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FMP Beograd vs Mega Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 102-87
32-17 19-18 25-28 26-24
Position#10
Record6-10
FormWLLLW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game86.6
vs
Position#8
Record6-10
FormWLWWL
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game92.8
EuropeABA LeagueRound 1· Belgrade
Domestic2025
Meetings · FMP Beograd v Mega Basket
15 Feb 2026
FBE102
MEG87
21 May 2025
FBE77
MEG73
19 Jan 2025
FBE89
MEG87
16 Oct 2023
FBE73
MEG83
07 Jun 2023
FBE96
MEG70
17 Feb 2023
FBE67
MEG86
03 Oct 2022
FBE90
MEG76
29 Jan 2022
FBE79
MEG86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FMP Beograd winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mega Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeograd
Date
Competition
Cluj-Napoca
#7
L
98-104
98
104
-6
93avg 69
H22/11
ABA League
Split
#18
W
96-80
96
80
+16
91avg 69
H07/12
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
79-91
79
91
-12
69avg 69
H14/12
ABA League
Igokea
#14
L
69-85
69
85
-16
60avg 69
H20/12
ABA League
Cluj-Napoca
#7
L
65-93
65
93
-28
49avg 69
A03/01
ABA League
Split
#18
W
85-76
85
76
+9
77avg 69
A12/01
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
L
71-81
71
81
-10
no box
A15/01
ABA League
Dubai
#1
L
82-98
82
98
-16
70avg 69
A26/01
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#15
L
73-82
73
82
-9
65avg 69
H02/02
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#16
W
73-72
73
72
+1
66avg 69
A08/02
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-27
27-26
26-26
18-25
22-25
25-19
22-23
27-13
21-19
23-20
16-28
19-24
17-19
15-14
22-22
15-30
13-27
19-28
14-18
19-20
23-20
18-18
23-14
21-24
19-26
14-21
11-16
27-18
26-30
13-21
25-22
18-25
23-18
21-24
11-20
18-20
18-19
16-16
19-16
20-21
165.3Avg total
79.1Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)82.886.6169.4-3.838%
Season at home (8)84.486.2170.6-1.938%
Season away (8)81.286.9168.1-5.638%
Last 10 (10)79.186.2165.3-7.130%
Last 5 (5)76.881.8158.6-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)81.295.8177.0-14.60%
vs Similar ◀ (12)79.180.2159.2-1.150%
vs Weaker (9)88.378.9167.2+9.478%
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#3
L
65-98
65
98
-33
52avg 76
H23/11
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
73-85
73
85
-12
64avg 76
A06/12
ABA League
Zadar
#9
W
90-89
90
89
+1
80avg 76
H12/12
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
72-90
72
90
-18
66avg 76
H21/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
82-100
82
100
-18
75avg 76
A26/12
ABA League
Vienna Basket
#17
W
100-98
100
98
+2
100avg 76
H05/01
ABA League
KK Bosna
#11
L
83-94
83
94
-11
no box
A18/01
ABA League
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
W
86-77
86
77
+9
79avg 76
A24/01
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#4
W
107-102
107
102
+5
78avg 76
H01/02
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
89-94
89
94
-5
78avg 76
H08/02
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
18-32
10-21
21-26
19-24
25-18
14-20
15-23
16-20
31-19
15-27
28-23
16-25
21-17
21-16
14-32
19-31
19-22
20-22
24-25
30-26
20-23
26-29
24-20
17-27
18-33
25-15
23-19
20-27
23-24
17-16
26-10
29-29
28-33
23-26
27-14
23-25
16-21
25-23
25-25
177.4Avg total
84.7Scored
92.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)85.692.8178.4-7.238%
Season at home (8)92.292.8185.0-0.562%
Season away (8)79.092.9171.9-13.912%
Last 10 (10)84.792.7177.4-8.040%
Last 5 (5)93.093.0186.0+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)80.191.3171.4-11.212%
vs Similar ◀ (12)89.286.7175.8+2.567%
vs Weaker (2)84.079.5163.5+4.5100%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +1.0+1.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +1.0+1.0
FMP BeogradMega Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cluj-Napoca
#7
W
54-53
54
53
+1
H22/11
ABA League
Split
#18
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H07/12
ABA League
Partizan
#2
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H14/12
ABA League
Igokea
#14
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H20/12
ABA League
Cluj-Napoca
#7
L
32-55
32
55
-23
A03/01
ABA League
Split
#18
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A12/01
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A15/01
ABA League
Dubai
#1
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A26/01
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#15
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H02/02
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#16
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A08/02
ABA League
83.7Avg total
40.0Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.042.583.5-1.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.541.284.7+2.364%-
