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Jonava vs Gargzdai Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 105-73
24-13 21-20 32-20 28-20
Position#8
Record6-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game84.0
Jonava 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Position#12
Record3-11
FormWLLLL
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game92.9
LithuaniaLKL· Jonavos sporto arena (Jonava)
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Jonava v Gargzdai
11 May 2027
JON v GAR
upcoming
08 Nov 2026
JON v GAR
upcoming
17 Feb 2026
JON95
GAR90
03 Jan 2026
JON75
GAR82
04 Dec 2025
JON97
GAR82
28 Dec 2023
JON105
GAR73
18 Apr 2023
JON67
GAR65
28 Nov 2022
JON92
GAR85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jonava winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gargzdai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Gargzdai
#12
L
80-86
80
86
-6
68avg 75
A12/11
LKL
AEK Larnaca
#22
W
95-84
95
84
+11
90avg 75
A15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Rytas
#2
L
89-101
89
101
-12
81avg 75
H18/11
LKL
Rostock
#5
L
81-86
81
86
-5
86avg 75
A21/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Juventus
#4
W
84-73
84
73
+11
87avg 75
H26/11
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
63-96
63
96
-33
57avg 75
A02/12
LKL
Sporting CP
#29
L
81-91
81
91
-10
83avg 75
H06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Neptunas
#6
L
64-69
64
69
-5
54avg 75
A10/12
LKL
Legia
#6
L
72-111
72
111
-39
65avg 75
A13/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
L
84-89
84
89
-5
77avg 75
H16/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
25-25
18-22
18-18
24-19
24-20
19-19
28-26
24-21
22-21
26-32
17-27
16-25
19-21
25-15
21-25
32-13
21-22
13-19
18-19
15-30
11-20
12-19
25-27
15-16
16-23
15-28
35-24
13-12
19-20
16-12
16-25
20-26
20-23
13-36
19-26
30-17
20-21
14-18
20-33
167.9Avg total
79.3Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)80.484.0164.4-3.643%
Season at home (7)85.083.4168.4+1.657%
Season away (7)75.784.6160.3-8.929%
Last 10 (10)79.388.6167.9-9.320%
Last 5 (5)72.891.2164.0-18.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)78.687.1165.6-8.521%
vs Similar (12)83.379.8163.2+3.567%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)85.789.0174.7-3.333%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#6
L
73-92
73
92
-19
71avg 68
H06/11
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
66-75
66
75
-9
58avg 68
H09/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#8
W
86-80
86
80
+6
78avg 68
H12/11
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
78-84
78
84
-6
71avg 68
A16/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#4
L
74-97
74
97
-23
67avg 68
H19/11
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
91-81
91
81
+10
90avg 68
A22/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#7
L
66-77
66
77
-11
52avg 68
A25/11
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
80-92
80
92
-12
72avg 68
A04/12
LKL
Siauliai
#10
L
89-94
89
94
-5
85avg 68
H11/12
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
79-110
79
110
-31
57avg 68
A16/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
14-22
16-29
20-18
15-7
19-30
19-18
13-20
21-19
25-25
22-18
18-18
19-24
28-12
21-21
10-27
21-20
26-20
18-25
9-32
22-19
17-26
25-18
27-18
16-18
21-20
17-17
12-22
22-23
19-25
23-18
16-26
28-25
21-19
24-24
16-26
25-22
15-37
15-22
24-29
166.4Avg total
78.2Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)77.792.9170.6-15.221%
Season at home (7)79.493.1172.6-13.729%
Season away (7)76.092.7168.7-16.714%
Last 10 (10)78.288.2166.4-10.020%
Last 5 (5)81.090.8171.8-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)74.588.3162.8-13.815%
vs Similar (4)85.288.2173.5-3.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Jonava) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -4.9-4.9Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -7.1-7.1
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -4.9-4.9Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -7.1-7.1
JonavaGargzdai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gargzdai
#12
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A12/11
LKL
AEK Larnaca
#22
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Rytas
#2
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H18/11
LKL
Rostock
#5
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A21/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Juventus
#4
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H26/11
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
26-50
26
50
-24
A02/12
LKL
Sporting CP
#29
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Neptunas
#6
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A10/12
LKL
Legia
#6
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A13/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H16/12
