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Juventus vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 92-99
17-32 29-24 27-21 19-22
Position#6
Record1-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game80.0
vs
Position#7
Record2-0
FormWLLWL
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game85.5
LithuaniaLKL· Utenos arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Juventus v Neptunas
13 Feb 2027
JUV v NEP
upcoming
12 Dec 2026
JUV v NEP
upcoming
03 Jun 2026
JUV103
NEP90
29 May 2026
JUV86
NEP83
02 May 2026
JUV102
NEP91
15 Nov 2025
JUV90
NEP97
21 Apr 2025
JUV100
NEP94
12 Dec 2024
JUV82
NEP93
06 Oct 2024
JUV92
NEP99
25 Mar 2024
JUV83
NEP96
23 Nov 2023
JUV92
NEP78
02 Oct 2023
JUV112
NEP102
02 May 2023
JUV85
NEP83
27 Oct 2022
JUV95
NEP86
08 Oct 2022
JUV95
NEP77
14 Mar 2022
JUV82
NEP79
27 Jan 2022
JUV76
NEP64
03 Mar 2021
JUV98
NEP58
13 Dec 2020
JUV85
NEP84
15 Apr 2020
JUV v NEP
upcoming
14 Dec 2019
JUV80
NEP76
09 Feb 2019
JUV88
NEP89
30 Dec 2018
JUV88
NEP80
24 Mar 2018
JUV81
NEP90
07 Oct 2017
JUV72
NEP73
02 May 2017
JUV57
NEP78
26 Mar 2017
JUV83
NEP98
04 Dec 2016
JUV91
NEP97
26 Mar 2016
JUV104
NEP89
08 Oct 2015
JUV79
NEP76
07 Jun 2015
JUV61
NEP66
01 Jun 2015
JUV76
NEP66
20 Apr 2015
JUV77
NEP71
30 Dec 2014
JUV79
NEP85
21 Dec 2013
JUV76
NEP79
29 Sep 2012
JUV93
NEP88
19 Nov 2011
JUV85
NEP71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Juventus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JuventusLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJuventus
Date
Competition
Jonava
#8
W
88-85
88
85
+3
77avg 81
H04/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
62-92
62
92
-30
59avg 81
A08/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
77-84
77
84
-7
64avg 81
H12/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
89-88
89
88
+1
81avg 81
A14/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
99-100 OT
99
100
-1
93avg 81
H17/05
LKL
Spartak Subotica
#43
W
87-84
87
84
+3
81avg 81
A18/09
Champions League
Sassari
#21
L
73-77
73
77
-4
72avg 81
A20/09
Champions League
Nevezis
#9
W
78-74
78
74
+4
80avg 81
A25/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
78-86
78
86
-8
64avg 81
H28/09
LKL
Mazeikiai
#9
W
86-73
86
73
+13
82avg 81
A02/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-22
15-20
19-25
24-18
15-26
19-23
7-24
21-19
17-22
20-16
23-27
17-19
24-20
22-26
23-16
20-26
18-23
25-25
17-20
28-20
23-22
14-23
23-19
27-20
14-23
18-17
16-19
25-18
21-19
21-14
15-16
21-25
21-28
17-26
20-17
20-15
28-15
19-27
20-17
19-14
166.0Avg total
81.7Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)78.080.0158.0-2.050%
Season at home (1)78.086.0164.0-8.00%
Season away (1)78.074.0152.0+4.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.784.3166.0-2.650%
Last 5 (5)80.478.8159.2+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.392.3166.7-18.017%
vs Similar ◀ (4)81.586.5168.0-5.025%
vs Weaker (19)88.682.0170.6+6.668%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#3
L
85-86
85
86
-1
85avg 80
H01/05
LKL
Siauliai
#10
L
98-104
98
104
-6
92avg 80
A05/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
84-91
84
91
-7
72avg 80
A13/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
W
95-76
95
76
+19
96avg 80
H15/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
80-91
80
91
-11
66avg 80
A18/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
90-84
90
84
+6
76avg 80
A21/09
LKL
Bilbao
#2
L
66-74
66
74
-8
57avg 80
H24/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Bilbao
#2
L
59-95
59
95
-36
46avg 80
A27/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Jonava
#5
W
90-87
90
87
+3
91avg 80
H29/09
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
82-102
82
102
-20
73avg 80
A02/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-15
31-14
21-24
18-33
19-21
33-22
19-25
27-36
22-31
20-14
21-19
21-27
30-23
23-23
26-10
16-20
16-26
15-14
26-24
23-27
19-12
17-21
22-24
32-27
19-21
12-16
15-16
20-21
24-18
12-29
15-26
8-22
24-22
27-24
19-22
20-19
17-18
26-20
23-29
16-35
171.9Avg total
82.9Scored
89.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)90.085.5175.5+4.5100%
Season at home (1)90.087.0177.0+3.0100%
Season away (1)90.084.0174.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.989.0171.9-6.130%
Last 5 (5)77.488.4165.8-11.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)82.187.9169.9-5.836%
vs Similar ◀ (5)81.277.8159.0+3.4100%
vs Weaker (11)85.487.8173.2-2.536%
This opponent (Juventus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -6.6-6.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -6.6-6.6
JuventusNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JuventusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#8
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H04/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A08/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H12/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A14/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H17/05
LKL
Spartak Subotica
#43
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A18/09
