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Leuven Bears vs Mechelen Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Projected 82-75
Projected total 157.1
Final 68-91
25-25 11-23 12-20 20-23
Position#12
Record3-3
FormLWWLL
Points / game70.2
Allowed / game71.8
Leuven Bears
Vs
71%
29%
■ LEUV 71%■ MECH 29%
Pythia win probability
Mechelen 🏆
Position#11
Record2-4
FormLWLLL
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game94.8
EuropeBNXT League· Sportoase
Other2026-27
Meetings · Leuven Bears v Mechelen
14 Nov 2026
LEUV68
MECH91
07 Mar 2026
LEUV71
MECH77
12 Mar 2025
LEUV90
MECH93
05 Jan 2025
LEUV78
MECH73
31 Oct 2023
LEUV73
MECH84
05 May 2023
LEUV86
MECH62
04 Feb 2023
LEUV72
MECH68
16 May 2022
LEUV95
MECH86
12 May 2022
LEUV40
MECH86
06 Nov 2021
LEUV75
MECH69
07 Feb 2021
LEUV54
MECH83
15 Mar 2020
LEUV v MECH
upcoming
12 Apr 2019
LEUV78
MECH71
20 Oct 2018
LEUV76
MECH68
03 Oct 2018
LEUV73
MECH74
03 Mar 2018
LEUV63
MECH77
22 Sep 2017
LEUV76
MECH85
04 Mar 2017
LEUV76
MECH90
19 Oct 2016
LEUV84
MECH80
07 May 2016
LEUV86
MECH95
05 Mar 2016
LEUV90
MECH88
11 Apr 2015
LEUV83
MECH87
20 Dec 2014
LEUV86
MECH75
08 Feb 2014
LEUV106
MECH120
30 Nov 2013
LEUV93
MECH86
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Leuven Bears host Mechelen on 14 November 2026 in the BNXT League, with the Bears the clear favourite as the model projects a 71% chance of victory and a 82-75 scoreline, while the total is expected to be 157.1 points; the Bears line is -1.5 with a 68% probability of covering, and the over on 158.5 has a 46% chance, with a 5% overtime probability. Leuven's season record is 3-3, scoring 70.2 points per game and allowing 71.8, while Mechelen sits 2-4, averaging 88.0 points and conceding 94.8. Leuven is undefeated at home, 3-0, with 69.3 points and 66.0 allowed, whereas Mechelen's road record is 1-2, 90.0 points and 101.3 allowed. In the last five games Leuven won 2 and lost 3, including a 67-64 home win over Leiden, while Mechelen won only 1 of 5, suffering defeats to Kortrijk, Den Bosch and Antwerp Giants. Historically the Bears trail 3-7 in ten meetings, most recently losing 77-71 to Mechelen on 7 March 2026. The projected 82-75 result reflects Leuven's stronger defensive showing at home and Mechelen's recent offensive struggles.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leuven Bears winLost
71.0%fair 1.41
Best odds1.73
Implied57.0%
Edge+14.1pp
Mechelen winWon
29.0%fair 3.45
Best odds2.18
Implied43.0%
Edge-14.1pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 20:59 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Leuven BearsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
69-73
69
73
-4
62avg 71
A23/04
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
86-97
86
97
-11
80avg 71
H02/05
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
W
69-61
69
61
+8
68avg 71
H06/05
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
77-65
77
65
+12
70avg 71
A09/05
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#2
W
69-65
69
65
+4
45avg 71
H03/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#9
L
78-81
78
81
-3
69avg 71
A06/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
72-69
72
69
+3
72avg 71
H17/10
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
W
67-64
67
64
+3
55avg 71
H24/10
BNXT League
Oostende
#6
L
54-66
54
66
-12
45avg 71
A31/10
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#7
L
81-86
81
86
-5
no box
A08/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-15
11-16
19-16
17-26
21-25
16-28
24-23
25-21
20-17
15-16
10-10
24-18
15-11
16-18
21-15
25-21
20-15
25-17
16-18
8-15
13-11
17-29
23-22
25-19
16-22
26-13
12-23
18-11
11-11
14-14
17-22
25-17
21-16
12-15
18-18
3-17
14-15
33-31
17-19
17-21
144.9Avg total
72.2Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)70.271.8142.0-1.750%
Season at home (3)69.366.0135.3+3.3100%
Season away (3)71.077.7148.7-6.70%
Last 10 (10)72.272.7144.9-0.550%
Last 5 (5)70.473.2143.6-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)76.081.6157.6-5.638%
vs Similar ◀ (10)74.873.5148.3+1.350%
vs Weaker (7)84.773.4158.1+11.371%
This opponent (Mechelen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MechelenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMechelen
