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Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 21 Mar 2017
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 125-124
35-28 27-37 32-32 31-27
Position#3
Record48-22
FormWWWLW
Points / game115.3
Allowed / game108.4
vs
Position#17
Record33-36
FormWWWWL
Points / game111.1
Allowed / game110.8
USANBA· Toyota Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Houston Rockets v Denver Nuggets
14 Feb 2027
HOU v DEN
upcoming
09 Nov 2026
HOU110
DEN100
21 Nov 2025
HOU109
DEN112
13 Apr 2025
HOU111
DEN126
23 Mar 2025
HOU111
DEN116
24 Nov 2023
HOU105
DEN86
12 Nov 2023
HOU107
DEN104
04 Apr 2023
HOU124
DEN103
28 Feb 2023
HOU112
DEN133
01 Jan 2022
HOU111
DEN124
16 Apr 2021
HOU99
DEN128
22 Jan 2020
HOU121
DEN105
31 Dec 2019
HOU130
DEN104
28 Mar 2019
HOU112
DEN85
07 Jan 2019
HOU125
DEN113
09 Feb 2018
HOU130
DEN104
22 Nov 2017
HOU125
DEN95
05 Apr 2017
HOU110
DEN104
20 Mar 2017
HOU125
DEN124
28 Oct 2015
HOU85
DEN105
19 Mar 2015
HOU118
DEN108
13 Dec 2014
HOU108
DEN96
06 Apr 2014
HOU130
DEN125
16 Nov 2013
HOU122
DEN111
23 Jan 2013
HOU95
DEN105
07 Nov 2012
HOU87
DEN93
16 Apr 2012
HOU102
DEN105
02 Mar 2012
HOU105
DEN117
14 Feb 2011
HOU121
DEN102
30 Oct 2010
HOU94
DEN107
15 Mar 2010
HOU125
DEN123
27 Jan 2010
HOU92
DEN97
19 Jan 2009
HOU115
DEN113
16 Dec 2008
HOU108
DEN96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#16
L
108-117
108
117
-9
91avg 105
H28/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
122-103
122
103
+19
120avg 105
A02/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
123-108
123
108
+15
119avg 105
H05/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
110-112
110
112
-2
98avg 105
A07/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
108-115
108
115
-7
94avg 105
H09/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
115-94
115
94
+21
110avg 105
A11/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
W
117-112
117
112
+5
106avg 105
H13/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
W
139-100
139
100
+39
142avg 105
H16/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
L
112-128
112
128
-16
96avg 105
A18/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
W
109-105
109
105
+4
101avg 105
A19/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-20
27-39
22-29
28-29
34-37
36-21
38-20
14-25
27-24
28-27
38-27
30-30
39-23
15-24
28-34
28-31
22-30
31-34
24-20
31-31
23-33
33-16
36-14
23-31
33-26
25-41
32-19
27-26
37-26
29-26
27-23
46-25
23-36
27-32
31-31
31-29
26-26
25-30
29-18
29-31
225.7Avg total
116.3Scored
109.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (70)115.3108.4223.7+6.969%
Season at home (34)117.0107.0224.0+10.074%
Season away (36)113.7109.7223.4+4.064%
Last 10 (10)116.3109.4225.7+6.960%
Last 5 (5)118.4107.8226.2+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)108.0125.0233.0-17.00%
vs Similar (5)113.2112.4225.6+0.840%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)116.9108.9225.8+8.062%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
125-107
125
107
+18
127avg 102
A01/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
110-98
110
98
+12
104avg 102
A02/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
102-112
102
112
-10
96avg 102
H05/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
108-96
108
96
+12
108avg 102
H07/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
L
113-123
113
123
-10
108avg 102
H09/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
119-99
119
99
+20
117avg 102
H11/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
105-92
105
92
+13
97avg 102
A12/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
W
129-101
129
101
+28
133avg 102
H14/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
129-114
129
114
+15
131avg 102
H17/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
105-109
105
109
-4
96avg 102
H19/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
34-34
35-24
34-24
32-15
31-22
23-29
24-32
23-31
29-30
27-29
23-22
25-24
32-26
33-23
18-23
28-35
22-32
35-30
28-26
35-25
30-29
29-26
25-19
25-19
29-25
21-25
30-23
35-23
32-20
26-33
36-25
27-19
32-27
44-34
26-34
26-26
30-25
18-29
31-29
219.6Avg total
114.5Scored
105.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (69)111.1110.8221.9+0.448%
Season at home (37)114.2110.8225.0+3.454%
Season away (32)107.6110.8218.3-3.241%
Last 10 (10)114.5105.1219.6+9.470%
Last 5 (5)117.4103.0220.4+14.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)109.5114.5224.0-5.025%
vs Similar (16)110.9108.6219.4+2.350%
vs Weaker (10)119.5111.0230.5+8.580%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +7.0+7.0Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +1.8+1.8
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +7.0+7.0Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +1.8+1.8
Houston RocketsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#16
L
58-59
58
59
-1
H28/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
70-58
70
58
+12
A02/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H05/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A07/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
53-64
53
64
-11
H09/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
56-49
56
49
+7
A11/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
58-67
58
67
-9
H13/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
W
66-52
66
52
+14
H16/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
L
50-68
50
68
-18
A18/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
L
51-56
51
56
-5
A19/03
NBA
114.2Avg total
57.1Scored
57.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.254.7113.0+3.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)59.053.3112.3+5.767%-
Last 30 away (15)57.556.2113.7+1.347%-
