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Rytas vs Gargzdai Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 24 Sep 2025
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 99-73
29-19 31-16 14-21 25-17
Position#2
Record1-0
FormLWLLW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game64.0
Rytas 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Gargzdai
Lithuania
Position#5
Record0-1
FormLLLLL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game93.0
LithuaniaLKL· Active Vilnius Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Rytas v Gargzdai
28 Apr 2027
RYT v GAR
upcoming
03 Oct 2026
RYT102
GAR105
29 Mar 2026
RYT98
GAR77
24 Sep 2025
RYT99
GAR73
16 Dec 2023
RYT110
GAR79
06 May 2023
RYT91
GAR65
11 Feb 2023
RYT102
GAR72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rytas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gargzdai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RytasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRytas
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#3
L
73-76
73
76
-3
63avg 86
A01/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
87-86
87
86
+1
84avg 86
H04/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
76-87
76
87
-11
62avg 86
A06/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
94-70
94
70
+24
92avg 86
H08/06
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
97-89 OT
97
89
+8
90avg 86
A12/06
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
79-83
79
83
-4
69avg 86
H14/06
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
86-80
86
80
+6
81avg 86
A17/06
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
83-84
83
84
-1
75avg 86
H19/06
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
69-76
69
76
-7
59avg 86
A21/06
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
82-64
82
64
+18
87avg 86
A21/09
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-23
21-18
21-16
19-19
20-14
20-22
15-23
32-27
20-23
18-20
15-20
23-24
24-17
27-16
24-26
19-11
19-15
22-17
17-20
15-21
20-15
13-21
22-21
24-26
21-15
28-16
18-33
19-16
24-15
22-26
22-13
15-30
15-15
15-14
25-21
14-26
23-21
27-14
17-16
15-13
162.1Avg total
82.6Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)82.064.0146.0+18.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)82.064.0146.0+18.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.679.5162.1+3.150%
Last 5 (5)79.877.4157.2+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)82.184.6166.7-2.429%
vs Similar (1)81.089.0170.0-8.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)97.483.2180.6+14.186%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Juventus
#4
L
74-97
74
97
-23
no box
H19/11
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
91-81
91
81
+10
no box
A22/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#7
L
66-77
66
77
-11
no box
A25/11
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
80-92
80
92
-12
no box
A04/12
LKL
Siauliai
#10
L
89-94
89
94
-5
no box
H11/12
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
79-110
79
110
-31
no box
A16/12
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
73-105
73
105
-32
no box
A28/12
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
L
82-93
82
93
-11
no box
H08/01
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
81-100
81
100
-19
no box
A14/01
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
85-93
85
93
-8
71avg 71
H21/09
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
26-20
18-25
9-32
22-19
17-26
25-18
27-18
16-18
21-20
17-17
12-22
22-23
19-25
23-18
16-26
28-25
21-19
24-24
16-26
25-22
15-37
15-22
24-29
13-24
20-21
20-32
20-28
18-15
21-30
24-24
19-24
28-17
12-30
22-29
19-24
21-23
22-18
23-24
19-28
174.2Avg total
80.0Scored
94.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)85.093.0178.0-8.00%
Season at home (1)85.093.0178.0-8.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.094.2174.2-14.210%
Last 5 (5)80.0100.2180.2-20.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)75.189.8164.9-14.712%
vs Similar (4)87.289.0176.2-1.850%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -7.6-7.6
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -7.6-7.6
RytasGargzdai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RytasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#3
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A01/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H04/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A06/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H08/06
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A12/06
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H14/06
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A17/06
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H19/06
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A21/06
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A21/09
LKL
76.8Avg total
41.1Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.941.187.0+4.863%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.341.889.1+5.564%-
Last 30 away (16)44.840.585.2+4.262%-
Last 10 (10)41.135.776.8+5.470%-
Last 5 (5)41.634.476.0+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.137.775.9+0.457%-
vs Similar (1)36.038.074.0-2.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)48.942.391.2+6.568%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#4
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H19/11
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A22/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#7
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A25/11
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A04/12
LKL
Siauliai
#10
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H11/12
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A16/12
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A28/12
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H08/01
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A14/01
LKL
Siauliai
#4
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H21/09
LKL
86.0Avg total
40.8Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.044.483.4-5.430%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.145.384.4-6.236%-
Last 30 away (16)38.943.682.5-4.625%-
Last 10 (10)40.845.286.0-4.430%-
Last 5 (5)39.047.486.4-8.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)38.244.382.5-6.027%-
vs Similar (4)44.045.089.0-1.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rytastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rytas: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.119.2
50.4%
55.4%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.07.9
31.6%
35.5%23.7
🏀 Free throws25.219.3
76.6%
74.3%19.3
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.120.1
51.4%
55.4%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.1
31.2%
35.5%24.3
🏀 Free throws23.614.5
61.4%
74.3%14.5
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Sep 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rytas
WLLWLWWLWL
Gargzdai
LLLLLLLLWL
#2
League position
#5
+3.7
Net rating
-18.8
112.1
Offensive rating
103.1
108.4
Defensive rating
121.9
49.2%
Effective FG%
49.5%
47.3%
Opp. effective FG%
58.1%
17.5%
Turnover %
17.5%
39.6%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.36
31.6%
3-point %
31.2%
59.4%
Assist %
62.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence112.1 · 103.1Defence108.4 · 121.9Shooting49.2% · 49.5%3-point %31.6% · 31.2%Ball care17.5% · 17.5%Off. rebounds39.6% · 31.2%Free throws0.40 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ Rytas   ■ Gargzdai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Rytas wins
0
Gargzdai wins
DateGameScore
16/12/23Rytas v Gargzdai110-79
01/10/23Gargzdai v Rytas82-98
06/05/23Rytas v Gargzdai91-65
11/02/23Rytas v Gargzdai102-72
19/11/22Gargzdai v Rytas81-99
Rytaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/09/25ANevezis82-64
21/06/25AZalgiris Kaunas69-76
19/06/25HZalgiris Kaunas83-84
17/06/25AZalgiris Kaunas86-80
14/06/25HZalgiris Kaunas79-83
12/06/25AZalgiris Kaunas97-89 OT
08/06/25HLietkabelis94-70
06/06/25ALietkabelis76-87
04/06/25HLietkabelis87-86
01/06/25ALietkabelis73-76
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/09/25HSiauliai85-93
14/01/24ANeptunas81-100
08/01/24HMazeikiai82-93
28/12/23AJonava73-105
16/12/23ARytas79-110
11/12/23HSiauliai89-94
04/12/23ANevezis80-92
25/11/23AMazeikiai66-77
22/11/23AMazeikiai91-81
19/11/23HJuventus74-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rytas
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game82.0-82.0
Allowed / game64.0-64.0
Point differential+18.0-+18.0
Avg total146.0-146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Gargzdai
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game85.085.0-
Allowed / game93.093.0-
Point differential-8.0-8.0-
Avg total178.0178.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rytas110100%82.064.0+18.0
2 Neptunas110100%96.084.0+12.0
3 Zalgiris Kaunas110100%87.078.0+9.0
4 Siauliai110100%93.085.0+8.0
5 Lietkabelis21150%92.585.0+7.5
6 Gargzdai1010%85.093.0-8.0
7 Jonava2020%76.094.0-18.0
8 Nevezis1010%64.082.0-18.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rytas2931142599
Gargzdai1916211773
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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