Date
Competition
Donar Groningen
#7
L
63-99
63
99
-36
44avg 70
A25/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
L
80-87
80
87
-7
68avg 70
H02/05
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
W
57-56
57
56
+1
49avg 70
A06/05
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
97-73
97
73
+24
99avg 70
H09/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
W
109-100
109
100
+9
107avg 70
A02/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#4
L
79-94
79
94
-15
64avg 70
H10/10
BNXT League
CB Liege
#15
W
96-78
96
78
+18
84avg 70
H17/10
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
75-109
75
109
-34
67avg 70
A24/10
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#7
L
86-95
86
95
-9
75avg 70
A30/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
L
83-93
83
93
-10
no box
H07/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
11-23
15-27
23-27
18-21
22-27
21-14
19-25
10-16
17-17
13-17
17-6
23-7
29-16
23-32
22-18
29-33
23-20
29-27
28-20
21-23
28-19
16-26
14-26
24-21
33-20
19-20
20-17
16-31
19-28
26-26
14-24
20-21
20-27
18-31
28-16
29-15
15-23
14-27
25-28
170.9Avg total
82.5Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)88.094.8182.8-6.833%
Season at home (3)86.088.3174.3-2.333%
Season away (3)90.0101.3191.3-11.333%
Last 10 (10)82.588.4170.9-5.940%
Last 5 (5)83.893.8177.6-10.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)74.685.4159.9-10.838%
vs Similar ◀ (7)75.785.1160.9-9.414%
vs Weaker (7)83.976.0159.9+7.971%
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 151Actual: Over 151
Over 151
64.1%
Under 151
35.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 156.25 · main lineActual: Over 156.25
Over 156.25
no forecast
@ 1.81
Under 156.25
no forecast
@ 1.81
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.81
Under
1xBet
1.81
Over/Under 161.25Actual: Under 161.25
Over 161.25
no forecast
@ 1.88
Under 161.25
no forecast
@ 1.75
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.88
Under
1xBet
1.75

📊 3. Team Totals

Leuven Bears total 77.5Actual: Leuven Bears under 77.5
Over 77.5
66.0%
@ 1.57+5.8pp
Under 77.5
34.0%
@ 2.37-5.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.52
1xBet
1.39
Under
1xBet
2.37
Betano
2.30
Bet365
2.25
Leuven Bears total 81.5 · main lineActual: Leuven Bears under 81.5
Over 81.5
50.7%
@ 2.00+1.0pp
Under 81.5
49.3%
@ 1.83-1.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.00
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.73
Under
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.71
Betano
1.70
Leuven Bears total 85.5Actual: Leuven Bears under 85.5
Over 85.5
35.2%
@ 2.85+0.7pp
Under 85.5
64.8%
@ 1.38-0.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.85
1xBet
2.39
Under
1xBet
1.38
Bet365
1.37
Mechelen total 74.5Actual: Mechelen over 74.5
Over 74.5
52.9%
@ 1.42-11.8pp
Under 74.5
47.1%
@ 2.62+11.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.36
Under
Betano
2.62
1xBet
2.49
Mechelen total 78.5 · main lineActual: Mechelen over 78.5
Over 78.5
37.7%
@ 1.83-12.5pp
Under 78.5
62.3%
@ 1.85+12.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.83
Marathon Be
1.83
Betano
1.82
1xBet
1.67
Under
Betano
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.77
Mechelen total 82.5Actual: Mechelen over 82.5
Over 82.5
24.4%
@ 2.55-12.7pp
Under 82.5
75.6%
@ 1.44+12.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.55
1xBet
2.28
Under
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.41

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Leuven Bears -5.5Actual: Mechelen +5.5
LEUV -5.5
53.6%
@ 2.40+14.5pp
MECH +5.5
46.4%
@ 1.54-14.5pp
Best 5 market prices
LEUV
Bet365
2.40
Betano
2.37
1xBet
2.18
MECH
Bet365
1.54
Marathon Be
1.54
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.49
Spread Leuven Bears -2.5 · main lineActual: Mechelen +2.5
LEUV -2.5
64.4%
@ 1.90+13.9pp
MECH +2.5
35.6%
@ 1.89-13.9pp
Best 5 market prices
LEUV
Betano
1.90
Bet365
1.90
Pinnacle
1.85
Betfair
1.83
Marathon Be
1.80
MECH
Pinnacle
1.89
Marathon Be
1.87
Betfair
1.83
1xBet
1.81
Bet365
1.80
Spread Leuven Bears +0.5Actual: Mechelen -0.5
LEUV +0.5
71.0%
MECH -0.5
29.0%
Best 5 market prices
LEUV
No market prices yet.
