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Nevezis vs Gargzdai Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 04 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 16:50
Final 92-80
23-22 25-19 18-23 26-16
Position#9
Record1-10
FormLWLLL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game91.3
Nevezis 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Position#12
Record3-8
FormWLLWL
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game91.4
LithuaniaLKL· Kedainiu arena (Kedainiai)
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Nevezis v Gargzdai
04 Apr 2027
NEV v GAR
upcoming
02 Nov 2026
NEV87
GAR76
14 Oct 2026
NEV86
GAR101
26 Apr 2026
NEV85
GAR90
03 Nov 2025
NEV94
GAR87
08 Oct 2025
NEV72
GAR94
04 Dec 2023
NEV92
GAR80
19 Dec 2022
NEV99
GAR92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevezis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gargzdai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
BC Olimpas Palanga
#8
L
66-77
66
77
-11
59avg 78
A24/10
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#3
L
74-89
74
89
-15
70avg 78
A28/10
LKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#8
W
83-57
83
57
+26
79avg 78
H31/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#10
W
89-84
89
84
+5
79avg 78
H06/11
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
74-89
74
89
-15
63avg 78
A09/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#7
L
81-88
81
88
-7
74avg 78
A13/11
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
92-80
92
80
+12
90avg 78
A16/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#6
L
74-97
74
97
-23
59avg 78
A20/11
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
L
90-91 OT
90
91
-1
no box
H27/11
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
90-107
90
107
-17
88avg 78
H30/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
15-23
12-13
18-22
20-27
18-30
15-18
21-14
24-10
26-26
14-10
19-11
28-18
19-28
20-17
22-21
15-25
24-24
12-23
23-17
24-27
22-19
10-26
25-16
24-16
24-21
28-16
16-27
24-19
14-24
15-28
21-26
21-21
18-20
19-26
26-17
34-22
16-24
18-33
22-28
167.2Avg total
81.3Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)78.891.3170.1-12.59%
Season at home (5)79.687.8167.4-8.220%
Season away (6)78.294.2172.3-16.00%
Last 10 (10)81.385.9167.2-4.630%
Last 5 (5)85.492.6178.0-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)80.793.5174.2-12.90%
vs Similar (10)88.990.8179.7-1.940%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)93.294.6187.8-1.440%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#10
W
97-79
97
79
+18
91avg 68
A22/10
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
87-97
87
97
-10
77avg 68
H25/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
L
76-103
76
103
-27
61avg 68
A30/10
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
73-92
73
92
-19
71avg 68
H06/11
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
66-75
66
75
-9
58avg 68
H09/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#8
W
86-80
86
80
+6
78avg 68
H12/11
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
78-84
78
84
-6
71avg 68
A16/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#4
L
74-97
74
97
-23
67avg 68
H19/11
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
91-81
91
81
+10
90avg 68
A22/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#7
L
66-77
66
77
-11
52avg 68
A25/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
33-18
22-15
20-22
16-33
19-25
27-11
25-28
18-23
22-29
13-31
23-20
23-23
14-22
16-29
20-18
15-7
19-30
19-18
13-20
21-19
25-25
22-18
18-18
19-24
28-12
21-21
10-27
21-20
26-20
18-25
9-32
22-19
17-26
25-18
27-18
16-18
21-20
17-17
12-22
165.9Avg total
79.4Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)76.491.4167.7-15.027%
Season at home (6)77.893.0170.8-15.233%
Season away (5)74.689.4164.0-14.820%
Last 10 (10)79.486.5165.9-7.130%
Last 5 (5)79.083.8162.8-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)73.186.0159.1-12.919%
vs Similar (4)85.288.2173.5-3.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nevezis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -4.8-4.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -4.8-4.8
NevezisGargzdai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Olimpas Palanga
#8
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A24/10
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#3
L
38-57
38
57
-19
A28/10
LKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#8
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H31/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#10
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H06/11
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A09/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#7
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A13/11
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A16/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#6
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A20/11
