PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 01 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 120-100
44-24 30-23 22-25 24-28
Position#2
Record13-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game115.2
Allowed / game113.8
vs
Position#28
Record5-15
FormLLWWL
Points / game110.3
Allowed / game116.4
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Houston Rockets
20 Nov 2026
DEN v HOU
upcoming
11 Mar 2026
DEN129
HOU93
20 Dec 2025
DEN101
HOU115
15 Dec 2025
DEN128
HOU125
15 Jan 2025
DEN108
HOU128
08 Dec 2023
DEN106
HOU114
29 Nov 2023
DEN134
HOU124
30 Nov 2022
DEN120
HOU100
28 Nov 2022
DEN129
HOU113
04 Mar 2022
DEN116
HOU101
06 Nov 2021
DEN95
HOU94
24 Apr 2021
DEN129
HOU116
28 Dec 2020
DEN124
HOU111
26 Jan 2020
DEN117
HOU110
20 Nov 2019
DEN105
HOU95
01 Feb 2019
DEN136
HOU122
13 Nov 2018
DEN99
HOU109
25 Feb 2018
DEN114
HOU119
18 Mar 2017
DEN105
HOU109
02 Dec 2016
DEN110
HOU128
14 Dec 2015
DEN114
HOU108
13 Nov 2015
DEN107
HOU98
07 Mar 2015
DEN100
HOU114
17 Dec 2014
DEN111
HOU115
09 Apr 2014
DEN123
HOU116
06 Apr 2013
DEN132
HOU114
30 Jan 2013
DEN118
HOU110
15 Apr 2012
DEN101
HOU86
06 Feb 2012
DEN90
HOU99
07 Feb 2011
DEN103
HOU108
03 Jan 2011
DEN113
HOU106
16 Dec 2009
DEN111
HOU101
09 Mar 2009
DEN95
HOU97
30 Nov 2008
DEN104
HOU94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Houston Rockets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
122-119
122
119
+3
119avg 111
A10/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
112-131
112
131
-19
100avg 111
A12/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
126-103
126
103
+23
129avg 111
A14/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
103-106
103
106
-3
92avg 111
H17/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
L
99-127
99
127
-28
84avg 111
A19/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
98-97
98
97
+1
94avg 111
A21/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
108-110
108
110
-2
102avg 111
H23/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
131-126 OT
131
126
+5
132avg 111
A24/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
114-104
114
104
+10
104avg 111
A26/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
129-113
129
113
+16
129avg 111
H29/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-27
21-43
33-25
33-24
25-33
32-33
34-31
21-34
32-20
30-27
35-29
29-27
27-30
27-25
30-25
19-26
27-29
28-44
28-32
16-22
25-25
30-31
24-18
19-23
29-28
28-30
24-25
27-27
38-21
31-42
15-34
36-23
31-26
33-26
23-25
27-27
42-39
28-29
36-23
23-22
227.8Avg total
114.2Scored
113.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)115.2113.8228.9+1.565%
Season at home (7)116.4106.7223.1+9.771%
Season away (13)114.5117.5232.1-3.062%
Last 10 (10)114.2113.6227.8+0.660%
Last 5 (5)116.0110.0226.0+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)115.5116.9232.4-1.447%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)116.2115.6231.8+0.562%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#25
W
134-127
134
127
+7
130avg 102
A08/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
109-116
109
116
-7
108avg 102
A10/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
106-119
106
119
-13
103avg 102
A13/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
106-122
106
122
-16
91avg 102
H15/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
101-92
101
92
+9
104avg 102
A17/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
L
91-99
91
99
-8
75avg 102
H19/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
120-127
120
127
-7
111avg 102
H21/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
W
128-122
128
122
+6
128avg 102
H26/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
118-105
118
105
+13
118avg 102
H27/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
113-129
113
129
-16
103avg 102
A29/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-30
38-35
29-23
34-39
37-29
17-28
28-29
27-30
26-34
24-29
37-23
19-33
23-31
23-27
32-31
28-33
31-28
26-23
19-23
25-18
25-10
25-35
20-26
21-28
28-40
37-21
29-36
26-30
38-33
31-39
25-32
34-18
23-22
42-22
30-29
23-32
39-42
29-28
23-36
22-23
228.4Avg total
112.6Scored
115.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)110.3116.4226.7-6.125%
Season at home (8)112.5115.1227.6-2.638%
Season away (12)108.8117.2226.1-8.417%
Last 10 (10)112.6115.8228.4-3.240%
Last 5 (5)114.0116.4230.4-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)110.9117.6228.5-6.720%
vs Similar (5)117.2114.4231.6+2.840%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -2.5-2.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -2.5-2.5
Denver NuggetsHouston Rockets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#24
L
56-70
56
70
-14
A10/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
57-66
57
66
-9
A12/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
62-47
62
47
+15
A14/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
54-55
54
55
-1
H17/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
L
55-73
55
73
-18
A19/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
L
55-56
55
56
-1
A21/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H23/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A24/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
64-52
64
52
+12
A26/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
70-68
70
68
+2
H29/11
NBA
120.7Avg total
59.9Scored
60.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.759.2118.8+0.543%-
Last 30 at home (13)61.059.1120.1+1.938%-
Last 30 away (17)58.659.2117.9-0.647%-