MECH
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -5.3-5.3Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +0.3+0.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -5.3-5.3Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +0.3+0.3
Leuven BearsMechelen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Leuven BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A23/04
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
37-53
37
53
-16
H02/05
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H06/05
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A09/05
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#2
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H03/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#9
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A06/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H17/10
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
D
25-25
25
25
+0
H24/10
BNXT League
Oostende
#6
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A31/10
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#7
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A08/11
BNXT League
71.3Avg total
35.8Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 79.5
Last 30 (30)40.237.377.5+2.967%40%
Last 30 at home (14)42.536.078.5+6.571%43%
Last 30 away (16)38.138.476.6-0.362%38%
Last 10 (10)35.835.571.3+0.370%20%
Last 5 (5)35.435.470.8+0.060%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)40.941.682.5-0.754%54%
vs Similar ◀ (10)36.533.670.1+2.960%10%
vs Weaker (7)44.034.678.6+9.4100%57%
This opponent (Mechelen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MechelenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Donar Groningen
#7
L
25-45
25
45
-20
A25/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H02/05
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A06/05
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
52-23
52
23
+29
H09/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A02/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#4
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H10/10
BNXT League
CB Liege
#15
W
57-41
57
41
+16
H17/10
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
35-59
35
59
-24
A24/10
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#7
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A30/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H07/11
BNXT League
85.1Avg total
42.1Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 79.5
Last 30 (30)38.641.079.7-2.437%57%
Last 30 at home (15)43.138.581.6+4.767%67%
Last 30 away (15)34.143.677.7-9.57%47%
Last 10 (10)42.143.085.1-0.940%70%
Last 5 (5)45.045.690.6-0.660%100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)36.342.678.9-6.231%50%
vs Similar ◀ (7)36.142.778.9-6.614%57%
vs Weaker (7)46.435.982.3+10.671%71%
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Mechelen win
LEUV win
no forecast
@ 1.74
MECH win
no forecast
@ 2.10
1st half Spread Leuven Bears -1.5 · main lineActual: Mechelen +1.5
LEUV -1.5
no forecast
@ 1.95
MECH +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Over/Under 79.5 · main lineActual: Over 79.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.88
Under
no forecast
@ 1.91
Leuven Bears 1st half total 40.5 · main lineActual: Leuven Bears under 40.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.91
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
Mechelen 1st half total 39 · main lineActual: Mechelen over 39
Over
no forecast
@ 1.81
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half: LEUV + total 79.5
LEUV & over
no forecast
@ 3.55
LEUV & under
no forecast
@ 3.40
1st half: Draw + total 79.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 31.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 29.00
1st half: MECH + total 79.5
MECH & over
no forecast
@ 4.00
MECH & under
no forecast
@ 3.80
1st half Over/Under 78.25Actual: Over 78.25
Over
no forecast
@ 1.72
Under
no forecast
@ 1.91
1st half Spread Leuven Bears -2.5Actual: Mechelen +2.5
LEUV -2.5
no forecast
@ 2.15
MECH +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.66
1st half Spread Leuven Bears -0.5Actual: Mechelen +0.5
LEUV -0.5
no forecast
@ 1.80
MECH +0.5
no forecast
@ 2.00
1st half Over/Under 81.5Actual: Over 81.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.22
Under
no forecast
@ 1.62
