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Jonava vs Gargzdai Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 75-82
19-17 18-24 20-22 18-19
Position#8
Record2-10
FormLWLWL
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game99.4
vs
Position#5
Record4-9
FormLLWLL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game91.6
LithuaniaLKL· Jonavos sporto arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Jonava v Gargzdai
11 May 2027
JON v GAR
upcoming
08 Nov 2026
JON v GAR
upcoming
17 Feb 2026
JON95
GAR90
03 Jan 2026
JON75
GAR82
04 Dec 2025
JON97
GAR82
28 Dec 2023
JON105
GAR73
18 Apr 2023
JON67
GAR65
28 Nov 2022
JON92
GAR85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jonava winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gargzdai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#5
L
74-92
74
92
-18
68avg 77
A06/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
72-104
72
104
-32
57avg 77
A09/11
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
76-86
76
86
-10
67avg 77
A12/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#6
L
85-96
85
96
-11
80avg 77
H16/11
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
82-80
82
80
+2
76avg 77
H19/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
71-105
71
105
-34
56avg 77
H22/11
LKL
Gargzdai
#9
W
97-82
97
82
+15
92avg 77
H04/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#3
L
117-124 OT
117
124
-7
108avg 77
H07/12
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
85-83
85
83
+2
74avg 77
A14/12
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
73-118
73
118
-45
58avg 77
H21/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-26
16-28
29-16
18-22
21-28
25-36
16-20
10-20
15-21
18-27
19-23
24-15
20-25
28-18
20-27
17-26
27-25
21-16
15-20
19-19
14-29
19-26
19-29
19-21
22-22
28-15
25-18
22-27
29-24
15-26
25-24
29-24
14-23
27-15
25-26
19-19
21-33
10-25
19-35
23-25
180.2Avg total
83.2Scored
97.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)84.599.4183.9-14.917%
Season at home (6)86.598.7185.2-12.217%
Season away (6)82.5100.2182.7-17.717%
Last 10 (10)83.297.0180.2-13.830%
Last 5 (5)88.6102.4191.0-13.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)82.094.8176.8-12.819%
vs Similar (4)94.091.2185.2+2.8100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#7
W
102-91
102
91
+11
104avg 76
H05/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#6
L
80-89
80
89
-9
68avg 76
H08/11
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
73-90
73
90
-17
57avg 76
A12/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
W
86-79
86
79
+7
82avg 76
H16/11
LKL
Siauliai
#4
W
94-83
94
83
+11
91avg 76
A22/11
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
82-97
82
97
-15
75avg 76
A04/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
71-108
71
108
-37
56avg 76
A07/12
LKL
Nevezis
#5
W
90-74
90
74
+16
92avg 76
H10/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#3
L
87-104
87
104
-17
84avg 76
H13/12
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
78-104
78
104
-26
71avg 76
A27/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
25-27
24-26
28-19
19-21
24-20
14-25
23-23
19-24
11-23
17-27
26-16
24-11
12-24
26-23
24-21
18-25
26-18
18-23
32-17
22-22
15-28
18-25
27-22
22-29
18-27
18-26
13-26
26-23
20-11
30-20
14-20
24-24
18-26
19-37
26-17
19-27
23-32
14-20
22-25
176.2Avg total
84.3Scored
91.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)83.291.6174.8-8.431%
Season at home (7)86.485.9172.3+0.643%
Season away (6)79.598.3177.8-18.817%
Last 10 (10)84.391.9176.2-7.640%
Last 5 (5)81.697.4179.0-15.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)77.397.1174.4-19.80%
vs Similar (11)86.383.9170.2+2.455%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)88.486.2174.6+2.240%
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.2-6.2Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -5.4-5.4Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +2.9+2.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.2-6.2Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -5.4-5.4Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +2.9+2.9
JonavaGargzdai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#5
L
27-54
27
54
-27
A06/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
46-64
46
64
-18
A09/11
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A12/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#6
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H16/11
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H19/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
33-55
33
55
-22
H22/11
LKL
Gargzdai
#9
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H04/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#3
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H07/12
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A14/12
