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Juventus vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 92-78
21-24 19-22 29-16 23-16
Position#5
Record3-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game77.0
vs
Position#3
Record5-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game93.8
Allowed / game84.2
LithuaniaKing Mindaugas Cup· Utenos arena (Utena)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Juventus v Neptunas
13 Feb 2027
JUV v NEP
upcoming
12 Dec 2026
JUV v NEP
upcoming
03 Jun 2026
JUV103
NEP90
29 May 2026
JUV86
NEP83
02 May 2026
JUV102
NEP91
15 Nov 2025
JUV90
NEP97
21 Apr 2025
JUV100
NEP94
12 Dec 2024
JUV82
NEP93
06 Oct 2024
JUV92
NEP99
25 Mar 2024
JUV83
NEP96
23 Nov 2023
JUV92
NEP78
02 Oct 2023
JUV112
NEP102
02 May 2023
JUV85
NEP83
27 Oct 2022
JUV95
NEP86
08 Oct 2022
JUV95
NEP77
14 Mar 2022
JUV82
NEP79
27 Jan 2022
JUV76
NEP64
03 Mar 2021
JUV98
NEP58
13 Dec 2020
JUV85
NEP84
15 Apr 2020
JUV v NEP
upcoming
14 Dec 2019
JUV80
NEP76
09 Feb 2019
JUV88
NEP89
30 Dec 2018
JUV88
NEP80
24 Mar 2018
JUV81
NEP90
07 Oct 2017
JUV72
NEP73
02 May 2017
JUV57
NEP78
26 Mar 2017
JUV83
NEP98
04 Dec 2016
JUV91
NEP97
26 Mar 2016
JUV104
NEP89
08 Oct 2015
JUV79
NEP76
07 Jun 2015
JUV61
NEP66
01 Jun 2015
JUV76
NEP66
20 Apr 2015
JUV77
NEP71
30 Dec 2014
JUV79
NEP85
21 Dec 2013
JUV76
NEP79
29 Sep 2012
JUV93
NEP88
19 Nov 2011
JUV85
NEP71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Juventus winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JuventusLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJuventus
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#3
L
90-92
90
92
-2
96avg 81
A18/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
85-75
85
75
+10
86avg 81
A21/10
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
86-75
86
75
+11
84avg 81
A25/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
96-103
96
103
-7
88avg 81
H28/10
LKL
Bristol Flyers
#10
W
76-75
76
75
+1
38avg 81
A31/10
ENBL
BC Wolves
#3
L
71-77
71
77
-6
59avg 81
A05/11
LKL
Gargzdai
#9
W
75-66
75
66
+9
64avg 81
A09/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#5
L
88-91
88
91
-3
72avg 81
H11/11
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
L
90-91
90
91
-1
86avg 81
H15/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#12
W
97-74
97
74
+23
94avg 81
A19/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-25
24-18
22-24
20-25
19-17
24-19
20-17
22-22
21-17
26-16
29-20
10-22
24-20
24-34
29-24
19-25
27-23
14-15
15-15
20-22
21-19
17-22
15-16
18-20
7-15
30-19
18-19
20-13
20-20
15-19
28-23
25-29
19-13
23-20
31-27
17-31
20-21
20-26
25-18
32-9
167.3Avg total
85.4Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)85.077.0162.0+8.060%
Season at home (2)87.076.0163.0+11.050%
Season away (3)83.777.7161.3+6.067%
Last 10 (10)85.481.9167.3+3.550%
Last 5 (5)84.279.8164.0+4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)84.696.6181.2-12.00%
vs Similar ◀ (10)90.690.7181.3-0.140%
vs Weaker (15)87.776.5164.2+11.380%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
112-87
112
87
+25
116avg 78
H15/10
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
92-90
92
90
+2
88avg 78
H18/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#7
L
84-87
84
87
-3
80avg 78
H23/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#9
W
97-87
97
87
+10
97avg 78
A25/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#8
L
77-88
77
88
-11
61avg 78
A29/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#12
W
92-73
92
73
+19
86avg 78
A06/11
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
109-80
109
80
+29
112avg 78
H08/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
75-93
75
93
-18
74avg 78
A11/11
LKL
Gargzdai
#9
W
84-78
84
78
+6
79avg 78
H16/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
W
97-74
97
74
+23
106avg 78
H20/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-20
30-25
31-21
23-21
25-24
18-24
24-22
25-20
14-23
24-23
26-10
20-31
33-16
25-19
11-27
28-25
21-21
23-17
23-34
10-16
23-23
22-14
29-16
18-20
26-22
33-20
25-23
25-15
28-28
10-22
20-24
17-19
24-19
12-28
21-21
27-10
19-24
24-14
28-15
26-21
175.6Avg total
91.9Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)93.884.2178.0+9.6100%
Season at home (3)95.082.7177.7+12.3100%
Season away (2)92.086.5178.5+5.5100%
Last 10 (10)91.983.7175.6+8.270%
Last 5 (5)91.479.6171.0+11.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)83.097.3180.3-14.30%
vs Similar ◀ (8)87.283.9171.1+3.475%
vs Weaker (13)91.580.3171.8+11.285%
This opponent (Juventus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +2.1+2.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +2.1+2.1
JuventusNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JuventusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#3
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A18/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A21/10
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A25/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H28/10
LKL
Bristol Flyers
#10
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A31/10
ENBL
BC Wolves
#3
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A05/11
LKL
Gargzdai
#9
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A09/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#5