LKL
82.1Avg total
40.5Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.541.982.4-1.443%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.441.183.6+1.357%-
Last 30 away (16)38.842.681.3-3.831%-
Last 10 (10)40.541.682.1-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)35.841.677.4-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.341.780.0-3.436%-
vs Similar (12)41.241.582.8-0.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)46.346.793.0-0.333%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#6
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H06/11
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H09/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#8
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H12/11
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A16/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#4
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H19/11
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A22/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#7
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A25/11
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A04/12
LKL
Siauliai
#10
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H11/12
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A16/12
LKL
85.3Avg total
41.7Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.644.783.3-6.127%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.145.984.0-7.729%-
Last 30 away (16)39.143.782.8-4.625%-
Last 10 (10)41.743.685.3-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)41.246.888.0-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)38.244.482.7-6.227%-
vs Similar (4)41.246.587.8-5.225%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Jonava) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.218.3
56.8%
55.4%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.010.1
37.4%
34.7%30.3
🏀 Free throws16.211.2
69.1%
73.2%11.2
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.118.6
50.1%
55.4%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.2
32.5%
34.7%24.6
🏀 Free throws25.415.6
61.4%
73.2%15.6
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jonava
LLLLLWLLWL
Gargzdai
LLLLWLLWLL
#8
League position
#12
-13.0
Net rating
-12.8
103.5
Offensive rating
101.4
116.5
Defensive rating
114.3
56.5%
Effective FG%
49.6%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
24.6%
Turnover %
19.5%
30.8%
Off. rebound %
32.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.41
37.4%
3-point %
32.5%
67.3%
Assist %
63.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence103.5 · 101.4Defence116.5 · 114.3Shooting56.5% · 49.6%3-point %37.4% · 32.5%Ball care24.6% · 19.5%Off. rebounds30.8% · 32.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ Jonava   ■ Gargzdai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Jonava wins
1
Gargzdai wins
DateGameScore
12/11/23Gargzdai v Jonava86-80
18/04/23Jonava v Gargzdai67-65
15/01/23Gargzdai v Jonava68-69
28/11/22Jonava v Gargzdai92-85
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23HPieno Zvaigzdes84-89
13/12/23ALegia72-111
10/12/23ANeptunas64-69
06/12/23HSporting CP81-91
02/12/23AJuventus63-96
26/11/23HJuventus84-73
21/11/23ARostock81-86
18/11/23HRytas89-101
15/11/23AAEK Larnaca95-84
12/11/23AGargzdai80-86
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23ARytas79-110
11/12/23HSiauliai89-94
04/12/23ANevezis80-92
25/11/23AMazeikiai66-77
22/11/23AMazeikiai91-81
19/11/23HJuventus74-97
16/11/23ANeptunas78-84
12/11/23HJonava86-80
09/11/23HJuventus66-75
06/11/23HNeptunas73-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jonava
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL43%
HomeLWLWL57%
AwayLLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %43%57%29%
Points / game80.485.075.7
Allowed / game84.083.484.6
Point differential-3.6+1.6-8.9
Avg total164.4168.4160.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Gargzdai
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL21%
HomeWLWLL29%
AwayWLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %21%29%14%
Points / game77.779.476.0
Allowed / game92.993.192.7
Point differential-15.2-13.7-16.7
Avg total170.6172.6168.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%14%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rytas1513287%91.978.2+13.7
2 Zalgiris Kaunas1412286%81.470.6+10.8
3 BC Wolves1511473%82.776.9+5.7
4 Juventus149564%89.077.7+11.3
5 Lietkabelis149564%84.982.9+2.1
6 Neptunas157847%83.983.5+0.4
7 Jonava146843%80.484.0-3.6
8 Mazeikiai135838%74.981.2-6.3
9 Pieno Zvaigzdes145936%88.491.1-2.8
10 Nevezis1431121%83.191.4-8.4
11 Gargzdai1431121%77.792.9-15.2
12 Siauliai1421214%79.088.6-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jonava24213228105
Gargzdai1320202073
← all games of the day
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