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Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 149-141 (OT)
37-28 31-28 34-35 23-34 24-16
Position#9
Record40-22
FormWLWLW
Points / game121.0
Allowed / game115.9
vs
Position#22
Record29-33
FormLLWLW
Points / game113.8
Allowed / game116.0
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Phoenix Suns
05 Jan 2027
DEN v PHX
upcoming
16 Nov 2026
DEN v PHX
upcoming
25 Oct 2025
DEN133
PHX111
07 Mar 2025
DEN149
PHX141
23 Dec 2024
DEN117
PHX90
27 Mar 2024
DEN97
PHX104
05 Mar 2024
DEN107
PHX117
09 May 2023
DEN118
PHX102
01 May 2023
DEN97
PHX87
29 Apr 2023
DEN125
PHX107
11 Jan 2023
DEN126
PHX97
25 Dec 2022
DEN128
PHX125
24 Mar 2022
DEN130
PHX140
13 Jun 2021
DEN118
PHX125
11 Jun 2021
DEN102
PHX116
01 Jan 2021
DEN103
PHX106
24 Nov 2019
DEN116
PHX104
25 Oct 2019
DEN108
PHX107
25 Jan 2019
DEN132
PHX95
20 Oct 2018
DEN119
PHX91
19 Jan 2018
DEN100
PHX108
03 Jan 2018
DEN134
PHX111
26 Jan 2017
DEN127
PHX120
16 Nov 2016
DEN120
PHX104
10 Mar 2016
DEN116
PHX98
20 Nov 2015
DEN107
PHX114
25 Feb 2015
DEN96
PHX110
28 Nov 2014
DEN122
PHX97
18 Feb 2014
DEN107
PHX112
20 Dec 2013
DEN99
PHX103
17 Apr 2013
DEN118
PHX98
06 Apr 2012
DEN105
PHX99
14 Feb 2012
DEN109
PHX92
20 Dec 2011
DEN127
PHX110
11 Jan 2011
DEN132
PHX98
28 Nov 2010
DEN138
PHX133
03 Feb 2010
DEN97
PHX109
12 Dec 2009
DEN105
PHX99
15 Jan 2009
DEN119
PHX113
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#22
W
122-105
122
105
+17
123avg 113
A09/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
146-117
146
117
+29
155avg 113
H11/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
132-121
132
121
+11
125avg 113
H13/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
129-115
129
115
+14
126avg 113
H21/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
100-123
100
123
-23
94avg 113
H23/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
125-116
125
116
+9
130avg 113
A25/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
L
112-121
112
121
-9
104avg 113
A28/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
134-119
134
119
+15
135avg 113
A01/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
103-110
103
110
-7
96avg 113
A02/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
116-110
116
110
+6
111avg 113
H06/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-32
26-23
35-26
24-24
38-27
32-28
42-37
34-25
40-27
35-29
32-35
25-30
38-30
28-28
33-38
30-19
31-38
23-25
33-33
13-27
36-28
28-30
36-25
25-33
30-30
27-24
24-30
31-37
39-31
29-32
39-24
27-32
20-32
28-29
29-22
26-27
29-42
26-23
29-28
32-17
237.6Avg total
121.9Scored
115.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (62)121.0115.9236.9+5.165%
Season at home (30)122.6115.5238.1+7.170%
Season away (32)119.5116.3235.8+3.259%
Last 10 (10)121.9115.7237.6+6.270%
Last 5 (5)118.0115.2233.2+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)104.5114.0218.5-9.50%
vs Similar (15)117.1113.4230.5+3.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)127.9115.0242.9+12.985%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
112-119
112
119
-7
108avg 108
H12/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
111-119
111
119
-8
105avg 108
A13/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
L
109-120
109
120
-11
105avg 108
A21/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
121-117
121
117
+4
120avg 108
A22/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
109-127
109
127
-18
98avg 108
A23/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
148-151 OT
148
151
-3
148avg 108
A26/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
L
116-124
116
124
-8
113avg 108
H28/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
125-108
125
108
+17
129avg 108
H01/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
98-116
98
116
-18
100avg 108
H03/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
119-117
119
117
+2
118avg 108
H05/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-36
30-32
31-27
25-24
34-32
23-19
35-33
19-35
21-31
33-29
25-34
30-26
20-30
40-28
33-32
28-27
25-29
27-38
30-21
27-39
34-31
28-27
41-43
34-36
30-35
32-26
29-27
25-36
40-18
23-24
29-28
33-38
34-28
17-21
21-34
26-33
30-24
19-41
27-30
43-22
238.6Avg total
116.8Scored
121.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (62)113.8116.0229.8-2.147%
Season at home (31)113.9113.4227.3+0.658%
Season away (31)113.7118.5232.3-4.835%
Last 10 (10)116.8121.8238.6-5.030%
Last 5 (5)121.2123.2244.4-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)113.9121.8235.8-7.931%
vs Similar (8)114.4118.5232.9-4.138%
vs Weaker (9)119.0112.1231.1+6.978%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -2.6-2.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -2.6-2.6
Denver NuggetsPhoenix Suns
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#22
W
63-55
63
55
+8
A09/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
70-55
70
55
+15
H11/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
75-56
75
56
+19
H13/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
66-58
66
58
+8
H21/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
54-63
54
63
-9
H23/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
64-58
64
58
+6
A25/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A28/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
68-63
68
63
+5
A01/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
48-61
48
61
-13
A02/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
L
55-65
55
65
-10
H06/03
NBA
120.8Avg total
62.0Scored
58.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)62.258.2120.4+4.163%-
Last 30 at home (15)63.658.6122.2+5.060%-
Last 30 away (15)60.957.7118.6+3.167%-
Last 10 (10)62.058.8120.8+3.270%-
Last 5 (5)58.460.2118.6-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)52.559.0111.5-6.50%-
