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Juventus vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 21 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 13:50
Final 100-94
36-24 17-18 25-20 22-32
Position#6
Record11-15
FormLWLLL
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game86.5
vs
Position#7
Record10-16
FormLLLWL
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game87.5
LithuaniaLKL· Utenos arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Juventus v Neptunas
13 Feb 2027
JUV v NEP
upcoming
12 Dec 2026
JUV v NEP
upcoming
03 Jun 2026
JUV103
NEP90
29 May 2026
JUV86
NEP83
02 May 2026
JUV102
NEP91
15 Nov 2025
JUV90
NEP97
21 Apr 2025
JUV100
NEP94
12 Dec 2024
JUV82
NEP93
06 Oct 2024
JUV92
NEP99
25 Mar 2024
JUV83
NEP96
23 Nov 2023
JUV92
NEP78
02 Oct 2023
JUV112
NEP102
02 May 2023
JUV85
NEP83
27 Oct 2022
JUV95
NEP86
08 Oct 2022
JUV95
NEP77
14 Mar 2022
JUV82
NEP79
27 Jan 2022
JUV76
NEP64
03 Mar 2021
JUV98
NEP58
13 Dec 2020
JUV85
NEP84
15 Apr 2020
JUV v NEP
upcoming
14 Dec 2019
JUV80
NEP76
09 Feb 2019
JUV88
NEP89
30 Dec 2018
JUV88
NEP80
24 Mar 2018
JUV81
NEP90
07 Oct 2017
JUV72
NEP73
02 May 2017
JUV57
NEP78
26 Mar 2017
JUV83
NEP98
04 Dec 2016
JUV91
NEP97
26 Mar 2016
JUV104
NEP89
08 Oct 2015
JUV79
NEP76
07 Jun 2015
JUV61
NEP66
01 Jun 2015
JUV76
NEP66
20 Apr 2015
JUV77
NEP71
30 Dec 2014
JUV79
NEP85
21 Dec 2013
JUV76
NEP79
29 Sep 2012
JUV93
NEP88
19 Nov 2011
JUV85
NEP71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Juventus winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JuventusLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJuventus
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#3
W
98-90
98
90
+8
94avg 77
A01/02
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
92-72
92
72
+20
87avg 77
H10/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
81-84 OT
81
84
-3
71avg 77
A02/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
74-75
74
75
-1
66avg 77
H08/03
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
74-105
74
105
-31
73avg 77
A16/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
83-87
83
87
-4
75avg 77
A23/03
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
80-77
80
77
+3
71avg 77
H29/03
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
68-86
68
86
-18
56avg 77
A05/04
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
109-115 OT
109
115
-6
98avg 77
H13/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
75-90
75
90
-15
55avg 77
A16/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
23-23
22-19
29-29
14-20
23-19
29-15
26-18
13-21
22-20
22-18
13-11
20-23
18-15
17-12
19-25
18-23
20-26
15-30
21-26
22-19
24-26
16-22
21-20
22-16
20-26
21-13
17-22
16-24
20-16
18-28
14-18
24-22
24-16
25-25
23-33
20-17
20-23
17-24
18-26
171.5Avg total
83.4Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)83.486.5169.9-3.242%
Season at home (12)86.191.1177.2-5.033%
Season away (14)81.182.6163.7-1.650%
Last 10 (10)83.488.1171.5-4.730%
Last 5 (5)83.091.0174.0-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)78.891.6170.3-12.817%
vs Similar ◀ (15)88.791.3180.1-2.640%
vs Weaker (3)84.778.0162.7+6.767%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#3
W
87-83
87
83
+4
74avg 81
H15/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
89-91
89
91
-2
84avg 81
H16/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
72-91
72
91
-19
56avg 81
H02/03
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
83-81
83
81
+2
81avg 81
A06/03
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
96-77
96
77
+19
98avg 81
A15/03
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
78-91
78
91
-13
72avg 81
A22/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
67-80
67
80
-13
66avg 81
H30/03
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
97-98
97
98
-1
97avg 81
H05/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
92-85
92
85
+7
94avg 81
H12/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
85-97
85
97
-12
85avg 81
H15/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-24
16-20
22-14
22-25
25-21
20-22
24-25
20-23
15-29
19-15
23-22
15-25
14-24
17-11
28-20
24-26
24-25
21-14
22-20
29-18
22-18
16-26
18-24
22-23
14-20
22-14
15-28
16-18
16-27
24-34
22-21
35-16
14-26
20-24
34-21
24-14
18-22
23-15
23-30
21-30
172.0Avg total
84.6Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)84.287.5171.7-3.238%
Season at home (14)80.785.7166.4-5.029%
Season away (12)88.389.5177.8-1.250%
Last 10 (10)84.687.4172.0-2.840%
Last 5 (5)83.890.2174.0-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)79.888.1167.9-8.429%
vs Similar ◀ (6)81.287.0168.2-5.817%
vs Weaker (10)95.783.6179.3+12.180%
This opponent (Juventus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +1.0+1.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +1.0+1.0
JuventusNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JuventusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#3
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A01/02
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H10/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A02/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H08/03
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A16/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A23/03
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H29/03