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
31-58
31
58
-27
H21/12
King Mindaugas Cup
88.9Avg total
40.1Scored
48.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.746.787.4-6.037%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.246.188.3-3.940%-
Last 30 away (15)39.347.386.6-8.133%-
Last 10 (10)40.148.888.9-8.740%-
Last 5 (5)39.847.687.4-7.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)40.047.087.1-7.035%-
vs Similar (4)45.244.589.8+0.850%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#7
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H05/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#6
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H08/11
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A12/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H16/11
LKL
Siauliai
#4
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A22/11
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A04/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
40-56
40
56
-16
A07/12
LKL
Nevezis
#5
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H10/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#3
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H13/12
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
42-59
42
59
-17
A27/12
LKL
87.1Avg total
41.0Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.044.986.9-2.943%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.440.184.4+4.371%-
Last 30 away (16)39.949.189.0-9.119%-
Last 10 (10)41.046.187.1-5.150%-
Last 5 (5)41.449.891.2-8.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)39.647.587.1-7.921%-
vs Similar (11)43.843.186.9+0.764%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)44.641.486.0+3.260%-
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.619.4
51.6%
55.4%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.3
33.7%
35.5%24.9
🏀 Free throws26.118.9
72.4%
74.3%18.9
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.121.6
52.6%
55.4%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.27.4
33.3%
35.5%22.2
🏀 Free throws25.217.9
71.0%
74.3%17.9
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jonava
LWLWLWLLLL
Gargzdai
LLWLLWWLLW
#8
League position
#5
-17.4
Net rating
-10.5
108.8
Offensive rating
110.3
126.2
Defensive rating
120.7
51.2%
Effective FG%
51.7%
61.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
18.9%
Turnover %
16.0%
34.2%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.40
33.7%
3-point %
33.3%
62.5%
Assist %
64.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence108.8 · 110.3Defence126.2 · 120.7Shooting51.2% · 51.7%3-point %33.7% · 33.3%Ball care18.9% · 16.0%Off. rebounds34.2% · 30.3%Free throws0.42 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Jonava   ■ Gargzdai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Jonava wins
2
Gargzdai wins
DateGameScore
04/12/25Jonava v Gargzdai97-82
30/10/25Gargzdai v Jonava84-88
04/10/25Gargzdai v Jonava103-73
28/12/23Jonava v Gargzdai105-73
12/11/23Gargzdai v Jonava86-80
18/04/23Jonava v Gargzdai67-65
15/01/23Gargzdai v Jonava68-69
28/11/22Jonava v Gargzdai92-85
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25HZalgiris Kaunas73-118
14/12/25ANevezis85-83
07/12/25HNeptunas117-124 OT
04/12/25HGargzdai97-82
22/11/25HRytas71-105
19/11/25HJuventus82-80
16/11/25HLietkabelis85-96
12/11/25ASiauliai76-86
09/11/25ARytas72-104
06/11/25ANevezis74-92
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/25AJuventus78-104
13/12/25HNeptunas87-104
10/12/25HNevezis90-74
07/12/25AZalgiris Kaunas71-108
04/12/25AJonava82-97
22/11/25ASiauliai94-83
16/11/25HNevezis86-79
12/11/25AJuventus73-90
08/11/25HLietkabelis80-89
05/11/25HSiauliai102-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jonava
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW17%
HomeWLLLL17%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %17%17%17%
Points / game84.586.582.5
Allowed / game99.498.7100.2
Point differential-14.9-12.2-17.7
Avg total183.9185.2182.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %8%17%0%
Gargzdai
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL31%
HomeWLLWL43%
AwayLLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %31%43%17%
Points / game83.286.479.5
Allowed / game91.685.998.3
Point differential-8.4+0.6-18.8
Avg total174.8172.3177.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%29%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas1211192%89.974.7+15.2
2 Rytas139469%91.981.0+10.9
3 Neptunas128467%97.291.2+6.0
4 Lietkabelis137654%85.382.0+3.3
5 Siauliai137654%88.491.0-2.6
6 Juventus125742%84.585.8-1.2
7 Gargzdai134931%83.291.6-8.4
8 Nevezis1441029%82.489.7-7.4
9 Jonava1221017%84.599.4-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jonava1918201875
Gargzdai1724221982
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