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Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Mar 2017
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 105-109
26-26 30-25 18-29 31-29
Position#17
Record33-35
FormLWWWW
Points / game111.2
Allowed / game110.8
vs
Position#3
Record47-22
FormLWWWL
Points / game115.4
Allowed / game108.4
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Houston Rockets
20 Nov 2026
DEN v HOU
upcoming
11 Mar 2026
DEN129
HOU93
20 Dec 2025
DEN101
HOU115
15 Dec 2025
DEN128
HOU125
15 Jan 2025
DEN108
HOU128
08 Dec 2023
DEN106
HOU114
29 Nov 2023
DEN134
HOU124
30 Nov 2022
DEN120
HOU100
28 Nov 2022
DEN129
HOU113
04 Mar 2022
DEN116
HOU101
06 Nov 2021
DEN95
HOU94
24 Apr 2021
DEN129
HOU116
28 Dec 2020
DEN124
HOU111
26 Jan 2020
DEN117
HOU110
20 Nov 2019
DEN105
HOU95
01 Feb 2019
DEN136
HOU122
13 Nov 2018
DEN99
HOU109
25 Feb 2018
DEN114
HOU119
18 Mar 2017
DEN105
HOU109
02 Dec 2016
DEN110
HOU128
14 Dec 2015
DEN114
HOU108
13 Nov 2015
DEN107
HOU98
07 Mar 2015
DEN100
HOU114
17 Dec 2014
DEN111
HOU115
09 Apr 2014
DEN123
HOU116
06 Apr 2013
DEN132
HOU114
30 Jan 2013
DEN118
HOU110
15 Apr 2012
DEN101
HOU86
06 Feb 2012
DEN90
HOU99
07 Feb 2011
DEN103
HOU108
03 Jan 2011
DEN113
HOU106
16 Dec 2009
DEN111
HOU101
09 Mar 2009
DEN95
HOU97
30 Nov 2008
DEN104
HOU94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Houston Rockets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
98-105
98
105
-7
90avg 102
H26/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
125-107
125
107
+18
127avg 102
A01/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
110-98
110
98
+12
104avg 102
A02/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
102-112
102
112
-10
96avg 102
H05/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
108-96
108
96
+12
108avg 102
H07/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
L
113-123
113
123
-10
108avg 102
H09/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
119-99
119
99
+20
117avg 102
H11/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
105-92
105
92
+13
97avg 102
A12/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
W
129-101
129
101
+28
133avg 102
H14/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
129-114
129
114
+15
131avg 102
H17/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
28-28
21-18
30-37
22-25
34-34
35-24
34-24
32-15
31-22
23-29
24-32
23-31
29-30
27-29
23-22
25-24
32-26
33-23
18-23
28-35
22-32
35-30
28-26
35-25
30-29
29-26
25-19
25-19
29-25
21-25
30-23
35-23
32-20
26-33
36-25
27-19
32-27
44-34
26-34
218.5Avg total
113.8Scored
104.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (68)111.2110.8222.0+0.449%
Season at home (36)114.5110.8225.3+3.656%
Season away (32)107.6110.8218.3-3.241%
Last 10 (10)113.8104.7218.5+9.170%
Last 5 (5)119.0105.8224.8+13.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)111.0116.3227.3-5.333%
vs Similar (16)110.9108.6219.4+2.350%
vs Weaker (11)120.0111.1231.1+8.982%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
W
142-130
142
130
+12
128avg 105
H26/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
L
108-117
108
117
-9
91avg 105
H28/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
122-103
122
103
+19
120avg 105
A02/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
123-108
123
108
+15
119avg 105
H05/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
110-112
110
112
-2
98avg 105
A07/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
108-115
108
115
-7
94avg 105
H09/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
115-94
115
94
+21
110avg 105
A11/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
W
117-112
117
112
+5
106avg 105
H13/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
W
139-100
139
100
+39
142avg 105
H16/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
L
112-128
112
128
-16
96avg 105
A18/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-28
31-30
40-30
36-42
31-20
27-39
22-29
28-29
34-37
36-21
38-20
14-25
27-24
28-27
38-27
30-30
39-23
15-24
28-34
28-31
22-30
31-34
24-20
31-31
23-33
33-16
36-14
23-31
33-26
25-41
32-19
27-26
37-26
29-26
27-23
46-25
23-36
27-32
31-31
31-29
231.5Avg total
119.6Scored
111.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (69)115.4108.4223.8+7.068%
Season at home (34)117.0107.0224.0+10.074%
Season away (35)113.9109.9223.7+4.063%
Last 10 (10)119.6111.9231.5+7.760%
Last 5 (5)118.2109.8228.0+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)108.0125.0233.0-17.00%
vs Similar (5)113.2112.4225.6+0.840%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)117.4109.3226.7+8.162%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +6.9+6.9Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -0.5-0.5
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +6.9+6.9Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -0.5-0.5
Denver NuggetsHouston Rockets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H26/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
L
56-59
56
59
-3
A01/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
63-37
63
37
+26
A02/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
52-61
52
61
-9
H05/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H07/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
L
50-67
50
67
-17
H09/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
65-54
65
54
+11
H11/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A12/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
W
67-43
67
43
+24
H14/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
59-46
59
46
+13
H17/03
NBA
108.1Avg total
57.0Scored
51.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.554.7113.2+3.850%-
Last 30 at home (17)59.652.8112.5+6.865%-
Last 30 away (13)57.057.2114.2-0.231%-
Last 10 (10)57.051.1108.1+5.960%-
Last 5 (5)59.050.8109.8+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)62.356.3118.7+6.033%-
