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Jonava vs Gargzdai Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 17 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 95-90
21-20 27-22 22-25 25-23
Position#8
Record2-16
FormLLLLL
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game97.6
Jonava 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Position#5
Record7-11
FormWWWLL
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game87.0
LithuaniaLKL· Jonavos sporto arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Jonava v Gargzdai
11 May 2027
JON v GAR
upcoming
08 Nov 2026
JON v GAR
upcoming
17 Feb 2026
JON95
GAR90
03 Jan 2026
JON75
GAR82
04 Dec 2025
JON97
GAR82
28 Dec 2023
JON105
GAR73
18 Apr 2023
JON67
GAR65
28 Nov 2022
JON92
GAR85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jonava winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gargzdai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#3
L
117-124 OT
117
124
-7
108avg 78
H07/12
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
85-83
85
83
+2
74avg 78
A14/12
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
73-118
73
118
-45
58avg 78
H21/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#5
L
75-82
75
82
-7
57avg 78
H03/01
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
95-104
95
104
-9
86avg 78
A11/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
63-89
63
89
-26
no box
A17/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#4
L
79-85
79
85
-6
68avg 78
H25/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
91-104
91
104
-13
77avg 78
A01/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
84-101
84
101
-17
74avg 78
H07/02
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
85-88 OT
85
88
-3
73avg 78
A14/02
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-24
15-26
25-24
29-24
14-23
27-15
25-26
19-19
21-33
10-25
19-35
23-25
19-17
18-24
20-22
18-19
18-24
21-33
27-22
29-25
16-17
13-26
19-26
15-20
19-27
19-24
22-16
19-18
21-35
24-21
23-31
23-17
25-20
23-30
23-25
13-26
20-23
22-17
17-13
18-24
182.5Avg total
84.7Scored
97.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)84.697.6182.2-13.011%
Season at home (9)84.195.6179.7-11.411%
Season away (9)85.199.7184.8-14.611%
Last 10 (10)84.797.8182.5-13.110%
Last 5 (5)80.493.4173.8-13.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)82.695.8178.4-13.215%
vs Similar (3)85.384.3169.7+1.067%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Jonava
#8
L
82-97
82
97
-15
75avg 75
A04/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
71-108
71
108
-37
56avg 75
A07/12
LKL
Nevezis
#5
W
90-74
90
74
+16
92avg 75
H10/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#3
L
87-104
87
104
-17
84avg 75
H13/12
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
78-104
78
104
-26
71avg 75
A27/12
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
82-75
82
75
+7
79avg 75
A03/01
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
82-78
82
78
+4
68avg 75
H10/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
79-70
79
70
+9
76avg 75
A01/02
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
73-83
73
83
-10
63avg 75
A08/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
63-69
63
69
-6
50avg 75
H15/02
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
15-28
18-25
27-22
22-29
18-27
18-26
13-26
26-23
20-11
30-20
14-20
24-24
18-26
19-37
26-17
19-27
23-32
14-20
22-25
17-19
24-18
22-20
19-18
15-16
21-15
23-25
23-22
20-18
16-12
24-16
19-24
14-23
6-23
28-21
25-16
12-14
14-19
19-18
18-18
164.9Avg total
78.7Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)81.287.0168.2-5.839%
Season at home (9)83.383.1166.4+0.244%
Season away (9)79.090.9169.9-11.933%
Last 10 (10)78.786.2164.9-7.540%
Last 5 (5)75.875.0150.8+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)76.793.5170.2-16.815%
vs Similar (11)84.684.1168.7+0.545%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)87.384.3171.7+3.050%
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -0.2-0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -0.2-0.2
JonavaGargzdai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#3
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H07/12
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A14/12
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
31-58
31
58
-27
H21/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#5
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H03/01
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
39-57
39
57
-18
A11/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A17/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#4
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H25/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A01/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H07/02