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A05/04
LKL
Jonava
#5
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H13/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A16/04
LKL
82.1Avg total
40.7Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.343.185.4-0.747%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.543.688.1+0.957%-
Last 30 away (16)40.442.683.0-2.138%-
Last 10 (10)40.741.482.1-0.730%-
Last 5 (5)42.441.083.4+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)39.343.282.6-3.933%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)45.143.488.5+1.760%-
vs Weaker (3)40.340.781.0-0.333%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#3
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H15/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H16/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H02/03
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A06/03
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A15/03
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A22/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H30/03
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
40-61
40
61
-21
H05/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
34-50
34
50
-16
H12/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H15/04
LKL
81.8Avg total
38.7Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.043.384.3-2.337%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.943.384.3-2.439%-
Last 30 away (12)41.143.284.2-2.133%-
Last 10 (10)38.743.181.8-4.440%-
Last 5 (5)37.845.283.0-7.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)39.743.983.6-4.143%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)38.246.084.2-7.80%-
vs Weaker (10)44.540.885.3+3.750%-
This opponent (Juventus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Juventustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Juventus: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.723.6
55.3%
55.6%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.46.6
32.4%
35.9%19.8
🏀 Free throws22.315.4
69.1%
75.0%15.4
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.517.5
55.6%
55.6%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.710.3
40.1%
35.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws23.318.1
77.7%
75.0%18.1
They take 57.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Juventus
LLLWLLLLWW
Neptunas
LWLLLWWLLW
#6
League position
#7
-6.8
Net rating
-2.7
109.6
Offensive rating
114.5
116.4
Defensive rating
117.2
53.1%
Effective FG%
57.6%
56.4%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
17.3%
Turnover %
21.6%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
32.1%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.41
32.4%
3-point %
40.1%
50.0%
Assist %
63.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence109.6 · 114.5Defence116.4 · 117.2Shooting53.1% · 57.6%3-point %32.4% · 40.1%Ball care17.3% · 21.6%Off. rebounds31.4% · 32.1%Free throws0.35 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Juventus   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Juventus wins
5
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
12/12/24Juventus v Neptunas82-93
30/11/24Neptunas v Juventus63-74
30/10/24Neptunas v Juventus105-74
06/10/24Juventus v Neptunas92-99
25/03/24Juventus v Neptunas83-96
07/01/24Neptunas v Juventus78-91
23/11/23Juventus v Neptunas92-78
18/10/23Neptunas v Juventus92-90
02/10/23Juventus v Neptunas112-102 OT
02/05/23Juventus v Neptunas85-83
Juventuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/04/25ARytas75-90
13/04/25HJonava109-115 OT
05/04/25ASiauliai68-86
29/03/25HMazeikiai80-77
23/03/25ABC Wolves83-87
16/03/25ANevezis74-105
08/03/25HLietkabelis74-75
02/03/25AZalgiris Kaunas81-84 OT
10/02/25HMazeikiai92-72
01/02/25ALietkabelis98-90
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/04/25HBC Wolves85-97
12/04/25HRytas92-85
05/04/25HJonava97-98
30/03/25HZalgiris Kaunas67-80
22/03/25ASiauliai78-91
15/03/25AMazeikiai96-77
06/03/25ANevezis83-81
02/03/25HLietkabelis72-91
16/02/25HZalgiris Kaunas89-91
15/02/25HBC Wolves87-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Juventus
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL42%
HomeWWLWL33%
AwayLLLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %42%33%50%
Points / game83.486.181.1
Allowed / game86.591.182.6
Point differential-3.2-5.0-1.6
Avg total169.9177.2163.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%17%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)33% (3)67% (6)
Overtime %8%8%7%
Neptunas
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL38%
HomeLLLWL29%
AwayLLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %38%29%50%
Points / game84.280.788.3
Allowed / game87.585.789.5
Point differential-3.2-5.0-1.2
Avg total171.7166.4177.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%14%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2725293%91.073.8+17.2
2 Rytas2620677%89.882.3+7.5
3 Jonava26151158%89.289.7-0.6
4 BC Wolves27151256%89.688.3+1.3
5 Lietkabelis27141352%83.181.0+2.2
6 Juventus26111542%83.486.5-3.2
7 Siauliai27111641%90.094.9-4.9
8 Neptunas26101638%84.287.5-3.2
9 Nevezis2791833%90.188.7+1.3
10 Mazeikiai2732411%78.796.3-17.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Juventus36172522100
Neptunas2418203294
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