Last 30 away (16)38.843.682.4-4.931%-
Last 10 (10)40.043.783.7-3.750%-
Last 5 (5)38.242.680.8-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.146.486.6-6.322%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.242.282.4-2.158%-
vs Weaker (9)42.938.981.8+4.056%-
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#3
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H23/11
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#5
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A06/12
ABA League
Zadar
#9
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H12/12
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H21/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A26/12
ABA League
Vienna Basket
#17
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H05/01
ABA League
KK Bosna
#11
L
35-60
35
60
-25
A18/01
ABA League
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A24/01
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#4
L
57-62
57
62
-5
H01/02
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H08/02
ABA League
91.9Avg total
42.4Scored
49.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.748.391.0-5.727%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.246.191.3-0.947%-
Last 30 away (15)40.150.590.7-10.47%-
Last 10 (10)42.449.591.9-7.130%-
Last 5 (5)44.853.698.4-8.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)39.149.088.1-9.912%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)47.147.194.2+0.050%-
vs Weaker (2)45.050.595.5-5.50%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.021.3
53.2%
54.6%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.76.5
28.6%
35.1%19.5
🏀 Free throws25.718.8
73.2%
75.3%18.8
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.920.5
54.1%
54.6%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.48.3
30.3%
35.1%24.9
🏀 Free throws21.416.6
77.6%
75.3%16.6
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FMP Beograd
WLLLWLLLWL
Mega Basket
LWWLWLLWLL
#10
League position
#8
-8.1
Net rating
-8.6
99.7
Offensive rating
101.0
107.8
Defensive rating
109.5
49.5%
Effective FG%
50.5%
56.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
15.8%
Turnover %
17.5%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.33
28.6%
3-point %
30.3%
58.6%
Assist %
53.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence99.7 · 101.0Defence107.8 · 109.5Shooting49.5% · 50.5%3-point %28.6% · 30.3%Ball care15.8% · 17.5%Off. rebounds26.6% · 31.1%Free throws0.41 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ FMP Beograd   ■ Mega Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
FMP Beograd wins
5
Mega Basket wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/26AStudentski Centar73-72
02/02/26HBorac Mozzart73-82
26/01/26ADubai82-98
15/01/26AKK Krka Novo mesto71-81
12/01/26ASplit85-76
03/01/26ACluj-Napoca65-93
20/12/25HIgokea69-85
14/12/25HPartizan79-91
07/12/25HSplit96-80
22/11/25HCluj-Napoca98-104
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/26HSpartak Subotica89-94
01/02/26HCrvena zvezda107-102
24/01/26APerspektiva Ilirija86-77
18/01/26AKK Bosna83-94
05/01/26HVienna Basket100-98
26/12/25ABuducnost82-100
21/12/25HCedevita Olimpija72-90
12/12/25HZadar90-89
06/12/25ASpartak Subotica73-85
23/11/25HBuducnost65-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FMP Beograd
ABA League 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW38%
HomeLWLLL38%
AwayLWLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %38%38%38%
Points / game82.884.481.2
Allowed / game86.686.286.9
Point differential-3.8-1.9-5.6
Avg total169.4170.6168.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %6%0%12%
Mega Basket
ABA League 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL38%
HomeWLWWL62%
AwayLLLLW12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %38%62%12%
Points / game85.692.279.0
Allowed / game92.892.892.9
Point differential-7.2-0.5-13.9
Avg total178.4185.0171.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)75% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dubai1615194%88.174.7+13.4
2 Partizan1615194%92.181.1+11.0
3 Buducnost1613381%88.679.3+9.2
4 Crvena zvezda1713476%92.683.1+9.5
5 Cedevita Olimpija1611569%89.581.9+7.6
6 Cluj-Napoca1610662%93.087.7+5.3
7 KK Bosna168850%83.485.6-2.2
8 Spartak Subotica178947%82.783.4-0.6
9 Igokea178947%85.189.8-4.7
10 FMP Beograd1661038%82.886.6-3.8
11 Mega Basket1661038%85.692.8-7.2
12 Zadar1761135%81.483.5-2.1
13 Borac Mozzart1761135%78.683.6-5.0
14 Perspektiva Ilirija1651131%81.187.2-6.1
15 KK Krka Novo mesto1751229%79.283.1-3.9
16 Vienna Basket1751229%84.690.4-5.8
17 Split1641225%83.092.4-9.4
18 Studentski Centar1741324%78.983.1-4.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FMP Beograd32192526102
Mega Basket1718282487
← all games of the day
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