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Houston Rockets vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 112-108
29-18 34-25 26-30 23-35
Position#19
Record17-16
FormLLWWL
Points / game112.5
Allowed / game109.9
Houston Rockets 🏆
USA
vs
Milwaukee Bucks
USA
Position#8
Record24-9
FormWWLLW
Points / game124.3
Allowed / game119.4
USANBA· Toyota Center (Houston)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Houston Rockets v Milwaukee Bucks
16 Dec 2026
HOU v MIL
upcoming
01 Apr 2026
HOU119
MIL113
25 Feb 2025
HOU100
MIL97
06 Jan 2024
HOU112
MIL108
11 Dec 2022
HOU97
MIL92
10 Dec 2021
HOU114
MIL123
29 Apr 2021
HOU143
MIL136
02 Aug 2020
HOU120
MIL116
24 Oct 2019
HOU111
MIL117
09 Jan 2019
HOU109
MIL116
16 Dec 2017
HOU115
MIL111
18 Jan 2017
HOU111
MIL92
22 Jan 2016
HOU102
MIL98
06 Feb 2015
HOU117
MIL111
18 Jan 2014
HOU114
MIL104
27 Feb 2013
HOU107
MIL110
25 Jan 2012
HOU99
MIL105
17 Jan 2011
HOU93
MIL84
18 Jan 2010
HOU101
MIL98
31 Dec 2008
HOU85
MIL81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
130-135 OT
130
135
-5
124avg 104
A19/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
L
127-134
127
134
-7
118avg 104
H21/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
122-96
122
96
+26
118avg 104
H23/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
106-104
106
104
+2
96avg 104
A24/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
117-123
117
123
-6
102avg 104
H27/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
113-129
113
129
-16
90avg 104
H28/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
127-131
127
131
-4
122avg 104
H30/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
136-113
136
113
+23
134avg 104
H02/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
112-101
112
101
+11
113avg 104
H04/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
95-122
95
122
-27
76avg 104
H06/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-33
25-24
39-42
24-23
29-39
36-38
35-21
27-36
23-17
33-22
33-21
33-36
26-24
21-27
32-33
27-20
33-33
34-31
23-37
27-22
24-30
31-43
29-31
29-25
32-26
31-36
34-28
30-41
31-29
28-26
47-25
30-33
26-22
23-28
38-25
25-26
24-32
22-24
26-28
23-38
237.3Avg total
118.5Scored
118.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)112.5109.9222.4+2.552%
Season at home (20)113.8106.2219.9+7.670%
Season away (13)110.5115.8226.2-5.323%
Last 10 (10)118.5118.8237.3-0.340%
Last 5 (5)116.6119.2235.8-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)102.5111.5214.0-9.050%
vs Similar ◀ (21)114.5112.0226.4+2.543%
vs Weaker (7)114.3100.9215.1+13.4100%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#19
W
128-119
128
119
+9
121avg 114
H18/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
132-119
132
119
+13
124avg 114
H20/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
118-114
118
114
+4
112avg 114
H22/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
130-111
130
111
+19
127avg 114
A23/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
L
122-129
122
129
-7
112avg 114
A25/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
144-122
144
122
+22
149avg 114
A28/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
119-111
119
111
+8
118avg 114
A30/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
113-122
113
122
-9
104avg 114
H02/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
130-142
130
142
-12
123avg 114
A04/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
125-121
125
121
+4
118avg 114
A05/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-28
38-32
29-31
28-28
44-26
28-33
35-26
25-34
28-31
31-25
32-26
27-32
36-27
26-27
38-33
30-24
27-36
24-26
36-36
35-31
32-31
34-28
34-33
44-30
31-37
21-22
40-21
27-31
32-25
30-31
26-28
25-38
31-33
37-33
29-47
33-29
38-31
26-28
29-34
32-28
247.1Avg total
126.1Scored
121.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)124.3119.4243.7+4.973%
Season at home (17)124.2118.2242.4+6.088%
Season away (16)124.4120.8245.2+3.756%
Last 10 (10)126.1121.0247.1+5.170%
Last 5 (5)126.2123.6249.8+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)116.0119.0235.0-3.00%
vs Similar ◀ (16)122.4120.2242.6+2.162%
vs Weaker (13)129.1118.5247.5+10.692%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +0.1+0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +0.1+0.1
Houston RocketsMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
59-57
59
57
+2
A19/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
L
65-77
65
77
-12
H21/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
56-39
56
39
+17
H23/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A24/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
67-64
67
64
+3
H27/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
55-73
55
73
-18
H28/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
63-62
63
62
+1
H30/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
59-55
59
55
+4
H02/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H04/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
46-56
46
56
-10
H06/01
NBA
115.0Avg total
56.6Scored
58.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.254.4109.6+0.757%-
Last 30 at home (19)56.952.7109.6+4.268%-
Last 30 away (11)52.257.5109.6-5.336%-
Last 10 (10)56.658.4115.0-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)54.459.2113.6-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)50.553.0103.5-2.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)56.555.9112.4+0.757%-
vs Weaker (7)52.450.6103.0+1.957%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#19
W
71-60
71
60
+11
H18/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
72-59
72
59
+13
H20/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
59-56
59
56
+3
H22/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
62-54
62
54
+8
