Juventus vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Mar 2016

Tip-off: 15:00

Final 104-89

27-21 21-26 22-24 34-18

Position#6

Record15-14

FormWLWWL

Points / game78.5

Allowed / game82.0

Juventus 🏆

Neptunas

Position#3

Record16-13

FormWWWWL

Points / game76.1

Allowed / game73.0

LKL

Domestic2015-16

Meetings · Juventus v Neptunas

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Juventus winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Neptunas winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Juventus

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rytas

92-88 OT

H31/01

LKL

Khimik

74-63

+11

H03/02

FIBA Europe Cup

Pieno Zvaigzdes

83-100

100

-17

H06/02

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

77-88

-11

A13/02

LKL

Cibona

#18

78-83

-5

H24/02

FIBA Europe Cup

Nevezis

#10

89-73

+16

H27/02

LKL

Cibona

#18

84-87

-3

A02/03

FIBA Europe Cup

Zalgiris Kaunas

86-84

A07/03

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

82-75

H13/03

LKL

Zalgiris Kaunas

65-88

-23

H20/03

LKL

19-16

19-7

23-19

13-32

19-11

23-27

14-11

18-14

13-28

25-21

21-16

24-35

22-25

19-20

21-21

15-22

13-25

20-25

20-20

25-13

23-22

28-19

23-13

15-19

22-14

15-26

22-18

25-29

16-25

25-16

18-22

27-21

24-21

19-9

22-20

17-25

11-19

18-26

15-20

21-23

163.9Avg total

81.0Scored

82.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	78.5	82.0	160.6	-3.5	52%
Season at home (15)	78.3	77.5	155.8	+0.7	67%
Season away (14)	78.8	86.9	165.6	-8.1	36%
Last 10 (10)	81.0	82.9	163.9	-1.9	50%
Last 5 (5)	81.2	81.4	162.6	-0.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	77.4	88.0	165.4	-10.6	29%
vs Similar (10)	78.0	78.3	156.3	-0.3	50%
vs Weaker (13)	82.5	75.5	158.0	+7.1	62%

This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Neptunas

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpia Milano

#13

73-74

-1

H26/01

Eurocup

Zalgiris Kaunas

57-89

-32

A31/01

LKL

Aris

#11

72-68

H03/02

Eurocup

Nevezis

#10

77-69

A06/02

LKL

Alba Berlin

#26

62-76

-14

A09/02

Eurocup

Pieno Zvaigzdes

88-54

+34

A13/02

LKL

Rytas

70-62

H27/02

LKL

Skycop

70-58

+12

H06/03

LKL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

95-91 OT

H12/03

LKL

Skycop

72-82

-10

A19/03

LKL

15-16

11-20

26-28

21-10

13-28

16-21

13-19

15-21

21-16

22-25

7-9

22-18

19-16

15-13

19-15

24-25

14-22

7-19

21-19

20-16

15-20

21-12

26-9

26-13

19-10

16-21

13-20

22-11

13-15

22-19

19-12

16-12

17-19

22-24

19-16

21-20

20-18

16-22

14-30

22-12

145.9Avg total

73.6Scored

72.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	76.1	73.0	149.0	+3.1	55%
Season at home (15)	77.5	73.5	151.0	+4.1	60%
Season away (14)	74.5	72.4	146.9	+2.1	50%
Last 10 (10)	73.6	72.3	145.9	+1.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	79.0	69.4	148.4	+9.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	69.0	78.2	147.2	-9.2	25%
vs Similar (13)	71.6	74.2	145.8	-2.5	38%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	82.5	70.4	152.8	+12.1	85%