Champions League
Sassari
#21
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A20/09
Champions League
Nevezis
#9
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A25/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H28/09
LKL
Mazeikiai
#9
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A02/10
King Mindaugas Cup
83.8Avg total
40.1Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.243.485.6-1.147%-
Last 30 at home (12)44.842.487.2+2.458%-
Last 30 away (18)40.544.084.5-3.539%-
Last 10 (10)40.143.783.8-3.630%-
Last 5 (5)39.242.882.0-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.747.282.8-11.517%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)42.841.584.2+1.275%-
vs Weaker (19)44.542.586.9+2.053%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#3
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H01/05
LKL
Siauliai
#10
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A05/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A13/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H15/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A18/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A21/09
LKL
Bilbao
#2
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H24/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Bilbao
#2
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A27/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Jonava
#5
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H29/09
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A02/10
King Mindaugas Cup
82.5Avg total
42.1Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.040.581.5+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.741.483.1+0.250%-
Last 30 away (14)40.139.579.6+0.650%-
Last 10 (10)42.140.482.5+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)39.440.279.6-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)39.640.580.1-0.936%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)41.639.280.8+2.460%-
vs Weaker (11)42.541.283.6+1.364%-
This opponent (Juventus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Juventustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Juventus: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.622.0
57.0%
55.6%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.17.1
30.7%
35.9%21.3
🏀 Free throws21.516.4
76.3%
75.0%16.4
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.619.8
52.7%
55.6%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.99.1
32.6%
35.9%27.3
🏀 Free throws20.814.6
70.2%
75.0%14.6
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Juventus
WLWLWLWLLW
Neptunas
LWLLWLWLLL
#6
League position
#7
-1.6
Net rating
-9.0
108.9
Offensive rating
106.4
110.5
Defensive rating
115.4
52.9%
Effective FG%
51.1%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
17.2%
Turnover %
17.6%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.32
30.7%
3-point %
32.6%
56.7%
Assist %
65.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence108.9 · 106.4Defence110.5 · 115.4Shooting52.9% · 51.1%3-point %30.7% · 32.6%Ball care17.2% · 17.6%Off. rebounds28.1% · 29.5%Free throws0.35 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Juventus   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Juventus wins
4
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
25/03/24Juventus v Neptunas83-96
07/01/24Neptunas v Juventus78-91
23/11/23Juventus v Neptunas92-78
18/10/23Neptunas v Juventus92-90
02/10/23Juventus v Neptunas112-102 OT
02/05/23Juventus v Neptunas85-83
13/02/23Neptunas v Juventus98-97
30/11/22Neptunas v Juventus99-86
27/10/22Juventus v Neptunas95-86
08/10/22Juventus v Neptunas95-77
Juventuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/10/24AMazeikiai86-73
28/09/24HRytas78-86
25/09/24ANevezis78-74
20/09/24ASassari73-77
18/09/24ASpartak Subotica87-84
17/05/24HLietkabelis99-100 OT
14/05/24ALietkabelis89-88
12/05/24HLietkabelis77-84
08/05/24AZalgiris Kaunas62-92
04/05/24HJonava88-85
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/10/24ASiauliai82-102
29/09/24HJonava90-87
27/09/24ABilbao59-95
24/09/24HBilbao66-74
21/09/24ARytas90-84
18/05/24ABC Wolves80-91
15/05/24HBC Wolves95-76
13/05/24ABC Wolves84-91
05/05/24ASiauliai98-104
01/05/24HBC Wolves85-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Juventus
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game78.078.078.0
Allowed / game80.086.074.0
Point differential-2.0-8.0+4.0
Avg total158.0164.0152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game90.090.090.0
Allowed / game85.587.084.0
Point differential+4.5+3.0+6.0
Avg total175.5177.0174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Neptunas220100%90.085.5+4.5
2 Lietkabelis330100%83.379.0+4.3
3 Zalgiris Kaunas43175%90.275.5+14.8
4 BC Wolves32167%93.086.3+6.7
5 Rytas32167%87.085.3+1.7
6 Juventus21150%78.080.0-2.0
7 Siauliai31233%83.796.0-12.3
8 Jonava41325%88.294.8-6.5
9 Mazeikiai3030%85.790.7-5.0
10 Nevezis3030%76.084.0-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Juventus1729271992
Neptunas3224212299
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