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H11/11
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H15/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#12
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A19/11
LKL
81.7Avg total
41.9Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.041.484.4+1.663%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.139.681.7+2.562%-
Last 30 away (17)43.642.886.4+0.965%-
Last 10 (10)41.939.881.7+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)38.438.877.2-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)41.850.692.4-8.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)43.742.085.7+1.760%-
vs Weaker (15)42.937.980.8+4.980%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
58-45
58
45
+13
H15/10
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H18/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#7
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H23/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#9
W
58-35
58
35
+23
A25/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#8
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A29/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#12
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A06/11
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
59-42
59
42
+17
H08/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A11/11
LKL
Gargzdai
#9
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H16/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H20/11
LKL
88.8Avg total
46.2Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.042.785.7+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.044.286.2-2.235%-
Last 30 away (13)44.440.785.1+3.762%-
Last 10 (10)46.242.688.8+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)44.242.887.0+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.147.687.7-7.422%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)42.238.680.9+3.662%-
vs Weaker (13)45.541.887.3+3.854%-
This opponent (Juventus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Juventustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Juventus: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.422.9
52.8%
56.9%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.76.7
35.8%
34.9%20.1
🏀 Free throws23.218.6
80.2%
74.5%18.6
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 91.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.023.2
64.4%
56.9%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.9
35.2%
34.9%29.7
🏀 Free throws20.215.0
74.3%
74.5%15.0
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Juventus
WLLWLWLWWL
Neptunas
WWLWWLWLWW
#5
League position
#3
+4.3
Net rating
+11.1
114.1
Offensive rating
121.8
109.8
Defensive rating
110.7
53.1%
Effective FG%
59.4%
55.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
18.7%
Turnover %
15.7%
34.4%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.8%
3-point %
35.2%
59.1%
Assist %
71.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.1 · 121.8Defence109.8 · 110.7Shooting53.1% · 59.4%3-point %35.8% · 35.2%Ball care18.7% · 15.7%Off. rebounds34.4% · 30.9%Free throws0.37 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Juventus   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Juventus wins
3
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
18/10/23Neptunas v Juventus92-90
02/10/23Juventus v Neptunas112-102 OT
02/05/23Juventus v Neptunas85-83
13/02/23Neptunas v Juventus98-97
30/11/22Neptunas v Juventus99-86
27/10/22Juventus v Neptunas95-86
08/10/22Juventus v Neptunas95-77
14/03/22Juventus v Neptunas82-79
27/01/22Juventus v Neptunas76-64
06/11/21Neptunas v Juventus79-88
Juventuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/23AGargzdai97-74
15/11/23HMazeikiai90-91
11/11/23HLietkabelis88-91
09/11/23AGargzdai75-66
05/11/23ABC Wolves71-77
31/10/23ABristol Flyers76-75
28/10/23HRytas96-103
25/10/23AMazeikiai86-75
21/10/23APieno Zvaigzdes85-75
18/10/23ANeptunas90-92
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/23HNevezis97-74
16/11/23HGargzdai84-78
11/11/23ARytas75-93
08/11/23HMazeikiai109-80
06/11/23AGargzdai92-73
29/10/23AJonava77-88
25/10/23AGargzdai97-87
23/10/23HMazeikiai84-87
18/10/23HJuventus92-90
15/10/23HPieno Zvaigzdes112-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Juventus
King Mindaugas Cup 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL60%
HomeWL50%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game85.087.083.7
Allowed / game77.076.077.7
Point differential+8.0+11.0+6.0
Avg total162.0163.0161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas
King Mindaugas Cup 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game93.895.092.0
Allowed / game84.282.786.5
Point differential+9.6+12.3+5.5
Avg total178.0177.7178.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %20%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Neptunas550100%93.884.2+9.6
2 Siauliai65183%94.284.3+9.8
3 Juventus53260%85.077.0+8.0
4 Nevezis63350%87.585.3+2.2
5 BC Olimpas Palanga63350%76.279.0-2.8
6 Gargzdai62433%79.785.7-6.0
7 Mazeikiai61517%84.393.0-8.7
8 Pieno Zvaigzdes61517%85.294.3-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Juventus2119292392
Neptunas2422161678
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