A23/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
L
51-62
51
62
-11
A25/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
66-59
66
59
+7
A28/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
52-59
52
59
-7
A30/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
62-56
62
56
+6
H02/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
68-66
68
66
+2
A04/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
64-59
64
59
+5
A05/01
NBA
121.7Avg total
62.7Scored
59.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.759.4121.1+2.367%-
Last 30 at home (14)64.658.0122.6+6.686%-
Last 30 away (16)59.160.6119.7-1.650%-
Last 10 (10)62.759.0121.7+3.780%-
Last 5 (5)62.459.8122.2+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)53.067.0120.0-14.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)60.458.5118.9+1.969%-
vs Weaker (13)63.859.9123.8+3.969%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 118.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.430.2
52.6%
54.4%60.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.513.0
38.8%
36.3%39.0
🏀 Free throws23.919.1
79.9%
78.2%19.1
They take 90.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 126.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.131.3
58.9%
54.4%62.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.714.2
36.7%
36.3%42.6
🏀 Free throws26.020.9
80.4%
78.2%20.9
They take 91.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Houston Rockets
LWWLLLWWLL
Milwaukee Bucks
WLLWWLWWWW
#19
League position
#8
-0.3
Net rating
+4.8
115.3
Offensive rating
119.8
115.6
Defensive rating
115.0
54.7%
Effective FG%
57.3%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
11.9%
Turnover %
11.8%
24.7%
Off. rebound %
24.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.28
38.8%
3-point %
36.7%
57.6%
Assist %
63.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence115.3 · 119.8Defence115.6 · 115.0Shooting54.7% · 57.3%3-point %38.8% · 36.7%Ball care11.9% · 11.8%Off. rebounds24.7% · 24.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Houston Rockets   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Houston Rockets wins
7
Milwaukee Bucks wins
DateGameScore
18/12/23Milwaukee Bucks v Houston Rockets128-119
12/12/22Houston Rockets v Milwaukee Bucks97-92
23/10/22Milwaukee Bucks v Houston Rockets125-105
23/12/21Milwaukee Bucks v Houston Rockets126-106
11/12/21Houston Rockets v Milwaukee Bucks114-123
08/05/21Milwaukee Bucks v Houston Rockets141-133
30/04/21Houston Rockets v Milwaukee Bucks143-136
03/08/20Houston Rockets v Milwaukee Bucks120-116
25/10/19Houston Rockets v Milwaukee Bucks111-117
27/03/19Milwaukee Bucks v Houston Rockets108-94
Houston Rocketslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/24HMinnesota Timberwolves95-122
04/01/24HBrooklyn Nets112-101
02/01/24HDetroit Pistons136-113
30/12/23HPhiladelphia 76ers127-131
28/12/23HPhoenix Suns113-129
27/12/23HIndiana Pacers117-123
24/12/23ANew Orleans Pelicans106-104
23/12/23HDallas Mavericks122-96
21/12/23HAtlanta Hawks127-134
19/12/23ACleveland Cavaliers130-135 OT
Milwaukee Buckslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/24ASan Antonio Spurs125-121
04/01/24AIndiana Pacers130-142
02/01/24HIndiana Pacers113-122
30/12/23ACleveland Cavaliers119-111
28/12/23ABrooklyn Nets144-122
25/12/23ANew York Knicks122-129
23/12/23ANew York Knicks130-111
22/12/23HOrlando Magic118-114
20/12/23HSan Antonio Spurs132-119
18/12/23HHouston Rockets128-119

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL52%
HomeLLWWL70%
AwayWWLLW23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games332013
Win %52%70%23%
Points / game112.5113.8110.5
Allowed / game109.9106.2115.8
Point differential+2.5+7.7-5.3
Avg total222.4219.9226.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)67% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %6%0%15%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW73%
HomeWWWWL88%
AwayLWWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %73%88%56%
Points / game124.3124.2124.4
Allowed / game119.4118.2120.8
Point differential+4.9+6.0+3.7
Avg total243.7242.4245.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%24%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (10)100% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %6%6%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics3428682%121.1109.7+11.4
2 Minnesota Timberwolves3425974%113.1107.4+5.6
3 Milwaukee Bucks3324973%124.3119.4+4.9
4 Oklahoma City Thunder34231168%121.8114.2+7.6
5 Denver Nuggets37251268%115.7110.6+5.1
6 Philadelphia 76ers35231266%119.5111.3+8.2
7 Los Angeles Clippers34221265%117.0111.7+5.3
8 Sacramento Kings33211264%118.3117.2+1.1
9 New York Knicks35211460%115.6111.5+4.1
10 New Orleans Pelicans34201459%115.7111.2+4.6
11 Dallas Mavericks36211558%119.1117.0+2.1
12 Orlando Magic35201557%113.8112.0+1.8
13 Cleveland Cavaliers35201557%113.1111.4+1.7
14 Miami Heat35201557%112.5111.6+0.9
15 Phoenix Suns34191556%115.7113.8+1.9
16 Indiana Pacers33181555%126.9124.7+2.2
17 Houston Rockets33171652%112.5109.9+2.5
18 Golden State Warriors35171849%117.1116.5+0.6
19 Utah Jazz37172046%114.6118.7-4.1
20 Brooklyn Nets36162044%114.6116.1-1.5
21 Los Angeles Lakers34151944%113.4116.1-2.7
22 Chicago Bulls37162143%109.1111.5-2.4
23 Atlanta Hawks34142041%122.6123.9-1.4
24 Toronto Raptors35142140%114.5115.6-1.1
25 Memphis Grizzlies35122334%107.4113.4-6.0
26 Portland Trail Blazers3492526%108.2116.0-7.8
27 Charlotte Hornets3382524%109.5120.1-10.6
28 Washington Wizards3562917%115.1126.1-10.9
29 San Antonio Spurs3452915%111.2122.9-11.6
30 Detroit Pistons353329%111.4122.3-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Houston Rockets29342623112
Milwaukee Bucks18253035108
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