vs Similar (16)56.854.1110.8+2.744%-
vs Weaker (11)60.055.3115.3+4.764%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
W
66-58
66
58
+8
H26/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
L
58-59
58
59
-1
H28/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
70-58
70
58
+12
A02/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H05/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A07/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
53-64
53
64
-11
H09/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
56-49
56
49
+7
A11/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
58-67
58
67
-9
H13/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
W
66-52
66
52
+14
H16/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
L
50-68
50
68
-18
A18/03
NBA
115.9Avg total
58.6Scored
57.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.854.4113.2+4.360%-
Last 30 at home (16)59.552.9112.4+6.669%-
Last 30 away (14)57.956.2114.1+1.750%-
Last 10 (10)58.657.3115.9+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)56.660.0116.6-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)57.062.0119.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (5)58.657.6116.2+1.060%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)58.953.5112.3+5.462%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 113.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.329.6
57.7%
50.2%59.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.612.2
38.6%
35.7%36.6
🏀 Free throws22.218.0
81.1%
77.0%18.0
They take 82.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 119.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws25.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.823.9
54.6%
50.2%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.315.4
34.8%
35.7%46.2
🏀 Free throws33.425.6
76.6%
77.0%25.6
They take 88.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 44.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Mar 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWWWLWLWWL
Houston Rockets
LWWWLLWWLW
#17
League position
#3
+9.4
Net rating
+7.5
117.5
Offensive rating
116.3
108.1
Defensive rating
108.8
57.8%
Effective FG%
53.3%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
14.4%
Turnover %
12.3%
24.4%
Off. rebound %
26.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.38
38.6%
3-point %
34.8%
63.4%
Assist %
62.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence117.5 · 116.3Defence108.1 · 108.8Shooting57.8% · 53.3%3-point %38.6% · 34.8%Ball care14.4% · 12.3%Off. rebounds24.4% · 26.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Houston Rockets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Denver Nuggets wins
6
Houston Rockets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/17HLos Angeles Clippers129-114
14/03/17HLos Angeles Lakers129-101
12/03/17ASacramento Kings105-92
11/03/17HBoston Celtics119-99
09/03/17HWashington Wizards113-123
07/03/17HSacramento Kings108-96
05/03/17HCharlotte Hornets102-112
02/03/17AMilwaukee Bucks110-98
01/03/17AChicago Bulls125-107
26/02/17HMemphis Grizzlies98-105
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/17ANew Orleans Pelicans112-128
16/03/17HLos Angeles Lakers139-100
13/03/17HCleveland Cavaliers117-112
11/03/17AChicago Bulls115-94
09/03/17HUtah Jazz108-115
07/03/17ASan Antonio Spurs110-112
05/03/17HMemphis Grizzlies123-108
02/03/17ALos Angeles Clippers122-103
28/02/17HIndiana Pacers108-117
26/02/17HMinnesota Timberwolves142-130

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW49%
HomeWLWWW56%
AwayLLWWW41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games683632
Win %49%56%41%
Points / game111.2114.5107.6
Allowed / game110.8110.8110.8
Point differential+0.4+3.6-3.2
Avg total222.0225.3218.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%44%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (16)38% (8)38% (8)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Houston Rockets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL68%
HomeLWLWW74%
AwayWWLWL63%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games693435
Win %68%74%63%
Points / game115.4117.0113.9
Allowed / game108.4107.0109.9
Point differential+7.0+10.0+4.0
Avg total223.8224.0223.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%47%34%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (17)67% (9)75% (8)
Overtime %4%3%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors68541479%116.2105.1+11.1
2 San Antonio Spurs68521676%106.498.6+7.8
3 Houston Rockets69472268%115.4108.4+7.0
4 Cleveland Cavaliers68452366%110.2106.1+4.1
5 Boston Celtics69442564%107.5105.0+2.5
6 Utah Jazz70432761%100.396.3+3.9
7 Washington Wizards69422761%108.9106.8+2.1
8 Los Angeles Clippers70412959%107.7104.7+3.0
9 Toronto Raptors69402958%106.8103.3+3.5
10 Oklahoma City Thunder69402958%106.9106.0+0.9
11 Memphis Grizzlies70403057%101.4100.4+1.0
12 Atlanta Hawks69373254%103.6104.5-0.9
13 Indiana Pacers68353351%104.3104.9-0.6
14 Milwaukee Bucks68343450%104.8104.3+0.5
15 Miami Heat69343549%102.9101.9+1.0
16 Denver Nuggets68333549%111.2110.8+0.4
17 Detroit Pistons69333648%101.5102.2-0.7
18 Chicago Bulls70333747%101.8103.1-1.3
19 Portland Trail Blazers68313746%108.2110.0-1.9
20 Charlotte Hornets69303943%104.8104.2+0.5
21 Dallas Mavericks68293943%98.0100.1-2.2
22 Minnesota Timberwolves68284041%104.9105.2-0.3
23 New Orleans Pelicans69284141%103.3106.0-2.6
24 Sacramento Kings69274239%102.9106.2-3.3
25 New York Knicks69274239%105.3108.6-3.3
26 Philadelphia 76ers68254337%102.3107.6-5.3
27 Orlando Magic70254536%100.0106.5-6.5
28 Phoenix Suns69224732%107.4112.5-5.0
29 Los Angeles Lakers69204929%104.3111.7-7.3
30 Brooklyn Nets68135519%105.8113.9-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets26301831105
Houston Rockets26252929109
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