1st half Over/Under 77Actual: Over 77
Over
no forecast
@ 1.74
Under
no forecast
@ 1.75
1st half Spread Leuven Bears -3.5Actual: Mechelen +3.5
LEUV -3.5
no forecast
@ 2.35
MECH +3.5
no forecast
@ 1.55
1st half Over/Under 75.5Actual: Over 75.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.47
Under
no forecast
@ 2.55
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Mechelen (regulation)
LEUV
no forecast
@ 1.80
Draw
no forecast
@ 17.50
MECH
no forecast
@ 2.20

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
LEUV win + total 157.5
🔒 Pro
MECH win + total 157.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: LEUV leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: MECH leads at half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
Quarters won (LEUV:MECH): LEUV wins more
🔒 Pro
🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Leuven Bears +275.9%1.53
Pinnacle
1.58
Bet365
1.55
Marathon Bet
1.46		--+18.5ppLost
Leuven Bears +2.576.7%1.48
Pinnacle
1.55
Bet365
1.52
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.36		-+18.0ppLost
Leuven Bears +172.7%1.59
Bet365
1.64
Pinnacle
1.60
Marathon Bet
1.53		--+14.8ppLost
Leuven Bears -170.3%1.70
SBO
1.76
Bet365
1.74
Pinnacle
1.67
Marathon Bet
1.63		-+14.7ppLost
Leuven Bears +1.573.3%1.53
Bet365
1.60
Betano
1.57
Pinnacle
1.57
Marathon Bet
1.50
1xBet
1.43		+14.4ppLost
Leuven Bears win71.0%1.66
WilliamHill
1.73
Bet365
1.68
Betano
1.67
Betfair
1.67
Pinnacle
1.64		+14.1ppLost
Leuven Bears +4.581.6%1.36
Betano
1.36		----+13.9ppLost
Leuven Bears +7.587.8%1.25
Bet365
1.26
Betano
1.24		---+13.8ppLost
Leuven Bears +5.583.9%1.30
Betano
1.30		----+13.4ppLost
Mechelen under 84.581.1%1.30
1xBet
1.30		----+13.1ppLost
Leuven Bears +6.585.9%1.25
Betano
1.25		----+12.8ppLost
Mechelen under 82.575.6%1.42
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.41		---+12.7ppLost
Mechelen under 83.578.4%1.37
Betano
1.39
Bet365
1.38
1xBet
1.35		--+12.4ppLost
Leuven Bears +3.579.0%1.35
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.29		---+12.3ppLost
Mechelen under 81.572.5%1.51
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.52
1xBet
1.48		--+12.1ppLost
Leuven Bears +12.594.2%1.12
Bet365
1.12		----+11.1ppLost
Mechelen under 85.583.5%1.27
Bet365
1.27		----+10.7ppLost
Mechelen under 88.589.4%1.16
Bet365
1.16		----+9.9ppLost
Mechelen under 87.587.6%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+9.9ppLost
Leuven Bears +17.597.4%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+8.7ppLost
Mechelen under 89.591.0%1.13
Bet365
1.13		----+8.7ppLost
Leuven Bears +22.598.9%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+7.7ppLost
Leuven Bears over 70.586.4%1.18
Bet365
1.18		----+7.6ppLost
Leuven Bears over 73.579.0%1.30
Bet365
1.30		----+7.5ppLost
Mechelen under 91.593.6%1.09
Bet365
1.09		----+7.5ppWon
Leuven Bears over 75.572.9%1.36
Bet365
1.41
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.28		--+7.2ppLost
Leuven Bears over 69.588.4%1.14
Bet365
1.14		----+7.0ppLost
Mechelen under 93.595.5%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+6.8ppWon
Leuven Bears over 71.584.2%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+6.4ppLost
Under 174.585.4%1.16
Bet365
1.16		----+5.9ppWon
Under 169.577.7%1.29
Bet365
1.29		----+5.8ppWon
Under 165.570.0%1.42
Betano
1.42		----+5.6ppWon
Leuven Bears over 74.576.0%1.24
1xBet
1.24		----+5.3ppLost
Under 184.594.7%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+5.1ppWon
Under 173.584.1%1.16
Bet365
1.16		----+4.6ppWon
Under 183.594.1%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+4.5ppWon
Under 179.591.0%1.08
Bet365
1.08		----+4.4ppWon
Overtime: no95.4%1.03
Betano
1.03		----+4.3ppWon
Under 168.575.9%1.29
Bet365
1.29		----+4.0ppWon
Leuven Bears under 97.594.1%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+3.8ppWon
Under 178.590.0%1.08
Bet365
1.08		----+3.4ppWon
Leuven Bears under 95.591.4%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+2.7ppWon
Mechelen +22.591.9%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+2.5ppWon
Over 133.592.4%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+2.0ppWon
Leuven Bears under 93.587.9%1.08
Bet365
1.08		----+1.3ppWon
Leuven Bears under 91.583.5%1.13
Bet365
1.13		----+1.2ppWon
Over 134.591.5%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+1.0ppWon
Leuven Bears under 90.580.9%1.15
Bet365
1.15		----+0.4ppWon