This opponent (Juventus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

JuventusNeptunas

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	20.4	38.8	-1.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.2	18.8	38.1	+0.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.5	22.1	39.6	-4.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	20.6	38.8	-2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	20.2	39.4	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	14.6	23.7	38.3	-9.1	14%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.5	18.7	37.2	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (13)	20.5	19.8	40.3	+0.6	62%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	18.3	37.0	+0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.0	16.9	36.9	+3.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	16.8	20.2	37.1	-3.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.6	18.0	34.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	16.4	33.2	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.5	20.5	37.0	-4.0	25%	-
vs Similar (13)	18.0	18.2	36.2	-0.2	46%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	19.9	17.8	37.7	+2.2	46%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	19.5	38.5	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	18.8	38.9	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.6	20.4	38.0	-2.7	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	19.6	40.7	+1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	19.2	40.2	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	19.1	19.1	38.3	+0.0	43%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.9	20.5	40.4	-0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (13)	18.2	18.9	37.1	-0.8	38%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	18.0	37.1	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.5	19.6	40.2	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.2	15.9	33.1	+1.2	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.8	19.6	36.4	-2.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	19.6	39.0	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.0	19.5	38.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (13)	16.2	20.0	36.2	-3.8	23%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	22.0	15.6	37.6	+6.4	92%	-

JuventusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rytas

38-23

+15

H31/01

LKL

Khimik

42-38

H03/02

FIBA Europe Cup

Pieno Zvaigzdes

38-49

-11

H06/02

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

41-45

-4

A13/02

LKL

Cibona

#18

33-50

-17

H24/02

FIBA Europe Cup

Nevezis

#10

51-41

+10

H27/02

LKL

Cibona

#18

37-40

-3

A02/03

FIBA Europe Cup

Zalgiris Kaunas

41-41

A07/03

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

43-30

+13

H13/03

LKL

Zalgiris Kaunas

29-45

-16

H20/03

LKL

79.5Avg total

39.3Scored

40.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.4	39.9	77.3	-2.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.4	37.6	76.9	+1.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.1	42.5	77.6	-7.4	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.3	40.2	79.5	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	39.4	79.6	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	33.7	42.9	76.6	-9.1	14%	-
vs Similar (10)	38.4	39.2	77.6	-0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (13)	38.6	38.8	77.4	-0.2	38%	-

This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpia Milano

#13

26-36

-10

H26/01

Eurocup

Zalgiris Kaunas

29-49

-20

A31/01

LKL

Aris

#11

43-41

H03/02

Eurocup

Nevezis

#10

34-29

A06/02

LKL

Alba Berlin

#26

21-41

-20

A09/02

Eurocup

Pieno Zvaigzdes

36-32

A13/02

LKL

Rytas

35-31

H27/02

LKL

Skycop

35-34

H06/03

LKL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

39-43

-4

H12/03

LKL

Skycop

36-40

-4

A19/03

LKL

71.0Avg total

33.4Scored

37.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.7	36.4	74.1	+1.3	70%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	40.5	36.5	77.1	+4.0	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	34.0	36.2	70.2	-2.2	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.4	37.6	71.0	-4.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	36.0	72.2	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	35.5	40.0	75.5	-4.5	50%	-
vs Similar (13)	34.2	38.2	72.4	-4.1	54%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	41.9	33.4	75.3	+8.5	92%	-

This opponent (Juventus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	18.1	37.7	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.9	16.4	36.3	+3.6	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	20.1	39.2	-0.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	18.0	37.9	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	18.6	38.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	20.6	20.3	40.9	+0.3	43%	-
vs Similar (10)	17.7	18.8	36.5	-1.1	40%	-
vs Weaker (13)	20.5	16.4	36.8	+4.1	77%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	17.9	36.1	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	16.9	18.4	35.4	-1.5	29%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.7	17.3	37.0	+2.4	77%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	17.7	35.4	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	17.4	35.6	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	15.8	17.8	33.5	-2.0	25%	-
vs Similar (13)	19.0	18.5	37.5	+0.5	54%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	18.0	17.5	35.5	+0.5	54%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	20.6	42.2	+1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.4	20.0	42.4	+2.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	21.3	41.9	-0.7	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	23.3	43.3	-3.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	23.4	44.4	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	20.6	22.9	43.4	-2.3	43%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.9	20.3	42.2	+1.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (13)	21.8	19.6	41.5	+2.2	46%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	18.4	38.0	+1.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.8	17.5	37.3	+2.2	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.4	19.5	38.8	-0.1	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	15.8	36.7	+5.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	13.6	35.0	+7.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.8	20.5	38.2	-2.8	25%	-
vs Similar (13)	18.5	17.5	35.9	+1.0	54%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	21.3	18.6	39.9	+2.7	69%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.1	38.7	79.8	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.4	36.4	78.8	+6.0	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.7	41.4	81.1	-1.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.9	41.3	81.2	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	42.0	83.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	41.1	43.1	84.3	-2.0	43%	-
vs Similar (10)	39.6	39.1	78.7	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (13)	42.3	36.0	78.3	+6.3	77%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.7	36.3	74.0	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	36.7	35.9	72.6	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	39.1	36.8	75.8	+2.3	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.6	33.5	72.1	+5.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	31.0	70.6	+8.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	33.5	38.2	71.8	-4.8	25%	-
vs Similar (13)	37.5	35.9	73.4	+1.5	54%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	39.3	36.1	75.4	+3.2	54%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Juventus wins