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A14/02
LKL
87.8Avg total
39.4Scored
48.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.147.387.4-7.237%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.745.986.6-5.133%-
Last 30 away (15)39.548.788.2-9.340%-
Last 10 (10)39.448.487.8-9.020%-
Last 5 (5)40.448.088.4-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)40.148.088.1-8.033%-
vs Similar (3)40.340.781.0-0.367%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#8
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A04/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
40-56
40
56
-16
A07/12
LKL
Nevezis
#5
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H10/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#3
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H13/12
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
42-59
42
59
-17
A27/12
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A03/01
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H10/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A01/02
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
20-46
20
46
-26
A08/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
26-33
26
33
-7
H15/02
LKL
79.2Avg total
36.6Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.243.683.8-3.447%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.938.680.6+3.364%-
Last 30 away (16)38.747.986.6-9.231%-
Last 10 (10)36.642.679.2-6.040%-
Last 5 (5)31.835.467.2-3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)36.845.382.2-8.523%-
vs Similar (11)42.143.285.3-1.164%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)44.040.784.7+3.367%-
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.123.2
53.8%
55.4%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.5
31.2%
35.5%22.5
🏀 Free throws26.219.0
72.5%
74.3%19.0
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.522.8
50.1%
55.4%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.76.0
29.0%
35.5%18.0
🏀 Free throws20.514.3
69.8%
74.3%14.3
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jonava
LLLLLLLLWL
Gargzdai
LLWWWLLWLL
#8
League position
#5
-10.1
Net rating
-9.9
105.6
Offensive rating
96.9
115.7
Defensive rating
106.8
51.3%
Effective FG%
48.0%
61.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
13.2%
Turnover %
14.4%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.2%
3-point %
29.0%
55.4%
Assist %
63.9%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.6 · 96.9Defence115.7 · 106.8Shooting51.3% · 48.0%3-point %31.2% · 29.0%Ball care13.2% · 14.4%Off. rebounds32.2% · 29.0%Free throws0.39 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)10% · 40%
■ Jonava   ■ Gargzdai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Jonava wins
3
Gargzdai wins
DateGameScore
03/01/26Jonava v Gargzdai75-82
04/12/25Jonava v Gargzdai97-82
30/10/25Gargzdai v Jonava84-88
04/10/25Gargzdai v Jonava103-73
28/12/23Jonava v Gargzdai105-73
12/11/23Gargzdai v Jonava86-80
18/04/23Jonava v Gargzdai67-65
15/01/23Gargzdai v Jonava68-69
28/11/22Jonava v Gargzdai92-85
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26ANevezis85-88 OT
07/02/26HRytas84-101
01/02/26AZalgiris Kaunas91-104
25/01/26HSiauliai79-85
17/01/26AZalgiris Kaunas63-89
11/01/26AJuventus95-104
03/01/26HGargzdai75-82
21/12/25HZalgiris Kaunas73-118
14/12/25ANevezis85-83
07/12/25HNeptunas117-124 OT
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/26HZalgiris Kaunas63-69
08/02/26ASiauliai73-83
01/02/26ALietkabelis79-70
10/01/26HRytas82-78
03/01/26AJonava82-75
27/12/25AJuventus78-104
13/12/25HNeptunas87-104
10/12/25HNevezis90-74
07/12/25AZalgiris Kaunas71-108
04/12/25AJonava82-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jonava
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL11%
HomeLLLLL11%
AwayLWLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %11%11%11%
Points / game84.684.185.1
Allowed / game97.695.699.7
Point differential-13.0-11.4-14.6
Avg total182.2179.7184.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %11%11%11%
Gargzdai
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL39%
HomeLWLWL44%
AwayLLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %39%44%33%
Points / game81.283.379.0
Allowed / game87.083.190.9
Point differential-5.8+0.2-11.9
Avg total168.2166.4169.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%22%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas1817194%89.774.8+14.8
2 Rytas1811761%92.183.8+8.3
3 Neptunas1811761%95.691.7+3.9
4 Siauliai1810856%88.289.3-1.2
5 Lietkabelis178947%84.482.7+1.7
6 Juventus178947%88.188.7-0.6
7 Gargzdai1871139%81.287.0-5.8
8 Nevezis1861233%82.190.1-8.1
9 Jonava1821611%84.697.6-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jonava2127222595
Gargzdai2022252390
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