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H27/11
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H30/11
King Mindaugas Cup
87.4Avg total
43.1Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.345.989.2-2.730%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.146.191.2-1.143%-
Last 30 away (16)41.745.887.4-4.119%-
Last 10 (10)43.144.387.4-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)44.242.686.8+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)40.347.888.1-7.57%-
vs Similar (10)45.644.490.0+1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)47.443.490.8+4.060%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#10
W
55-42
55
42
+13
A22/10
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
35-58
35
58
-23
H25/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A30/10
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H06/11
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H09/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#8
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H12/11
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A16/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#4
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H19/11
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A22/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#7
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A25/11
LKL
85.4Avg total
41.7Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.443.481.8-5.030%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.744.482.1-6.733%-
Last 30 away (15)39.042.481.4-3.427%-
Last 10 (10)41.743.785.4-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)43.240.683.8+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)37.942.980.8-5.031%-
vs Similar (4)41.246.587.8-5.225%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nevezis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.121.8
54.4%
55.4%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.47.0
31.2%
34.7%21.0
🏀 Free throws18.313.7
74.9%
73.2%13.7
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.820.1
50.5%
55.4%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.8
32.5%
34.7%23.4
🏀 Free throws23.115.0
64.9%
73.2%15.0
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nevezis
LLLWLLWWLL
Gargzdai
LWLLWLLLLW
#9
League position
#12
-7.1
Net rating
-9.0
104.2
Offensive rating
102.2
111.3
Defensive rating
111.1
51.7%
Effective FG%
49.8%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
20.8%
Turnover %
18.8%
32.5%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.36
31.2%
3-point %
32.5%
60.4%
Assist %
61.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence104.2 · 102.2Defence111.3 · 111.1Shooting51.7% · 49.8%3-point %31.2% · 32.5%Ball care20.8% · 18.8%Off. rebounds32.5% · 31.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Nevezis   ■ Gargzdai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Nevezis wins
1
Gargzdai wins
DateGameScore
16/10/23Gargzdai v Nevezis97-84
02/04/23Gargzdai v Nevezis73-87
19/12/22Nevezis v Gargzdai99-92
29/10/22Gargzdai v Nevezis71-73
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/23HJuventus90-107
27/11/23HPieno Zvaigzdes90-91 OT
20/11/23ANeptunas74-97
16/11/23APieno Zvaigzdes92-80
13/11/23AMazeikiai81-88
09/11/23ASiauliai74-89
06/11/23HSiauliai89-84
31/10/23HBC Olimpas Palanga83-57
28/10/23ABC Wolves74-89
24/10/23ABC Olimpas Palanga66-77
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/23AMazeikiai66-77
22/11/23AMazeikiai91-81
19/11/23HJuventus74-97
16/11/23ANeptunas78-84
12/11/23HJonava86-80
09/11/23HJuventus66-75
06/11/23HNeptunas73-92
30/10/23APieno Zvaigzdes76-103
25/10/23HNeptunas87-97
22/10/23ASiauliai97-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevezis
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL9%
HomeLLLWL20%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %9%20%0%
Points / game78.879.678.2
Allowed / game91.387.894.2
Point differential-12.5-8.2-16.0
Avg total170.1167.4172.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %9%20%0%
Gargzdai
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL27%
HomeLWLWL33%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %27%33%20%
Points / game76.477.874.6
Allowed / game91.493.089.4
Point differential-15.0-15.2-14.8
Avg total167.7170.8164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%17%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Wolves1211192%87.075.1+11.9
2 Rytas1210283%90.978.9+12.0
3 Zalgiris Kaunas1210283%79.869.6+10.2
4 Lietkabelis128467%84.881.8+3.0
5 Juventus127558%87.279.5+7.8
6 Neptunas126650%87.786.8+0.8
7 Jonava126650%81.484.8-3.4
8 Pieno Zvaigzdes124833%89.290.9-1.7
9 Mazeikiai124833%75.382.3-7.0
10 Gargzdai113827%76.491.4-15.0
11 Nevezis111109%78.891.3-12.5
12 Siauliai121118%78.887.3-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nevezis2325182692
Gargzdai2219231680
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