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Jonava vs Gargzdai Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 97-82
22-22 28-15 25-18 22-27
Position#8
Record3-4
FormLLLWL
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game88.6
Jonava 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Position#9
Record2-4
FormWLLWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game83.7
LithuaniaKing Mindaugas Cup· Jonavos sporto arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Jonava v Gargzdai
11 May 2027
JON v GAR
upcoming
08 Nov 2026
JON v GAR
upcoming
17 Feb 2026
JON95
GAR90
03 Jan 2026
JON75
GAR82
04 Dec 2025
JON97
GAR82
28 Dec 2023
JON105
GAR73
18 Apr 2023
JON67
GAR65
28 Nov 2022
JON92
GAR85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jonava winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gargzdai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#5
L
88-101
88
101
-13
83avg 77
H23/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#3
L
113-117
113
117
-4
116avg 77
A26/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#9
W
88-84
88
84
+4
85avg 77
A30/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#7
L
82-98
82
98
-16
75avg 77
H03/11
LKL
Nevezis
#5
L
74-92
74
92
-18
68avg 77
A06/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
72-104
72
104
-32
57avg 77
A09/11
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
76-86
76
86
-10
67avg 77
A12/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#6
L
85-96
85
96
-11
80avg 77
H16/11
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
82-80
82
80
+2
76avg 77
H19/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
71-105
71
105
-34
56avg 77
H22/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-32
28-29
21-20
24-20
26-32
36-20
27-39
24-26
28-17
19-26
18-15
23-26
18-21
18-23
19-29
27-25
11-26
16-28
29-16
18-22
21-28
25-36
16-20
10-20
15-21
18-27
19-23
24-15
20-25
28-18
20-27
17-26
27-25
21-16
15-20
19-19
14-29
19-26
19-29
19-21
179.4Avg total
83.1Scored
96.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.788.6171.3-5.943%
Season at home (3)86.087.0173.0-1.067%
Season away (4)80.289.8170.0-9.525%
Last 10 (10)83.196.3179.4-13.220%
Last 5 (5)77.294.2171.4-17.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)79.792.2171.9-12.416%
vs Similar (5)94.294.2188.4+0.060%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#7
L
83-89
83
89
-6
78avg 77
A15/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#7
W
91-74
91
74
+17
88avg 77
H18/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
73-89
73
89
-16
65avg 77
H26/10
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
84-88
84
88
-4
80avg 77
H30/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
L
87-94
87
94
-7
80avg 77
A03/11
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
102-91
102
91
+11
104avg 77
H05/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#6
L
80-89
80
89
-9
68avg 77
H08/11
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
73-90
73
90
-17
57avg 77
A12/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
W
86-79
86
79
+7
82avg 77
H16/11
LKL
Siauliai
#4
W
94-83
94
83
+11
91avg 77
A22/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-26
17-30
23-17
19-16
29-14
20-20
21-24
21-16
16-24
17-21
20-16
20-28
17-28
26-19
15-18
26-23
22-21
26-25
19-28
20-20
25-19
25-27
24-26
28-19
19-21
24-20
14-25
23-23
19-24
11-23
17-27
26-16
24-11
12-24
26-23
24-21
18-25
26-18
18-23
32-17
171.9Avg total
85.3Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)84.083.7167.7+0.333%
Season at home (3)84.783.7168.3+1.033%
Season away (3)83.383.7167.0-0.333%
Last 10 (10)85.386.6171.9-1.340%
Last 5 (5)87.086.4173.4+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)76.693.0169.6-16.46%
vs Similar (9)86.882.8169.6+4.056%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)90.083.5173.5+6.550%
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.1-6.1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +4.0+4.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.1-6.1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +4.0+4.0
JonavaGargzdai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#5
L
43-61
43
61
-18
H23/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#3
W
62-52
62
52
+10
A26/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#9
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A30/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#7
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H03/11
LKL
Nevezis
#5
L
27-54
27
54
-27
A06/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
46-64
46
64
-18
A09/11
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A12/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#6
