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Houston Rockets vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 17 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 01:30
Scheduled
Position#4
Record7-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game121.3
Allowed / game110.9
vs
Position#27
Record3-7
FormLLLWL
Points / game111.4
Allowed / game122.0
USANBA· Toyota Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Houston Rockets v Milwaukee Bucks
16 Dec 2026
HOU v MIL
upcoming
01 Apr 2026
HOU119
MIL113
25 Feb 2025
HOU100
MIL97
06 Jan 2024
HOU112
MIL108
11 Dec 2022
HOU97
MIL92
10 Dec 2021
HOU114
MIL123
29 Apr 2021
HOU143
MIL136
02 Aug 2020
HOU120
MIL116
24 Oct 2019
HOU111
MIL117
09 Jan 2019
HOU109
MIL116
16 Dec 2017
HOU115
MIL111
18 Jan 2017
HOU111
MIL92
15 Jul 2016
HOU92
MIL89
22 Jan 2016
HOU102
MIL98
15 Jul 2015
HOU93
MIL97
06 Feb 2015
HOU117
MIL111
18 Jan 2014
HOU114
MIL104
27 Feb 2013
HOU107
MIL110
25 Jan 2012
HOU99
MIL105
17 Jan 2011
HOU93
MIL84
18 Jan 2010
HOU101
MIL98
12 Oct 2009
HOU92
MIL96
31 Dec 2008
HOU85
MIL81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
78-98
78
98
-20
H02/05
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
135-117
135
117
+18
A09/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
115-132
115
132
-17
H11/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#18
W
116-89
116
89
+27
H16/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
128-110
128
110
+18
H22/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
W
114-110
114
110
+4
A24/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#6
W
121-114
121
114
+7
A25/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#6
W
120-110
120
110
+10
H27/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#27
W
132-100
132
100
+32
A29/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
111-116
111
116
-5
A31/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
13-26
24-22
23-27
27-19
38-26
34-35
36-37
27-28
24-30
34-37
30-37
33-15
21-32
25-22
37-20
32-26
38-12
30-38
28-34
32-27
29-32
24-22
29-29
30-26
29-22
33-33
29-33
32-35
31-31
28-19
29-25
23-21
34-14
38-34
37-31
20-27
31-17
33-32
27-40
226.6Avg total
117.0Scored
109.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)121.3110.9232.2+10.478%
Season at home (4)119.8110.2230.0+9.575%
Season away (5)122.6111.4234.0+11.280%
Last 10 (10)117.0109.6226.6+7.470%
Last 5 (5)119.6110.0229.6+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)118.6113.4232.0+5.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)116.6108.2224.8+8.468%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#9
L
97-116
97
116
-19
H06/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#18
W
128-126
128
126
+2
A08/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
90-105
90
105
-15
A11/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
L
104-125
104
125
-21
H15/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
128-127 OT
128
127
+1
A16/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
L
116-128
116
128
-12
A21/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
L
125-132
125
132
-7
H23/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
116-127
116
127
-11
A24/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
110-102
110
102
+8
H27/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
100-132
100
132
-32
H29/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-31
28-29
28-21
21-35
35-44
29-38
33-20
31-24
26-29
19-31
22-27
23-18
15-24
24-38
39-40
26-23
21-29
35-42
34-22
27-24
23-25
33-26
37-39
23-38
32-17
30-44
42-41
21-30
25-34
35-30
27-33
29-30
31-29
19-32
34-24
26-17
21-23
14-34
34-38
31-37
233.4Avg total
111.4Scored
122.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)111.4122.0233.4-10.630%
Season at home (5)107.2121.4228.6-14.220%
Season away (5)115.6122.6238.2-7.040%
Last 10 (10)111.4122.0233.4-10.630%
Last 5 (5)113.4124.2237.6-10.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)108.3124.5232.8-16.217%
vs Similar (5)114.8114.0228.8+0.860%
vs Weaker (2)107.5102.0209.5+5.550%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: -7.8-7.8Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -1.8-1.8
Houston RocketsMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
31-49
31
49
-18
H02/05
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
65-45
65
45
+20
A09/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
51-58
51
58
-7
H11/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#18
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H16/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
70-38
70
38
+32
H22/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
W
61-59
61
59
+2
A24/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#6
W
59-48
59
48
+11
A25/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#6
L
63-66
63
66
-3
H27/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#27
W
57-35
57
35
+22
A29/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A31/10
NBA
105.1Avg total
56.2Scored
48.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.452.1109.5+5.367%-
Last 30 at home (16)59.854.1113.9+5.669%-
Last 30 away (14)54.849.8104.6+5.064%-
Last 10 (10)56.248.9105.1+7.370%-
Last 5 (5)58.250.4108.6+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)59.456.6116.0+2.860%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)57.051.2108.2+5.868%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#9
