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Neptunas vs Nevezis Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 94-107
26-29 24-27 18-23 26-28
Position#7
Record7-10
FormLLWLW
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game86.3
vs
Nevezis 🏆
Lithuania
Position#9
Record4-13
FormLLLLW
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game89.6
LithuaniaLKL· Kedainiu arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Neptunas v Nevezis
17 Apr 2027
NEP v NEV
upcoming
03 Oct 2026
NEP89
NEV62
11 Apr 2026
NEP88
NEV93
17 Jan 2026
NEP87
NEV67
10 Jan 2026
NEP113
NEV82
04 May 2025
NEP96
NEV90
09 Feb 2025
NEP94
NEV107
23 Oct 2024
NEP86
NEV88
22 Apr 2024
NEP79
NEV92
20 Nov 2023
NEP97
NEV74
18 Apr 2023
NEP97
NEV91
12 Dec 2022
NEP86
NEV79
03 Apr 2022
NEP95
NEV61
12 Dec 2021
NEP94
NEV87
03 Oct 2021
NEP97
NEV95
07 May 2020
NEP v NEV
upcoming
07 Dec 2019
NEP88
NEV78
28 Apr 2019
NEP86
NEV76
23 Sep 2018
NEP100
NEV76
04 Mar 2018
NEP81
NEV64
24 Sep 2017
NEP92
NEV73
12 Apr 2017
NEP90
NEV53
12 Nov 2016
NEP70
NEV63
23 Apr 2016
NEP103
NEV69
30 Sep 2015
NEP77
NEV66
10 Jan 2015
NEP106
NEV78
30 Sep 2014
NEP115
NEV76
23 Apr 2014
NEP78
NEV76
12 Apr 2013
NEP102
NEV61
02 Mar 2012
NEP91
NEV93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevezis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#4
L
86-102
86
102
-16
76avg 81
A07/12
LKL
Juventus
#10
W
93-82
93
82
+11
86avg 81
A12/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
75-91
75
91
-16
68avg 81
A15/12
LKL
Rytas
#7
L
67-78
67
78
-11
53avg 81
H21/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#5
L
82-86
82
86
-4
69avg 81
A28/12
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
76-94
76
94
-18
65avg 81
H04/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
56-63
56
63
-7
49avg 81
H11/01
LKL
Rytas
#7
W
92-77
92
77
+15
79avg 81
A18/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#8
L
80-90
80
90
-10
71avg 81
H25/01
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
99-63
99
63
+36
104avg 81
H01/02
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-36
25-24
7-20
40-22
23-17
20-28
31-18
19-19
14-25
23-23
20-21
18-22
16-24
22-19
18-15
11-20
18-20
20-21
30-23
14-22
26-21
18-29
17-22
15-22
15-18
20-10
13-15
8-20
23-23
19-20
25-18
25-16
21-28
17-21
11-21
31-20
21-17
27-12
26-18
25-16
163.2Avg total
80.6Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)83.986.3170.2-2.441%
Season at home (8)77.980.2158.1-2.438%
Season away (9)89.291.7180.9-2.444%
Last 10 (10)80.682.6163.2-2.030%
Last 5 (5)80.677.4158.0+3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)74.984.5159.4-9.630%
vs Similar (6)86.289.5175.7-3.333%
vs Weaker (14)93.986.8180.7+7.157%
This opponent (Nevezis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#10
W
93-87
93
87
+6
90avg 80
H07/12
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
109-88
109
88
+21
104avg 80
A11/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
69-89
69
89
-20
53avg 80
A14/12
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
79-78
79
78
+1
73avg 80
H23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#8
W
106-90
106
90
+16
112avg 80
H29/12
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
102-103
102
103
-1
97avg 80
A05/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
86-88
86
88
-2
78avg 80
A12/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
67-77
67
77
-10
63avg 80
A19/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
L
84-91
84
91
-7
67avg 80
A26/01
LKL
Jonava
#5
W
110-87
110
87
+23
108avg 80
A02/02
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
30-16
17-21
23-32
24-22
24-24
34-23
27-19
21-24
16-20
17-23
15-22
17-23
21-20
20-14
21-21
24-22
30-25
23-10
29-33
23-29
22-26
38-19
19-29
21-26
24-23
20-18
21-21
14-19
17-20
22-24
14-14
28-21
22-21
11-29
23-20
19-23
37-17
24-23
30-24
178.3Avg total
90.5Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)87.389.6176.9-2.324%
Season at home (9)84.788.9173.6-4.222%
Season away (8)90.290.4180.6-0.125%
Last 10 (10)90.587.8178.3+2.750%
Last 5 (5)89.889.2179.0+0.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)83.891.2175.0-7.317%
vs Similar (17)87.989.2177.1-1.435%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)90.984.6175.4+6.357%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -1.3-1.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -1.3-1.3
NeptunasNevezis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#4
L
39-60
39
60
-21
A07/12
LKL
Juventus
#10
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A12/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A15/12
LKL
Rytas
#7
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H21/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#5
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A28/12
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H04/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H11/01
LKL
Rytas
#7