vs Similar (15)60.657.9118.5+2.760%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)65.658.4124.0+7.277%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
56-68
56
68
-12
H12/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
57-51
57
51
+6
A13/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
L
54-60
54
60
-6
A21/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
60-58
60
58
+2
A22/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
52-67
52
67
-15
A23/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
62-58
62
58
+4
A26/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
62-61
62
61
+1
H28/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
63-42
63
42
+21
H01/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H03/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
49-65
49
65
-16
H05/03
NBA
114.5Avg total
56.6Scored
57.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.156.8113.9+0.453%-
Last 30 at home (13)59.557.4116.8+2.154%-
Last 30 away (17)55.456.3111.6-0.953%-
Last 10 (10)56.657.9114.5-1.360%-
Last 5 (5)57.455.0112.4+2.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)56.757.2113.8-0.562%-
vs Similar (8)54.159.6113.8-5.525%-
vs Weaker (9)60.453.7114.1+6.867%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 121.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers66.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.033.3
57.4%
54.3%66.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.813.2
39.1%
35.9%39.6
🏀 Free throws19.715.7
79.7%
77.8%15.7
They take 91.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 116.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.028.7
58.6%
54.3%57.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.814.4
38.1%
35.9%43.2
🏀 Free throws19.816.2
81.8%
77.8%16.2
They take 86.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WLWLWLWWWW
Phoenix Suns
WLWLLLWLLL
#9
League position
#22
+6.1
Net rating
-4.9
119.7
Offensive rating
114.4
113.6
Defensive rating
119.3
57.8%
Effective FG%
57.9%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
13.4%
Turnover %
13.8%
28.3%
Off. rebound %
19.6%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.23
39.1%
3-point %
38.1%
65.6%
Assist %
68.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence119.7 · 114.4Defence113.6 · 119.3Shooting57.8% · 57.9%3-point %39.1% · 38.1%Ball care13.4% · 13.8%Off. rebounds28.3% · 19.6%Free throws0.21 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Phoenix Suns
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Denver Nuggets wins
5
Phoenix Suns wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/25HSacramento Kings116-110
02/03/25ABoston Celtics103-110
01/03/25ADetroit Pistons134-119
28/02/25AMilwaukee Bucks112-121
25/02/25AIndiana Pacers125-116
23/02/25HLos Angeles Lakers100-123
21/02/25HCharlotte Hornets129-115
13/02/25HPortland Trail Blazers132-121
11/02/25HPortland Trail Blazers146-117
09/02/25APhoenix Suns122-105
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/25HLos Angeles Clippers119-117
03/03/25HMinnesota Timberwolves98-116
01/03/25HNew Orleans Pelicans125-108
28/02/25HNew Orleans Pelicans116-124
26/02/25AMemphis Grizzlies148-151 OT
23/02/25AToronto Raptors109-127
22/02/25AChicago Bulls121-117
21/02/25ASan Antonio Spurs109-120
13/02/25AHouston Rockets111-119
12/02/25HMemphis Grizzlies112-119

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW65%
HomeWWWLW70%
AwayWWLWL59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games623032
Win %65%70%59%
Points / game121.0122.6119.5
Allowed / game115.9115.5116.3
Point differential+5.1+7.1+3.2
Avg total236.9238.1235.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%50%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (16)57% (7)67% (9)
Overtime %6%0%12%
Phoenix Suns
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW47%
HomeLLWLW58%
AwayLLWLL35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games623131
Win %47%58%35%
Points / game113.8113.9113.7
Allowed / game116.0113.4118.5
Point differential-2.1+0.6-4.8
Avg total229.8227.3232.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%19%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (17)83% (6)36% (11)
Overtime %8%6%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers63531084%123.1111.7+11.4
2 Oklahoma City Thunder61501182%119.6106.9+12.8
3 Boston Celtics63451871%117.0108.3+8.7
4 New York Knicks61402166%117.5113.0+4.5
5 Los Angeles Lakers61402166%113.1111.1+2.0
6 Denver Nuggets62402265%121.0115.9+5.1
7 Memphis Grizzlies63392462%122.9116.9+6.0
8 Houston Rockets61372461%113.3109.5+3.8
9 Milwaukee Bucks59342558%115.0112.8+2.3
10 Indiana Pacers61352657%116.6115.2+1.3
11 Golden State Warriors62352756%113.6111.5+2.1
12 Detroit Pistons63352856%114.7113.1+1.6
13 Minnesota Timberwolves65362955%112.4109.0+3.4
14 Los Angeles Clippers62332953%110.9108.9+2.0
15 Sacramento Kings61322952%116.8115.1+1.7
16 Dallas Mavericks63323151%114.7114.0+0.7
17 Miami Heat62293347%110.1110.5-0.4
18 Phoenix Suns62293347%113.8116.0-2.1
19 Orlando Magic63293446%104.4106.0-1.6
20 Atlanta Hawks61283346%117.4120.2-2.8
21 Portland Trail Blazers64283644%110.4114.3-3.9
22 San Antonio Spurs60263443%113.3115.2-1.9
23 Chicago Bulls63253840%116.6120.8-4.2
24 Philadelphia 76ers62214134%109.0114.0-5.0
25 Brooklyn Nets62214134%105.2111.7-6.5
26 Toronto Raptors63214233%110.5116.0-5.5
27 New Orleans Pelicans63174627%110.8118.8-8.0
28 Utah Jazz63154824%112.4119.7-7.3
29 Charlotte Hornets62144823%105.4113.1-7.8
30 Washington Wizards61124920%108.3120.6-12.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Denver Nuggets3731342324149
Phoenix Suns2828353416141
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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