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Forli vs Chiusi Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 82-74
19-9 23-26 19-27 21-12
Position#2
Record15-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game74.3
Forli 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#18
Record3-15
FormLLLLW
Points / game62.7
Allowed / game73.9
ItalySerie A2Round 20· PalaGalassi
Other2023-24
Meetings · Forli v Chiusi
21 Jan 2024
FORL82
CHIU74
14 May 2023
FORL68
CHIU62
07 Dec 2022
FORL86
CHIU76
20 Mar 2022
FORL76
CHIU75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Forli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chiusi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Udine
#6
W
87-84 OT
87
84
+3
no box
H19/11
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
62-79
62
79
-17
44avg 68
A26/11
Serie A2
Cento
#12
W
82-62
82
62
+20
82avg 68
H02/12
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
114-107 OT
114
107
+7
no box
A06/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
W
77-74 OT
77
74
+3
no box
H10/12
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
W
72-71
72
71
+1
60avg 68
A17/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
W
80-68
80
68
+12
73avg 68
A23/12
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
63-58
63
58
+5
53avg 68
H30/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
L
77-86
77
86
-9
70avg 68
A06/01
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
76-68
76
68
+8
64avg 68
H13/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
18-19
18-19
23-16
12-19
23-16
14-14
13-30
24-15
25-14
22-18
11-15
27-21
23-16
22-23
19-31
12-12
21-18
16-16
14-17
22-21
18-22
11-15
21-13
23-26
17-24
19-8
21-10
14-10
15-11
18-21
16-16
20-13
19-25
17-28
21-20
21-12
14-22
20-21
21-13
154.7Avg total
79.0Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)79.474.3153.7+5.279%
Season at home (9)81.170.1151.2+11.0100%
Season away (10)77.978.0155.9-0.160%
Last 10 (10)79.075.7154.7+3.380%
Last 5 (5)73.670.2143.8+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)73.973.7147.5+0.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)82.170.5152.5+11.693%
This opponent (Chiusi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChiusiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChiusi
Date
Competition
Forli
#2
L
62-71
62
71
-9
60avg 51
H12/11
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
97-92 OT
97
92
+5
no box
H19/11
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
L
69-71
69
71
-2
62avg 51
A26/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
75-82
75
82
-7
66avg 51
H03/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
L
51-69
51
69
-18
40avg 51
H10/12
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
43-79
43
79
-36
29avg 51
H17/12
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
62-71
62
71
-9
52avg 51
A23/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
65-81
65
81
-16
50avg 51
H30/12
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
49-70
49
70
-21
35avg 51
A07/01
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
W
70-65
70
65
+5
60avg 51
H14/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-21
11-11
19-22
19-17
18-24
26-19
20-17
18-22
13-14
20-13
14-23
22-21
19-23
21-23
16-15
19-21
10-13
11-17
12-17
18-22
16-26
9-20
12-17
6-16
10-18
12-25
21-12
19-16
13-19
17-20
15-21
20-21
16-25
19-16
5-9
9-20
20-21
17-14
21-16
12-14
139.4Avg total
64.3Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)62.773.9136.6-11.217%
Season at home (10)64.473.2137.6-8.830%
Season away (8)60.574.8135.2-14.20%
Last 10 (10)64.375.1139.4-10.820%
Last 5 (5)57.873.2131.0-15.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)61.575.3136.8-13.80%
vs Similar (14)71.673.5145.1-1.943%
vs Weaker (2)80.075.5155.5+4.5100%
This opponent (Forli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -5.6-5.6Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -2.8-2.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -5.6-5.6Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -2.8-2.8
ForliChiusi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Udine
#6
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H19/11
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A26/11
Serie A2
Cento
#12
W
49-29
49
29
+20
H02/12
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A06/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H10/12
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A17/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A23/12
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
29-21
29
21
+8
H30/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A06/01
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H13/01
Serie A2
74.3Avg total
38.5Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.135.874.9+3.370%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.533.672.1+4.980%-
Last 30 away (15)39.738.077.7+1.760%-
Last 10 (10)38.535.874.3+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)36.637.273.8-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)36.337.774.0-1.353%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)41.933.975.8+7.987%-
