nov 2020
ZAL90
MAD93
02 Nov 2018
ZAL79
MAD90
26 Oct 2017
ZAL66
MAD87
20 Jan 2017
ZAL59
MAD74
11 Mar 2016
ZAL75
MAD90
12 Feb 2015
ZAL71
MAD88
21 Nov 2014
ZAL66
MAD68
11 Apr 2014
ZAL87
MAD80
18 Oct 2013
ZAL63
MAD83
07 Mar 2013
ZAL104
MAD105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
W
78-67
78
67
+11
71avg 82
H08/12
LKL
Real Madrid
#8
W
92-83
92
83
+9
82avg 82
A12/12
Euroleague
Neptunas
#7
W
91-75
91
75
+16
93avg 82
H15/12
LKL
Alba Berlin
#18
W
86-66
86
66
+20
84avg 82
A17/12
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
72-78
72
78
-6
68avg 82
H20/12
Euroleague
Siauliai
#8
W
107-88
107
88
+19
99avg 82
A23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
78-95
78
95
-17
70avg 82
A26/12
Euroleague
Juventus
#6
W
128-67
128
67
+61
132avg 82
A29/12
LKL
Olympiacos
#2
L
85-92
85
92
-7
83avg 82
H02/01
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#3
W
89-85
89
85
+4
86avg 82
A05/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
20-11
18-16
21-19
24-19
30-19
18-22
20-23
25-14
23-23
21-20
22-18
24-10
21-20
24-16
17-20
16-21
20-22
17-13
19-22
34-19
23-26
21-22
29-21
19-26
19-24
18-21
22-24
29-11
33-17
34-19
32-20
22-18
30-22
19-27
14-25
24-24
19-22
25-15
21-24
170.2Avg total
90.6Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)77.476.9154.4+0.553%
Season at home (10)76.275.0151.2+1.260%
Season away (9)78.879.1157.9-0.344%
Last 10 (10)90.679.6170.2+11.070%
Last 5 (5)97.485.4182.8+12.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.074.8149.8+0.250%
vs Similar ◀ (11)78.380.0158.3-1.745%
vs Weaker (13)92.773.2165.9+19.585%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
83-92
83
92
-9
78avg 82
H12/12
Euroleague
Breogan
#13
W
106-69
106
69
+37
113avg 82
H15/12
ACB
Paris
#9
W
96-85
96
85
+11
94avg 82
A17/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
W
94-72
94
72
+22
96avg 82
H19/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#2
L
84-85
84
85
-1
76avg 82
A22/12
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
W
80-69
80
69
+11
78avg 82
A26/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
W
73-71
73
71
+2
63avg 82
H29/12
ACB
Bayern
#7
W
88-76
88
76
+12
81avg 82
H03/01
Euroleague
Baskonia
#7
W
89-82
89
82
+7
84avg 82
A06/01
ACB
Granada
#17
W
84-79
84
79
+5
72avg 82
A08/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
19-30
22-18
23-20
19-8
24-21
27-19
36-21
26-17
26-31
18-19
26-18
29-22
24-13
24-12
17-25
9-17
21-23
29-16
25-29
28-15
17-19
16-17
19-18
21-15
15-16
21-20
16-20
23-16
24-14
15-20
26-26
28-18
19-21
16-17
26-26
18-25
20-23
18-16
28-15
165.7Avg total
87.7Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)84.681.6166.2+3.153%
Season at home (10)87.381.0168.3+6.370%
Season away (9)81.782.2163.9-0.633%
Last 10 (10)87.778.0165.7+9.780%
Last 5 (5)82.875.4158.2+7.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)82.981.1164.0+1.846%
vs Weaker (17)86.175.6161.7+10.476%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +2.4+2.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +2.4+2.4
Zalgiris KaunasReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H08/12
LKL
Real Madrid
#8
W
54-38
54
38
+16
A12/12
Euroleague
Neptunas
#7
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H15/12
LKL
Alba Berlin
#18
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A17/12
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H20/12
Euroleague
Siauliai
#8
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A26/12
Euroleague
Juventus
#6
W
62-28
62
28
+34
A29/12
LKL
Olympiacos
#2
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H02/01
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#3
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A05/01
LKL
86.3Avg total
47.4Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.136.778.8+5.360%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.233.275.4+9.080%-
Last 30 away (15)41.940.382.2+1.740%-
Last 10 (10)47.438.986.3+8.570%-
Last 5 (5)50.441.892.2+8.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.835.874.7+3.067%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.138.578.6+1.545%-
vs Weaker (13)45.235.680.8+9.669%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H12/12
Euroleague
Breogan
#13
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H15/12
ACB
Paris
#9
