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Rytas vs Gargzdai Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 110-79
22-25 37-15 22-15 29-24
Position#2
Record11-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game91.7
Allowed / game78.8
Rytas 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Gargzdai
Lithuania
Position#12
Record3-10
FormLWLLL
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game91.6
LithuaniaLKL· Jeep arena (Vilnius)
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Rytas v Gargzdai
28 Apr 2027
RYT v GAR
upcoming
03 Oct 2026
RYT102
GAR105
29 Mar 2026
RYT98
GAR77
24 Sep 2025
RYT99
GAR73
16 Dec 2023
RYT110
GAR79
06 May 2023
RYT91
GAR65
11 Feb 2023
RYT102
GAR72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rytas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gargzdai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RytasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRytas
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#13
L
76-78
76
78
-2
67avg 86
A31/10
Champions League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
67-81
67
81
-14
53avg 86
H05/11
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
93-75
93
75
+18
90avg 86
H11/11
LKL
Opava
#51
W
99-63
99
63
+36
96avg 86
H14/11
Champions League
Jonava
#8
W
101-89
101
89
+12
100avg 86
A18/11
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
74-84
74
84
-10
60avg 86
H25/11
LKL
Promitheas
#13
W
77-75
77
75
+2
74avg 86
H29/11
Champions League
Mazeikiai
#7
W
77-60
77
60
+17
74avg 86
A02/12
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
101-77
101
77
+24
98avg 86
A09/12
LKL
Opava
#51
W
95-75
95
75
+20
93avg 86
A12/12
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
22-19
21-19
18-22
10-19
23-26
17-17
17-19
28-28
22-10
24-20
19-17
26-17
22-23
30-12
21-11
21-24
21-22
32-26
27-17
19-18
16-21
22-20
17-25
27-23
24-15
11-17
15-20
18-18
27-20
17-14
15-8
22-19
24-27
26-12
29-19
24-18
24-19
25-18
22-20
161.7Avg total
86.0Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)91.778.8170.5+12.985%
Season at home (7)87.976.4164.3+11.471%
Season away (6)96.281.5177.7+14.7100%
Last 10 (10)86.075.7161.7+10.370%
Last 5 (5)84.874.2159.0+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)84.687.8172.4-3.240%
vs Similar (4)75.880.2156.0-4.525%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)93.578.5172.0+15.095%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
L
76-103
76
103
-27
61avg 69
A30/10
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
73-92
73
92
-19
71avg 69
H06/11
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
66-75
66
75
-9
58avg 69
H09/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#8
W
86-80
86
80
+6
78avg 69
H12/11
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
78-84
78
84
-6
71avg 69
A16/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#4
L
74-97
74
97
-23
67avg 69
H19/11
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
91-81
91
81
+10
90avg 69
A22/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#7
L
66-77
66
77
-11
52avg 69
A25/11
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
80-92
80
92
-12
72avg 69
A04/12
LKL
Siauliai
#10
L
89-94
89
94
-5
85avg 69
H11/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
22-29
13-31
23-20
23-23
14-22
16-29
20-18
15-7
19-30
19-18
13-20
21-19
25-25
22-18
18-18
19-24
28-12
21-21
10-27
21-20
26-20
18-25
9-32
22-19
17-26
25-18
27-18
16-18
21-20
17-17
12-22
22-23
19-25
23-18
16-26
28-25
21-19
24-24
16-26
165.4Avg total
77.9Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)77.691.6169.2-14.023%
Season at home (7)79.493.1172.6-13.729%
Season away (6)75.589.8165.3-14.317%
Last 10 (10)77.987.5165.4-9.620%
Last 5 (5)80.088.2168.2-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)74.787.2161.9-12.519%
vs Similar (4)85.288.2173.5-3.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -6.3-6.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -6.3-6.3
RytasGargzdai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RytasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#13
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A31/10
Champions League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H05/11
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H11/11
LKL
Opava
#51
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H14/11
Champions League
Jonava
#8
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A18/11
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H25/11
LKL
Promitheas
#13
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H29/11
Champions League
Mazeikiai
#7
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A02/12
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A09/12
LKL
Opava
#51
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A12/12
Champions League
83.9Avg total