Leuven Bears under 87.571.8%1.27
1xBet
1.28
Bet365
1.26		---+0.2ppWon
Over 138.586.9%1.07
Bet365
1.07		-----0.2ppWon
Leuven Bears under 89.578.1%1.18
Bet365
1.18		-----0.8ppWon
Over 143.579.2%1.15
Bet365
1.15		-----1.3ppWon
Over 139.585.6%1.07
Bet365
1.07		-----1.6ppWon
Mechelen +17.583.8%1.09
Bet365
1.09		-----2.3ppWon
Mechelen over 65.583.1%1.09
Bet365
1.09		-----3.0ppWon
Over 144.577.4%1.15
Bet365
1.15		-----3.1ppWon
Mechelen over 67.577.7%1.13
Bet365
1.13		-----4.6ppWon
Mechelen over 68.574.6%1.16
Bet365
1.16		-----4.9ppWon
Mechelen over 69.571.3%1.20
Bet365
1.20		-----6.4ppWon
Mechelen +12.571.1%1.20
Bet365
1.20		-----6.7ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leuven Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leuven Bears: 68.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.718.9
54.5%
53.2%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.66.2
28.7%
32.1%18.6
🏀 Free throws19.111.7
61.3%
71.0%11.7
They take 56.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mechelentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mechelen: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.620.6
50.7%
53.2%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.7
35.7%
32.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.713.2
70.6%
71.0%13.2
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leuven Bears
LLWWLWWWLL
Mechelen
LLLWLWWWLL
#12
League position
#11
+1.6
Net rating
-5.6
84.4
Offensive rating
91.3
82.7
Defensive rating
96.9
50.1%
Effective FG%
51.8%
45.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
19.4%
Turnover %
16.4%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.29
28.7%
3-point %
35.7%
57.8%
Assist %
59.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence84.4 · 91.3Defence82.7 · 96.9Shooting50.1% · 51.8%3-point %28.7% · 35.7%Ball care19.4% · 16.4%Free throws0.34 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Leuven Bears   ■ Mechelen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Leuven Bears wins
7
Mechelen wins
DateGameScore
07/03/26Leuven Bears v Mechelen71-77 OT
15/11/25Mechelen v Leuven Bears57-81
12/03/25Leuven Bears v Mechelen90-93
05/01/25Leuven Bears v Mechelen78-73
03/01/25Mechelen v Leuven Bears82-86
02/11/24Mechelen v Leuven Bears72-67
10/04/24Mechelen v Leuven Bears90-76
16/12/23Mechelen v Leuven Bears72-69
31/10/23Leuven Bears v Mechelen73-84
07/05/23Mechelen v Leuven Bears98-89
Leuven Bearslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26ADen Bosch81-86
31/10/26AOostende54-66
24/10/26HLeiden67-64
17/10/26HKortrijk72-69
06/10/26ADonar Groningen78-81
03/10/26HSpirou Charleroi69-65
09/05/26ABAL Weert77-65
06/05/26HZwolle69-61
02/05/26HKortrijk86-97
23/04/26ASpirou Charleroi69-73
Mechelenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HKortrijk83-93
30/10/26ADen Bosch86-95
24/10/26AAntwerp Giants75-109
17/10/26HCB Liege96-78
10/10/26HOkapi Aalst79-94
02/10/26ALimburg109-100
09/05/26HRotterdam97-73
06/05/26ABrussels Basketball57-56
02/05/26HDen Helder80-87
25/04/26ADonar Groningen63-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leuven Bears
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL50%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game70.269.371.0
Allowed / game71.866.077.7
Point differential-1.7+3.3-6.7
Avg total142.0135.3148.7
Over 156.2533%0%67%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mechelen
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL33%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game88.086.090.0
Allowed / game94.888.3101.3
Point differential-6.8-2.3-11.3
Avg total182.8174.3191.3
Over 156.25100%100%100%
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants660100%102.880.2+22.7
2 Brussels Basketball65183%83.069.7+13.3
3 Spirou Charleroi75271%79.068.0+11.0
4 Limburg64267%92.084.3+7.7
5 Okapi Aalst64267%90.084.7+5.3
6 Den Bosch64267%80.880.5+0.3
7 Oostende74357%76.973.1+3.7
8 Leuven Bears63350%70.271.8-1.7
9 Zwolle63350%72.777.0-4.3
10 Donar Groningen63350%81.389.5-8.2
11 Leiden73443%77.178.4-1.3
12 Rotterdam62433%75.880.2-4.3
13 Mechelen62433%88.094.8-6.8
14 Kortrijk72529%83.082.4+0.6
15 CB Liege71614%77.089.0-12.0
16 Belfius Mons7070%66.989.4-22.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leuven Bears2511122068
Mechelen2523202391
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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