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A17/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H19/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#2
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A22/12
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A26/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H29/12
ACB
Bayern
#7
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H03/01
Euroleague
Baskonia
#7
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A06/01
ACB
Granada
#17
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A08/01
ACB
81.7Avg total
42.9Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.738.580.2+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.236.579.7+6.775%-
Last 30 away (14)40.040.780.7-0.743%-
Last 10 (10)42.938.881.7+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)42.636.479.0+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)39.139.678.7-0.538%-
vs Weaker (17)43.737.681.3+6.176%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 89.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀36%
🏀🏀🏀48%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.116.2
57.7%
54.5%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.814.4
42.6%
36.2%43.2
🏀 Free throws19.114.0
73.3%
78.0%14.0
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 55% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.220.2
55.8%
54.5%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.710.0
36.1%
36.2%30.0
🏀 Free throws21.316.3
76.5%
78.0%16.3
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WLWLWLWWWW
Real Madrid
WWWWWLWWWL
#13
League position
#8
+14.4
Net rating
+12.0
121.7
Offensive rating
116.8
107.3
Defensive rating
104.8
61.1%
Effective FG%
55.1%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
18.0%
Turnover %
16.9%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
34.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.33
42.6%
3-point %
36.1%
66.7%
Assist %
58.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence121.7 · 116.8Defence107.3 · 104.8Shooting61.1% · 55.1%3-point %42.6% · 36.1%Ball care18.0% · 16.9%Off. rebounds29.9% · 34.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
6
Real Madrid wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/25ALietkabelis89-85
02/01/25HOlympiacos85-92
29/12/24AJuventus128-67
26/12/24AMaccabi Tel Aviv78-95
23/12/24ASiauliai107-88
20/12/24HLyon-Villeurbanne72-78
17/12/24AAlba Berlin86-66
15/12/24HNeptunas91-75
12/12/24AReal Madrid92-83
08/12/24HRytas78-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/25AGranada84-79
06/01/25ABaskonia89-82
03/01/25HBayern88-76
29/12/24HBarcelona73-71
26/12/24AAlba Berlin80-69
22/12/24AValencia84-85
19/12/24HMonaco94-72
17/12/24AParis96-85
15/12/24HBreogan106-69
12/12/24HZalgiris Kaunas83-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL53%
HomeWLWLL60%
AwayLLWWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %53%60%44%
Points / game77.476.278.8
Allowed / game76.975.079.1
Point differential+0.5+1.2-0.3
Avg total154.4151.2157.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%20%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW53%
HomeWLLWW70%
AwayLWLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %53%70%33%
Points / game84.687.381.7
Allowed / game81.681.082.2
Point differential+3.1+6.3-0.6
Avg total166.2168.3163.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%50%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)100% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %5%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos1913668%85.681.5+4.1
2 Panathinaikos2013765%87.782.2+5.5
3 Monaco2013765%87.582.2+5.2
4 Fenerbahce1912763%79.079.2-0.2
5 Paris1811761%86.184.6+1.5
6 Crvena zvezda1911858%82.781.0+1.7
7 Bayern1911858%86.586.9-0.5
8 Barcelona2011955%86.284.2+1.9
9 Olimpia Milano2011955%87.185.2+1.9
10 Real Madrid1910953%84.681.6+3.1
11 Zalgiris Kaunas1910953%77.476.9+0.5
12 Anadolu Efes20101050%83.682.4+1.2
13 Partizan2091145%82.681.7+0.9
14 Lyon-Villeurbanne2091145%80.883.5-2.8
15 Baskonia1981142%78.781.1-2.4
16 Virtus Bologna1951426%81.585.6-4.1
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv2051525%83.589.0-5.5
18 Alba Berlin2031715%79.591.5-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas268121864
Real Madrid1520202883
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