43.5Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.641.085.6+3.657%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.738.883.5+5.967%-
Last 30 away (15)44.543.287.7+1.347%-
Last 10 (10)43.540.483.9+3.150%-
Last 5 (5)45.039.684.6+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)42.644.086.6-1.420%-
vs Similar (4)37.843.281.0-5.525%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)46.339.986.2+6.571%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A30/10
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H06/11
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H09/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#8
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H12/11
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A16/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#4
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H19/11
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A22/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#7
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A25/11
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A04/12
LKL
Siauliai
#10
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H11/12
LKL
84.6Avg total
41.7Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.844.082.8-5.230%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.645.383.9-6.733%-
Last 30 away (15)39.042.781.7-3.727%-
Last 10 (10)41.742.984.6-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)42.643.085.6-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)38.443.682.0-5.231%-
vs Similar (4)41.246.587.8-5.225%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rytastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rytas: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.122.0
57.7%
55.4%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.18.0
27.5%
34.7%24.0
🏀 Free throws23.917.4
72.8%
73.2%17.4
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.419.3
50.3%
55.4%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.27.7
31.8%
34.7%23.1
🏀 Free throws24.815.2
61.3%
73.2%15.2
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rytas
WWWWLWWWLL
Gargzdai
LLLWLLWLLL
#2
League position
#12
+14.2
Net rating
-12.6
113.4
Offensive rating
100.7
99.2
Defensive rating
113.2
50.6%
Effective FG%
49.3%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
18.2%
Turnover %
19.4%
41.7%
Off. rebound %
32.3%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.40
27.5%
3-point %
31.8%
65.3%
Assist %
63.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence113.4 · 100.7Defence99.2 · 113.2Shooting50.6% · 49.3%3-point %27.5% · 31.8%Ball care18.2% · 19.4%Off. rebounds41.7% · 32.3%Free throws0.36 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Rytas   ■ Gargzdai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Rytas wins
0
Gargzdai wins
DateGameScore
01/10/23Gargzdai v Rytas82-98
06/05/23Rytas v Gargzdai91-65
11/02/23Rytas v Gargzdai102-72
19/11/22Gargzdai v Rytas81-99
Rytaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/23AOpava95-75
09/12/23APieno Zvaigzdes101-77
02/12/23AMazeikiai77-60
29/11/23HPromitheas77-75
25/11/23HBC Wolves74-84
18/11/23AJonava101-89
14/11/23HOpava99-63
11/11/23HNeptunas93-75
05/11/23HZalgiris Kaunas67-81
31/10/23APromitheas76-78
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/23HSiauliai89-94
04/12/23ANevezis80-92
25/11/23AMazeikiai66-77
22/11/23AMazeikiai91-81
19/11/23HJuventus74-97
16/11/23ANeptunas78-84
12/11/23HJonava86-80
09/11/23HJuventus66-75
06/11/23HNeptunas73-92
30/10/23APieno Zvaigzdes76-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rytas
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW85%
HomeWWLWL71%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %85%71%100%
Points / game91.787.996.2
Allowed / game78.876.481.5
Point differential+12.9+11.4+14.7
Avg total170.5164.3177.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+77%71%83%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Gargzdai
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL23%
HomeWLWLL29%
AwayLWLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %23%29%17%
Points / game77.679.475.5
Allowed / game91.693.189.8
Point differential-14.0-13.7-14.3
Avg total169.2172.6165.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%14%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rytas1311285%91.778.8+12.9
2 Zalgiris Kaunas1311285%81.571.8+9.8
3 BC Wolves1311285%85.576.7+8.8
4 Lietkabelis128467%84.881.8+3.0
5 Juventus138562%87.978.6+9.3
6 Neptunas137654%86.285.1+1.2
7 Jonava136746%80.183.6-3.5
8 Mazeikiai124833%75.382.3-7.0
9 Pieno Zvaigzdes134931%88.391.7-3.4
10 Gargzdai1331023%77.691.6-14.0
11 Siauliai1321115%80.087.5-7.5
12 Nevezis1321115%81.391.2-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rytas22372229110
Gargzdai2515152479
← all games of the day
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