This opponent (Chiusi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChiusiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Forli
#2
L
24-32
24
32
-8
H12/11
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H19/11
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
33-27
33
27
+6
A26/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H03/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
L
21-30
21
30
-9
H10/12
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
25-46
25
46
-21
H17/12
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
22-43
22
43
-21
A23/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H30/12
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A07/01
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H14/01
Serie A2
69.3Avg total
31.1Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.937.170.0-4.227%-
Last 30 at home (17)32.936.969.8-3.929%-
Last 30 away (13)32.837.370.2-4.523%-
Last 10 (10)31.138.269.3-7.130%-
Last 5 (5)29.840.870.6-11.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)31.636.968.5-5.214%-
vs Similar (14)33.637.671.2-4.129%-
vs Weaker (2)37.034.571.5+2.5100%-
This opponent (Forli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 73.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.017.8
45.6%
50.3%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.87.5
32.9%
34.1%22.5
🏀 Free throws20.815.0
72.1%
74.2%15.0
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chiusitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chiusi: 60.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.715.1
44.8%
50.3%30.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.66.2
26.3%
34.1%18.6
🏀 Free throws14.611.5
78.8%
74.2%11.5
They take 57.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Forli
WLWWWWWWLW
Chiusi
WLLLLLLLWL
#2
League position
#18
+1.1
Net rating
-17.2
104.8
Offensive rating
87.1
103.6
Defensive rating
104.3
47.0%
Effective FG%
42.6%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
15.5%
Turnover %
19.8%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
22.6%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.25
32.9%
3-point %
26.3%
45.5%
Assist %
53.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence104.8 · 87.1Defence103.6 · 104.3Shooting47.0% · 42.6%3-point %32.9% · 26.3%Ball care15.5% · 19.8%Off. rebounds31.4% · 22.6%Free throws0.34 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)80% · 20%
■ Forli   ■ Chiusi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Forli wins
1
Chiusi wins
DateGameScore
12/11/23Chiusi v Forli62-71
24/05/23Chiusi v Forli76-89
22/05/23Chiusi v Forli60-73
14/05/23Forli v Chiusi68-62
05/03/23Chiusi v Forli70-73
07/12/22Forli v Chiusi86-76
20/03/22Forli v Chiusi76-75
05/12/21Chiusi v Forli90-65
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/24HVerona76-68
06/01/24ACividale77-86
30/12/23HAssigeco Piacenza63-58
23/12/23ARimini80-68
17/12/23AOrzinuovi72-71
10/12/23HFortitudo Bologna77-74 OT
06/12/23ANardo114-107 OT
02/12/23HCento82-62
26/11/23ATrieste62-79
19/11/23HUdine87-84 OT
Chiusilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/24HOrzinuovi70-65
07/01/24AVerona49-70
30/12/23HRimini65-81
23/12/23ACento62-71
17/12/23HUdine43-79
10/12/23HCividale51-69
03/12/23HFortitudo Bologna75-82
26/11/23ANardo69-71
19/11/23HAssigeco Piacenza97-92 OT
12/11/23HForli62-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Forli
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW79%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %79%100%60%
Points / game79.481.177.9
Allowed / game74.370.178.0
Point differential+5.2+11.0-0.1
Avg total153.7151.2155.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %26%44%10%
Chiusi
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW17%
HomeLLLLW30%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %17%30%0%
Points / game62.764.460.5
Allowed / game73.973.274.8
Point differential-11.2-8.8-14.2
Avg total136.6137.6135.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)75% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %6%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani2019195%92.377.0+15.3
2 Fortitudo Bologna1916384%77.171.1+6.0
3 Forli1915479%79.474.3+5.2
4 Cantu2015575%88.480.3+8.1
5 Udine1914574%80.068.9+11.1
6 Trieste1913668%79.675.9+3.7
7 Verona2013765%76.472.7+3.8
8 Basket Torino2013765%84.881.5+3.2
9 JuVi Cremona2012860%87.885.0+2.7
10 Sebastiani Rieti2012860%81.779.8+1.9
11 Urania Milano2011955%83.383.8-0.6
12 Treviglio20101050%81.882.2-0.4
13 Assigeco Piacenza2091145%76.374.8+1.6
14 Nardo1981142%77.983.8-5.9
15 Vigevano1971237%79.383.0-3.7
16 Cento1971237%73.478.6-5.2
17 Cividale2071335%73.476.6-3.2
18 Luiss Roma2071335%79.587.0-7.5
19 Rimini1961332%76.177.7-1.6
20 Agrigento1951426%75.881.2-5.4
21 Orzinuovi1941521%71.276.0-4.8
22 Monferrato1941521%79.184.1-5.0
23 Chiusi1831517%62.773.9-11.2
24 Latina1931616%78.288.1-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Forli1923192182
Chiusi926271274
← all games of the day
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