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H16/11
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H19/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
33-55
33
55
-22
H22/11
LKL
92.8Avg total
42.3Scored
50.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.545.886.4-5.340%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.344.486.7-2.150%-
Last 30 away (16)39.047.186.1-8.131%-
Last 10 (10)42.350.592.8-8.240%-
Last 5 (5)41.650.291.8-8.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)39.846.285.9-6.440%-
vs Similar (5)44.444.288.6+0.240%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#7
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A15/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#7
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H18/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H26/10
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H30/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A03/11
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H05/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#6
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H08/11
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A12/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H16/11
LKL
Siauliai
#4
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A22/11
LKL
85.7Avg total
41.7Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.943.785.6-1.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.340.283.5+3.167%-
Last 30 away (15)40.547.287.7-6.727%-
Last 10 (10)41.744.085.7-2.360%-
Last 5 (5)40.642.483.0-1.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)39.845.585.3-5.629%-
vs Similar (9)43.842.386.1+1.467%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)46.539.285.8+7.275%-
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.0 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.919.0
50.1%
55.4%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.08.2
35.7%
35.7%24.6
🏀 Free throws25.319.7
77.9%
74.2%19.7
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.0 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.121.1
54.0%
55.4%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.28.3
35.8%
35.7%24.9
🏀 Free throws24.517.4
71.0%
74.2%17.4
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jonava
LWLLLLLWLL
Gargzdai
WWLLWLLLWL
#8
League position
#9
-17.1
Net rating
-1.2
108.4
Offensive rating
113.8
125.6
Defensive rating
115.0
51.4%
Effective FG%
53.9%
61.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
19.6%
Turnover %
16.2%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.39
35.7%
3-point %
35.8%
70.6%
Assist %
59.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence108.4 · 113.8Defence125.6 · 115.0Shooting51.4% · 53.9%3-point %35.7% · 35.8%Ball care19.6% · 16.2%Off. rebounds32.2% · 32.0%Free throws0.42 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Jonava   ■ Gargzdai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Jonava wins
2
Gargzdai wins
DateGameScore
30/10/25Gargzdai v Jonava84-88
04/10/25Gargzdai v Jonava103-73
28/12/23Jonava v Gargzdai105-73
12/11/23Gargzdai v Jonava86-80
18/04/23Jonava v Gargzdai67-65
15/01/23Gargzdai v Jonava68-69
28/11/22Jonava v Gargzdai92-85
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/25HRytas71-105
19/11/25HJuventus82-80
16/11/25HLietkabelis85-96
12/11/25ASiauliai76-86
09/11/25ARytas72-104
06/11/25ANevezis74-92
03/11/25HJuventus82-98
30/10/25AGargzdai88-84
26/10/25ANeptunas113-117
23/10/25HNevezis88-101
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/25ASiauliai94-83
16/11/25HNevezis86-79
12/11/25AJuventus73-90
08/11/25HLietkabelis80-89
05/11/25HSiauliai102-91
03/11/25ANevezis87-94
30/10/25HJonava84-88
26/10/25HZalgiris Kaunas73-89
18/10/25HJuventus91-74
15/10/25ASiauliai83-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jonava
King Mindaugas Cup 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW43%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%67%25%
Points / game82.786.080.2
Allowed / game88.687.089.8
Point differential-5.9-1.0-9.5
Avg total171.3173.0170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Gargzdai
King Mindaugas Cup 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL33%
HomeLLW33%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game84.084.783.3
Allowed / game83.783.783.7
Point differential+0.3+1.0-0.3
Avg total167.7168.3167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nevezis75271%90.087.6+2.4
2 Juventus74357%88.483.3+5.1
3 Siauliai73443%86.688.6-2.0
4 Jonava73443%82.788.6-5.9
5 Gargzdai62433%84.083.7+0.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jonava2228252297
Gargzdai2215182782
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