Last 10 (10)59.960.8120.7-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)63.059.4122.4+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)58.257.4115.6+0.935%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)61.561.5123.1+0.054%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#25
W
71-65
71
65
+6
A08/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
54-57
54
57
-3
A10/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
50-63
50
63
-13
A13/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
46-58
46
58
-12
H15/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
57-51
57
51
+6
A17/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H19/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
65-61
65
61
+4
H21/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
L
69-72
69
72
-3
H26/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
65-44
65
44
+21
H27/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
68-70
68
70
-2
A29/11
NBA
118.1Avg total
59.5Scored
58.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.860.8118.6-3.040%-
Last 30 at home (13)59.960.9120.8-1.046%-
Last 30 away (17)56.160.7116.8-4.635%-
Last 10 (10)59.558.6118.1+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)63.458.4121.8+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)56.860.5117.4-3.740%-
vs Similar (5)62.462.2124.6+0.240%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 114.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.531.2
55.2%
54.5%62.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.611.1
37.5%
35.8%33.3
🏀 Free throws23.418.5
79.1%
78.1%18.5
They take 86.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 112.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.626.1
53.7%
54.5%52.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.913.1
36.5%
35.8%39.3
🏀 Free throws26.821.1
78.7%
78.1%21.1
They take 84.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWWLWLLWLW
Houston Rockets
LWWLLWLLLW
#2
League position
#28
+0.6
Net rating
-3.1
115.1
Offensive rating
110.5
114.5
Defensive rating
113.6
55.6%
Effective FG%
54.1%
56.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
13.7%
Turnover %
18.3%
25.8%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.32
37.5%
3-point %
36.5%
63.1%
Assist %
61.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence115.1 · 110.5Defence114.5 · 113.6Shooting55.6% · 54.1%3-point %37.5% · 36.5%Ball care13.7% · 18.3%Off. rebounds25.8% · 31.7%Free throws0.27 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Houston Rockets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Denver Nuggets wins
2
Houston Rockets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/22HHouston Rockets129-113
26/11/22ALos Angeles Clippers114-104
24/11/22AOklahoma City Thunder131-126 OT
23/11/22HDetroit Pistons108-110
21/11/22ADallas Mavericks98-97
19/11/22ADallas Mavericks99-127
17/11/22HNew York Knicks103-106
14/11/22AChicago Bulls126-103
12/11/22ABoston Celtics112-131
10/11/22AIndiana Pacers122-119
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/22ADenver Nuggets113-129
27/11/22HOklahoma City Thunder118-105
26/11/22HAtlanta Hawks128-122
21/11/22HGolden State Warriors120-127
19/11/22HIndiana Pacers91-99
17/11/22ADallas Mavericks101-92
15/11/22HLos Angeles Clippers106-122
13/11/22ANew Orleans Pelicans106-119
10/11/22AToronto Raptors109-116
08/11/22AOrlando Magic134-127

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW65%
HomeWWLLW71%
AwayWLWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20713
Win %65%71%62%
Points / game115.2116.4114.5
Allowed / game113.8106.7117.5
Point differential+1.4+9.7-3.0
Avg total228.9223.1232.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%57%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)33% (3)100% (4)
Overtime %5%0%8%
Houston Rockets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL25%
HomeLLLWW38%
AwayWLLWL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20812
Win %25%38%17%
Points / game110.3112.5108.8
Allowed / game116.4115.1117.2
Point differential-6.1-2.6-8.4
Avg total226.7227.6226.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics2218482%121.9113.3+8.6
2 Milwaukee Bucks2015575%112.3107.4+4.9
3 Phoenix Suns2014670%115.0108.2+6.8
4 Denver Nuggets2013765%115.2113.8+1.4
5 Cleveland Cavaliers2214864%112.9106.0+6.9
6 New Orleans Pelicans2113862%117.1111.0+6.0
7 Indiana Pacers2012860%115.7114.3+1.4
8 Los Angeles Clippers2213959%107.0107.0-0.1
9 Memphis Grizzlies2112957%115.0114.0+1.0
10 Philadelphia 76ers22121055%108.3106.1+2.2
11 Atlanta Hawks22121055%113.9113.5+0.4
12 Sacramento Kings1910953%119.0117.4+1.6
13 Toronto Raptors21111052%110.7109.3+1.3
14 Portland Trail Blazers21111052%109.8110.7-0.9
15 Utah Jazz23121152%116.7115.5+1.2
16 Brooklyn Nets23121152%111.6110.6+1.0
17 Dallas Mavericks20101050%109.4107.6+1.8
18 Golden State Warriors22111150%117.5117.2+0.3
19 Minnesota Timberwolves22111150%114.4115.3-0.9
20 Washington Wizards22111150%110.4111.5-1.1
21 New York Knicks22101245%115.2116.2-1.0
22 Miami Heat22101245%109.0110.0-1.0
23 Chicago Bulls2091145%112.0111.8+0.2
24 Oklahoma City Thunder2291341%116.0117.4-1.4
25 Los Angeles Lakers1971237%112.3114.5-2.2
26 Charlotte Hornets2161529%109.2115.4-6.2
27 San Antonio Spurs2261627%110.6121.0-10.3
28 Houston Rockets2051525%110.3116.4-6.1
29 Orlando Magic2251723%108.3114.4-6.1
30 Detroit Pistons2351822%109.1117.7-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets44302224120
Houston Rockets24232528100
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.