Last 10 (10)57.157.1114.2+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)56.258.4114.6-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)57.062.0119.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (5)58.657.6116.2+1.060%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)58.253.8112.0+4.458%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#15
L
56-59
56
59
-3
A01/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
63-37
63
37
+26
A02/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
52-61
52
61
-9
H05/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H07/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
L
50-67
50
67
-17
H09/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
65-54
65
54
+11
H11/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A12/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
W
67-43
67
43
+24
H14/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
59-46
59
46
+13
H17/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H19/03
NBA
109.1Avg total
57.9Scored
51.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.154.4112.5+3.750%-
Last 30 at home (17)58.952.2111.1+6.665%-
Last 30 away (13)57.057.2114.2-0.231%-
Last 10 (10)57.951.2109.1+6.770%-
Last 5 (5)60.247.6107.8+12.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)60.855.0115.8+5.850%-
vs Similar (16)56.854.1110.8+2.744%-
vs Weaker (10)59.154.7113.8+4.460%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 116.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws25.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.125.0
54.2%
50.2%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.913.7
33.5%
35.7%41.1
🏀 Free throws32.725.2
77.1%
77.0%25.2
They take 87.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 114.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.129.8
57.2%
50.2%59.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.312.1
38.7%
35.7%36.3
🏀 Free throws23.518.6
79.1%
77.0%18.6
They take 83.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Houston Rockets
WLWWWLLWWL
Denver Nuggets
LWWWWLWLWW
#3
League position
#17
+6.8
Net rating
+9.6
114.0
Offensive rating
117.1
107.2
Defensive rating
107.5
52.4%
Effective FG%
57.5%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
12.6%
Turnover %
14.4%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
24.9%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.5%
3-point %
38.7%
60.7%
Assist %
63.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.0 · 117.1Defence107.2 · 107.5Shooting52.4% · 57.5%3-point %33.5% · 38.7%Ball care12.6% · 14.4%Off. rebounds26.1% · 24.9%Free throws0.38 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Houston Rockets   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Houston Rockets wins
4
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/17ADenver Nuggets109-105
18/03/17ANew Orleans Pelicans112-128
16/03/17HLos Angeles Lakers139-100
13/03/17HCleveland Cavaliers117-112
11/03/17AChicago Bulls115-94
09/03/17HUtah Jazz108-115
07/03/17ASan Antonio Spurs110-112
05/03/17HMemphis Grizzlies123-108
02/03/17ALos Angeles Clippers122-103
28/02/17HIndiana Pacers108-117
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/17HHouston Rockets105-109
17/03/17HLos Angeles Clippers129-114
14/03/17HLos Angeles Lakers129-101
12/03/17ASacramento Kings105-92
11/03/17HBoston Celtics119-99
09/03/17HWashington Wizards113-123
07/03/17HSacramento Kings108-96
05/03/17HCharlotte Hornets102-112
02/03/17AMilwaukee Bucks110-98
01/03/17AChicago Bulls125-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW69%
HomeLWLWW74%
AwayWLWLW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games703436
Win %69%74%64%
Points / game115.3117.0113.7
Allowed / game108.4107.0109.7
Point differential+6.9+10.0+4.0
Avg total223.7224.0223.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%47%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won72% (18)67% (9)78% (9)
Overtime %4%3%6%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL48%
HomeLWWWL54%
AwayLLWWW41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games693732
Win %48%54%41%
Points / game111.1114.2107.6
Allowed / game110.8110.8110.8
Point differential+0.4+3.4-3.2
Avg total221.9225.0218.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%43%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won35% (17)33% (9)38% (8)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors69551480%116.2104.9+11.3
2 San Antonio Spurs69531677%106.598.6+7.9
3 Houston Rockets70482269%115.3108.4+6.9
4 Cleveland Cavaliers69462367%110.4106.3+4.1
5 Boston Celtics71452663%107.4104.9+2.5
6 Utah Jazz71432861%100.396.5+3.8
7 Washington Wizards70422860%108.8106.8+2.0
8 Toronto Raptors70412959%106.9103.1+3.8
9 Los Angeles Clippers70412959%107.7104.7+3.0
10 Oklahoma City Thunder69402958%106.9106.0+0.9
11 Memphis Grizzlies70403057%101.4100.4+1.0
12 Atlanta Hawks70373353%103.4104.5-1.1
13 Indiana Pacers70363451%104.1105.0-0.8
14 Milwaukee Bucks69343549%104.6104.5+0.1
15 Miami Heat70343649%102.9102.1+0.8
16 Detroit Pistons70343649%101.7102.1-0.4
17 Denver Nuggets69333648%111.1110.8+0.4
18 Chicago Bulls70333747%101.8103.1-1.3
19 Portland Trail Blazers69323746%108.3110.0-1.7
20 Charlotte Hornets70313944%104.8104.0+0.7
21 Dallas Mavericks69303943%98.1100.2-2.0
22 New Orleans Pelicans70294141%103.6106.0-2.4
23 Minnesota Timberwolves69284141%104.9105.5-0.5
24 New York Knicks69274239%105.3108.6-3.3
25 Sacramento Kings70274339%102.9106.4-3.4
26 Philadelphia 76ers70264437%102.4107.6-5.1
27 Orlando Magic71264537%100.1106.5-6.4
28 Phoenix Suns70224831%107.3112.5-5.2
29 Los Angeles Lakers70205029%104.6111.9-7.3
30 Brooklyn Nets69135619%105.8113.9-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Houston Rockets35273231125
Denver Nuggets28373227124
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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