L
48-60
48
60
-12
H06/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#18
L
64-82
64
82
-18
A08/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
45-60
45
60
-15
A11/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
L
39-62
39
62
-23
H15/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
L
56-71
56
71
-15
A16/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
56-51
56
51
+5
A21/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
W
62-61
62
61
+1
H23/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
60-64
60
64
-4
A24/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
L
50-61
50
61
-11
H27/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
35-57
35
57
-22
H29/10
NBA
114.4Avg total
51.5Scored
62.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.361.8115.1-8.430%-
Last 30 at home (15)54.260.8115.0-6.640%-
Last 30 away (15)52.562.7115.2-10.320%-
Last 10 (10)51.562.9114.4-11.420%-
Last 5 (5)52.658.8111.4-6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)52.763.2116.0-10.526%-
vs Similar (5)55.659.2114.8-3.640%-
vs Weaker (2)54.551.5106.0+3.050%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 110.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.027.7
53.3%
54.0%55.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.411.1
33.2%
34.9%33.3
🏀 Free throws28.322.2
78.4%
76.2%22.2
They take 85.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 112.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.525.6
52.8%
54.0%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.414.3
32.2%
34.9%42.9
🏀 Free throws25.517.9
70.2%
76.2%17.9
They take 92.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 44.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Houston Rockets
LWWWWWWLWL
Milwaukee Bucks
LWLLLWLLWL
#4
League position
#27
+1.8
Net rating
-8.1
109.3
Offensive rating
96.0
107.5
Defensive rating
104.0
51.9%
Effective FG%
50.6%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
14.5%
Turnover %
15.2%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
13.0%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.27
33.2%
3-point %
32.2%
61.3%
Assist %
63.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence109.3 · 96.0Defence107.5 · 104.0Shooting51.9% · 50.6%3-point %33.2% · 32.2%Ball care14.5% · 15.2%Off. rebounds30.2% · 13.0%Free throws0.33 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Houston Rockets   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Houston Rockets wins
4
Milwaukee Bucks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26ADallas Mavericks111-116
29/10/26AMilwaukee Bucks132-100
27/10/26HAtlanta Hawks120-110
25/10/26AAtlanta Hawks121-114
24/10/26ASan Antonio Spurs114-110
22/10/26HDallas Mavericks128-110
16/10/26HOklahoma City Thunder116-89
11/10/26HDallas Mavericks115-132
09/10/26ADallas Mavericks135-117
02/05/26HLos Angeles Lakers78-98
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26HHouston Rockets100-132
27/10/26HIndiana Pacers110-102
24/10/26APhiladelphia 76ers116-127
23/10/26HChicago Bulls125-132
21/10/26AWashington Wizards116-128
16/10/26AIndiana Pacers128-127 OT
15/10/26HChicago Bulls104-125
11/10/26ACharlotte Hornets90-105
08/10/26AOklahoma City Thunder128-126
06/10/26HMinnesota Timberwolves97-116

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL78%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %78%75%80%
Points / game121.3119.8122.6
Allowed / game110.9110.2111.4
Point differential+10.4+9.5+11.2
Avg total232.2230.0234.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%75%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL30%
HomeLLLWL20%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %30%20%40%
Points / game111.4107.2115.6
Allowed / game122.0121.4122.6
Point differential-10.6-14.2-7.0
Avg total233.4228.6238.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %10%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics98189%123.4110.0+13.4
2 Memphis Grizzlies98189%117.9108.2+9.7
3 Detroit Pistons108280%113.3106.3+7.0
4 Houston Rockets97278%121.3110.9+10.4
5 Portland Trail Blazers75271%120.3114.3+6.0
6 Atlanta Hawks117464%120.7115.7+5.0
7 Denver Nuggets106460%114.8114.7+0.1
8 Philadelphia 76ers106460%110.6111.0-0.4
9 Minnesota Timberwolves127558%118.8112.4+6.4
10 Golden State Warriors127558%115.2110.8+4.4
11 Orlando Magic95456%116.0117.8-1.8
12 Los Angeles Lakers116555%113.2112.6+0.5
13 Toronto Raptors105550%119.6111.5+8.1
14 San Antonio Spurs105550%115.5109.4+6.1
15 Washington Wizards105550%111.6111.3+0.3
16 Cleveland Cavaliers84450%117.2118.2-1.0
17 Dallas Mavericks105550%114.3115.7-1.4
18 Oklahoma City Thunder105550%109.0110.8-1.8
19 Miami Heat115645%122.7121.9+0.8
20 New Orleans Pelicans94544%115.4116.6-1.1
21 Utah Jazz94544%112.8115.6-2.8
22 Charlotte Hornets104640%97.0108.0-11.0
23 Los Angeles Clippers83538%107.4110.5-3.1
24 Chicago Bulls114736%117.4122.7-5.4
25 Brooklyn Nets93633%116.4118.9-2.4
26 Indiana Pacers103730%117.9119.2-1.3
27 Milwaukee Bucks103730%111.4122.0-10.6
28 New York Knicks113827%106.5115.2-8.6
29 Phoenix Suns92722%110.3119.0-8.7
30 Sacramento Kings100100%106.5122.2-15.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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