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A18/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#8
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H25/01
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H01/02
LKL
83.8Avg total
40.2Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.242.485.6+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.440.683.0+1.853%-
Last 30 away (15)44.044.288.2-0.247%-
Last 10 (10)40.243.683.8-3.420%-
Last 5 (5)41.439.881.2+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)39.544.183.6-4.640%-
vs Similar (6)44.743.287.8+1.550%-
vs Weaker (14)45.240.986.1+4.457%-
This opponent (Nevezis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#10
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H07/12
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A11/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A14/12
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#8
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H29/12
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A05/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A12/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A19/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A26/01
LKL
Jonava
#5
W
56-40
56
40
+16
A02/02
LKL
89.6Avg total
45.7Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.644.589.1+0.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.945.491.3+0.540%-
Last 30 away (15)43.343.586.8-0.340%-
Last 10 (10)45.743.989.6+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)45.445.090.4+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)43.546.389.8-2.817%-
vs Similar (17)43.944.488.3-0.447%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)47.143.190.3+4.043%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.519.6
52.3%
55.6%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.38.9
30.4%
35.9%26.7
🏀 Free throws19.113.5
70.7%
75.0%13.5
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 89.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.418.0
53.9%
55.6%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.212.0
39.7%
35.9%36.0
🏀 Free throws25.017.3
69.2%
75.0%17.3
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
WLWLLLLLWL
Nevezis
WLLLLWWLWW
#7
League position
#9
-2.9
Net rating
+2.2
106.4
Offensive rating
115.4
109.3
Defensive rating
113.2
49.3%
Effective FG%
56.6%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
17.3%
Turnover %
18.7%
35.6%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.39
30.4%
3-point %
39.7%
69.1%
Assist %
68.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 115.4Defence109.3 · 113.2Shooting49.3% · 56.6%3-point %30.4% · 39.7%Ball care17.3% · 18.7%Off. rebounds35.6% · 31.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Neptunas   ■ Nevezis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Neptunas wins
3
Nevezis wins
DateGameScore
04/12/24Nevezis v Neptunas101-102
16/11/24Nevezis v Neptunas74-83
23/10/24Neptunas v Nevezis86-88
22/04/24Neptunas v Nevezis79-92
04/02/24Nevezis v Neptunas96-92 OT
20/11/23Neptunas v Nevezis97-74
18/04/23Neptunas v Nevezis97-91
12/12/22Neptunas v Nevezis86-79
21/11/22Nevezis v Neptunas67-71
03/04/22Neptunas v Nevezis95-61
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/25HMazeikiai99-63
25/01/25HSiauliai80-90
18/01/25ARytas92-77
11/01/25HLietkabelis56-63
04/01/25HRytas76-94
28/12/24AJonava82-86
21/12/24HRytas67-78
15/12/24AZalgiris Kaunas75-91
12/12/24AJuventus93-82
07/12/24ABC Wolves86-102
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/25AJonava110-87
26/01/25AJuventus84-91
19/01/25ALietkabelis67-77
12/01/25AZalgiris Kaunas86-88
05/01/25ABC Wolves102-103
29/12/24HSiauliai106-90
23/12/24HLietkabelis79-78
14/12/24ARytas69-89
11/12/24ASiauliai109-88
07/12/24HMazeikiai93-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW41%
HomeLLLLW38%
AwayWWLLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %41%38%44%
Points / game83.977.989.2
Allowed / game86.380.291.7
Point differential-2.4-2.4-2.4
Avg total170.2158.1180.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Nevezis
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW24%
HomeLLLWW22%
AwayLLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %24%22%25%
Points / game87.384.790.2
Allowed / game89.688.990.4
Point differential-2.3-4.2-0.1
Avg total176.9173.6180.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%11%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas1816289%92.774.6+18.2
2 Rytas1815383%89.781.8+7.9
3 BC Wolves1711665%91.188.6+2.5
4 Juventus179853%84.285.8-1.6
5 Lietkabelis1881044%82.782.6+0.1
6 Jonava1881044%86.991.1-4.2
7 Neptunas1771041%83.986.3-2.4
8 Siauliai1761135%91.898.5-6.8
9 Nevezis1741324%87.389.6-2.3
10 Mazeikiai1731418%82.194.8-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas2624182694
Nevezis29272328107
← all games of the day
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