Neptunas wins

Date	Game	Score
24/01/16	Neptunas v Juventus	101-74
23/12/15	Neptunas v Juventus	82-65
08/10/15	Juventus v Neptunas	79-76
10/06/15	Neptunas v Juventus	69-84
07/06/15	Juventus v Neptunas	61-66
04/06/15	Neptunas v Juventus	64-75
01/06/15	Juventus v Neptunas	76-66
29/05/15	Neptunas v Juventus	88-75
20/04/15	Juventus v Neptunas	77-71
31/03/15	Neptunas v Juventus	69-71

Juventuslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/03/16	H	Zalgiris Kaunas	65-88
13/03/16	H	Alytaus Dzukija	82-75
07/03/16	A	Zalgiris Kaunas	86-84
02/03/16	A	Cibona	84-87
27/02/16	H	Nevezis	89-73
24/02/16	H	Cibona	78-83
13/02/16	A	Alytaus Dzukija	77-88
06/02/16	H	Pieno Zvaigzdes	83-100
03/02/16	H	Khimik	74-63
31/01/16	H	Rytas	92-88 OT

Neptunaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/03/16	A	Skycop	72-82
12/03/16	H	Pieno Zvaigzdes	95-91 OT
06/03/16	H	Skycop	70-58
27/02/16	H	Rytas	70-62
13/02/16	A	Pieno Zvaigzdes	88-54
09/02/16	A	Alba Berlin	62-76
06/02/16	A	Nevezis	77-69
03/02/16	H	Aris	72-68
31/01/16	A	Zalgiris Kaunas	57-89
26/01/16	H	Olimpia Milano	73-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Juventus

LKL 2015-16

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	52%
Home	WLWWL	67%
Away	LLLLW	36%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	15	14
Win %	52%	67%	36%
Points / game	78.5	78.3	78.8
Allowed / game	82.0	77.5	86.9
Point differential	-3.5	+0.7	-8.1
Avg total	160.6	155.8	165.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	27%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	82% (11)	83% (6)	80% (5)
Overtime %	7%	7%	7%

Neptunas

LKL 2015-16

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	55%
Home	LWWWW	60%
Away	LLWWL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	15	14
Win %	55%	60%	50%
Points / game	76.1	77.5	74.5
Allowed / game	73.0	73.5	72.4
Point differential	+3.1	+4.1	+2.1
Avg total	149.0	151.0	146.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	28%	33%	21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (10)	40% (5)	40% (5)
Overtime %	3%	7%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Zalgiris Kaunas	29	26	3	90%	86.7	69.1	+17.6
2	Rytas	29	23	6	79%	84.0	72.7	+11.2
3	Skycop	30	17	13	57%	79.5	77.9	+1.6
4	Neptunas	29	16	13	55%	76.1	73.0	+3.1
5	Juventus	29	15	14	52%	78.5	82.0	-3.5
6	Siauliai	30	13	17	43%	77.5	78.8	-1.3
7	Lietkabelis	29	12	17	41%	74.7	78.8	-4.0
8	Pieno Zvaigzdes	29	10	19	34%	78.5	83.1	-4.6
9	Nevezis	29	8	21	28%	71.3	82.0	-10.7
10	Alytaus Dzukija	29	6	23	21%	67.9	77.4	-9.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Juventus	27	21	22	34	104
Neptunas	21	26	24	18	89

← all games of the day

Juventus vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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